| 22.07 20:33 |
Hot stocks: Apple, American Express, US Airways
Apple Inc reported fiscal third-quarter earnings that beat forecasts on strong sales of Mac computers and iPhones. But the company's outlook for the fourth quarter disappointed investors.
American Express Company said its second-quarter net income fell 38%.
Caterpillar Inc said its second-quarter earnings jumped 34% as stronger international sales outpaced higher raw material and freight costs.
Brocade Communications, the world's largest maker of switches for data-storage networks, agreed to buy Foundry Networks Inc for $3B, or about $19.25 in cash and stock.
US Airways Group Inc missed second quarter revenue projections.
Texas Instruments Incorporated said profit fell 3.6%, the first decline in four quarters, on slowing orders for mobile-phone chips.
Ual Corp reported a $2.7B loss including massive one-time charges.
|
| 22.07 20:02 |
CRUDE OIL: Ends the session around $127.25, down $3.79. |
| 22.07 19:31 |
EU stocks closed mixed: the DAX 6,442.79 (+17.95); the FTSE 100 5,364.10 (-40.20); the CAC 40 4,327.26 (+0.12) |
| 22.07 19:21 |
Mitsubishi UFJ Trust & Banking about AUD/USD
Takashi Yamamoto, trader at Mitsubishi UFJ Trust & Banking: “The RBA will probably either raise rates or keep
them unchanged. Interest-rate differentials favor the Aussie versus the yen and
the dollar, so we'll likely see further strengthening in the Aussie.”
|
| 22.07 18:56 |
Oil prices go down
August contract remains down about $4.06 on the
day at $127.03 but is about $1.50 off its earlier low of $125.63 and plenty of attention
still being paid to Tropical storm/soon to be Hurricane Dolly which is swirling
in the GOM and is expected to make landfall on the south Texas coast Wednesday.
|
| 22.07 18:42 |
USD/JPY looks optimistic
USD/JPY extended its rise to Y107.45 before the
pair stalled to Y107.28. Offers seen from Y107.50, said to extend in layers to
at least Y107.80.
|
| 22.07 18:22 |
American focus: Dollar advances as Paulson stresses support for U.S. currency [M]
The dollar rose the
most against the euro
in more than two weeks as Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson voiced support for
the currency and the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia president said interest rates
should be raised.
The greenback extended its gain after breaking
$1.5900 and as crude oil prices fell. The U.S. currency strengthened today as Paulson said in a speech
that he's ``confident'' that lawmakers will pass the bill to ``boost
confidence'' in Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the largest sources of U.S.
mortgage financing. He reiterated that a strong dollar is ``really very
important.'' The dollar touched the
record low earlier this month on concern Fannie and Freddie, which own or guarantee almost half of
the $12 trillion in U.S.
home loans outstanding, may fail to survive the housing slump. Philadelphia Fed President Charles Plosser said
in a speech today in King of Prussia, Pennsylvania, that the U.S. central bank
should raise interest rates ``sooner rather than later.'' Futures traded on the Chicago Board of Trade
showed a 47% chance the Fed will increase its 2% target rate for overnight
lending between banks by at least a quarter- percentage point by Sept. 16.
|
| 22.07 18:07 |
ECB LIEBSCHER: Can't say July rate hike is strangling economic growth
2."Seeing light at end of tunnel" on market turmoil 3.Sees 2008 eurozone GDP growth under 2%, clearly worse than in 2007
|
| 22.07 17:53 |
CMS Forex about AUD/USD
Hans Nilsson, FX strategist at CMS Forex: “The
AUD/USD advanced following three days of consolidating the 25-year high of $0.9848
set last week. The pair rose despite lower-than-expected Q2 Australian
producer-price inflation. The market focused on positive growth aspects for the
Australian economy. If the Reserve Bank of Australia
does not need to raise interest rates further to curb inflation, that will be
positive for Australia’s
economic growth outlook. There is strong support in the $0.96-area.”
|
| 22.07 17:28 |
USD/JPY rally remains
USD/JPY continues to press to the highs of the
day around Y107.17/20. Offers remain in place in a thick layer from Y107.30 to
Y107.50 but risk may be for a few more stops scattered in that range also.
