|
|
| 21.05 20:03 |
DOLLAR-YEN:
Low prints at Y93.96, US name a seller, clearing decent bidsat Y94.00. More bids appear on the machine at Y93.95.
|
| 21.05 19:39 |
Hot stocks:
Gamestop Corp New
The video
game retailer’s first-quarter net income rose 13% to $70.4M, or 42
cents a share, from $62.1M, or 37 cents a share in the year-ago period;
it also lowered its second-quarter earnings outlook.
Huntington Bancshares Inc
The regional bank plans to
sell $350M in new common stock as part of a plan to increase common
equity capital by roughly $675M. About $75M will come from an offer to
exchange cash for three series of Huntington trust preferred securities.
MF Global Ltd
The
New York-based derivatives trading firm’s fourth-quarter net loss
widened to $111.7M, or 98 cents a share, from a loss of $83.1M, or 69
cents a share in the year-ago period. Adjusted loss fell to 5 cents a
share from net income of 39 cents a share. Analysts had expected
earnings of 7 cents a share.
AstraZeneca PLC
The
pharmaceutical giant said that the U.S. District Court for the District
of New Jersey granted its request for an injunction barring Apotex from
launching a generic version of AstraZeneca's Pulmicourt Respules in the
U.S. No trial date for the patent litigation has been set.
|
| 21.05 19:22 |
Dow -156.83 at 8265.21, Nasdaq -39.85 at 1687.99, S&P -17.91 at 885.56 |
| 21.05 18:36 |
GOLD: Spot gold holds at $944.40/oz
Spot gold holds at $944.40/oz, after trading in a
$936.00/$944.40 (new high in US action) range. The precious metal has
been making higher highs in recent sessions, with an eye now on the
March 26 peak at $944.95. "While the metal is likely to run into
further scaled-up resistance the fact equity markets appear to have
stalled and inflation fears are on the increase should give gold
increased upwards momentum while a break of chart resistance around
$946 could see the metal push to the March high of $967.30," says James
Moore, precious metals analystat TheBullionDesk.
|
| 21.05 18:23 |
EURO-DOLLAR:
Stops were flushed on the break above $1.3855,
a trader confirms. Chatter of offers now $1.3880/00 but being eroded
with high prints near $1.3885.
|
| 21.05 18:06 |
Dow -147.03 at 8275.01, Nasdaq -38.41 at 1689.43, S&P -15.50 at 887.97 |
| 21.05 17:58 |
American focus:
The dollar declined to near the lowest level against the euro since
January as an increase in Treasury yields and gold prices indicated
inflation may accelerate. The spread between yields on 10-year notes
and Treasury Inflation Protected Securities, reflecting the outlook
among traders for consumer prices, reached 1.73 percentage points, the
highest level since September. “The general move is dollar-negative,”
said Shaun Osborne, chief currency strategist at TD Securities Inc. in
Toronto. “Inflation is becoming more of a concern. Gold is doing well.”
Powerful move higher brings cable to $1.5880 area, amtching
the Nov 10 high at $1.5882 as the dollar takes a beating across the
board. MNI Techs suggest resistance at $1.5920, 76.4% retracement of
pullback from $1.6670.
|
| 21.05 17:35 |
Oil fell more than a dollar:
Oil fell more than a dollar to
below $61 a barrel on Thursday, after hitting a six-month high in the
previous session on expectations of a rebound in the world economy.Oil
has nearly doubled since December, despite weak demand and high fuel
inventories. Prices have risen by about a third in the past four
weeks.A rally in equity markets has partly inspired oil's gains in
anticipation of a recovery in world economic growth and oil
consumption."We have become more confident that global activity is
nearing the turning point," Citi oil analysts said in a research note.
