| 30.04 19:14 |
Hot stocks: Alcatel-Lucent, Citigroup
The world’s largest telecommunications equipment maker Alcatel-Lucent reported its fifth-straight quarterly loss.
Citigroup, Inc announced plans to raise $4.5B common stock offering, as part of an effort to insulate its balance sheet.
The world's largest commercial real-estate broker Cb Richard Ellis Group Inc reported first-quarter profit below analysts’ forecasts.
General Motors Corporation announced a $3.3B net first-quarter loss.
Garmin Ltd reported its slowest profit growth in 3 years as increasing competition drives down prices.
The Procter & Gamble Company reported higher quarterly profits.
|
| 30.04 18:59 |
MS after Fed’s decision
MS’s economist David Greenlaw: “We believe that
today's move will represent the last rate cut in this easing cycle. However,
should the economy show signs of a double dip after the temporary impact of
fiscal stimulus fades away, the FOMC could certainly reduce rates further.”
|
| 30.04 18:44 |
EUR/USD rallies to $1.5625 after sliding to $1.5540. Bids remain $1.5500/10 |
| 30.04 18:28 |
Main events of FOMC’s statement
1.Econ 'remains weak' & mkts 'remain under considerable stress' 2.Infl has improved and is expected to moderate and Fed to monitor carefully 3.Removed "downside risks to growth" but says FOMC will continue to monitor econ and 'will act as needed' 4.Hope rate cut and liquidity measures will "help to promote growth" and "mitigate risks" to econ 5.Vote was 8-2, with Fisher and Plosser dissenting for no move
|
| 30.04 18:19 |
FOMC: Discount rate was cut 25 points to 2.25% |
| 30.04 18:17 |
FOMC: Key lending rate was cut 25 points to 2%, as expected |
| 30.04 18:10 |
Before FOMC’s rate decision EUR/USD holds at $1.5560, GBP/USD at $1.9834 and USD/JPY at Y104.46 |
| 30.04 18:10 |
Before FOMC’s rate decision Dow +129.78 points, Nasdaq +17.52 points and S&P +8.17 points |
| 30.04 18:05 |
Hang Seng Investment on Fed’s rate
Mark Wan, chief analyst at Hang Seng Investment
Services Ltd: “I don't think at this moment investors should be bullish about
the U.S.
economy. And I don't think the FOMC will hold off rate cuts in the foreseeable
future.”
|
| 30.04 17:45 |
Bank of America sees two more rate cuts
Tomoko Fujii, senior currency strategist at Bank
of America: “All this talk about U.S. rates bottoming out are
premature. It is too early to judge that the Fed easing cycle is ending - we
maintain our view that there will be two more rate cuts after this week.”
|
| 30.04 17:18 |
American focus: Dollar heads for monthly gain against Euro on view Fed to pause [M]
The dollar is headed
for its first monthly advance against the euro this year on speculation a cut in interest
rates by the Federal Reserve today will be followed by comments signaling
policy makers are about done with easing. The U.S. currency
was poised for its biggest monthly gain against the yen since December 2001 as interest-rate futures showed the
Fed may keep rates on hold after reducing borrowing costs. The yen dropped
against all of the major currencies as an advance in U.S.
stocks encouraged investors to increase holdings of higher-yielding assets
financed in Japan.
The U.S. currency
has advanced 4.6% against the yen and 1.4% versus the euro this month. Still, it's down 6.7% against the
euro and 6.8% versus the yen in 2008. The euro is up 3.7% versus the yen in
April, paring this year's losses to 0.2%. Policy makers have reduced
the Fed's target rate for overnight loans between banks 3% since September to avert a recession and spur
lending. Futures on the Chicago Board of Trade show an 80% chance the Fed will
cut the target rate by a quarter-percentage point to 2% today and odds of 69% the
rate will be held at that level in June. The lower U.S.
rates have made the dollar less attractive to investors than the euro as the European Central Bank has kept its rates on
hold at 4.0%. Today's euro zone economic news helped to lift expectations slightly the
ECB may be tempted to cut its borrowing costs sooner than expected, further
pressuring the single currency against the U.S. currency. Euro zone inflation
eased to a provisional 3.3% in April from 3.6% in March. The March reading was
the highest recorded since the start of the monetary union. At the same time,
the European Commission said its euro zone economic sentiment indicator fell to
97.1 in
April from 99.6 in
March, reaching its lowest level since late 2005. Economists said this points
to a further slowdown in euro zone growth.