|
| 22.07 17:15 |
Deutsche Securities on rates
Chotaro Morita, strategist at Deutsche Securities: “It seems that the phase of falling interest rates, on concerns about the U.S.
financial market, is coming to an end. And it would not be a surprise if the
market re-assesses the ustainability of a downtrend in interest rates.”
|
| 22.07 16:55 |
EUR/USD remains under pressure
EUR/USD continues to decline after printing new
session lows on $1.5775/80. Traders say that volumes are not as impressive as
may have been expected given the scale of the move. Currently rate holds near
$1.5786.
|
| 22.07 16:36 |
Wall Street goes down
Stocks opened sharply
lower amid a slew
of grim quarterly financial reports. In addition to earnings reports, investors
listened to Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson urge Congress to pass a bill to
support mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Also, the Philadelphia
Federal Reserve chief Charles Plosser said Tuesday that inflation concerns may
warrant a hike in the key federal funds rate, despite the economic slowdown.
Stocks closed modestly
lower Monday, as
rising oil prices and concerns in the tech and drug sectors overpowered a
better-than-expected earnings report from Bank of America. In the news Tuesday: Wachovia Corp. posted a loss of
nearly $9 billion for its second quarter Tuesday on losses related to home
mortgages. The shortfall exceeded the estimates of Wall Street analysts. US Airways missed second quarter revenue
projections, just barely, but reported a smaller loss than expected. The carrier
reported a net loss of $101 million for the second quarter, or $1.11 per share.
United Airlines reported Tuesday a net loss of
$2.7 billion for the second quarter. UPS Inc. said Tuesday its profit fell nearly
21% in the second quarter despite a 6.7% increase in sales. The company also
lowered its outlook for the year amid a slumping U.S. economy. American Expressdelivered some ugly news after
the market closed Monday, posting a smaller-than-expected second-quarter profit
and withdrawing its 2008 earnings guidance.
|
| 22.07 16:19 |
CMC Markets: Bad news will follow further from banking sector
Gary Thomsonfrom CMC Markets says “Although the banking sector
generally impressed last week, the massive quarterly loss from Countrywide that
was reported yesterday is certainly weighing on sentiment and there's an
expectation that more bad news will follow as the regional banks report over
the coming days.”
|
| 22.07 16:02 |
Societe Generale: Wall Street rules the market
Niels Christensen, senior currency strategist at Societe Generale: “Without any big numbers, it is equity markets that
are driving currencies. U.S.
stocks are down and putting pressure on the dollar.”
|
| 22.07 15:50 |
Economists at Lehman say “Philadelphia Fed President Plosser laid out a strong case for rate increases in his remarks today.” |
| 22.07 15:41 |
US: May OFHEO home prices -0.3%, -4.8% YOY |
| 22.07 15:34 |
Dow -27.68 at 11411.53, Nasdaq -15.18 at 2264.35, S&P -6.32 at 1253.56
The major indices remain in negative territory, but have climbed off
their worst levels in broad-based buying interest. A 2.7% drop in crude
prices is aiding in the recovery effort. Strength in industrials
(+1.1%) is helping to offset weakness in financials (-1.7%).
|
| 22.07 15:05 |
CRUDE OIL:
August Nymex crude oil now trading below $128.00 asselling continues on
expectations that Tropical Storm Dolly will not disrupt oil production
in the Gulf of Mexico. Prices also lower ahead of the futures contract
expiry today. Nymex crude oil currently trades at $127.70.
|
| 22.07 15:04 |
USA: Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index (Jul) -16 |
| 22.07 14:42 |
OPTIONS: Expiries of note for today's 14:00 GMT cut
EUR/USD $1.5920, $1.5900, $1.5850, $1.5800
USD/JPY Y107.05, Y105.85, Y105.50, Y107.30, Y105.00
GBP/USD $1.9900
AUD/USD $0.9695
NZD/USD $0.7600, $0.7595
|
| 22.07 14:25 |
Before the bell: Wall Street set to open lower
A lower open is expected, although futures have recovered from their worst levels (S&P futures -8.2, Nasdaq futures -30.5).
UAL Corp, parent company of United Airlines, reported
a second quarter loss of $1.19 per share, ex items, which is $0.86
better than the consensus estimate.
