|
|
| 19.09 19:12 |
Rebuilding gains after trading back to near flat, October currently up $3 at $100.88. |
| 19.09 18:48 |
Dow +433.40 at 11453.09, Nasdaq +72.93 at 2272.03, S&P +51.84 at 1258.35
Consumer staples stocks (-0.2%) are still failing to participate in the
session's rally. The sector, however, still boasts the best
year-to-date performance, down just 2.2%. Meanwhile, the S&P 500
is down 14.3% this year.
Primary laggards included Colgate-Palmolive (CL 75.02, -1.86) and
Procter & Gamble (PG 70.33, -0.98). Their names have garnered
attention amid the turmoil in the stock market as investors looked for
companies generating stable and dependable cash flow. They are now
being replaced by riskier holdings as participants find encouragement
by the developments of late.
|
| 19.09 18:28 |
American focus:
The dollar rose the most against the yen in five months as U.S. officials began work on a plan to revive global credit markets.
The yen tumbled against the Australian and New Zealand dollars on bets
investors will buy higher-yielding assets funded in Japan after the
U.S. Treasury and the Federal Reserve proposed cleaning up the balance
sheets of financial firms
``There's a good chance that these extraordinary measures the
authorities are taking will gradually bring confidence back,'' said
Jens Nordvig, a senior currency strategist in New York at Goldman Sachs
Group Inc. ``That makes it possible for risky currencies, such as the
Australian dollar and some emerging-market currencies, to recover after
a large setback.''
U.S. regulators met with lawmakers late yesterday to discuss a plan to
quarantine the devalued mortgage-linked assets at the root of the worst
credit crisis since the Great Depression. Congressional leaders said
they intend to pass legislation within days.
The dollar extended its gain versus the yen today after the Treasury
announced plans to use as much as $50 billion from the country's
Exchange Stabilization Fund to insure money-market mutual fund holdings
against a collapse in financial markets.
The yield on the two-year U.S. Treasury note rose 41 basis points, or
0.41 percentage point, to 2.10 percent, the biggest increase since
February 1985. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index climbed 3.2 percent,
while Europe's Dow Jones Stoxx 600 Index surged 8.1 percent, the most
since it was inaugurated in 1987. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index added 4.6
percent.
Financial firms have raised their outlook for the dollar. The median
forecast of 43 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg News is for the U.S.
currency to end the year at $1.43 against the euro, compared with an
expectation of $1.50 a month ago.
The dollar has dropped 0.6 percent against the yen this week and 1.2
percent versus the euro. The yen has decreased 0.6 percent against
Europe's currency.
Eisuke Sakakibara, 67, a professor at Tokyo's Waseda University who was
dubbed ``Mr. Yen'' because of his ability to influence the
foreign-exchange market during his 1997-1999 tenure at the Finance
Ministry, said in an interview on Bloomberg Television that there's
``no quick fix'' for credit- market turmoil. He said the yen may
strengthen to 100 per dollar this year.
|
| 19.09 17:55 |
Alliance-Bernstein on current market situation
Economist Joe Carson at Alliance-Bernstein says "more extraordinary
policy actions are likely, including another cut in official rates. But
an end to the panic will only come when investors begin to realize that
the economic reality is not as bad as what is priced into financial
markets."
|
| 19.09 17:28 |
USD/JPY under pressure
Lurches back under Y107.00 area for trade to Y106.75 as
euro-yen wilts under Y154.00, perhaps curbing some of that earlier
"risk-appetite." Bids at Y107.00/15 filled, a few more at Y106.70.
|
| 19.09 17:26 |
Dow +388.78 at 11408.47, Nasdaq +71.62 at 2270.72, S&P +47.69 at 1254.20 |
| 19.09 17:08 |
Stocks soar at the open after Paulson and Bernanke seek to soothe investors with another bailout.
The Dow Jones industrial average (INDU) added 404 points, or 3.7% at the open. The Standard & Poor's 500 (SPX) index jumped over 4%. The Nasdaq composite (COMP) gained nearly 5%.
