| 23.04 18:54 |
Calyon on dollar
Henrik Gullberg, strategist at Calyon: “The Fed will come under renewed focus as we approach the end of the month
and the prospect of yet another rate cut. With the U.S. housing market slump
continuing, and with intervention still no more than a distant threat, this is
unlikely to be an environment favoring a more sustained correction in the
dollar. In other words, upward pressures on euro/dollar are likely to persist.”
|
| 23.04 18:42 |
BOE, Sentance; Not clear how far UK house prices will fall |
| 23.04 18:28 |
BOE, Sentance; Rise in oil and food prices complicates MPC's task, have to make sure 2nd round effects are avoided |
| 23.04 18:20 |
BOE, Sentance; Already seen a significant drop in sterling, sterling quite competitive vs euro now |
| 23.04 18:08 |
EU stocks closed higher Wednesday with the CAC 40 +72.01 points at 4944.65; the FTSE 100 +48.90 points at 6083.60; the DAX +66.73 points at 6795.03 |
| 23.04 17:53 |
GBP/USD tries to rebound
GBP/USD chops around $1.9800 after sliding to
the lows at $1.9775. Demand interest at $1.9750/40 noted earlier.
|
| 23.04 17:42 |
USD/JPY strengthens
USD/JPY rebounds after testing lows around Y103.22.
Rate currently holds near Y103.45/55. Offers ahead of Y103.80/00.
|
| 23.04 17:28 |
Dow +20.84 at 12741.07, Nasdaq +16.90 at 2393.84, S&P 0.00 at 1375.94
The major indices are trending lower, with the S&P 500 giving up nearly all of its gains. Financials (-0.9%) are largely to blame as the sector slips into the red after being up as much as 0.8%. Gold has come under some selling pressure as the dollar holds most of its gains this session. The precious metal is down 2.4% to $900.60 per ounce. It is still up 7.5% this year, but is down 14.8% from its all-time nominal high of $1033 that was reached about one month ago.
|
| 23.04 17:14 |
BOE SENTANCE: Sterling Weakness Unlikely To Be Temporary |
| 23.04 17:01 |
American focus: Euro falls as Juncker says weak Dollar may harm global economy [M]
The euro fell the most against the dollar in more
than three weeks after Luxembourg's Finance Minister Jean-Claude Juncker signaled
concern that the pace of the U.S. currency's decline will hurt economic growth.
The Australian
currency rose to a 24-year high against the dollar after a government report showed inflation
accelerated above 4% for the first time in seven years. The euro rose
yesterday above $1.60
for the first time as ECB governing council member Christian Noyer said policy
makers will ``do what it takes'' to restrain consumer prices. Noyer later told
the Wall Street Journal that interest rate ``movements can go both ways.'' He
said earlier statements had been over-interpreted, according to the newspaper. Policy makers are wary inflation will quicken on a 78% surge in crude oil from a
year ago.
|
| 23.04 16:42 |
Dresdner Kleinwort sees euro decline
“There are clear and significant downward risks for the euro,” said Michael
Klawitter, a currency strategist at Dresdner Kleinwort. “The perception that
the European economy remains resilient seems wrong and Europe's
common currency may drop to $1.53 in three months,” he said.
|
| 23.04 16:22 |
EUR/USD backs to $1.5900
EUR/USD continues to rebound from
session lows near $1.5860 and currently holds at $1.5901.
|
| 23.04 16:12 |
Stocks edge higher
Stocks rose early Wednesday, led by technology, as the market digested a steady stream of corporate
earnings reports. Stocks had closed lower Tuesday as markets responded to oil
prices near $120 a barrel and discouraging profit forecasts from DuPont and
Texas Instruments.
Internet search engine Yahoo reported stronger-than-expected
first-quarter earnings after the closing bell Tuesday. Yahoo shares fell more
than 1%.
Technology stocks remain in focus Wednesday with tech heavyweights Apple
and Amazon.com due to report after the closing bell.
Privately held insurance company Liberty Mutual has offered about $ 6.2
billion to buy Safeco Corp. The deal, which represents a 51% premium to
Safeco's closing price on Tuesday, would create the country's fifth-largest
property and casualty insurer. Safeco's stock rose more than 46%.
UPS reported
a 7.5% increase in first-quarter profit but warned that it expects the U.S.
economy to remain weak during the second quarter.
Bond insurer Ambac Financial Group reported a $1.66 billion first-quarter loss
on hefty charges related to mortgage-backed bonds. Shares fell more than 27%.
On the bright side, Boeing said profit rose 38% in the
first quarter to $1.2 billion. Boeing shares were up nearly 3%.
