|
|
| 29.07 19:42 |
CRUDE OIL: Ending the NYMEX floor session around $121.85, down 2,3% |
| 29.07 19:26 |
Hot Stocks: BP p.l.c., Sony Corp
The telecoms giant Alcatel-Lucent said its chairman and chief executive will both step down after its sixth straight quarterly loss.
The oil producer BP p.l.c. reported a surge in quarterly profit and sales, which were boosted by the soaring cost of oil.
Sony Corp, the world's second-largest consumer-electronics maker
said its quarterly profit fell by nearly 50% citing a strong yen and
price competition in its electronics sector.
Cognex Corp, the maker of industrial cameras used to detect
manufacturing defects reported third-quarter sales and profit forecasts
below analysts' estimates.
|
| 29.07 18:57 |
Dow +188.89 at 11319.97, Nasdaq +49.53 at 2313.75, S&P +20.03 at 1254.40
The stock market has made its way to a new session high. The session's
tone has been largely influenced by the financial sector, which is up
4.5% currently.
The strongest names in the financial sector include big banks and money centers like Bank of America (+2.05) and JPMorgan Chase (+1.69).
|
| 29.07 18:35 |
American focus: Dollar rises to one-month high as Confidence Gains, Oil falls [M]
  
The dollar advanced to a one-month high versus the euro and the yen as
U.S. consumer confidence increased and crude oil prices dropped,
reducing concern the economy may fall into a recession.
``The sentiment for the dollar is pretty positive,'' said Thomas
Benfer, vice president of foreign exchange in New York at Bank of
Montreal. ``Certainly the confidence number surprised the market. There
may be light at the end of the tunnel.''
Sterling weakened 0.6 percent to $1.9813 after the Confederation of
British Industry said its survey of 82 retailers showed 25 percent sold
more goods than a year earlier and 61 percent sold fewer. The net
rounded balance of minus 36 percentage points was the lowest since the
survey began in 1983.
The yen declined earlier against the dollar after government reports
showed Japan's unemployment rate rose in June to 4.1 percent, the
highest level in almost two years, and household spending fell, adding
to signs the economy's longest postwar expansion may be ending.
``At this stage, bad news in the U.S. will be translated to bad news
elsewhere,'' said Alan Ruskin, head of international currency strategy
in North America at RBS Greenwich Capital Markets Inc. in Greenwich,
Connecticut. ``It provides some cushion to the dollar.''
The Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback against the currencies of
six U.S. trading partners, reached as high as 73.322 today, the
strongest since June 25. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index increased
1.2 percent.
Crude oil for September delivery dropped as much as 3.5 percent to
$120.42 a barrel. The euro-dollar exchange rate and oil have moved in
the same direction 90 percent of the time during the past year,
according to Bloomberg calculations based on the correlation of their
value changes.
The New York-based Conference Board's U.S. consumer confidence index
rose this month to 51.9, higher than forecast, from a revised 51 in
June, the lowest since February 1992.
|
| 29.07 17:46 |
Dow +172.09 at 11304.74, Nasdaq +47.95 at 2312.22, S&P +18.30 at 1252.67
Stocks trade near their recently reached session high. The market's
advance is broad-based, although financials are posting the largest
gain (+4.0%).
Within the sector, only two of 88 stocks are posting a loss. Merrill
Lynch (-0.23) is down 1.0% after announcing more write-downs and a
capital raise, although it has recovered from its multi-year low of
$22.00 that was hit in the early-going.
Meanwhile, insurer XL Capital (-1.21) is down 6.6% on word that it is
paying bond insurer Security Capital Assurance (+0.385) $1.8 billion,
which will eliminate XL's exposure to SCA (XL holds 40% of SCA). In
order to fund the transaction, XL is raising $2.5 billion in capital at
$16 per share.
|
| 29.07 17:26 |
RDQ Economics about Consumer confidence
"Although consumer confidence was above expectations, the essential
message of this report is unchanged. The report has a strong
stagflationary feel to it."
|
| 29.07 17:01 |
Stocks surge on Merrill, oil, consumers
Dow soars by more than 125 points on encouraging news from Merrill
Lynch and a surprise rise in consumer confidence. Oil prices tumble,
adding to rally.