"Nevertheless, we still expect that the pace of global recovery will be
subdued," it said. "The widespread global plunge in activity and credit
availability remains a drag on global trade." U.S. crude for July delivery was down at $60.63 had settled at $62.04 a barrel, before trading up to a six-month high of $62.26 in post-settlement activity.
|
| 21.05 17:05 |
Major indexes slump after mixed economic data and a rating agency's cut of the U.K. credit outlook
Stocks fell sharply Thursday as investors responded to mixed economic news and Standard & Poor's downgraded its credit outlook for the United Kingdom. S&P said it lowered its outlook for the U.K. to "negative" from "stable." The ratings agency said its revision was based on the possibility that the country's debt burden could reach 100% of its gross domestic product, despite the U.K. government's "further fiscal tightening." Investors also took in fresh readings on the U.S. job market, manufacturing activity and leading economic indicators. Stocks finished Wednesday's session lower after the Federal Reserve issued a gloomy forecast for the economy. The Labor Department reported that initial jobless claims declined by 12,000 in the week ending May 16. The number of people filing for first-time jobless benefits totaled 631,000 last week, slightly more than expected. But those filing claims on an ongoing basis rose to 6.6 million, an all-time high. Separately, the Conference Board's reading of leading economic indicators, which predicts economic conditions six to nine months in the future, rose 1% in April -- slightly better than the 0.8% analysts' expected. The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia said its index of manufacturing activity in the mid-Atlantic region improved to negative 22.6 in May from negative 24.4 in April. Economists surveyed by Briefing.com had expected the index to improve to negative 18. Treasury prices rose, lowering the yield on the benchmark 10-year note to 3.17% from 3.19% Wednesday. Treasury prices and yields move in opposite directions. Oil slipped from its Wednesday high, but still continued to trade above $60 a barrel. The price of oil dropped $1.95 a barrel to $60.09 COMEX gold for June delivery rose $2.20 to $939.60 an ounce.
|
| 21.05 16:48 |
USD/JPY:
Pushes to fresh highs for the day near Y95.15 area now with likelihood that some close by stops were flushed as the overnight high at Y95.08 was cleared. Supply earlier said to extend to Y95.15, so likely mostly absorbed, stops in place above Y95.30.
|
| 21.05 16:33 |
Nomura about US data
Economists at Nomura say the -22.4 Philly number had a few bright spots: "Most importantly, the components were clearly stronger than headline index: our ISM-weighted composite index rose to 37.9 during the month from 33.3 previously."
|
| 21.05 16:16 |
EUROPEAN STOCKS:
European equity bourses are set to close lower Thursday, with the FTSE-100 underperforming following the S&P downgrade. Energy stocks are weaker, with Total SA (FP) in Paris, and BP (BP.) in London leading losses. Mining stocks are also weighing on the blue-chip indices, particularly in London, where Rio Tinto (RIO) and BHP Billiton (BLT) are hitting hardest. Volkswagen (VOW) has strengthened in Frankfurt, now up around +2.0% and adding over 4pts to the DAX. FTSE -138.74 (-3.10%) at 4,329.67, CAC -94.42 (-2.86%) at 3,208.95, Dax -159.39 (-3.16%) at 4,879.55
|
| 21.05 16:00 |
Dow -163.44 at 8258.60, Nasdaq -35.81 at 1692.03, S&P -17.95 at 885.52
Financial stocks are holding up better than the other sectors against this session's selling effort, though the sector is now down 0.9%. Losses in the other sectors ranges from 1.1% (consumer staples) to 3.5% (energy).
|
| 21.05 15:51 |
Mizuho on Philadelphia Fed Index at -22.6: "small relative improvement in May was not reflected in the important new orders and deliveries subcomponents." |
| 21.05 15:30 |
HFE: "-22.6 Philly Fed index was disappointing though some of the subindexes rose much more than the headline" |
| 21.05 15:15 |
May Philly Fed data:
Prices paid -22.8, new orders -25.9 vs -24.3, employment -26.8 vs -44.9. Overall's -22.6 is highest since Sept but still indicates decline.