|
| 30.04 16:56 |
Fukoku Mutual Life Insurance ahead of FOMC
Shingo Narue, manager at Fukoku Mutual Life
Insurance: “he market maintains its view that the Fed
will lower interest rates by 25 basis points and will pause its rate cutting
cycle for a while. And investors will be looking at whether the accompanying
statement will indicate that.”
|
| 30.04 16:42 |
USD/JPY holds within the range
USD/JPY holds within the narrow
range, trading at Y104.45. Dollar remains off morning highs seen around
Y104.87, plenty of supply layered ahead of Y105.00.
|
| 30.04 16:22 |
June NYMEX crude contract trading at $113.60, down $2.03 on the day and off from Monday highs at $119.93 |
| 30.04 16:09 |
EUR/USD strengthens
EUR/USD holds near $1.5560/80 where
offers were mentioned. Light supply expected at $1.5600, better at $1.5610/20.
|
| 30.04 15:54 |
Blue chips rise ahead of FOMC
Stocks inched higher Wednesday as investors looked to the Federal Reserve,
with a decision on interest rates expected later in the day. The central bank is widely expected to cut the fed funds rate, a key
overnight bank lending rate, by a quarter-percentage point to 2%. Many
economists are also expecting the Fed to signal that it is done cutting rates
for the time being. An announcement is expected at around 18:15 GMT. Before the open, investors eyed the latest reading on the health of the economy. Gross
domestic product grew at an 0.6% annual rate in the first quarter, as it did in
the final quarter of 2007. That was slightly better than the 0.5% rate expected
by economists. Corporate news: General Motors reported a steeper quarterly loss that was nevertheless
narrower than what analysts were expecting, and weak sales that beat forecasts. Citigroup said it was boosting the
size of its previously announced common stock offering to $4.5 billion from $3
billion.
|
| 30.04 15:39 |
RBC Capital Markets on GDP data and Fed’s rate
Paul Ferley of RBC Capital Markets says the Q1 GDP report and the outlook for Q2 is unlikely to alter the Fed's take on the economy, as the central bank already acknowledged the likelihood of a soft H1. “We could see a cut as large as 50 basis points later today though with the tone in financial markets improving”, Ferley adds.
|
| 30.04 15:17 |
EUR/USD tries to go higher
EUR/USD rebounds from $1.5545 ahead
of the London
fix event. Bids still expected in the $1.5500/10 area that is also key
technically.
|
| 30.04 14:54 |
AUS/USD above $0.9400
AUS/USD pushing up above $0.9400
now, starting to trigger a few stops. More significant remain on a break of
$0.9420.
|
| 30.04 14:40 |
WTI Nymex crude oil extends weakness and breaks below $115.00 level after release of strong build in crude oil supplies |
| 30.04 14:32 |
US EIA oil data for Apr 25: crude stocks +3.8m to 319.9m. |
| 30.04 14:20 |
Dow +49.98 at 12885.35, Nasdaq +5.73 at 2431.83, S&P +4.09 at 1395.03 |
| 30.04 14:15 |
US DoE weekly inventory data are due at 1430GMT
Analysts look for a build of 900k barrels in the week
ended April 25. Gasoline supplies expected to show a draw of 875k
barrels and distillate supplies seen showing a draw of 250k barrels.
Refinery utilization is seen up 0.25%.
|
| 30.04 14:01 |
USD/JPY keeps positive mood
Accelerating higher on the back of the GM results,
stops being triggered from system accounts on the break of Y104.40,
with rate pushing supply at Y104.80/90, ahead of the
Y105.00 barrier.
|
| 30.04 13:45 |
US: Apr Chicago PMI 48.3 vs 48.2.
Prices paid 82.9. New orders 53.0. Employment 35.3. Inventories 51.9. Production 53.0.
|
| 30.04 13:14 |
Before the bell: Stocks are looking to start the trading day on a positive note.
Futures have dipped a few points from their best levels, but are still holding onto most of their GDP induced gains. S&P futures vs fair value: +3.7. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +4.5.