Wall Street got an early boost Tuesday, with the Dow surging more than
125 points on plunging oil prices and on new hopes that the banking
sector can pull itself out of the credit crisis.
A key measure of consumer confidence showed a surprise gain, also helping to boost stocks.
Stocks advanced at the open after investment bank Merrill Lynch said
late Monday it would take a $5.7 billion writedown and sell off $11.1
billion in mortgage securities in the current quarter. The brokerage
also said it plans to raise $8.5 billion through the issuance of new
stock.
The market then continued its gains as oil prices fell further. Crude
prices fell $3.15 to $121.58 per barrel Tuesday after OPEC president
Chakib Khelil said oil was overpriced and will soon sink to $70 a
barrel.
Consumer confidence got a surprise boost in July, according to the
Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index released Tuesday. The
index rose nearly a point after falling in the previous six months.
Analysts anticipated the index to fall again by 0.4 points.
The financial sector has seesawed in the past couple weeks. After many
banks' quarterly financial reports came in better than expected,
financials showed strong gains for several days. The sector began to
sink toward the end of last week, however, as some dour economic news
renewed fears that the credit crisis will not end anytime soon.
But after Merrill reported its move to shed its risky assets late
Monday, financials rebounded, as investors hoped banks are positioning
themselves to get out of the mess that the mortgage meltdown left them
in.
Shares of Merrill still fell 6% on the news, but shares of most other banks advanced.
British oil company BP reported a 28% rise in quarterly profit Tuesday, boosted by high crude oil prices.
COMEX gold for August delivery fell $11.90 to at $916.80 an ounce after
fluctuating above and below the break even point for much of the day.
Treasury prices fell Tuesday, sending the yield on the benchmark
10-year note up to 4.08% from 4.01% late Monday. Bond prices and yields
move in opposite directions.
|
| 29.07 16:43 |
EUR/USD:
Low now at $1.5586 but order books getting pretty thin down here, traders says. Stops perhaps a risk sub $1.5560, one says.
|
| 29.07 16:16 |
Dow +133.12 at 11264.20, Nasdaq +47.46 at 2312.23, S&P +14.34 at 1248.98
The major indices climb to new highs, as investors remain encouraged by
several better-than-expected earnings results and a steep drop in crude
prices.
Crude prices extend their decline, now down 3.1% to $120.83 per
barrel. Crude prices have dropped 22% since July 11, although they are
still up 44% since last August.
|
| 29.07 16:05 |
Insight Economics about US data
Steven Wood at Insight Economics says confidence improved slightly in
July, "probably due to the recent drop in gasoline prices.
Nevertheless, the index is just above its lowest level since early 1992
and probably does not point to growth."
|
| 29.07 15:42 |
CRUDE OIL: Slide extends, is down $4.06 at $120.66 |
| 29.07 15:27 |
Dow +99.57 at 11237.82, Nasdaq +31.69 at 2295.01, S&P +10.69 at 1245.64
Better-than-expected earnings reports help the stock market extend its gains, overshadowing investor disappointment regarding Merrill Lynch's
(-1.12) latest batch of write-downs and capital raises. Stocks get an
added boost from an encouraging consumer confidence reading.
The Conference Board said that consumer confidence rose roughly 2% to
51.9 in July, compared to the consensus estimate of 50.1. This marks
the first increase in confidence since December.
Steel stocks (+9%) are soaring this session after U.S. Steel
(+20.66) blew past Wall Street's earnings estimate. Substantial steel
price increases outpaced increased input costs. The company earned
$5.65 per share, which was well ahead of the $2.91 consensus.