American Express , SanDisk , Texas Instruments and Wachovia all reported earnings that missed Wall Street's expectation. The latter company also cut its dividend to $0.050 from $0.375. Apple topped
its earnings estimate, but issued an earnings guidance that fell short
of estimates, sending shares tumbling 10% in premarket trading. Caterpillar topped its earnings estimates, but had some cautious comments regarding the economy.
GE is partnering with Mubadala on initiatives including
commercial finance, clean energy research and development, aviation,
industry and corporate learning. The two companies will each provide
$4 billion in capital over the next three years.
|
| 22.07 13:56 |
CRUDE OIL : August Nymex crude oil breaks below $130.00 |
| 22.07 13:36 |
CANADA: May retail sales +0.4% m/m, May retail sales ex-autos +0.4% m/m |
| 22.07 13:06 |
European session: Dollar trades near record low against the euro
The dollar traded near a record low against the euro after American
Express Co. said profit dropped because more consumers defaulted on
loans, raising concern the U.S. economic slowdown will deepen.
The currency also slid against the yen before reports this week
forecast by economists to show that U.S. home sales and durable-goods
orders dropped in June. The yen rebounded from a near record-low
against the euro.
``The numbers out of the U.S. are still pretty grim and there's no
immediate prospect that things are going to get better,'' said Daragh
Maher, a London-based currency strategist at Calyon, the
investment-banking arm of Credit Agricole SA, France's second-biggest
lender. ``This has been driving the dollar lower.''
American Express, the biggest U.S. credit-card company by purchases,
said yesterday second-quarter profit fell 37 percent on bad consumer
loans, as the housing market slumped and economic growth slowed.
Wachovia Corp reports a loss of $4.20 against expectations of -$0.68
``Traders will look for opportunities to sell the dollar,'' said
Tsutomu Soma, a bond and currency dealer at Okasan Securities Co. in
Tokyo. ``The housing market and corporate earnings show that the U.S.
economy's fundamentals are weak.''
``If the rally in financials continues, we could see some near-term
support for the dollar against the yen,'' analysts led by Hans-Guenter
Redeker, the London-based global head of currency strategy at BNP
Paribas SA, France's biggest bank, wrote in a research note yesterday.
EUR/USD Bids $1.5900, $1.5880/70, stops $1.5850, offers $1.5950, stops above.
GBP/USD Bids $2.0005/00, $1.9980. Offers $2.0064-70/80, $2.0100/10.
USD/JPY Offers Y106.60/80, tech Y107.04, offers Y107.20, bids Y106.00.
The Canada’s Retail Sales is due at 12:30 GMT. Also today will be published at 14:00 GMT Housing Price Index and Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index (Jul) of USA.
|
| 22.07 12:38 |
Wachovia Corp reports a loss of $4.20 against expectations of -$0.68 |
| 22.07 12:27 |
European focus:
The dollar traded near a record low against the euro
after American Express Co. said profit dropped because more consumers
defaulted on loans, raising concern the U.S. economic slowdown will
deepen.
The currency also slid against the yen before reports this week
forecast by economists to show that U.S. home sales and durable-goods
orders dropped in June. The yen rebounded from a near record-low
against the euro.
``The numbers out of the U.S. are still pretty grim and there's no
immediate prospect that things are going to get better,'' said Daragh
Maher, a London-based currency strategist at Calyon, the
investment-banking arm of Credit Agricole SA, France's second-biggest
lender. ``This has been driving the dollar lower.''
American Express, the biggest U.S. credit-card company by purchases,
said yesterday second-quarter profit fell 37 percent on bad consumer
loans, as the housing market slumped and economic growth slowed.
``Traders will look for opportunities to sell the dollar,'' said
Tsutomu Soma, a bond and currency dealer at Okasan Securities Co. in
Tokyo. ``The housing market and corporate earnings show that the U.S.
economy's fundamentals are weak.''
``If the rally in financials continues, we could see some near-term
support for the dollar against the yen,'' analysts led by Hans-Guenter
Redeker, the London-based global head of currency strategy at BNP
Paribas SA, France's biggest bank, wrote in a research note yesterday.
|
| 22.07 11:55 |
ML cuts US GDP forecast
"We expect GDP to plummet 2.5% in 4Q and see a similar decline in 1Q.