The Dept. of Commerce said first quarter GDP rose by
0.6% at an annualized rate, which was better than the consensus
estimate that called for growth of 0.5%. The fourth quarter of 2007
also grew by 0.6%. The GDP deflator, an inflation measure, increased by
2.6%, and core PCE increased by 2.2%. Economists expected the GDP
deflator to rise by 3.0% and the core PCE to increase by 2.2% Citigroup announced
it has increased its common stock offering size to $4.5 billion from
the $3.0 billion it announced yesterday. The offering will be priced
at $25.27 per share, a 4% discount from Tuesday's closing price.
|
| 30.04 12:56 |
European session: dollar is still well supported
The dollar is headed for its first monthly advance against the euro
this year on speculation a cut in interest rates by the Federal Reserve
today will be followed by a pause.
The U.S. currency was also poised for its biggest monthly gain against
the yen since April 2004 as interest-rate futures showed the Fed may
keep rates on hold after reducing borrowing costs for a seventh time
since September. The euro weakened today after a German government
report showed unemployment fell less than economists had forecast.
The pound was little changed against the dollar at $1.9688, and is
headed for its biggest monthly loss this year after falling earlier on
a Nationwide Building Society report that showed the first annual
decline in U.K. house prices since 1996.
EUR/USD having tested low at $1.5525 traded within $1.5535/65 range. Bids $1.5510/00, offers $1.5620.
GBP/USD was bounded in $1.9650/00. Bids $1.9625/20, $1.9600. Offers $1.9700/10, $1.9740/50.
USD/JPY went to a high at Y104.85 before slipping to Y104.50. Offers Y104.80/105.00, bids Y102.70, Y102.20
U.S. gross domestic product probably grew 0.5 percent in the first
quarter, after rising 0.6 percent in the last three months of 2007,
according to the median forecast of 80 economists surveyed by Bloomberg
News. The Commerce Department is scheduled to release the report at
1230 GMT in Washington.
|
| 30.04 12:49 |
ECB CONSTANCIO: Eurozone average growth in 2009 could be worse than 2008. |
| 30.04 12:36 |
US: 1Q ECI +0.7%, +3.3% YOY. |
| 30.04 12:32 |
US: PCE +3.5% PCE core prices +2.2% (2.5% Q4) |
| 30.04 12:30 |
US: Q1 GDP +0.6%, real final sales -0.2% |
| 30.04 12:16 |
ADP Sees April US Private Sector Jobs +10,000 |
| 30.04 11:53 |
USD/CHF tested session high
Recovered strongly from the Chf1.0330 low, pushing up
hrough the Chf1.0385 Asia high as euro-dollar dipped under $1.5540.
Offers in the Chf1.0400 area so far managing to contain, said to
stretch up to Chf1.0430, in line with last week's high and stops placed
on a break.
|
| 30.04 11:36 |
European focus:
The dollar is headed for its first monthly advance against the euro
this year on speculation a cut in interest rates by the Federal Reserve
today will be followed by a pause.
The U.S. currency was also poised for its biggest monthly gain against
the yen since April 2004 as interest-rate futures showed the Fed may
keep rates on hold after reducing borrowing costs for a seventh time
since September. The euro weakened today after a German government
report showed unemployment fell less than economists had forecast.
The euro reversed an earlier gain against the dollar after the
government said the number of people in Germany out of work fell 7,000
from March to 3.3 million. Economists expected a decline of 30,000,
according to the median in a Bloomberg News survey.
An index of executive and consumer sentiment in the euro area fell to
97.1 from 99.6 in March, the 11th straight monthly drop, the EU's
executive agency in Brussels said today. Separate reports showed
consumer-price inflation slowed to 3.3 percent last month and
unemployment remained at 7.1 percent, a record low.
The pound was little changed against the dollar at $1.9688, and is
headed for its biggest monthly loss this year after falling earlier on
a Nationwide Building Society report that showed the first annual
decline in U.K. house prices since 1996.
Futures on the Chicago Board of Trade show an 80 percent chance the Fed
will cut the target rate for overnight lending between banks by a
quarter-percentage point to 2 percent and odds of 70 percent that the
rate will be held at that level in June. The U.S. central bank has cut
its fed funds target 3 percentage points since September to avert a
recession and spur lending.