Colgate Palmolive (+3.94) is up nearly 6% after posting second
quarter earnings per share of $0.98. The result marks a 17%
year-over-year increase and tops the consensus estimate by four cents.
|
| 29.07 15:15 |
EUR/USD Losses extend to below $1.5665
Losses extend to below $1.5665 area as morning US data delivers upside
surprise and as crude oil tumbles further. Area of $1.5615/25 holds
some bids and tech support.
|
| 29.07 15:00 |
US Consumer confidence (July) 51.9 |
| 29.07 14:47 |
OPTIONS: Expiries of note for today's 1400GMT cut,
EUR/USD: $1.5950,
$1.5800, $1.5680
USD/JPY: Y107.80,
Y107.65, Y107.35, Y107.00
GBP/USD: $2.0000
|
| 29.07 14:35 |
US Stocks Open: DJIA +48.36, Nadaq +17.90, S&P +6.71 |
| 29.07 14:27 |
Before the bell: futures suggest a modestly higher open
Futures have a muted response to an in-line home price reading (S&P futures +5.7, Nasdaq futures +10.5). In deal news, Fording Coal is selling all of its assets to Teck
Cominco, with unit holders to receive $14.1 billion. In overseas
earnings, French telecommunication giant Alcatel-Lucent reported an unexpected second quarter loss, and announced that its CEO is stepping down. Sony reported
a 47% drop in net profit from the prior year due to intense
competition, although the results topped expectations. The company
issued downside revenue guidance for fiscal year 2008.
U.S. Steel is up 5.6% in premarket trading after reporting
second quarter of $5.65 per share, easily beating the $2.91 consensus.
The company benefited from substantial price increases that outpaced
increases in input costs.
In earnings news, Amgen topped expectations by $0.12, and raised its fiscal year 2008 earnings guidance. Waste Management , Teva Pharmaceuticals and Valero Energy also reported earnings that topped estimates.
|
| 29.07 13:56 |
US Redbook
Redbook reports firmer sales, says "Retailers continue to focus on
clearing summer goods and bringing in back-to-school merchandise. The
heat waves also have fueled demand for remaining inventories of hot
weather items, from air conditioners to summer apparel. Meanwhile,
Hurricane Dolly brought increases in sales."
Year-over-year: Week (w/e 07/26/08 vs year-ago) 2.9%
Year-over-year: Month (July 2008 vs July 2007) 2.7%
Month-over-month: (July 2008 vs June 2008) 1.2%
|
| 29.07 13:35 |
Germany CPI (July) preliminary Y/Y 3,3% |
| 29.07 13:35 |
Germany HICP (July) preliminary Y/Y 3,4% |
| 29.07 13:31 |
Germany CPI (July) preliminary 0,6% |
| 29.07 13:09 |
European session: Dollar awaits for US housing data [M]
The following data were issued
06:40 France
Consumer confidence (July) -48 -45 -46
06:45 France PPI (June) 0.7% 0.8% 1.3%
06:45 France PPI (June) Y/Y 7.3% 7.4% 6.7%
08:30 UK M4
money supply (June) final 1.8% 2.0% 2.0%
08:30 UK M4
money supply (June) final Y/Y 11.4% 11.5% 11.5%
08:30 UK M4
lending (June) final, bln +46.1 +45.9 +45.9
08:30 UK
Consumer credit (June), bln +0.9
+1.1 +1.3 (+1.4)
10:00 UK CBI
retail sales volume balance (July) -36% -15% -9%
The dollar retreated a bit from a one-week
low against the euro, but holds under pressure on speculation an
industry report today will show the U.S. housing slump deepened, increasing the
risk credit-market losses will widen.
Signs of a
weakening economy may deter the Federal Reserve from increasing borrowing
costs, diminishing the allure of dollar-denominated assets.
The pound dropped sharply in value
against other currencies after a survey by the Confederation of British
Industry showed UK
high street sales are falling off the charts.