|
| 21.05 15:02 |
US data
Leading indicators (Apr) 1.0% Philadelphia Fed index (May) -22.6
|
| 21.05 14:46 |
OPTIONS: Expiries of note for today's 1400GMT cut,
EUR/USD: $1.3700, $1.3650 USD/JPY: Y94.75, Y95.75, Y96.25 EUR/GBP: stg0.8725, stg0.8750
|
| 21.05 14:34 |
Dow -26.48 at 8295.56, Nasdaq -21.05 at 1706.79, S&P -12.85 at 890.62 |
| 21.05 14:28 |
Before the bell:
S&P futures -12.80, Nasdaq futures -14.50. Banks continue coming to market with equity offerings amid ongoing concern about capital levels in the face of tenuous economic conditions, which have led to a record high 6.66 million continuing jobless claims. Moreover, unease related to global economic conditions led Standard & Poor's to lower the United Kingdom's debt rating, which has pressured the U.K.'s stocks and currency. Following the prior session's weak close, the headlines have led participants to bid stocks lower ahead of the opening bell. Stock futures have made a slight pullback in the wake of the latest jobless claims data. Initial jobless claims for the week ending May 16 totaled 631,000, which is above the 625,000 claims that were expected. The latest sum of initial claims marked a decrease of 12,000 from the previous week's upwardly revised 643,000 initial claims. Meanwhile, continuing claims keep climbing to record highs. Most recently, continuing claims reached 6.66 million, up from 6.59 million the week before, and more than the 6.65 million that was expected.
|
| 21.05 14:00 |
HFE about US data
HFE economist Ian Shepherdson says 631k jobless claims are still high. If the recent hike was due to autos, the small dip "begs the question of why claims did not fall further, given that last week's jump was 38K. The uncomfortable suggestion must be that the underlying pace of claims is not slowing" - the pace of layoffs is not dropping sharply.
|
| 21.05 13:45 |
EU stock: FTSE -95.86 (-2.15%) at 4,372.55, CAC -54.54 (-1.65%) at 3,248.83, Dax -90.19 (-1.79%) at 4,948.75 |
| 21.05 13:31 |
USA Jobless claims (week to 16.05) 631К |
| 21.05 13:17 |
European session review: Pound slides as S&P signals Britain may lose top debt rating
Data released ******************************************* 07:00 France PMI (May) flash 43.1 41.0 40.1 07:00 France PMI services (May) flash 47.6 46.8 46.5 07:30 Germany PMI (May) flash 39.1 37.0 35.4 07:30 Germany PMI services (May) flash 46.0 44.2 43.8 08:00 EU(16) PMI (May) flash 40.5 38.3 36.8 08:00 EU(16) PMI services (May) flash 44.7 44.5 43.8 08:30 UK Retail sales (April) 0.9% 0.5% 1.1 (0.3)% 08:30 UK Retail sales (April) Y/Y 2.6% 2.4% 1.5% 08:30 UK M4 money supply (April) provisional 0.1% - 0.2% 08:30 UK M4 money supply (April) provisional Y/Y 17.4% - 17.8% 08:30 UK PSNCR (April), bln 5.2 2.5 28.4
The pound dropped
against every major currency after Standard and Poor’s signaled Britain
may lose its top credit rating for the first time as the government’s
finances deteriorate amid the economic slump. The U.K. currency had
its biggest decline in a week versus the dollar and dropped the most in
two weeks against the euro after S&P lowered the outlook on the
U.K.’s AAA rating to “negative” from “stable.” The dollar traded near an two- month low against the yen amid speculation the U.S. Federal Reserve will print more cash to boost purchases of assets to counter the global slump. The
euro rose to a four-month high against the dollar after a European
manufacturing and services survey beat economists’ forecasts. Britain
would become the fifth western European Union nation to lose its rating
because of the economic slump, following Ireland, Greece, Portugal and
Spain. The U.K. plans to sell a record 220 billion pounds of bonds in
the fiscal year through March 2010 as the recession cuts revenue and
forces the government to raise spending. The U.K.’s budget deficit
this year will reach 175 billion pounds, or 12.4 percent of gross
domestic product, Chancellor of the Exchequer Alistair Darling said on
April 22. The British economy, the second-largest in Europe,
shrank 1.95 in the first quarter, the biggest contraction since 1979,
when Margaret Thatcher became Prime Minister.
EUR/USD
opened in early Europe around $1.3771. Euro-dollar initially
consolidated under the Asian highs, before a quick move to take out
stops through $1.3810. Subsequent S&P revision to the UK outlook
knocked cable down, with euro-dollar in turn slipping 100-points to
$1.3737. Later rate recovered to the $1.3800 area.
GBP/USD opened early Europe at $1.5765. Early
easing found support at $1.5755 before edging back around $1.5800 ahead
of the S&P announcement. Rate immediately dropped to $1.5700, then
– to $1.5210. Later rate recovered above $1.5600.