Small cap stocks jumped too, with the Russell 2000 (RUT) up 4%.
Oil prices rallied in the early going, with U.S. light crude oil for October delivery up $5.22 to $103.10 a barrel.
Oil prices had been plummeting since peaking at $147.27 a barrel on
July 11, as investors bet that sluggish global growth will diminish oil
demand. But over the last few sessions, prices have been bouncing back.
COMEX gold for December delivery fell $30.50 per ounce to $866.50 after jumping over $116 per ounce over the last two sessions..
Treasury prices tumbled as investors pulled money out of the safe-haven
investment and poured it into stocks. The slump boosted the yield on
the benchmark 10-year note to 3.78% from 3.54% late Thursday. Treasury prices and yields move in opposite directions.
|
| 19.09 16:18 |
CNBC reporting that Tsy to buy Fannie-Fred MBS in amounts of $10b vs prior announcement of $5b buys. |
| 19.09 16:12 |
Dow +292.03 at 11311.75, Nasdaq +42.97 at 2242.04, S&P +31.98 at 1238.48
Stocks continue to trade with impressive gains, but are off their
morning highs. Posting the largest retreat is the Nasdaq, which pared
a 5.4% advance to its current gain of 2.0%.
One of the Nasdaq's leading movers is Oracle (ORCL 20.56, +1.81).
Oracle's stock was upgraded after the company posted
better-than-expected earnings per share results. Laggards in the index
include mega-cap names like Microsoft (MSFT 24.98, -0.28).
|
| 19.09 15:53 |
SocGen: Tsy plan "is a bold effort".
"Immediately,benefits of more liquidity to the conforming mortgage
sector should be felt. Redemption pressures among the money market
mutual funds should begin abating."
|
| 19.09 15:52 |
Dow +329.51 at 11349.20, Nasdaq +56.71 at 2255.81, S&P +35.14 at 1241.65
Treasury Secretary Paulson announces in a speech that further decisive
action is needed to restore confidence in the financial system. A lack
of confidence can undermine liquidity and choke economic growth.
Efforts to restore confidence and liquidity need to be big enough to
make a difference, which Paulson quantified to be in the hundreds of
billions of dollars.
Details of plans will be hashed out over the weekend, according to
Paulson. The plan is intended to protect tax payers as much as
possible.
Part of the plan will hinge on Fannie Mae (FNM 0.65, +0.16) and Freddie
Mac (FRE 0.50, +0.17). The two will increase purchases of
mortgage-backed securities, extending the plan announced earlier this
month.
President Bush is scheduled to speak in regard to the economy shortly.
|
| 19.09 15:27 |
US TSY: Sec Paulson says is talking about legislation that will total hundreds of billions to clear mtg mkt. Will work on legislation through the weekend. |
| 19.09 15:02 |
Dow +422.57 at 11442.26, Nasdaq +79.99 at 2279.09, S&P +47.55 at 1254.06
All ten of the economic sectors are showing gains as the mood among investors improves and prompts buying.
September options are scheduled to expire this session, which can
compound the session's trading volume. Volume on the NYSE in the prior
session almost hit 2.5 billion shares.
Participants continue to await comments from the Treasury Department,
which is holding a conference that is set to begin shortly.
|
| 19.09 14:27 |
WTI Nymex crude oil hits 6-day highs above $102.24. |
| 19.09 14:15 |
Before the bell: market to open higher.[M]
Stock futures continue to indicate the major indices will open with
impressive gains: S&P futures vs fair value: +58.60. Nasdaq futures
vs fair value: +65.30.
Just announced by CNBC, the Federal Reserve is announcing plans to help
stabilize money market funds with loans to banks. The Fed will provide
a liquidity facility to help provide backstops by purchasing notes from
primary dealers. Cintas (CTAS) announced it earned $0.51 per share for
its first fiscal quarter. Analysts were looking for $0.52 per share,
on average. The shares were downgraded to Sell from Hold at
Citigroup. Oracle (ORCL) surpassed analysts' consensus estimate by
$0.02, bringing in $0.29 per share. The shares were upgraded to Buy
from Neutral at Piper Jaffray. Palm (PALM) posted a first quarter
adjusted loss of $0.12 per share, which is actually less severe than
the $0.18 per share loss that was widely anticipated. Texas
Instruments (TXN) announced it is giving its quarterly dividend a 10%
increase to $0.11 per share.