In its distributive
trades survey, the CBI said the balance of retail sales came of -36% (the
lowest reading since the survey began in July 1983) versus June's -9%. Analysts
had expected a more modest fall to -15%.
EUR/USD opened in early Europe
around $1.5749. The rally was capped at $1.5759, with the rate again easing
back under $1.5730, ending the morning holding around $1.5735. Stops under
$1.5725, bids $1.5700, $1.5680, offers $1.5760, $1.5785.
GBP/USD opened early Europe
at $1.9949. Cable slipped to session lows under $1.9900 amid weak CBI report. Early
US
trade opened with cable extending lows under $1.9880.
USD/JPY opened in early Europe
around Y107.42. Rate then able to break above Y107.70 ahead of the US open. Strong
offers Y108.10/20, Y108.40/60, stops above, bids Y107.30/20.
At В 14:00 GMT the focus will be on US consumer
confidence data. Analysts predict index rose to 50,4 in July after 50,1 month
earlier.
|
| 29.07 12:56 |
Rabobank is pessimistic on euro
“The euro
zone economy's outlook has really become more bleak,” said Jan Lambregts at
Rabobank International. “Ultimately, that means the upside for the euro-dollar
is becoming more capped at the moment.” Rabobank forecasts the euro will
decline to $1.55 by the end of this year.
|
| 29.07 12:14 |
EU stocks decline
European equities
remain weak, with the FTSE 100 down 0.54%, the Dax off 0.94% and the Cac in Paris off 1.27%.
|
| 29.07 12:03 |
European focus: Pound slumps after survey shows UK retail sales plummeting [M]
The pound dropped sharply in value against other currencies after a survey by the Confederation of British Industry showed UK high street sales are falling off the charts. In its distributive trades survey, the CBI said the balance of retail sales came of -36% (the lowest reading since the survey began in July 1983) versus June's -9%. Analysts had expected a more modest fall to -15%. "The survey... significantly bolsters the case for the Bank of England to hold off from raising interest rates despite current elevated inflation levels and risks," said Howard Archer at Global Insight. "Indeed, it very much boosts the case for the next move in interest rates to be down," he added. Euro weakens as a French government report today showed consumer confidence fell to a record 21-years low in July (-48).
|
| 29.07 11:49 |
USD/JPY techs:
Resistance 3: Y109.70 Resistance 2: Y108.10 Resistance 1: Y107.70 Current price: Y107.64 Support 1: Y107.20 Support 2: Y106.50 Support 3: Y106.00 Comments: Dollar tests minor resistance is around Y107.70, above – on Y108.10 (Monday’s high). Stronger level is around upper bound of the channel from the middle of July on Y109.70. Strong support comes at channel support line from Jul 16 at Y107.20 with a break under will accelerate losses to Y106.50 (Friday’s lows), then – to Y106.00.
|
| 29.07 11:41 |
USD/CHF techs:
Resistance 3: Chf1.0520 Resistance 2: Chf1.0470 Resistance 1: Chf1.0400 Current price: Chf1.0343 Support 1: Chf1.0270 Support 2: Chf1.0180 Support 3: Chf1.0140 Comments: Dollar tries to rebound with resistance still comes near Friday’s high on Chf1.0400/10. Break above will target channel line from Jul 15 on Chf1.0470 and then – to Jun highs on Chf1.0520/30. Strong support is near lower bound of the channel on Chf1.0270. Below correction may extend to Chf1.0180 and stronger support on Chf1.0140 (last Tuesday’s low).
|
| 29.07 11:12 |
GBP/USD falls
GBP/USD
war dragged down by the weak UK CBI data, challenging session lows on $1.9900. Small
bids were mentioned there with stronger obes into $1.9860.