In all, we have shaved our 2009 GDP forecast to -0.5% a full percentage
point lower that where it was previously, while 2008 is broadly
unchanged at 1.5%."
|
| 22.07 11:41 |
GBP/USD Slips back toward $2.0040
Slips back toward $2.0040 fter the 1000 GMT fix comes and goes. Offers
now seen placed toward resistance at $2.0064, a break above to open a
move on toward $2.0100/10. Bids remain in place toward $2.0000.
|
| 22.07 11:18 |
Orders:
EUR
Bids: $1.5900
Offers: $1.5940/50
JPY
Bids: Y106.00
Offers: Y106.80, Y107.15/20
GBP
Bids: $2.0000
Offers: $2.0070/80
|
| 22.07 10:50 |
USD/JPY techs:
Resistance 3: Y108.40
Resistance 2: Y107.70
Resistance 1: Y107.00
Current price: Y106.25
Support 1: Y106.00
Support 2: Y105.40
Support 3: Y104.60
Comments: Techs on yen hasn’t changed. Key resistance is around
channel line from Jun 25 on Y107.00/10. Above the target is around
Y107.70 and Y108.40 (Jun 25 high). Friday’s lows comes at Y106.00
(support). Stronger level is near 50% Fibo on Y105.40. Below losses may
widen to Y104.60.
|
| 22.07 10:45 |
USD/CHF techs:
Resistance 3: Chf1.0380
Resistance 2: Chf1.0310
Resistance 1: Chf1.0250
Current price: Chf1.0165
Support 1: Chf1.0130Support 2: Chf1.0080Support 3: Chf1.0020Comments: Techs hasn’t changed. Dollar retreats a bit, breacking thrugh the channel line
from Jul 16 on Chf1.0180. Sustained move under will widen losses to
Chf1.0130 and then – to Chf1.0080. Strong resistance is around
Chf1.0250 (Jul 17 high). Above the key level comes at channel line from
Jun 13 on Chf1.0310. Break above will fuel bullish momentum and open
the way to Chf1.0380.
|
| 22.07 10:43 |
GBP/USD techs:
Resistance 3: $2.0130
Resistance 2: $2.0070
Resistance 1: $2.0040
Current price: $2.0055
Support 1: $1.9900
Support 2: $1.9840
Support 3: $1.9800
Comments:
Resistance comes at Jul 17 highs on $2.0070 with a break above will
target $2.0100. Stronger level comes at $2.0130 (Jul 15
high). Support is around Friday’s lows on $1.9900. Below correction may
extend to $1.9840 and $1.9800/10.
|
| 22.07 10:38 |
EUR/USD techs:
Resistance 3:$1.6120
Resistance 2: $1.6030
Resistance 1: $1.5950
Current price: $1.5924
Support 1: $1.5800
Support 2: $1.5780
Support 3: $1.5610
Comments: Euro holds within the range, keeping optimistic tone. Strong
resistance is around Jul 16 high on $1.5950, further – near life-time
high on $1.6030. Strong support comes near channel line from Jun 13 on
$1.5830. Below rate may dip to $1.5780 with stronger support is around
Jul 07 low on $1.5600/10.
|
| 22.07 09:37 |
FTA on US economy
Economist Brian Wesbury at FTA says he ests Q2 real growth at +3%,
"more bullish than almost any other economist." He says hsg weakness
has not spread and rest of the economy is "downright strong, reflecting
relatively low tax rates and loose monetary policy." FTA says real
consumption grew at a 2.0% annual rate in Q2 and business investment,
trade and govt will add to growth.
|
| 22.07 09:31 |
Globex traded US index futures are trading sharply lower Tuesday
Weaker
earnings reports and outlooks from Amex, Apple and Texas Instruments
after the bell are weighting on sentiments. The S&P Sep contract was last down 9.40 points at
1252.20, with the Nasdaq Sep contract lower by 28.75 points at 1798.75.