Drugmaker Schering-Plough said first-quarter earnings fell 48%. The company's
results were hindered by a $23 million charge related to an acquisition and
$688 million in accounting adjustments.
U.S. light crude oil for June delivery fell to $116.90 a barrel after a government report
showed a larger than expected drop in gasoline supplies and a more than
expected gain in crude inventories. On Tuesday, oil hit an all-time trading
high of $119.90 a barrel.
|
| 23.04 15:57 |
EUR/JPY looks optimistic
EUR/JPY continues to rebound, holding
around Y164.65, but below overnight highs at Y164.98. Earlier rate printed low
on Y163.80.
|
| 23.04 15:21 |
Bank of America Corp. cuts its forecasts for the dollar
Bank of America Corp. lowered its forecasts for the dollar as it expects the
Federal Reserve to cut the benchmark interest rate to 1.5% by the end of
August. The bank predicted the currency will trade at $1.52 per euro by Sept.
30, compared with a previous estimate of $1.50. Against the pound, the U.S.
currency will trade at $1.94 versus $1.91, the bank said.
|
| 23.04 15:02 |
Canada Finmin: Room for more BOC rate cuts
1.G7 statement hasn't affected mkts 2.G7 didn't discuss intervention
|
| 23.04 14:51 |
Oil rises
WTI Nymex crude oil is moderately higher following release of US weekly DoE inventory data, which showed gasoline and distillate supplies falling more than expected. WTI Nymex crude oil is now at $117.87 a barrel.
|
| 23.04 14:30 |
US EIA oil data for Apr 18 wk: commercial crude oil inventories increased by 2.4 million barrels from the previous week to 316.1 million barrels |
| 23.04 14:27 |
Attention in the oil market turns to the US DoE weekly inventory data at 1430GMT, where analysts look for crude oil supplies to show a seasonable build of around 1.5mln barrels in the week ended April 18. |
| 23.04 14:12 |
EUR/USD slips:
Slides to $1.5870/80 area now as earlier reported stops flush out under
$1.5900, those sellers said to be relatively short-term accounts for
the most part. Euro has been weighed by a series of factors today, euro
sales by quality names, perhaps official, earlier in the day, and then
by rumors of subprime losses affecting a German bank, and more recently
by a weak BNB business survey which may have implications for the
Thursday Ifo report, a trader says. Another trader eyeing support in
the pair around $1.5845/55 area, and the Tues low at $1.5830 area also
offers that potential.
|
| 23.04 13:56 |
OPTIONS: Expiries of note for today's 1400GMT cut,
EUR/USD: $1.6000
USD/JPY: Y103.50
EUR/JPY: Y160.50
AUS/USD: $0.9395, $0.9315
|
| 23.04 13:36 |
US Stocks Open Higher; DJIA Up 24; Nasdaq Up 14 |
| 23.04 13:26 |
GBP/USD breaks below $1.9800, with reported stops below $1.9795 currently being pressured. Next level of reported demand seen placed around $1.9780, with stronger interest noted between $1.9750/40. |
| 23.04 13:20 |
Before the bell: mstocks will fight for gains
Stocks were poised for a mixed open Wednesday as investors weighed a
flurry of corporate earnings news including bigger-than-expected losses
from both Delta Air Lines and the bond insurer Ambac.
Less than an hour before the start of trading, S&P futures were
lower while Nasdaq futures were higher, suggesting a negative start for
stocks.
In focus for investors was a devastating loss by Delta. The airline
blamed exorbitant fuel prices for its massive first-quarter loss of
$6.4 billion.
Ambac Financial Group (ABK) also reported a $1.66 billion loss, as it
stopped underwriting risky bonds. The bond insurer grabbed headlines
earlier this year after rating agencies threatened to strip the company
of its sterling AAA rating, which could have sparked another wave of
devastating writedowns at the nation's largest financial firms.
Offsetting that negative news were better-than-expected results from
planemaker Boeing which earned $1.2 billion in the first quarter.
Investors will be keeping a close eye on tech sector once again
Wednesday after Yahoo reported solid profit and sales that topped Wall
Street's estimates just a day earlier. Both Apple and Amazon.com are
due to report after the closing bell.