USD/JPY failed to break under Y94.30 and recovered to current Y95.00/10.
US Labor Department will issue its traditional Jobless claims report at
12:30 GMT. Later, at 14:00 GMT, Philly Fed’s index will be released.
|
| 21.05 12:49 |
OPTIONS: Expiries of note for today's 1400GMT cut,
EUR/USD: $1.3700, $1.3650 USD/JPY: Y94.75, Y95.75, Y96.25 EUR/GBP: stg0.8725, stg0.8750
|
| 21.05 12:32 |
MOODY'S: Confirms UK government AAA sovereign rating |
| 21.05 12:21 |
EU stock slid Thursday
European equity bourses are continuing to trade lower, with the FTSE-100 underperforming. Energy stocks are generally underperforming, weakened as crude prices slip - with Total SA (FP) and BP (BP) weighing heaviest. Mining stocks are also weak, including BHP Billiton (BLT) and Rio Tinto (RIO). The FTSE-100 is currently down 98pts (+2.2%), CAC-40 down 52pts (-1.6%), and Xetra-DAX down 82pts (-1.6%).
|
| 21.05 12:00 |
European focus: Pound slumps after S&P outlook cut
Sterling tumbled on Thursday after the outlook for the UK economy
was thrown into doubt when the country’s sovereign debt ratings were
revised from stable to negative by Standard & Poor’s. Sterling fell 1.2% against the dollar and 1.4% against the euro at one point before recovering. Paul
Mackel, director of currency strategy at HSBC, said the “the knee jerk
reaction is bad for sterling”, but could place pressure on the
government to improve public finances more quickly. UK shares and bonds also recovered after falling sharply on the S&P announcement. Shares dropped
nearly 3% after opening weakly following the Federal Reserves minutes
from its policy meeting last month published on Wednesday, which saw it
reduce its outlook for growth over the next few years. The euro strengthened
0.2% against the dollar following better-than-expected eurzone
purchasing managers’ indices, which was the highest for eight months.
|
| 21.05 11:43 |
Techs on USD/JPY:
Resistance 3:Y96.70 Resistance 2: Y96.20 Resistance 1: Y95.20 Current price: Y95.02 Support 1: Y94.30 Support 2: Y93.50 Support 3: Y92.50 COMMENTS: Support remains around Y94.30 (50% Y87.06 - Y101.44). Break lower to target Y93.50 (March base), ahead of Y92.50 ( 61.8% Y87.06 - Y101.44, February 20 low). Minor resistance Y95.00/20 -hourly peaks and 50% of yesterday’s decline. Stronger level eyed at Y96.20 (May 20 low), ahead of Y96.70 (May 13, 19 peaks).
|
| 21.05 11:24 |
Techs on USD/CHF:
Resistance 3:Chf1.1260 Resistance 2:Chf1.1170 Resistance 1:Chf1.1030 Current price: Chf 1.0998 Support 1:Chf1.0960 Support 2:Chf1.0900 Support 3: Chf1.0860 СOMMENTS: Dollar remains under pressure. Support comes at session lows on Chf1.0960, ahead of daily Bollinger base Chf1.0900. Stronger support is near January 7-8 low Chf1.0860, and channel line from Apr 22 currently at Chf1.0820. Minor resistance eyed around Chf1.1030, ahead of Chf1.1160/80 ( May 19 high/channel resistance). Stronger one lies at Chf1.1260 (May 18 peak).
|
| 21.05 11:18 |
Techs on GBP/USD:
Resistance 3:$1.5800 Resistance 2:$1.5740 Resistance 1:$1.5660 Current price: $1.5656 Support 1: $1.5510 Support 2: $1.5450 Support 3: $1.5260 COMMENTS: Cable recovered after its sell-off amid S&P’ UK economy downgrade report. Support comes at session low on $1.5510, then – at $1.5450. Stronger level is at channel support line from Apr 28 at $1.5260. Strong resistance is at $1.5660 (50% of today’s decline). Above the recovery may extend to $1.5740 and then – to the key resistance near $1.5800/10 (recent highs).