|
| 29.07 11:01 |
UK CBI retail sales volume balance (July) -36% versus -9% in June |
| 29.07 10:52 |
GBP/USD techs:
Resistance 3: $2.0130 Resistance 2: $2.0000 Resistance 1: $1.9970 Current price: $1.9947 Support 1: $1.9900 Support 2: $1.9840 Support 3: $1.9800 Comments: Pound tries to recover with minor resistance comes at session high on $1.9970. Above the rise may extend to $2.0000/05 (channel line). Strong level is near $2.0130 (Jul 15 high). Support remains at 50% Fibo on $1.9900 (of yesterday’s rise). Below losses may extend to $1.9840 (Monday’s low). Stronger level comes around channel support line from Jul 15 on $1.9800.
|
| 29.07 10:40 |
EUR/USD techs:
Resistance 3:$1.5940 Resistance 2: $1.5850 Resistance 1: $1.5760 Current price: $1.5735 Support 1: $1.5720 Support 2: $1.5660 Support 3: $1.5590 Comments: Euro tested yesterday’s high on $1.5760/70, but failed to extend that move. Meanwhile, a break above will open the way to channel resistance line from Jul 15 at $1.5850 and then – to $1.5940 (last Tuesday’s high). Support comes at 5-days channel support line on $1.5720, below – at $1.5660. Stronger level is around lower bound of the channel on $1.5590.
|
| 29.07 10:22 |
OPTIONS: Expiries of note for today's 1400GMT cut,
EUR/USD: $1.5950, $1.5800, $1.5680 USD/JPY: Y107.80, Y107.65, Y107.35, Y107.00 GBP/USD: $2.0000
|
| 29.07 10:07 |
Credit Suisse notes Q2 GDP data will contain historical revisions
"We have no explicit forecast about which direction the benchmark
revisions will take, although it is natural to assume that periods of economic
weakness are prone to downward revisions. Various data points, including the
Index of Coincident Indicators and income side measures of GDP, point to a
weaker run rate for the economy than the last few quarters of GDP data might
suggest."
|
| 29.07 09:55 |
Orders:
EUR Bids: $1.5700, $1.5680 Offers: $1.5785

JPY Bids: Y107.20 Offers: Y107.65, Y108.00/10
 GBP Bids: $1.9925/20, $1.9860, $1.9840 Offers: $1.9980, $2.0000

|
| 29.07 09:39 |
UK: June Net Consumer Credit Up Stg872 mln |
| 29.07 09:38 |
UK: June House Purchase Approvals 36,000 Vs 42,000 May |
| 29.07 09:17 |
Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc ahead of US GDP report
“Any dollar gains
after the GDP report are likely to prove temporary,” said Masafumi Yamamoto at
Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc. “Growth due to fiscal stimulus is a one-off
that will fade away in the second half of the year.”
|
| 29.07 09:07 |
Asian session: Dollar trades near 1-week low against Euro before housing data [M]
The dollar traded near a one-week
low against the euro on speculation an industry report today will show
the U.S. housing slump deepened, increasing the risk credit-market losses will
widen. Signs of a
weakening economy may deter the Federal Reserve from increasing borrowing
costs, diminishing the allure of dollar-denominated assets. The greenback snapped a five-day
advance versus Canada's
dollar after the International Monetary Fund said there's no end in sight to
the U.S.
housing recession. Gains in the euro may be limited as a French government report today showed
consumer confidence fell to a record 21-years low in July (-48).
EUR/USD consolidated within the
$1.5740/55 range before sliding to $1.5725. Later euro rebounded to session highs
before pressure resumed.
GBP/USD rose to $1.9968, but
offers ahead of $1.9980 capped the rise and pound retreated to $1.9931.

USD/JPY held within the Y107.30/45
zone before rising to Y107.63.