While Yahoo's results were strong, the company has until Saturday to
accept Microsoft's takeover offer or face a proxy fight. It remains
unclear whether Microsoft will be swayed to raise its offer. If it
doesn't, the takeover battle could turn ugly.
|
| 23.04 12:52 |
GM reporting Q1 auto sales of 2.25 mn vehicles worldwide, says strong sales in Europe, Russia and Asia-Pacific/Lat-Am offset a 10% decline in US sales. |
| 23.04 12:43 |
USD/CAD lifts after weak canadian retail sales:
Dollar spikes up from around C$1.0135 to C$1.0175, as Canadian retail
sales data comes in weaker than expected. Offers have been reported in
place to C$1.0180, with further interest positioned on the approach to
C$1.0200. A break above this latter level to open a move on toward
C$1.0230. Bids C$1.0100, more at C$1.0085/80.
|
| 23.04 12:32 |
CANADA: Feb retail sales -0.7% m/m vs Jan +1.4% (revised +1.5%) |
| 23.04 12:31 |
CANADA:Feb retail sales ex-autos -0.3% m/m |
| 23.04 12:24 |
European session: the picture is steady
the next data was issued
08:00 EU(15) PMI (April) flash 50.8 52.0
08:00 EU(15) PMI services (April) flash 51.8 51.7
08:30 UK BoE meeting minutes (09-10.04)
09:00 EU(15) Industrial orders (February) 0.6% 2.0%
09:00 EU(15) Industrial orders (February) Y/Y 9.9% 7.3%
The euro fell against the dollar after Luxembourg's
Finance Minister Jean-Claude Juncker signaled concern over the U.S.
currency's decline saying he didn't like ``the way things are developing'' in the
foreign-exchange markets.
The British pound pared earlier declines against the dollar and erased
them versus the euro after the minutes of the Bank of England's last
policy meeting showed two of the nine policy makers voted against
cutting the benchmark interest rate to 5 percent this month.
The 15-nation European currency earlier strengthened against the dollar
after an industry report showed growth in Europe's service industries
unexpectedly accelerated in April, giving the European Central Bank
more reason to keep interest rates on hold.
EUR/USD:Euro-dollar
opened in Europe coming back to test the NY/Asia lows, stops triggered
through here and on the break of $1.5950 as two major US names sold.
Rate then found good demand to buy the dip at $1.5940, with one of
those US names cited for buying a good chunk back, lifting the pair
back above $1.5990. Rate eased back from here to end the morning around
$1.5965. Small offers $1.6010, stronger $1.6020, stops $1.6025, bids
$1.5940
GBP/USD: Opened early
Europe at $1.9942. Sterling came under further pressure in early
Europe, sales taking cable below $1.9900 before meeting decent support
around $1.9870, . Cable recovered to $1.9920 ahead of BOE Minutes but
dropped to $1.9895 into the release, spiking on the surprise 2-6-1
split to $1.9973 on second wave buys. Cable eased off highs, eventually
breaking under $1.9900 to $1.9875.
USD/JPY: European
trade opened with dollar-yen slipping back towards the day's lows,
though momentum was lacking to take the pair further, with rate
recovering steadily from here to make highs for the day at Y103.32 but
eased back under Y103.00. Dlr-yen offers Y103.50/55, stops above,
offers Y104.00, bids Y102.80
Canada retail trade for February is due at 1230GMT
|
| 23.04 12:14 |
GERMANY: source comments,
- German government expects employment to rise by 400,000 in 2008, by 30,000 in 2009
- German government expects unemployment to fall by 500,000 in 2008, by around 40,000 in 2009.
|
| 23.04 12:01 |
NORWAY: Norges bank raises key interest rates 0.25%, as expected. Deposit rate moves to 5.50% |
| 23.04 11:44 |
EU bourses dip:
European equity bourses are under pressure - the move comes after
Unicredit spokesman is quoted on wires saying it will comment on HVB
shortly. This announcement comes following earlier unsubstantiated
market rumour of German bank due to report large writedown - market
talk E50.0bln. The rumours come after HVB Group CEO Wolfgang Sprissler
at a press conference late Tuesday, said that it expects "significant"
losses related to the credit crisis in the first quarter. CAC-40 is
dowm 0.14%, Xetra-DAX is down 0.8% and FTSE-100 is down 0.64%.
|
| 23.04 11:31 |
European focus: euro corrects
The euro fell against the dollar after Luxembourg's
Finance Minister Jean-Claude Juncker signaled concern over the U.S.
currency's decline.
The euro retreated from a record versus the U.S. currency after
Juncker, who heads a group of counterparts from the euro area, told
reporters he didn't like ``the way things are developing'' in the
foreign-exchange markets. The Australian dollar rose to a 24-year high
against the dollar after a government report showed inflation
accelerated above 4 percent for the first time in seven years.
The British pound pared earlier declines against the dollar and erased
them versus the euro after the minutes of the Bank of England's last
policy meeting showed two of the nine policy makers voted against
cutting the benchmark interest rate to 5 percent this month.