|
| 21.05 10:56 |
Techs on EUR/USD:
Resistance 3: $1.3950 Resistance 2: $1.3900 Resistance 1: $1.3850 Current price: $1.3797 Support 1: $1.3720 Support 2: $1.3670 Support 3: $1.3480 COMMENTS: Rate still holds within the narrow range with the techs hasn’t changed at all. Resistance comes at $1.3850/55 (61.8% $1.4720-1.2457/daily Bollinger top/channel resistance). Push above to target late December peaks near $1.3900, ahead of $1.3940/60 (61.8% proj. $1.2885-1.3720 from $1.3420/ January 5 high), before yield correction. Support comes around $1.3740/20, ahead of May 19 top $1.3670, $1.3580 ( May 20 low), and $1.3480 (channel support and 21-DМА).
|
| 21.05 10:41 |
USD/JPY under pressure
USD/JPY printed lows below Y94.40, but failed to break under Asian base at Y94.28. Significant barrier interest still noted into Y94.00. Offers back around Y94.90/95.15 with stops above.
|
| 21.05 10:26 |
EUR/USD recovers
EUR/USD slowly easing lower, tracking cable slippage. Euro-dollar eases to $1.3741, with demand noted ahead of this level with stops noted below. Rate currently trades around $1.3789.
|
| 21.05 10:10 |
GBP/USD extends S&P losses
GBP/USD extends S&P react losses to $1.5512, currently holding
a bit above – near $1.5558. Rate broke under support at $1.5605/1.5590.
Resistance now comes at $1.5575/80.
|
| 21.05 09:57 |
EU STOCKS: The FTSE-100 drops plummets as S&P downgrades the UK outlook to negative, currently down 125pts (-2.8%), with the CAC-40 down 66pts (-2.0%), and the Xetra-DAX down 98pts (-2.0%). |
| 21.05 09:50 |
Board of orders:
EUR/USD Offers: $1.3820, $1.3850 Bids: $1.3760/50, $1.3730
GBP/USD Offers: $1.5820, $1.5830/35, $1.5850 Bids: $1.5750, $1.5730, $1.5710/00
USD/JPY Offers: Y95.00/15 Bids: Y94.00
AUS/USD Offers: $0.7810/20
EUR/GBP Offers: stg0.8850/55, stg0.8880
|
| 21.05 09:33 |
UK: Retail sales +0.9% M/M; +2.6% Y/Y |
| 21.05 09:33 |
UK: Apr PSNB Stg8.468bn vs Stg1.836bn in Apr 2008 |
| 21.05 09:16 |
OPTIONS: Expiries of note for today's 1400GMT cut,
EUR/USD: $1.3700, $1.3650 USD/JPY: Y94.75, Y95.75, Y96.25
|
| 21.05 09:05 |
EMU: May flash services PMI 44.7 |
| 21.05 09:04 |
EMU: May flash mfg PMI 39.1 |
| 21.05 08:42 |
Asian session: Yen rises to 8-week high after Fed projects a deeper recession
The yen rose to an eight-week high against the dollar after the
U.S. Federal Reserve projected a deeper recession, boosting demand for
the Japanese currency as a refuge from the global slump. The dollar
fell for a third day versus Japan’s currency after minutes of the Fed’s
April meeting released yesterday showed policy makers may buy more
assets to spur a revival in the world’s largest economy. The
central bank projected a fourth-quarter U.S. contraction of 1.3% to 2%
from a year earlier, according to the minutes. That compares with
January projections for a contraction of 0.5% to 1.3%. Former Fed
Chairman Alan Greenspan signaled the financial crisis isn’t over,
warning that U.S. banks need to raise “large” amounts of money. “We’re
on the edge and if this thing doesn’t get resolved quickly I’m
worried,” Greenspan said yesterday before a meeting with House of
Representatives members.
EUR/USD held within the $1.3760/$1.3805 range.
GBP/USD set stable near recent highs between the $1.5760/$1.5810 range.
USD/JPY printed lows on Y94.30 before recovered to Y94.80/90.