``The Fed will cut by 25 basis points today, but there's a strong
chance they will hint at a pause,'' said Lee Ferridge, a senior
foreign-exchange strategist at State Street Global Markets. ``We've
seen institutional investors going back into the dollar. That's a vote
of confidence, and it should help support the dollar against the
euro.''
Gains in the dollar may be limited on speculation data today will show U.S. economic expansion is slowing.
U.S. gross domestic product probably grew 0.5 percent in the first
quarter, after rising 0.6 percent in the last three months of 2007,
according to the median forecast of 80 economists surveyed by Bloomberg
News. The Commerce Department is scheduled to release the report at
1230 GMT in Washington.
Consumer confidence fell to a five-year low this month, a Conference
Board survey showed yesterday, as the collapse of the subprime-mortgage
market and record fuel prices threaten to reduce spending.
``The dollar's downside risks, particularly against the yen, may
increase,'' Masafumi Yamamoto, head of foreign exchange strategy for
Japan at Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc in Tokyo and a former Bank of
Japan currency trader, wrote in a research note dated today. ``After
the Fed's decision, the market will be free to focus on U.S. economic
data, which show that the subprime loan problem hasn't been solved.''
Bank of America Corp., the second-largest U.S. bank, lowered its
forecast for the dollar against the euro and pound as it expects the
Fed to cut the benchmark interest rate to 1.5 percent by the end of
August. The bank predicted the currency will trade at $1.52 per euro by
Sept. 30, compared with a previous estimate of $1.50.
|
| 30.04 11:17 |
OPTIONS: Expiries of note for 1400GMT cut
EUR/USD $1.5650, $1.5300
USD/JPY Y104.20, Y105.00, Y100.00
AUD/USD $0.9325, $0.9400
Kiwi $0.7890
|
| 30.04 10:38 |
USD/JPY techs:
Resistance 3: Y105.30
Resistance 2: Y104.80
Resistance 1: Y104.30
Current price: Y104.15
Support 1: Y103.20
Support 2:
Y102.60
Support 3: Y102.20
Comments: Dollar keep posotive mood. The nearest resistance is yesterday's
high at Y104.30. Higher comes Y104.80 with more important level at
Y105.30. The
nearest support is Tuesday low at Y103.20, than go April 22-23 lows at
Y102.60/70 and lower - Y102.20.
|
| 30.04 10:03 |
USD/CHF techs:
Resistance 3:
Chf1.0540
Resistance 2: Chf1.0480
Resistance 1: Chf1.0430
Current price: Chf1.0375
Support 1: Chf1.0300
Support 2: Chf1.0150
Support 3: Chf1.0000
Comments: Strong resistance is around Chf1.0400/30 with a break above will
extend rise up to Chf1.0480. Stronger resistance is near Fibo level on Chf1.0540
(61.8% of Chf1.1110 - Chf0.9640 decline). The nearest support is Friday’s and Monday's low on
Chf1.0300. Below last Thursday’s low at Chf1.0150 the rate may dip to Chf1.0000.
|
| 30.04 09:54 |
GBP/USD techs:
Resistance 3: $2.0050
Resistance 2: $1.9960
Resistance 1: $1.9780
Current price: $1.9681
Support 1: $1.9620
Support 2: $1.9600
Support 3: $1.9550
Comments: Pound еtris to rebound. The nearest resistance is Monday low
at $1.9780, higher comes $1.9960(Monday high) and than - $2.0050 (April
04 high). Break under $1.9620 will open the way to $1.9600 (Apr
15 low) and lower - till $1.9550.
|
| 30.04 09:37 |
EUR/USD techs:
Resistance 3:$1.6020
Resistance 2: $1.5880 Resistance 1: $1.5700
Current price: $1.5543
Support 1: $1.5540
Support 2: $1.5500
Support 3: $1.5420
Comments: Euro tries to rebound. Resistance is around Friday’s highs at $1.5700. Stronger resistance
is near $1.5880. Key level is around life-time high on $1.6015/20. Support comes
at yesterday's low on $1.5540 with further losses near $1.5500 and below – on $1.5420.
|
| 30.04 09:29 |
Credit Suisse about the Fed
Credit Suisse economists look for the Fed to cut by 25bp and to signal
an intention to pause at 2.0% at Wednesday's meeting. CS FX strategists
maintain that the recent runup
in US Tsy yields reduces the reason to expect a significant dollar
rally after the pause is announced because the market appears to have
already priced in the pause. There is scope for FX volatility to rise.