The renewed interest in stocks has pushed Treasuries substantially
lower. The 10-year Note is currently indicated to be down by 65 ticks,
pushing its yield up to 3.79%. That marks its highest yield in weeks.
In light of the recent Fed and Treasury efforts, the overnight LIBOR
rate has fallen to 3.25% from 3.84% Thursday.
|
| 19.09 14:06 |
WTI Nymex crude oil trades at $101.25 level -- up $3.37 on session, on back of continued optimism over US financial rescue plan and supply concerns in Nigeria. |
| 19.09 13:51 |
EUR/USD gains further
Breaking above $1.4245, which if cleared seen as last resistance ahead
of a retest on earlier recovery highs at $1.4260, one trader suggests.
Offers noted between $1.4260/65, with stops above, which if triggered
then opens a move on toward $1.4280/85 ahead of $1.4300/05. Main bids
remain in place back toward $1.4200.
|
| 19.09 13:40 |
European session: [M]
The dollar rose the most in more than
five months against the yen as central banks pumped cash into global
credit markets and U.S. officials said they were developing a plan to
stop financial institutions from failing. The currency also gained
for the first time in three days versus the euro as Treasury Secretary
Henry Paulson and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke proposed
moving troubled assets from the balance sheets of American financial
companies into a new institution. The yen fell for a third day against
the Australian and New Zealand dollars as investors bought higher-
yielding assets funded in the Japanese currency. `This will put an
end to the banking crisis,'' said David Woo, London-based head of
foreign-exchange strategy at Barclays Capital, the third-biggest
currency trader. ``But people underestimate how long it will take to
get this thing through Congress.'' Investors are gaining
confidence after the Fed agreed with global central banks to almost
quadruple the amount of dollars they can provide to money markets to
$247 billion. The cost of borrowing in dollars overnight surged the
most in its history on Sept. 16 after Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc.
filed the biggest bankruptcy in history and the U.S. government took
control of American International Group Inc. U.S. regulators met
with lawmakers late yesterday to discuss a plan to clean up the
devalued mortgage-linked assets at the root of the worst credit crisis
since the Great Depression. Congressional leaders said they intend to
pass legislation within days. ``I fear this issue is not going to
be resolved within the timetable that the market is looking for, but at
least it is now even more actively being discussed,'' London-based
David Simmonds, head of currency research at Royal Bank of Scotland
Group Plc, wrote in a note to clients today. Banks have raised
their forecasts for the dollar. The median estimate in a Bloomberg News
survey of 41 analysts is for the U.S. currency to end the year at $1.44
against the euro. It was $1.50 per euro a month ago. The dollar still headed for a weekly decline versus the Japanese currency. ``I
wouldn't have too much confidence in U.S. assets yet, because we don't
know how the situation is going to play out,'' said Naomi Fink, a
Tokyo-based strategist at Bank of Tokyo- Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd. The yen
may strengthen to 100 this year as traders cut holdings of
higher-yielding overseas assets funded with Japan's currency, known as
carry trades, Eisuke Sakakibara, a former currency-policy official in
Japan, said in a Bloomberg television interview. There is ``no quick
fix'' for the credit- market turmoil, he said. The yen dropped
against higher-yielding currencies today as appetite for carry trades
rebounded. It fell 3.4 percent to 86.90 versus Australia's dollar and
1.6 percent to 72.12 against New Zealand's dollar. ``The last 12
to 18 hours have been an unambiguous good for the financial world and
the global economy,'' said Peter Pontikis, a treasury strategist at
Suncorp-Metway Ltd. in Brisbane, Australia. ``The first response is the
yen isn't an attractive asset now.''
|
| 19.09 12:24 |
GERMANY ECOMIN: Domestic 2008 GDP likely to hit 1.7% forecast |
| 19.09 12:08 |
European session: [M]
The dollar rose the most in more than five months against the yen as
central banks pumped cash into global credit markets and U.S. officials
said they were developing a plan to stop financial institutions from
failing.