In Europe attention will be on
inflation data from Germany. At 10:00
GMT CBI retail volume balance is due to come. At В 14:00 GMT the focus will be on US consumer
confidence data. Analysts predict index rose to 50,4 in July after 50,1 month
earlier.
|
| 29.07 08:43 |
Japan stocks closed lower
Japan's
benchmark stock indices ended the day sharply lower, although off the day's
worst levels. The benchmark Nikkei 225 was last 194.33 points, or 1.46%, at
13159.45. The broader-based TOPIX was down 19.15 points at 1281.64.
|
| 29.07 08:34 |
Stock market: Monday summary
Stock market fixing: Nikkei 225 +19.02 +0.1%
13,353.78
Topix +2.51 +0.2% 1,300.79
DAX 30 -85.56 -1.33% 6,351.15
САС 40 -52.73
-1.20% 4,324.45
FTSE 100 -40.00 -0.75% 5,312.60
Dow -239.61 -2.11% 11,131.08
Nasdaq -46.31 -2.00% 2,264.22
S&P -23.39 -1.86% 1,234.37
10YR -0.9300 -0.226% 4.018%
NYMEX Crude Oil +1.47 +1.19% 124.73
Gold +0.90 +0.10% 937.80
Japan's Nikkei 225 Stock Average rose after
Yahoo Japan Corp. said profit grew and commodities producers climbed on an
increase in metals prices. Carmakers dropped after Honda Motor Co. cut its full-year
earnings target. Yahoo Japan, operator
of the nation's most visited Web site, climbed to a two-week high, while Mitsui
& Co. led a gain by trading houses. Honda, the nation's second-largest
automaker, posted its biggest drop in a month. Advantest Corp., the world's
biggest maker of memory-chip testers, fell the most in more than four months
after forecasting a loss. Yahoo Japan said net
income rose 18 percent in the three months to June 30, the fastest quarterly
gain since June 2007, on increased revenue from online advertising. The shares
jumped 4.3%, the highest since July 10. NTT DoCoMo
Inc. rose 2.3%, while its parent Nippon Telegraph & Telephone Corp. jumped
3.1%. Mitsui
surged 5.7%, making it the biggest winner on the Nikkei. Larger rival
Mitsubishi Corp. added 2.6%. Honda lost
2.9%, the sharpest drop since June 19. The company cut its full-year target for
operating profit by 3.1% because of higher material costs and lower vehicle
sales.
European stocks fell for a third day, led by
banks and airlines, as concern deepened that credit losses and the economic
slowdown will hurt earnings. HBOS Plc
and UBS AG retreated after Australia & New Zealand Banking Group Ltd.
forecast its steepest full-year profit drop since 1992 as bad loans swell.
Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria SA dropped after a surge in loan defaults cut
earnings. Ryanair Holdings Plc, Europe's
largest discount airline, slumped 23% after predicting its first full-year loss
since going public in 1997 on higher fuel costs. British Airways Plc and
Deutsche Lufthansa AG also declined. HBOS
tumbled 7.3%. UBS slid 5.5%. Deutsche Bank AG fell 2%. ANZ's
earnings per share excluding income from derivatives trading will decline 20% to
25% in the 12 months to Sept. 30. Chief Executive Officer Mike Smith said the
company tripled provisions for delinquent loans from a year earlier. Royal Bank
of Scotland Group Plc sank 4.1%. Lloyds TSB fell 3.9%. Lufthansa
retreated 3%. Europe's second-biggest airline's operations at Frankfurt and Hamburg face disruption
today as its employees begin a walkout over pay. BHP
Billiton Ltd., the world's largest mining company, increased 4.4%. Cheuvreux
raised its recommendation to ``outperform'' from `underperform'' before the
company reports full-year results on Aug. 18.
Stocks on Wall Street slipped Monday as investors feared that the ongoing credit
crisis would dampen an economic recovery.
 Shares of government-backed mortgage finance giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac
turned higher in the early going after the Senate approved a bill on Saturday
that could establish a rescue plan for the embattled firms. The bill would also
provide up to $300 billion in loans for troubled homeowners. The House passed
the bill on Wednesday, and President Bush is expected to sign it soon.