|
| 30.04 09:11 |
EUR/USD falls after data:
Drops back to $1.5525, from around $1.5545, as rate
reacts to release of eurozone data, but reported stops under this level
so far said to remain intact. However, rate retains a heavy tone, one
trader comments. A break and clear of the $1.5530/20 area to open a
deeper move toward $1.5500 ahead of $1.5480/70.
|
| 30.04 09:02 |
Е15 Unemployment (March) 7.1% vs 7.1% |
| 30.04 09:01 |
Е15 Economic sentiment index (April) 97.1 s 99.6 |
| 30.04 09:01 |
Е15 Business climate indicator (April) 0.45 vs 0.80 |
| 30.04 09:00 |
Е15 Harmonized CPI (April) Y/Y preliminary 3.3% vs 3.6% |
| 30.04 08:56 |
BAS: April payrolls may be weaker than the market consensus of -75,000. |
| 30.04 08:44 |
Stock market: Tuesday results
FTSE 100 -1.00 -0.02% 6,089.40
CAC 40 -35.65 -0.71% 4,977.10
Xetra Dax -39.99 -0.58% 6,885.34
DOW -39.08 -0.30% 12,832.67
NASDAQ +1.70 +0.07% 2,426.10
S&P 500 -5.37 -0.38% 1,391.00
10yr Note -0.1000 -0.026% 3.825%
NYMEX Crude Oil -3.12 -2.63% 115.63
Gold -18.70 -2.09% 876.80
Japan stock market was closed Tuesday for a holiday. European stocks fell for the first time in five days as some earnings
forecasts disappointed investors and lower metal prices weighed on
mining shares.
Michelin
& Cie. dropped the most in almost a decade after the world's
second-largest tiremaker said profit may decline this year. Ciba
Specialty Chemicals AG posted the biggest drop since 2001 as earnings
missed analysts' estimates. Rio Tinto Group led a retreat in mining
shares, the best performers this month after oil stocks. Higher
earnings from Royal Dutch Shell Plc and BP Plc lifted energy producers.
Ciba sank 8.6 percent to
33.56 francs, the steepest slide since September 2001. The world's
biggest maker of colors for plastics posted a 51 percent slump in
profit to 37 million francs ($36 million) on slowing demand and higher
costs for oil-derived raw materials. The company also lowered its
earnings guidance.Rio,
the world's third-largest mining company, dropped 3.5 percent to 6,010
pence and BHP Billiton Ltd., the biggest, decreased 3.1 percent to
1,818 pence.Daimler AG lost 1.4 percent to 50.19 euros. The second-
largest maker of luxury vehicles said first-quarter profit fell 32
percent, more than estimated.
Shell
rallied 5.3 percent to 2,035 pence after the oil company said
first-quarter profit climbed 25 percent to $9.08 billion, boosted by
record crude and higher natural gas prices.
BP
climbed 6 percent to 613 pence after Europe's second- biggest oil
producer said first-quarter profit advanced 63 percent to $7.62
billion. Danske Bank A/S retreated 4.7 percent to 162.75
kroner after the largest Nordic lender by assets posted a 33 percent
drop in first-quarter profit to 2.57 billion kroner ($537 million) as
trading income slipped and the bank booked losses on some loans.
US stocks closed mixed Tuesday after a report showed consumer confidence
fell to its lowest level in five years, and investors held back ahead
of the Federal Reserve's decision on interest rates.Drugmaker Merck
said late Monday that the Food and Drug Administration
is requesting more information regarding its cholesterol drug candidate
Cordaptive. Merck shares fell more than 8% in early trade.Credit card
processor Visa (V) reported a jump in quarterly profit late
Monday. But shares fell nearly 2% in morning trade as investors had
hoped for even more robust results.Troubled home lender Countrywide,
which is in the process of being
bought by Bank of America, reported a loss of nearly $900 million
during the first quarter on higher housing-related credit losses.
Deutsche Bank AG (DB), Germany's largest bank, announced a $4.2 billion
writedown for the first quarter. The bank's CEO said financial market
conditions during the quarter were "the most difficult in recent
memory."
On the upside, the world's largest maker of liquid crystal display
glass, Corning, reported that first-quarter profit more than tripled
versus last year on strong demand for flat screen TVs and computers.