The euro traded near a four-month high against the dollar before
a European manufacturing and services report. A composite index of
activity in both industries rose to 42 in May from 41.1 in April,
according to the median estimate in a Bloomberg survey of economists
before today’s report.
|
| 21.05 08:33 |
STOCKS: Monday’s review
Majors close Nikkei +54.35 (+0.6%) 9344.64 Topix +6.54 (+0.7%) 886.30 FTSE -13.84 (-0.31%) 4468.41 DAX +79.32 (+1.60%) 5038.94 CAC +28.41 (+0.87%) 3303.37 Dow -52.81 (-0.62%) 8422.04 NASDAQ -6.70 (-0.39%) 1727.84 S&P -4.66 (-0.51%) 903.47 NYMEX Crude Oil +0.62 (+1.05%) $59.65
Japanese stocks rose as domestic production figures pointed to a bottoming of the economy and resource companies gained on oil and shipping fees. Mitsubishi
Corp. jumped 5% as Goldman, Sachs & Co. recommended the stock.
Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha Ltd. added 4.7% as commodity shipping fees
advanced for a 13th session. T&D Holdings, the nation’s biggest
listed life insurer, plunged 15% . Japan’s gross domestic product shrank an annualized 15.2% in the three months to March 31, the Cabinet Office said. Economists had estimated a 16.1% contraction. T&D
plummeted 15%, driving insurance companies to the biggest decline among
Topix groups. The insurer posted an 89.1 billion yen ($932 million)
loss for the year ended March 31, wider than its 84 billion yen deficit
projection. Nomura Holdings Inc. slashed its rating on the stock to
“reduce” from “buy.” Sony Financial Holdings Inc., which operates
insurance subsidiaries, lost 7.6%. Tokio Marine Holdings Inc., Japan’s
biggest casualty insurer, lost 2.6%. The Nikkei had surged by almost
a third from a 26-year low on March 10 amid optimism government
spending, including stimulus packages in Japan and China worth a
combined $747 billion, will revive economic growth. Stocks on the
Nikkei trade at 1.27 times average book value, compared with 3.04 times
for China’s CSI 300 Index, according to data.
European stocks advanced
for a fifth day, extending a four-month high for the Dow Jones Stoxx
600 Index, as oil and chemical producers rallied and JPMorgan Chase
& Co. recommended airline stocks. Royal Dutch Shell Plc climbed
1.5% as crude traded above $61 a barrel. K+S AG rose 6.7% as HSBC
Holdings Plc advised clients to buy the shares. Air France-KLM Group
jumped 11% after Europe’s biggest carrier reported a narrower-
than-estimated loss and JPMorgan said the European airline industry is
“particularly attractive.” British Airways, Europe’s third-biggest airline, added 1.9%. Lufthansa gained 3.9%. AND
International Publishers Plc soared 14%. The mapmaker said profit more
than tripled and sales more than doubled in the first four months of
this year. The company expects earnings per share to rise about 2 euros
this year, compared with 41 cents in 2008. Eriks NV rallied 17%. The
largest Dutch maker of machinery-sealing rings said SHV Holdings NV
agreed to buy the company for 518.4 million euros.
Stocks finished lower Wednesday, erasing earlier gains, as the Federal Reserve's dour economic outlook outweighed optimism about the health of U.S. banks.
Economy:
According to the minutes from its last policy meeting, the Fed said it
expects 2009 gross domestic product to shrink between 1.3% and 2%. That
compares with January's projection for a decline between 0.5% and 1.3%.
The Fed's staff now expects the unemployment rate to rise to between
9.2% and 9.6%. In January, the jobless rate was forecast to rise to
between 8.5% and 8.8%, but the unemployment rate topped that in April,
hitting 8.9%. Meanwhile, lawmakers passed a bill that imposes
greater restrictions on the credit card industry for raising fees and
interest rates. The approval came despite strong objections by banking
industry advocates, who say it could result in tightened credit to
Americans. Companies: Retailer Target reported
that first-quarter profit fell to 69 cents per share, a 7% decline from
75 cents a year earlier. The results topped analyst expectations of 60
cents per share. Target shares rose more than 2%. Late Tuesday, PC
maker Hewlett-Packard reported quarterly results that were in line with
Wall Street's estimates. The company also said it would cut 6,400 jobs,
or 2% of its workforce. HP shares fell 5%.