Verizon reported quarterly
earnings grew 12%, beating Wall Street analysts' forecasts. The company said
that profits were boosted by growing wireless operations, despite more
customers shifting away from land lines. Kraft
Foods said its
quarterly profit rose 4%, which surpassed analysts' expectations. The company's
earnings were helped by raising prices to offset higher commodity costs. Japanese automaker Toyotaannounced Monday it has cut its
global sales and output targets by 350,000 vehicles for 2008 amid the slumping
North American market.
Drugmaker Amgen, which is set to
report its quarterly results after the market's close, reported a positive
study of its experimental osteoporosis drug called denosumab.
|
| 29.07 08:14 |
FOREX. Monday summary
The dollar fell from near a three- week high against the euro as concern U.S. financial company losses will
widen led traders to reduce bets that the Federal Reserve will increase
borrowing costs in September.
The currency dropped for a second day as Minneapolis Fed President Gary Stern
told the Financial Times that the U.S. credit crunch will get worse.
The dollar declined even afterCongress passed legislation to prop up Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the two
largest providers of U.S.
mortgage financing. The U.S. Congress sent to the president legislation to stem
foreclosures for 400,000 homeowners and aid Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, its
most sweeping effort to halt the biggest housing slump since the Great
Depression in the 1930s. The dollar depreciated to an all-time low of $1.6038 per euro on July 15 on concern financial losses and
record oil prices may prolong the economic slowdown in the U.S.
The dollar may stay under pressure
on speculation that declines in home
prices and employment will make it difficult for the Federal Reserve to raise
interest rates. Analysts predict home prices fell by 16% in May from a year
ago, the most on record. U.S.
nonfarm payrolls fell by 75,000
in July, following a decline of 62,000 in June, according
to a separate survey of economists. Futures traded on the Chicago Board
of Trade showed a 37% chance the Fed will increase its 2% target rate for
overnight lending between banks by at least a quarter- percentage point by
Sept. 16, compared with 43% odds on July 25.
EUR/USD was capped within the $1.5700/20 range
before moved to fresh highs for the day near $1.5764 and retreated. GBP/USD slept to fresh lows for the day
around $1.9842 and then the move ran out of steam. Later rate recovered back to
$1.9870. Triggered stops and offers thought $1.9890/00 zone, pound tested
$1.9960. USD/JPY fell from Y107.58 before recovering
to Y107.75. Later rate set stable within the Y107.20/50 range.
In Europe attention will be on
inflation data from France
and Germany. At 10:00
GMT CBI retail volume balance is due to come. At В 14:00 GMT the focus will be on US consumer
confidence data. Analysts predict index rose to 50,4 in July after 50,1 month
earlier.
|
| 29.07 07:46 |
FRANCE: June PPI +0.7% m/m, +7.3% y/y |
| 29.07 07:46 |
FRANCE: July consumer morale drops 2 pts to new 21-year low of -48 |
| 29.07 07:41 |
USD/JPY techs:
Resistance 3: Y109.70 Resistance 2: Y108.10 Resistance 1: Y107.70 Current price: Y107.54 Support 1: Y107.20 Support 2: Y106.50 Support 3: Y106.00 Comments: Dollar holds above the channel support line from Jul 16 at Y107.20 with a break under will accelerate losses to Y106.50 (Friday’s lows), then – to Y106.00. Minor resistance is around Y107.70, above – on Y108.10 (Monday’s high). Stronger level is around upper bound of the channel from the middle of July on Y109.70.
|
| 29.07 07:27 |
USD/CHF techs:
Resistance 3: Chf1.0520 Resistance 2: Chf1.0470 Resistance 1: Chf1.0400 Current price: Chf1.0346 Support 1: Chf1.0270 Support 2: Chf1.0180 Support 3: Chf1.0140 Comments: Dollar tries to rebound with resistance comes near Friday’s high on Chf1.0400/10. Break above will target channel line from Jul 15 on Chf1.0470 and then – to Jun highs on Chf1.0520/30. Strong support is near lower bound of the channel on Chf1.0270. Below correction may extend to Chf1.0180 and stronger support on Chf1.0140 (last Tuesday’s low).