The 15-nation European currency earlier strengthened against the dollar
after an industry report showed growth in Europe's service industries
unexpectedly accelerated in April, giving the European Central Bank
more reason to keep interest rates on hold.
The euro has risen 2.3 percent in April and 9.5 percent this year
against the dollar on speculation inflation will discourage the ECB
from lowering its 4 percent main refinancing rate. Inflation
accelerated to a 16-year high of 3.6 percent in March, a European Union
report showed last week.
|
| 23.04 11:16 |
USD/JPY techs:
Resistance 3: Y104.60
Resistance 2: Y104.00
Resistance 1: Y103.50
Current price: Y102.88
Support 1: Y102.70
Support 2: Y102.20
Support 3: Y101.70
Comments: Dollar dips. Support is around session low on Y102.70,
stronger – at Y102.20. Below losses may widen to Y101.70. Minor
resistance comes around Y103.50, stronger – on Y104.00 (Monday’s high), with a
break above will open the way to Y104.60.
|
| 23.04 11:00 |
USD/CHF techs:
Resistance 3:
Chf1.0280
Resistance 2: Chf1.0200
Resistance 1: Chf1.0080 Current price: Chf1.0068
Support 1: Chf1.0020
Support 2: Chf1.0000
Support 3: Chf0.9960
Comments: Dollar remains stable. Support
comes at session low on Chf1.0020. Stronger level on Chf1.0000 with a break
under widens losses to Chf0.9960. Resistance is around Chf1.0080, then – Chf1.0200.
Stronger level is around Chf1.0280 (Apr 18 highs).
|
| 23.04 10:49 |
GBP/USD techs:
Resistance 3: $2.0090
Resistance 2: $2.0050
Resistance 1: $2.0000
Current price: $1.9906
Support 1: $1.9860
Support 2: $1.9780
Support 3: $1.9630
Comments: Pound corrects. Support comes at session low on $1.9860,
then - $1.9780. Stronger level is around trend support line from Apr 2006 at $1.9630.
Resistance comes near yesterday's high at $2.0000, further – on $2.0050 and $2.0080/90.
|
| 23.04 10:37 |
US corporate
Ambac has reported a Q1 net loss of $1.66 bln or $11.69 per share much
worse than estimates. The company said that the loss was due primarily
to non-cash, mark-to-market losses on credit derivative exposures
amounting to $1.725 bln.
|
| 23.04 10:17 |
EUR/USD techs:
Resistance 3:$1.6090
Resistance 2: $1.6040Resistance 1: $1.6020Current price: $1.5969
Support 1: $1.5880
Support 2: $1.5820
Support 3: $1.5710
Comments:
Euro consolidates within
the narrow range. Resistance comes at resent
peak $1.6015/20. A break above will open the way to $1.6040. Strong
support is around $1.5880. Below correction may dip to $1.5820/00.
Stronger
level comes at Apr 18 lows on $1.5710.
|
| 23.04 10:06 |
GERMANY FINMIN: Strong euro has advantages, lower import prices |
| 23.04 09:48 |
OPTIONS: Expiries of note for today's 1400GMT cut,
EUR/USD: $1.6000
USD/JPY: Y103.50
EUR/JPY: Y160.50
AUS/USD: $0.9395, $0.9315
|
| 23.04 09:32 |
Mitsubishi UFJ Securities sees 25 bp cut from Fed
Naomi Hasegawa, senior strategist at Mitsubishi UFJ Securities - "There
is talk that the Fed may cut interest rates by 25 basis points instead
of 50 to 75 basis points as expected previously."
|
| 23.04 09:03 |
Euro-Zone Feb Indus Orders +0.6% MM; +9.9% YY |
| 23.04 08:36 |
BOE Majority: 25 BPS Cut In Line With Market Expectations
Needed To Avoid Excessive Gain In Spare Capacity
BOE Hawks:Oil Prices, GBP Pose Further 'Inflationary Impetus'
|
| 23.04 08:04 |
Eurozone flash PMI manufacturing 50.8 -- lowest since August 2005 vs 52.0 final
Services 51.8 vs 51.6 final.
|
| 23.04 07:28 |
USD/JPY techs:
Resistance 3: Y105.00
Resistance 2: Y104.60
Resistance 1: Y104.00
Current price: Y102.98
Support 1: Y102.70
Support 2: Y102.20
Support 3: Y101.70
Comments: Dollar tries to rebound. Minor
resistance comes around Y104.00, stronger – on Y104.60 (Monday’s high), with a
break above will open the way to Y105.00. Support is around session low on Y102.70,
stronger – at Y102.20. Below losses may widen to Y101.70.
|
| 23.04 07:02 |
FRANCE: Apr flash PMI manufacturing 51.5 vs 51.9 final ; Services 54.0 vs 57.3 final. |
| 23.04 06:56 |
USD/CHF techs:
Resistance 3:
Chf1.0280
Resistance 2: Chf1.0200
Resistance 1: Chf1.0120Current price: Chf1.0043
Support 1: Chf1.0020
Support 2: Chf1.0000
Support 3: Chf0.9960
Comments: Dollar remains stable. Support
comes at session low on Chf1.0020. Stronger level on Chf1.0000 with a break
under widens losses to Chf0.9960. Resistance is around Chf1.0120, then – Chf1.0200.