The currency also gained for the first time in three days versus the
euro as Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson and Federal Reserve Chairman
Ben S. Bernanke proposed moving troubled assets from the balance sheets
of American financial companies into a new institution. The yen fell
for a third day against the Australian and New Zealand dollars as
investors bought higher- yielding assets funded in the Japanese
currency.
`This will put an end to the banking crisis,'' said David Woo,
London-based head of foreign-exchange strategy at Barclays Capital, the
third-biggest currency trader. ``But people underestimate how long it
will take to get this thing through Congress.''
Investors are gaining confidence after the Fed agreed with global
central banks to almost quadruple the amount of dollars they can
provide to money markets to $247 billion. The cost of borrowing in
dollars overnight surged the most in its history on Sept. 16 after
Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. filed the biggest bankruptcy in history
and the U.S. government took control of American International Group
Inc.
U.S. regulators met with lawmakers late yesterday to discuss a plan to
clean up the devalued mortgage-linked assets at the root of the worst
credit crisis since the Great Depression. Congressional leaders said
they intend to pass legislation within days.
``I fear this issue is not going to be resolved within the timetable
that the market is looking for, but at least it is now even more
actively being discussed,'' London-based David Simmonds, head of
currency research at Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc, wrote in a note
to clients today.
Banks have raised their forecasts for the dollar. The median estimate
in a Bloomberg News survey of 41 analysts is for the U.S. currency to
end the year at $1.44 against the euro. It was $1.50 per euro a month
ago.
The dollar still headed for a weekly decline versus the Japanese currency.
``I wouldn't have too much confidence in U.S. assets yet, because we
don't know how the situation is going to play out,'' said Naomi Fink, a
Tokyo-based strategist at Bank of Tokyo- Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd.
The yen may strengthen to 100 this year as traders cut holdings of
higher-yielding overseas assets funded with Japan's currency, known as
carry trades, Eisuke Sakakibara, a former currency-policy official in
Japan, said in a Bloomberg television interview. There is ``no quick
fix'' for the credit- market turmoil, he said.
The yen dropped against higher-yielding currencies today as appetite
for carry trades rebounded. It fell 3.4 percent to 86.90 versus
Australia's dollar and 1.6 percent to 72.12 against New Zealand's
dollar.
``The last 12 to 18 hours have been an unambiguous good for the
financial world and the global economy,'' said Peter Pontikis, a
treasury strategist at Suncorp-Metway Ltd. in Brisbane, Australia.
``The first response is the yen isn't an attractive asset now.''
|
| 19.09 11:44 |
USD/JPY techs:
Resistance 3: Y110.60
Resistance 2: Y109.00
Resistance 1: Y107.80
Current price: Y107,41
Support 1: Y105.70
Support 2: Y104.00
Support 3: Y103.30
Comments: The pair has tested resistance on Y107.80/90 (Sep 11 high). Above the target comes
at Y109.00 with stronger – on Y110.60 (Aug 15 highs). Support is around
session low on Y105.70. Below losses may widen to Thursday’s low on
Y104.00 and then – to stronger support at Y103.30 (trend line from Mar 17).
|
| 19.09 11:34 |
USD/CHF techs:
Resistance 3: Chf1.1410
Resistance 2: Chf1.1320
Resistance 1: Chf1.1260
Current price: Chf1.1233
Support 1: Chf1.0880
Supporrt 2: Chf1.0840
Suppot 3: Chf1.0720
Comments: The pair has tested resistance on Chf1.1260 (Sep 16 high) with stronger level comes on Chf1.1320 (earlier broken
channel support line from Jul 16). Above the target is around Sep 11
high on Chf1.1410/20. Break under Chf1.0880 will widen losses to Aug 21
lows on Chf1.0840 and then – to Chf1.0720 (50% Fibo).