Shares rose nearly 5%.
Video game maker Take-Two Interactive's (TTWO) released the latest
installment of its Grand Theft Auto video game series Tuesday. "Grand
Theft Auto 4" is expected to break sales records and could give
Take-Two more room to negotiate for a higher price from rival
Electronic Arts (ERTS), which has launched a hostile takeover bid.
|
| 30.04 08:23 |
Forex: Tuesday results
The dollar strengthened to a three- week high against the euro on
speculation the Federal Reserve will signal that it's done lowering
interest rates. The currency is headed for its first monthly advance
against the euro
this year, and also gained versus the pound,
as interest-rate futures show the Fed may lower borrowing costs
tomorrow and then pause. The yen increased against all of the major
currencies as a drop in stocks encouraged investors to sell
higher-yielding assets.
Futures on the Chicago Board of Trade show an
82 percent chance the Fed will cut the target rate for overnight
lending by a quarter-percentage point to 2 percent tomorrow and 71
percent odds that the rate will be held at that level in June.
The yen rose 2.1 percent against the New
Zealand dollar and 1.7 percent versus the pound as the drop in stocks
led investors to reduce carry trades in which they get funds in a
country with low borrowing costs and purchase assets where returns are
higher.
The pound was poised for its biggest monthly
decline against the dollar in 2008 after the Bank of England reported
that mortgage approvals fell in March to the lowest in at least nine
years. Dovish comments from BOE's King and Blanchflower along with weak UK CBI data put cable under the pressure. Japan’s
markets were closed
in observance of national holiday.
The euro was under pressure as the Bloomberg
purchasing managers index showed today that European retail sales
dropped the most in more than four years in April. Another report
showed that French consumer confidence dropped this month to a record
low as accelerating inflation squeezed incomes.
Australia's dollar dropped 0.5 percent to 93.38 U.S. cents after the
New York-based Conference Board's Australian index of leading economic
indicators fell in February for a third month.EUR/USD rose after low was printed on $1.5540 to $1.5617 retreating later till $1.5565.
GBP/USD fell from $1.9910 to $1.9660/70.
USD/JPY slipped from Y103.90/104.35 to a low at Y103.20 where got supportr and went up to Y104.05.
Eurozone data at 0900GMT sees the April economic sentiment index,
business climate indicator, flash HICP and March unemployment rate.
Forecasts are for the economic sentiment index to slip to 99.1, while
flash HICP is seen at 3.4% y/y and the unemployment rate is seen steady
at 7.1%. At 1155GMT, ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet speaks at an
award ceremony, in Aachen, Germany.
US data starts at with the ADP Natl
Employment Report for April at 1215GMT. This is followed at 1230GMT by
the advance first-quarter 2008 GDP and Employment Cost Index, which
come at the same time as Canada industrial product and raw materials
prices for March; real GDP at basic prices for February. US first
quarter GDP is expected to post a 0.3% rise, compared with the 0.6%
rise in the previous quarter. At 1300GMT NY NAPM for April is due,
while this time also sees the start of the second day of the FOMC
Meeting. At 1345GMT, the Chicago PMI is expected to rise modestly to a
reading of 48.5 in April. Other regional data already released have
suggestedsoft growth. This is followed at 1400GMT by the help-wanted
online index for April and the weekly crude oil stocks data at 1430GMT.
As well as the expected 25bps cut from the FOMC at 1815GMT, data sees
the 1900GMT release of agriculture prices for April.
|
| 30.04 08:13 |
BOJ SHIRAKAWA: Closely watching consumer views on inflation
- Policy now more flexible than when had direction
- Output, income, spending growth weaker recently
- Price rises due to both supply/demand factors
- Don't see upside risks outpacing downside risks
- Board sees risks more balanced than in FY09 than now
|
| 30.04 07:59 |
GERMANY: April s/adj jobless total falls 7,000 m/m |
| 30.04 07:58 |
German Apr Adj Jobless Rate 7.9% Vs 7.9% In Mar |
| 30.04 07:57 |
German Apr Unadj Jobless Rate 8.1% Vs 8.4% In Mar |
| 30.04 07:55 |
GERMANY: April unadj. jobless total falls to 3.414 mln vs 3.507 |
| 30.04 07:50 |
Asian session: dollar is still supported
The dollar is headed for its first
monthly advance against the euro this year on speculation that
any cut in interest rates by the Federal Reserve today will be
followed by a pause.