|
| 22.07 08:24 |
USD/JPY techs:
Resistance 3: Y108.40
Resistance 2: Y107.70
Resistance 1: Y107.00
Current price: Y106.55
Support 1: Y106.00
Support 2: Y105.40
Support 3: Y104.60
Comments: Techs on dollar hasn’t changed. Key resistance is around
channel line from Jun 25 on Y107.00/10. Above the target is around
Y107.70 and Y108.40 (Jun 25 high). Friday’s lows comes at Y106.00
(support). Stronger level is near 50% Fibo on Y105.40. Below losses may
widen to Y104.60.
|
| 22.07 08:21 |
USD/CHF techs:
Resistance 3: Chf1.0380
Resistance 2: Chf1.0310
Resistance 1: Chf1.0250
Current price: Chf1.0171
Support 1: Chf1.0130 Support 2: Chf1.0080 Support 3: Chf1.0020
Comments: Dollar retreats a bit, breacking thrugh the channel line
from Jul 16 on Chf1.0180. Sustained move under will widen losses to
Chf1.0130 and then – to Chf1.0080. Strong resistance is around
Chf1.0250 (Jul 17 high). Above the key level comes at channel line from
Jun 13 on Chf1.0310. Break above will fuel bullish momentum and open
the way to Chf1.0380.
|
| 22.07 07:27 |
GBP/USD techs:
Resistance 3: $2.0130
Resistance 2: $2.0070
Resistance 1: $2.0040
Current price: $2.0015
Support 1: $1.9900
Support 2: $1.9840
Support 3: $1.9800
Comments: Resistance comes at today's highs on $2.0035/40 with a break
above will target $2.0070 (Jul 17 high). Stronger level comes at
$2.0130 (Jul 15 high). Support is around Friday’s lows on $1.9900.
Below correction may extend to $1.9840 and $1.9800/10.
|
| 22.07 07:19 |
Major European stock markets to start lower Tuesday
FTSE -32, the DAX -45, the CAC -39 and the Eurostoxx 50 -34.
|
| 22.07 06:52 |
CRUDE OIL:
Crude futures are trading
lower in Asian trade Tuesday, although off of their worst levels. The
front-month Nymex WTI contract was last at $130.67, down 37 cents on
the day. The contract traded a session range of $130.27 - $131.06. The
market bounced back modestly on Monday on fears over the early
hurricane season threat in the Gulf of Mexico.
|
| 22.07 06:51 |
EUR/USD techs:
Resistance 3:$1.6120
Resistance 2: $1.6030
Resistance 1: $1.5950
Current price: $1.5913
Support 1: $1.5800
Support 2: $1.5780
Support 3: $1.5610
Comments: Euro holds within the range, keeping optimistic tone. Strong
resistance is around Jul 16 high on $1.5950, further – near life-time
high on $1.6030. Strong support comes near channel line from Jun 13 on
$1.5830. Below rate may dip to $1.5780 with stronger support is around
Jul 07 low on $1.5600/10.
|
| 22.07 06:24 |
Daily History for July 21, 2008
High Low Close EUR/USD 1.5930 1.5836 1.5826
USD/JPY 107.16 106.32 106.42
GBP/USD 2.0040 1.9905 2.0028
USD/CHF 1.0240 1.0165 1.0170
EUR/JPY 169.91 169.06 169.50
EUR/GBP 0.7973 0.7932 0.7949
GBP/JPY 213.82 212.09 213.15
GBP/CHF 2.04423 2.0315 2.0370
Change % Change Last CAC +27.78 +0.65% 4,327.14
FTSE +27.90 +0.52% 5,404.30
DAX +42.19 +0.66% 6,424.84
Dow -28.99 -0.25% 11,467.58
NASDAQ -3.25 -0.14% 2,279.53
S&P -0.68 -0.05% 1,260.00
10yr Note -0.0800 -0.020% 4.073%
NYMEX Crude Oil +1.37 +1.06% 130.25
Gold +5.70 +0.59% 963.70
|
| 22.07 06:11 |
Schedule for today, Tuesday, July 22, 2008
06:15 Switzerland Trade Balance (Jun) 1.87B
08:45 UK BoE's Governor King Speech
12:30 Canada Retail Sales (MoM) (May) 0.6%
12:30 Canada Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM) (May) 1.1%
14:00 USA Housing Price Index (YoY) (Jun) -4.6%
14:00 USA Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index (Jul) -12
14:00 USA Housing Price Index (MoM) (Jun) -0.8%
|