Stronger level is around Chf1.0280 (Apr 18 highs).
|
| 23.04 06:54 |
Globex traded US index futures are trading in positive territory
The S&P June contract was last 1.00 points higher at 1381.80, with
the Nasdaq June contract last up 4.50 points higher at 1899.5.
|
| 23.04 06:47 |
GBP/USD techs:
Resistance 3: $2.0090
Resistance 2: $2.0050
Resistance 1: $2.0020
Current price: $1.9885
Support 1: $1.9880
Support 2: $1.9780
Support 3: $1.9630
Comments: Pound corrects its resent gains. Support comes at session low on $1.9880,
then - $1.9780. Stronger level is around trend support line from Apr 2006 at $1.9630.
Resistance comes near Monday high at $2.0000/20, further – on $2.0050 and $2.0080/90.
|
| 23.04 06:33 |
Japanese stock indices ended Wednesday's session higher.
The benchmark Nikkei 225 was ahead by 31.34 points, or 0.23%, at
13579.16. The broader-based TOPIX gained 2.93 points to stand at
314.39.
|
| 23.04 06:17 |
EUR/USD techs:
Resistance 3:$1.6090
Resistance 2: $1.6040 Resistance 1: $1.6020
Current price: $1.5966
Support 1: $1.5880
Support 2: $1.5820
Support 3: $1.5710
Comments:
Euro consolidates within
the narrow range, holding below new records. Resistance comes at resent
peak $1.6015/20. A break above will open the way to $1.6040. Strong
support is around $1.5880. Below correction may dip to $1.5820/00.
Stronger
level comes at Apr 18 lows on $1.5710.
|
| 23.04 06:07 |
China's benchmark stock indices continued to rally
The
benchmark Shanghai Comp ended the morning up 97.06 points or 3.08 pct
at 3,244.86. The Shanghai A-share Index rose 101.81 points to 3,404.90,
while the Shenzhen A-share Index was up 29.23 points at 988.83. The
FTSE/Xinhua China A 50 Index was up 417.41 points at 12,939.21 and the
FTSE/Xinhua China A 200 Index rose 302.91 points to 9,627.33.
|
| 23.04 05:38 |
The front-month Nymex WTI June 08 contract was last 11 cents higher at $118.18, having touched a high at $118.33. |
| 23.04 05:23 |
Daily History for April 22, 2008
High Low Close EUR/USD 1.6017 1.5830 1.5994
USD/JPY 103.51 102.67 102.84
GBP/USD 1.9997 1.9745 1.9957
USD/CHF 1.0130 0.9996 1.0027
EUR/JPY 164.91 163.26 164.53
EUR/GBP 0.8048 0.7979 0.8013
GBP/JPY 206.08 203.33 205.30
GBP/CHF 2.0134 1.9919 2.0015
Change% ChangeLast
Nikkei 225 -148.73 -1.1% 13,547.82
Topix -20.05 -1.5% 1,311.46
FTSE 100 -18.30 -0.30% 6,034.70
CAC 40 -37.71 -0.77% 4,872.64
Xetra Dax -58.25 -0.86% 6,728.30
DOW -104.71 -0.82% 12,720.31
NASDAQ -31.10 -1.29% 2,376.94
S&P 500 -12.22 -0.88% 1,375.95
10yr Note +0.0800 +0.022% 3.720%
NYMEX Crude Oil +1.89 +1.61% 119.50
Gold +7.60 +0.83% 925.20
|
| 23.04 05:07 |
Schedule for today, Wednesday, April 23, 2008
08:00 EU(15) PMI (April) flash - 52.0
08:00 EU(15) PMI services (April) flash - 51.7
08:30 UK BoE meeting minutes (09-10.04)
09:00 EU(15) Industrial orders (February) - 2.0%
09:00 EU(15) Industrial orders (February) Y/Y - 7.3%
12:30 Canada Retail sales (February) - 1.5%
12:30 Canada Retail sales excluding auto (February) - 1.3%
19:00 New Zealand RBNZ meeting announcement 8.25% 8.25%
|