The U.S. currency was also poised for its biggest monthly
gain against the yen since April 2004 as interest-rate futures
showed the Fed may reduce borrowing costs for a seventh time
since September and then keep rates on hold. The yen rose as a
decline in stocks discouraged purchases of higher-yielding
assets funded in Japan.
The pound fell to $1.9636 from $1.9697 and was poised for its biggest
monthly loss in 2008 after a Nationwide Building Society report showed
the first annual decline in U.K house prices since 1996.The yen gained
as Asian stocks fell for the first time in
four days, prompting traders to pare so-called carry trades.
EUR/USD raded within $1.5550/80.
GBP/USD was bounded in $1.9660/00.
USD/JPY went to a high at Y104.17 before slipping to Y103.90.
European data starts at 0755GMT with the release of German April
employment data which is expected to show a jobless change of -30k with
an unemployment rate steady at 7.8%. Eurozone data at 0900GMT sees the
April economic sentiment index, business climate indicator, flash HICP
and March unemployment rate. Forecasts are for the economic sentiment
index to slip to 99.1, while flash HICP is seen at 3.4% y/y and the
unemployment rate is seen steady at 7.1%. At 1155GMT, ECB President
Jean-Claude Trichet speaks at an award ceremony, in Aachen, Germany.
|
| 30.04 07:45 |
UK PM Gordon Brown reported saying,
- We have got to deal with the house price figures reported today, get liquidity to banks.
- One of the problems is that banks were first big risk takers and now are risk averse.
- Wrong for banks to have had off balance sheet activities.
|
| 30.04 07:36 |
Japan stock market closing:
Japanese stock indices ended Wednesday's session lower across the
board, as the Bank of Japan left monetary policy unchanged.The
benchmark Nikkei 225 was down 44.38 points, or 0.32%, at 1389.9. The
broader-based TOPIX was down 3.10 points at 1358.65.
|
| 30.04 07:30 |
USD/JPY techs:
Resistance 3: Y105.30
Resistance 2: Y104.80
Resistance 1: Y104.30
Current price: Y103.90
Support 1: Y103.20
Support 2:
Y102.60
Support 3: Y102.20
Comments: Dollar is under pressure. The
nearest support is Tuesday low at Y103.20, than go April 22-23 lows at
Y102.60/70 and lower - Y102.20. The nearest resistance is yesterday's
high at Y104.30. Higher comes Y104.80 with more important level at
Y105.30.
|
| 30.04 07:00 |
USD/CHF techs:
Resistance 3:
Chf1.0540
Resistance 2: Chf1.0480
Resistance 1: Chf1.0430 Current price: Chf1.0340
Support 1: Chf1.0300
Support 2: Chf1.0150
Support 3: Chf1.0000
Comments: Dollar drops. The nearest support is Friday’s and Monday's low on
Chf1.0300. Below last Thursday’s low at Chf1.0150 the rate may dip to Chf1.0000.
Strong resistance is around Chf1.0400/30 with a break above will
extend rise up to Chf1.0480. Stronger resistance is near Fibo level on Chf1.0540
(61.8% of Chf1.1110 - Chf0.9640 decline).
|
| 30.04 06:43 |
GBP/USD techs:
Resistance 3: $2.0050
Resistance 2: $1.9960
Resistance 1: $1.9780
Current price: $1.9642
Support 1: $1.9660
Support 2: $1.9600
Support 3: $1.9550 Comments: Pound falls. Break under $1.9660 will open the way to $1.9600 (Apr
15 low) and lower - till $1.9550. The nearest resistance is Monday low
at $1.9780, higher comes $1.9960(Monday high) and than - $2.0050 (April
04 high).
|
| 30.04 06:28 |
EUR/USD techs:
Resistance 3:$1.6020
Resistance 2: $1.5880Resistance 1: $1.5700Current price: $1.5590
Support 1: $1.5540
Support 2: $1.5500
Support 3: $1.5420
Comments: Euro tries to rebound. Resistance is around Friday’s highs at $1.5700. Stronger resistance
is near $1.5880. Key level is around life-time high on $1.6015/20. Support comes
at yesterday's low on $1.5540 with further losses near $1.5500 and below – on $1.5420.