|
| 21.05 08:31 |
GERMANY: May flash services PMI 46.0 |
| 21.05 08:29 |
GERMANY: May flash mfg PMI 39.1 |
| 21.05 08:09 |
FOREX: Wednesday’s review
Data released
06:00 Germany PPI (April) -1.4% 0.0% -0.7% 06:00 Germany PPI (April) Y/Y -2.7% -1.3% -0.5% 08:30 UK BoE meeting minutes (06-07.05) 10:00 UK CBI industrial order books balance (May) -56% - -57% 10:00 UK CBI industrial output balance (May) -17% -45% -32% 11:00 Canada CPI (April) -0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 11:00 Canada CPI (April) Y/Y 0.4% 0.6% 1.2% 11:00 Canada CPI excluding food and energy (April) 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 11:00 Canada CPI excluding food and energy (April) Y/Y 1.8% - 1.4% 18:00 USA FOMC meeting minutes (28-29.04) 23:50 Japan Tertiary activity index (March) -1.5% -0.8%
The dollar declined to
the lowest level versus the euro since January as falling currency and
stock volatility spurred speculation investors will seek higher-
yielding assets. The U.S. currency’s decline accelerated after
weakening beyond the level where it traded in March after the Federal
Reserve announced its plan to buy up to $300 billion in Treasuries. New
Zealand’s and Canada’s dollars gained versus the U.S. currency as crude
oil prices rose above $60 a barrel, encouraging demand for currencies
of commodity producers. Sterling advanced as much as 1.2 percent to
$1.5656, the highest level since Dec. 17, as lower Libor rates signaled
credit markets are thawing.
EUR/USD was supported near $1.3580 before it rise to $1.3830. After some retreat, the rate settled at $1.3770. GBP/USD gained from $1.5450 to $1.5800 before declined to $1.5740. USD/JPY was under pressure, slipping from Y96.20 to Y94.70.
In Europe attention will be on manuf. and service PMI indexes of the main EU countries, beginning from France at 07:00 GMT. UK Retail sales data is due to come at 08:30 GMT. US
Labor Department will issue its traditional Jobless claims report at
12:30 GMT. Later, at 14:00 GMT, Philly Fed’s index will be released.
|
| 21.05 08:05 |
FRANCE: May flash service PMI 47.6 |
| 21.05 08:04 |
FRANCE: May flash mfg PMI 43.1 |
| 21.05 07:58 |
Japan's benchmark stock indices ended Thursday's session lower
Japan's benchmark stock indices ended Thursday's session lower,
although shy of the session worst levels, weighed by the renewed
strength of the yen and overnight weakness in U.S. stocks. The Nikkei
225 was higher by 80.49 points, or 0.86%, to stand at 9264.15. The
broader-based TOPIX was 4.86 points lower at 881.44. Volume for theNikkei constituents totalled a preliminary 1.202 bln shares, with 57 issues trading higher, 153 lower and 15 unchanged.
|
| 21.05 07:35 |
Techs on USD/JPY:
Resistance 3:Y96.70 Resistance 2: Y96.20 Resistance 1: Y95.20 Current price: Y94.63 Support 1: Y94.30 Support 2: Y93.50 Support 3: Y92.50 COMMENTS: Support comes around Y94.30 (50% Y87.06 - Y101.44). Break lower to target Y93.50 (March base), ahead of Y92.50 (
61.8% Y87.06 - Y101.44, February 20 low).
Closest resistance Y95.00/20 -hourly peaks and 50% of yesterday downmove. Stronger level eyed at Y96.20 (May 20 low), ahead of Y96.70 (May 13, 19 peaks).
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| 21.05 07:28 |
Techs on USD/CHF:
Resistance 3:Chf1.1260
Resistance 2:Chf1.1170
Resistance 1:Chf1.1030
Current price: Chf 1.1083
Support 1:Chf1.0980
Support 2:Chf1.0900
Support 3: Chf1.0860
СOMMENTS: the pare remain under pressure. Support comes Chf1.0980, ahead of daily Bollinger base Chf1.0900. Stronger support is near January 7-8 low Chf1.0860, and channel line from Apr 22
currently at Chf1.0820. Minor resistance eyed around Chf1.1030, ahead of Chf1.1160/80 ( May 19 high/channel resistance). Stronger one lies at Chf1.1260 ( May 18 peak).
Above the rise may extend to Chf1.1410, then – to Chf1.1600 (Apr 27-28
highs).