|
| 19.09 10:42 |
GBP/USD techs:
Resistance 3: $1.8460 Resistance 2: $1.8165
Resistance 1: $1.8080
Current price: $1.7960
Support 1: $1.7915
Support 2: $1.7840
Support 3: $1.7740
Comments: GBP/USD
is under pressure Friday amid general dollar’s demand. Support comes at session low on $1.7915, then – on $1.7840. Next band of
support comes at Sep 13 low on $1.7730/40. If recover resumes, upside
target comes at $1.8080 with stronger level is around yesterday’s high
on $1.8165/70. Key resistance comes at 38.2% Fibo of $2.0132 - $1.7640
decline on $1.8460/70.
|
| 19.09 10:22 |
EUR/USD techs:
Resistance 3:$1.4500 Resistance 2: $1.4360
Resistance 1: $1.4270
Current price: $1.4185
Support 1: $1.4180
Support 2: $1.4080
Support 3: $1.4000
Comments: Tech on euro hasn't changed.
Rate is close to channel support line from Sep 11 on $1.4180 with a
break under will open the way to Sep 16 low on $1.4075/80. Below losses
extends to $1.4000. Resistance is around 23.6%Fibo from yesterday’s
high – at $1.4270/80 with stronger level at $1.4360. Key resistance
remains near channel line from Jul 22 on $1.4500/10.
|
| 19.09 10:06 |
OPTIONS: Expiries of note for today's 1400GMT cut
EUR/USD $1.4240, $1.4000, $1.4600
USD/JPY Y105.00, Y106.50
USD/CAD C$1.0620
|
| 19.09 09:38 |
Asian session: [M]
The dollar rose the most in a month against the yen as central banks
pumped cash into global credit markets and U.S. officials said they
were developing a plan to stop banks from failing.
The currency gained for the first time in three days versus the euro as
Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S.
Bernanke proposed moving troubled assets from the balance sheets of
American financial companies into a new institution. The yen fell for a
third day against the Australian and New Zealand dollars as investors
bought higher-yielding assets funded in the Japanese currency.
Investors are gaining confidence after the Fed agreed with global
central banks to almost quadruple the amount of dollars they can
provide to money markets to $247 billion. The cost of borrowing in
dollars for three months jumped the most since 1999 on Sept. 17 after
Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. filed for the biggest bankruptcy in
history and a U.S. government rescue of American International Group
Inc. failed to calm investors.
U.S. regulators met with lawmakers late yesterday to the discuss a plan
to clean up the devalued mortgage-linked assets at the root of the
worst credit crisis since the Great Depression. Congressional leaders
said they intend to pass legislation within days.
The dollar is still heading for a weekly decline versus the yen on
speculation credit-market losses will deepen, adding to signs that the
world's largest economy may slow further.
EUR/USD the pair has decreased and has established sessional low on $1,4150. Then a rate has receded in area $1,4180 a little.
GBP/USD dollar continues to become stronger. The rate, having opened on a mark $1,8155, has decreased in area $1,7915.
USD/JPY the pair has established a session high having reached mark Y07,70.
Today to not be expected publications of any statistical data.
|
| 19.09 09:13 |
FOREX. Thursday summary
The dollar touched a two-week low versus the euro after the world's
biggest central banks said they will act to revive financial markets,
reducing demand for the greenback as a haven.
The yen dropped versus the New Zealand and Australian dollars as the
Federal Reserve, Bank of Japan and European Central Bank joined global
counterparts to reverse the seizure in credit markets, reviving demand
for higher-yielding assets. The dollar remained lower versus the euro
as U.S. initial jobless claims unexpectedly increased last week.
The Fed said in a statement on its Web site it authorized other central
banks to auction $180 billion in dollar funds to financial
institutions. The ECB will offer up to $40 billion for one day today
and increase the amount of dollars provided to European banks in
existing longer-term auctions, it said
The U.S. currency remained lower versus the euro as the Labor
Department reported that the number of Americans filing first-time
claims for unemployment benefits increased to 455,000 in the week ended
Sept. 13, from 445,000 in the previous week. The median forecast of 38
economists surveyed by Bloomberg News was for a drop to 440,000.