|
| 30.04 06:18 |
BOJ cuts forecast on economy
The BOJ's outlook report says it cuts its FY 08 GDP forecast to
1.5% from 2.1% and forecasts FY08 core CPI at 1.1%. the central bank
says it will tale appropriate policy actions based on the economy. The
BOJ reports noted the central bank cannot set the direction of future
policy now. Additionally, the report warns that the US economy may slow
further and the BOJ must watch future moves. The central bank also says
stimulus from easy policy to grow as economy recovers. The BOJ again
warns that higher inflation may hurt Japan's economy.
|
| 30.04 06:07 |
Major European bourses are seen mixed in initial trade Wednesday. UK FTSE down 8, the CAC up 10, the DAX up 13 and the Eurostoxx 50 up 5. |
| 30.04 06:00 |
UK: NationwideApr House Prices Down 1.1% m/m; Down 1.0% y/y |
| 30.04 05:42 |
Japan industrial production fell sharply
Japan's industrial output fell a seasonally adjusted 3.1 percent in
March from February, as companies cut production due to rising
inventories amid slowing demand from the United States, government data
showed Wednesday.
The fall was much deeper than the 0.7 percent decline economists were
expecting. In February, industrial output rose 1.6 percent, sending the
industrial production index to a record 110.2.Industrial output dropped
0.4 percent in March from the year earlier, following a 5.1 percent
rise in February.
The Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry said a poll of private
sector companies showed that industrial output is expected to decline
0.3 percent in April from March, but to rise 3.4 percent in May.The
ministry is sticking with its view that the overall trend is flat.
|
| 30.04 05:27 |
Daily History for April 29, 2008
High Low Close
EUR/USD 1.5657, 1.5539, 1.5562
USD/JPY 104.34, 103.20, 104.06
GBP/USD 1.9911, 1.9666, 1.9695
USD/CHF 1.0396, 1.0315, 1.0377
EUR/JPY 163.21, 161.11, 161.99
EUR/GBP 0.7918, 0.7827, 0.7900
GBP/JPY 207.56, 203.46, 204.99
GBP/CHF 2.0657, 2.0337, 2.0441
Change % Change Last
FTSE 100 -1.00 -0.02% 6,089.40
CAC 40 -35.65 -0.71% 4,977.10
Xetra Dax -39.99 -0.58% 6,885.34
DOW -39.08 -0.30% 12,832.67
NASDAQ +1.70 +0.07% 2,426.10
S&P 500 -5.37 -0.38% 1,391.00
10yr Note -0.1000 -0.026% 3.825%
NYMEX Crude Oil -3.12 -2.63% 115.63
Gold -18.70 -2.09% 876.80
|
| 30.04 05:05 |
Japan's housing starts fell 15.6% on year in March |
| 30.04 05:04 |
Schedule for today, Wednesday, April 30, 2008
05:00 Japan Housing starts (March) Y/Y -5.0%
05:00 Japan Construction orders (March) Y/Y 18.4%
07:55 Germany Unemployment rate (April) seasonally adjusted 7.8% 7.8%
07:55 Germany Unemployment (April) seasonally unadjusted, mln 3.507
07:55 Germany Unemployment rate (April) seasonally unadjusted 8.4%
07:55 Germany Unemployment (April) seasonally adjusted -30K +57К
07:55 Germany Unemployment (April) seasonally adjusted, mln 3.285
09:00 Е15 Economic sentiment index (April) 99.1 99.6
09:00 Е15 Business climate indicator (April) 0.80
09:00 Е15 Harmonized CPI (April) Y/Y preliminary 3.4% 3.5%
09:00 Е15 Unemployment (March) 7.1% 7.1%
12:15 USA ADP employment (April) 8K
12:30 USA GDP (Q1) advance Y/Y 0.4% 0.6%
12:30 USA PCE price index (Q1) advance 3.9%
12:30 USA PCE price index ex food, energy (Q1) advance 2.5%
12:30 USA Employment cost index (Q1) 0.8% 0.8%
12:30 Canada Gross Domestic Product (YoY) (Feb) 2.2%
13:45 USA Chicago PMI (April) 49.0 48.2
18:15 USA FOMC meeting announcement 2.00% 2.25%
|
| 30.04 05:04 |
Japan's construction orders rose 6.4% |