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| 21.05 07:21 |
Techs on GBP/USD:
Resistance 3:$1.5930
Resistance 2:$1.5880
Resistance 1:$1.5820
Current price: $1.5787
Support 1: $1.5630
Support 2: $1.5520
Support 3: $1.5420
COMMENTS:Cable keeps positive mood and trades near the closest
resistance - the upper bound of the rising channel since March 11,
currently at $1.5820. Break higher will open the way to the November 11
top $1.5880, ahead of
$1.5920/30 (1.618 of $1.3655-1.4780 from $1.4110/76.4%
rebound of $1.6670downmove). Support comes around $1.5630
(50% $1.5450-$1.5815). Break lower will target May 19 high $1.5520 and the $1.5450/20 area (May 20 base/5-DМА).
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| 21.05 07:14 |
Techs on EUR/USD:
Resistance 3: $1.3950
Resistance 2: $1.3900
Resistance 1: $1.3850
Current price: $1.3788
Support 1: $1.3720
Support 2: $1.3670 Support 3: $1.3480
COMMENTS: break above the key resistance $1.3720/40 (May 12,19 peaks)
- now support- open the way for further appreciation with the primary
target around
$1.3850/55 (61.8% $1.4720-1.2457/daily Bollinger top/channel
resistance). Push above to target late December peaks near $1.3900,
ahead of $1.3940/60 (61.8% proj. $1.2885-1.3720 from $1.3420/ January
5 high),
before yield correction. Support comes around $1.3740/20, ahead of May 19 top $1.3670, $1.3580 ( May 20 low), and $1.3480 (channel support and 21-DМА).
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| 21.05 07:00 |
Major European stocks are initially seen trading lower Thursday, weighed by the late weakness in the US.
Spreadbetters Cantor Index are calling the FTSE down 52, the DAX down 73, the CAC down 51 and the Eurostoxx 50 down 38.
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| 21.05 06:37 |
Crude futures are lower in Asia, as profit-taking weighs after the solid overnight gains.
But the front-month contract remains
well-bid above the $60 level. The front-month contract was last 47
cents lower at $61.57, off the $61.35 lows.
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| 21.05 06:14 |
Daily History for Monday, May’20'2009:
High Low Close EUR/USD 1.3829 1.3582 1.3764
GBP/USD 1.5794 1.5448 1.5738
USD/JPY 96.21 94.67 94.84
USD/CHF 1.1128 1.0966 1.1010
EUR/JPY 131.69 129.70 130.53
EUR/GBP 0.8848 0.8733 0.8744
GBP/JPY 149.83 147.55 149.27
GBP/CHF 1.7359 1.7095 1.7330
Change % Change Last
Nikkei +54.35 (+0.6%) 9344.64 Topix +6.54 (+0.7%) 886.30 FTSE -13.84 (-0.31%) 4468.41 DAX +79.32 (+1.60%) 5038.94 CAC +28.41 (+0.87%) 3303.37 Dow -52.81 (-0.62%) 8422.04 NASDAQ -6.70 (-0.39%) 1727.84 S&P -4.66 (-0.51%) 903.47 NYMEX Crude Oil +0.62 (+1.05%) $59.65
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| 21.05 06:06 |
Schedule for today,Thursday, May’21'2009
Switzerland Ascension Day 07:00 France PMI (May) flash 41.0 40.1 07:00 France PMI services (May) flash 46.8 46.5 07:30 Germany PMI (May) flash 37.0 35.4 07:30 Germany PMI services (May) flash 44.2 43.8 08:00 EU(16) PMI (May) flash 38.3 36.8 08:00 EU(16) PMI services (May) flash 44.5 43.8 08:30 UK Retail sales (April) 0.5% 0.3% 08:30 UK Retail sales (April) Y/Y 2.4% 1.5% 08:30 UK M4 money supply (April) provisional - 0.2% 08:30 UK M4 money supply (April) provisional Y/Y - 17.8% 08:30 UK PSNCR (April), bln 2.5 28.4 12:30 USA Jobless claims (week to 16.05) 630K 637K 14:00 USA Philadelphia Fed index (May) -18.5 -24.4 14:00 USA Leading indicators (April) 0.4% -0.3% 20:30 USA M2 money supply (11.05), bln - +18.9
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