EUR/USD after growth in first half of day could will become stronger up to $1.4542 then has failed in area $1,4285.
GBP/USD Position of pound versus dollar have not changed. The
pair the beginning session on $1,8139, after changeable trade during
day within the limits of $1,8080-$ 1,8280, has finished Thursday on
$1,8145.
USD/JPY having begun the trade on Y104.31, the rate could will become stronger in second half of day in area Y105,70.
|
| 19.09 08:40 |
Stock market: Tuesday summary
Japanese stocks tumbled to a near four-year low on concern more
global financial firms will fail after the U.S. government took over
American International Group Inc. and Morgan Stanley was said to be
seeking a buyer.
Nomura Holdings Inc., Japan's biggest
brokerage, dived 6.4 percent to the lowest in five years, while
Nipponkoa Insurance Co. sank 10 percent. Sony Corp. lost the most in
five years after Goldman Sachs Group Inc. cut its rating. Sumitomo
Metal Mining Co., the nation's biggest gold producer, jumped 7.2
percent after gold prices surged the most in nine years.
The
Topix index fell 23.75, or 2.1 percent, to close at 1,097.68 in Tokyo,
the lowest since December 2004. The Nikkei 225 Stock Average declined
260.49, or 2.2 percent, to 11,489.30, a level not seen since June 2005.
All but six of 33 industry groups on the Topix retreated.
European stocks fell for a fourth day
as slower profit growth at Pernod-Ricard SA weighed on food and
beverage companies and some investors speculated plans by the world's
largest central banks to inject $247 billion into the financial system
won't be enough to stop the industry's slump.
Pernod declined 9.9
percent after reporting the smallest earnings increase in three years
and saying weaker economies will hamper growth. Barclays Plc retreated
5.3 percent after raising 701 million pounds ($1.3 billion) in a share
sale. British Airways Plc sank 11 percent as financial-industry
bankruptcies and job losses threaten trans-Atlantic business travel,
the carrier's most lucrative market.
Banks are the worst
performers among 18 industries the Stoxx 600 this year, losing 40
percent as a group. More than $19 trillion has been wiped off global
stock-market value since Oct. 31 as the worst U.S. housing recession
since the Great Depression and more than $500 billion in credit losses
and writedowns at banks slowed the world economy.
Lloyds TSB Group
Plc, the bank that considered buying Northern Rock Plc, sank 15 percent
to 237.5 pence after it agreed to acquire HBOS Plc for 232 pence a
share, or about 12.2 billion pounds, to create a lender that controls
more than a quarter of the U.K. mortgage market. HBOS soared 17 percent
to 172.6 pence.
Heineken NV, the biggest Dutch brewer, decreased 3.5 percent to 29.87 euros.
British
Airways slumped 11 percent to 217 pence. Airlines worldwide experienced
a ``sharp slowdown'' in growth of passenger numbers in July as first-
and business-class travel declined, the International Air Transport
Association said today in a statement.
Air France-KLM Group,
Europe's largest airline, fell 3.1 percent to 15.735 euros. Deutsche
Lufthansa AG, the second- biggest, decreased 3.2 percent to 14.28
euros.
U.S.
stocks tumbled as bank lending seized up in the wake of the
government's takeover of American International Group Inc., raising
concern that more of the nation's biggest financial companies will fail.
Goldman
Sachs Group Inc. and Morgan Stanley, the two remaining independent U.S.
securities firms after Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. collapsed and
Merrill Lynch & Co. was taken over, plunged the most ever. General
Electric Co., the world's third-biggest company, fell 8.7 percent and
U.S. Steel Corp. slid 11 percent. Yields on three-month Treasury bills
sank to a 54-year low as investors sought the relative safety of
government debt, and a measure of corporate borrowing costs surged to
the highest since the crash of 1987.