|
| 29.07 07:16 |
GBP/USD techs:
Resistance 3: $2.0130 Resistance 2: $2.0000 Resistance 1: $1.9960 Current price: $1.9937 Support 1: $1.9900 Support 2: $1.9840 Support 3: $1.9800 Comments: Pound retreats with support comes near 50% Fibo on $1.9900 (of yesterday’s rise). Below losses may extend to $1.9840 (Monday’s low). Stronger level comes around channel support line from Jul 15 on $1.9800. Minor resistance comes at yesterday’s high on $1.9960. Above the rise may extend to $2.0000/05 (channel line). Strong level is near $2.0130 (Jul 15 high).
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| 29.07 07:01 |
EUR/USD techs:
Resistance 3:$1.5940 Resistance 2: $1.5850 Resistance 1: $1.5760 Current price: $1.5741 Support 1: $1.5720 Support 2: $1.5660 Support 3: $1.5590 Comments: Euro continues to rangebound within the narrow range. Meanwhile, techs picture hasn’t changed. In general, euro holds within the downward channel from Jul 15, today limited by $1.5590/$1.5850 (support and resistance respectively). Resistance comes near yesterday’s high on $1.5760, with a break above will open the way to $1.5850 and then – to $1.5940 (last Tuesday’s high). Support comes at 5-days channel support line on $1.5720, below – at $1.5660. Stronger level is around lower bound of the channel on $1.5590.
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| 29.07 06:47 |
Major European bourses are seen trading lower Tuesday, extending overnight weakness as Wall St continues lower and Merrill announces fresh capital raising plans: the FTSE 49 lower, the DAX down 41, the CAC down 32 and the Eurostoxx 50 down 30 |
| 29.07 06:37 |
Daily History for July 28, 2008
High Low Close EUR/USD 1.5766 1.5680 1.5738 USD/JPY 108.06 107.32 107.47 GBP/USD 1.9963 1.9838 1.9942 USD/CHF 1.0387 1.0322 1.0343
EUR/JPY 169.71 168.99 169.15 EUR/GBP 0.7930 0.7880 0.7889 GBP/JPY 214.87 213.67 214.35 GBP/CHF 2.0649 2.0529 2.0626
Change % Change Last Nikkei 225 +19.02 +0.1% 13,353.78 Topix +2.51 +0.2% 1,300.79 DAX 30 -85.56 -1.33% 6,351.15 САС 40 -52.73 -1.20% 4,324.45 FTSE 100 -40.00 -0.75% 5,312.60 Dow -239.61 -2.11% 11,131.08 Nasdaq -46.31 -2.00% 2,264.22 S&P -23.39 -1.86% 1,234.37 10YR -0.9300 -0.226% 4.018% NYMEX Crude Oil +1.47 +1.19% 124.73 Gold +0.90 +0.10% 937.80
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| 29.07 06:12 |
Schedule for today, Tuesday, July 29, 2008
06:45 France PPI (June) 0.8% 1.3% 06:45 France PPI (June) Y/Y 7.4% 6.7% 06:45 France Consumer confidence (July) -45 -46 08:30 UK M4 money supply (June) final 2.0% 2.0% 08:30 UK M4 money supply (June) final Y/Y 11.5% 11.5% 08:30 UK M4 lending (June) final, bln +45.9 +45.9 08:30 UK Consumer credit (June), bln +1.1 +1.4 10:00 UK CBI retail sales volume balance (July) -15% -9% 12:55 USA Redbook (26.07) 13:30 Germany CPI (July) preliminary 0.5% 0.3% 13:30 Germany CPI (July) preliminary Y/Y 3.2% 3.3% 13:30 Germany HICP (July) preliminary Y/Y 3.4% 3.4% 14:00 USA Consumer confidence (July) 50.1 50.4 23:50 Japan Industrial output (June) preliminary - 2.8% 23:50 Japan Industrial output (June) preliminary Y/Y - 1.1%
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