Gold and silver surged as
investors turned to precious metals as a store of value. Newmont Mining
Corp., the largest U.S. gold producer, rose 12 percent to $42.25 for
the second- biggest gain in the S&P 500. AIG, the largest U.S.
insurer by assets, lost $1.44, or 38 percent, to $2.31 and extended its
decline over the past year to 97 percent, after the government said it
will receive a 79.9 percent stake in return for an $85 billion loan
that analysts said will be repaid by liquidating the company. Goldman
slid $32.68, or 25 percent, to $100.33, its steepest drop ever.
Oppenheimer cut its fourth-quarter earnings estimate to $2.60 a share
from $3.45.
|
| 19.09 08:23 |
USD/JPY techs:
Resistance 3: Y110.60
Resistance 2: Y109.00
Resistance 1: Y107.80
Current price: Y107,29
Support 1: Y105.70
Support 2: Y104.00
Support 3: Y103.30
Comments: The dollar gained versus the yen for a second day. Dollar printed
double bottom on 4-hours charts, suggesting the recovery may continue.
Resistance is around Sep 11 high on Y107.80/90. Above the target comes
at Y109.00 with stronger – on Y110.60 (Aug 15 highs). Support is around
session low on Y105.70. Below losses may widen to Thursday’s low on
Y104.00 and then – to stronger support at Y103.30 (trend line from Mar 17).
|
| 19.09 08:04 |
USD/CHF techs:
Resistance 3: Chf1.1410
Resistance 2: Chf1.1320
Resistance 1: Chf1.1260
Current price: Chf1.1191
Support 1: Chf1.0880
Supporrt 2: Chf1.0840
Suppot 3: Chf1.0720
Comments: On Thursday, USD/CHF fell down to almost Chf1.0880 support
((38.2% of Chf1.0012 – Chf1.1422 rally) before rebounded sharply and
currently rate looks optimistic. Resistance is near Sep 16 high on
Chf1.1260 with stronger level comes on Chf1.1320 (earlier broken
channel support line from Jul 16). Above the target is around Sep 11
high on Chf1.1410/20. Break under Chf1.0880 will widen losses to Aug 21
lows on Chf1.0840 and then – to Chf1.0720 (50% Fibo).
|
| 19.09 07:42 |
GBP/USD techs:
Resistance 3: $1.8460
Resistance 2: $1.8165
Resistance 1: $1.8080
Current price: $1.8069
Support 1: $1.7980
Support 2: $1.7840
Support 3: $1.7740
Comments: GBP/USD
is under pressure Friday amid general dollar’s demand. Support comes at
8-days channel line on $1.7970/80, then – on $1.7840. Next band of
support comes at Sep 13 low on $1.7730/40. If recover resumes, upside
target comes at $1.8080 with stronger level is around yesterday’s high
on $1.8165/70. Key resistance comes at 38.2% Fibo of $2.0132 - $1.7640
decline on $1.8460/70.
|
| 19.09 07:26 |
EUR/USD techs:
Resistance 3:$1.4500
Resistance 2: $1.4360
Resistance 1: $1.4270
Current price: $1.4210
Support 1: $1.4180
Support 2: $1.4080
Support 3: $1.4000
Comments: EUR/USD fell on U.S. government plans to revive credit markets and
prevent further finance industry collapses. The Fed almost quadrupled
the amount of dollars central banks can auction around the world to
$247 billion in a coordinated bid to ease the worst crisis facing
financial markets since the aftermath of the 1929 Wall Street crash.
Rate is close to channel support line from Sep 11 on $1.4180 with a
break under will open the way to Sep 16 low on $1.4075/80. Below losses
extends to $1.4000. Resistance is around 23.6%Fibo from yesterday’s
high – at $1.4270/80 with stronger level at $1.4360. Key resistance
remains near channel line from Jul 22 on $1.4500/10.
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| 19.09 07:00 |
Germany PPI (August) -0.6%, Y/Y 8.1% |
| 19.09 06:18 |
Schedule for today, Friday, Sep 19, 2008
05:00 Japan Leading composite indicators (July) final 61,4 91,6
05:00 Japan Coincident Index (Jul) 103,5 103.3
06:00 Germany PPI (August) Y/Y 8,9%
06:00 Germany PPI (August) 2.
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