| 15.04 18:48 |
Hot stocks: Citigroup, Delta, J&J
Affymetrix Inc lowers its full-year revenue forecast.
Citigroup, Inc cut his 2008 and 2009 earnings estimates for the biggest U.S. bank, citing a slowdown in consumer finance and capital-markets growth.
Compuware Corp reported fourth-quarter sales and earnings that exceeded analysts' estimates.
Crocs Inc will layoff 600 Canadian plant workers after lowering annual earnings and sales forecasts as consumer spending slowed.
Delta Air Lines Inc and Northwest Airlines Corp. announced a merger that would create the world's largest carrier.
Intel Corporation is expected to post a narrow gain in earnings per share when it reports earnings after the closing bell.
First-quarter net income of Johnson & Johnson rose 40%.
|
| 15.04 18:34 |
Ruesch International about euro
“The
market is starting to price in more aggressively a euro-zone slowdown,” said
Omer Esiner, analyst at Ruesch International Inc. “We're forming a triple top
around $1.59. Every time we get up here, the euro loses steam. But $1.62 is in
the realm of possibility.”
|
| 15.04 18:22 |
Bank of New York on TICS data
Michael Woolfolk, economist at Bank of New York: “Today's TICS report
dovetailed with U.S. PPI and Empire Manufacturing to knock the wind out of
dollar bears who are searching this week for a catalyst to test the 1.6000
barrier in the euro/dollar.”
|
| 15.04 18:09 |
GBP/USD tries to rebound
GBP/USD slid to lows near $1.9600, where bids
were mentioned. Currently rate holds near $1.9619.
|
| 15.04 17:56 |
EUR/USD weakens
EUR/USD triggered bids and stops in the $1.5770
area, sliding to a new session low on $1.5750, where bids were mentioned
earlier.
|
| 15.04 17:40 |
EU stocks closed higher Tuesday: the CAC40 +14.19 points (to 4780.68), the FTSE-100 +75.30 points (to 5906.90), DAX +30.56 points (to 6585.05) |
| 15.04 17:27 |
American focus: Dollar rises versus Euro as wholesale prices, factories gain [M]
The dollar rose
against the euro and yen as reports showed U.S.
wholesale prices advanced almost twice as much as forecast in March and New York state
manufacturing unexpectedly expanded this month. The British pound fell to the all- time low per euro after
a report showed the U.K.
housing slump is the worst since 1978. The euro
dropped from an intraday high of $1.5875 after the ZEW
Center for European Economic Research
showed investor confidence in Germany
unexpectedly fell this month. European
Central Bank council member Yves Mersch said in an April 12 interview in Washington that the
central bank has no room to lower borrowing costs with inflation likely to
breach the bank's 2 percent preferred limit in 2009. The New
York Fed's general economic index, which measures manufacturing in the state,
rose to 0.6 in
April from minus 22.2 in
March, the bank said. The median forecast was minus 17. The Fed has lowered its target rate for
overnight bank lending by 3% since September to 2.25%.
|
| 15.04 16:53 |
USD/JPY strengthens
USD/JPY holds near Y101.50 as the
greenback holding a modestly positive tone across several pairs. Earlier highs
were marked at Y101.69 but offers remain in
place atop Y101.80 still.
|
| 15.04 16:47 |
New York at Bank of New York Mellon is positive on dollar
“The outlook for the
dollar is favorable,” said Michael Woolfolk, senior currency strategist in New York at Bank of New
York Mellon. “The Fed cannot keep cutting interest rates aggressively. The
economy is not deteriorating as rapidly as people thought.”
|
| 15.04 16:35 |
OPTIONS: Expiries of note for Wednesday's 1400GMT cut,
EUR/USD: $1.5685, $1.5540 USD/JPY: Y101.00, Y100.00, Y102.00 EUR/JPY: Y160.85, Y161.00 AUS/USD: $0.9200, $0.8950
|
| 15.04 16:19 |
GBP/USD under pressure
GBP/USD easing to $1.9625 ahead of the London close. Some noting the option strike ahead of $1.9600. Bids seen $1.9615/00 with stops below.
|
| 15.04 16:07 |
JPM says it is too early to estimate ISM using Empire data, but a higher NY index gives hope that mfg is stabilizing. |
| 15.04 15:59 |
Stocks struggle to stay positive
Blue chips rose and the broader market meandered Tuesday morning as
investors eyed record oil and gas prices, a mild reading on core
inflation, a strong regional manufacturing report and earnings from
Johnson & Johnson and others..
Delta Air Lines announced a long-expected deal to buy Northwest
Airlines for about $3.1 billion in a move that will create the world's
largest airline. Delta shares fell 9% and Northwest shares
fell 4%. Shares of other airlines also trended lower, amid questions
about how this might lead to a broader consolidation in the industry.
Johnson & Johnson,
the maker of drugs and healthcare products, reported higher quarterly
sales and earnings that topped estimates. Shares of the Dow component
were little changed.
US Bancorp reported
weaker earnings and higher sales, all of which topped forecasts. The
bank attributed its weaker earnings to the mortgage market fallout, but
said its credit problems are manageable. Nonetheless, shares dipped.
On the downside, Crocs
plunged nearly 40% and topped the Nasdaq's most-actives list after the
shoe retailer warned late Monday that first-quarter earnings won't meet
forecasts.
Housing bust continues. Foreclosure filings jumped 57% in March versus
a year earlier, according to an industry study from RealtyTrac. The
March figure was also up 5% from the previous month.
Commodity prices. U.S. light crude oil
for May delivery rose $1.59 to $113.35 a barrel on the New York
Mercantile Exchange after hitting a record $113.93 in electronic
trading.
The national average price for a gallon of regular unleaded gas hit an all-time record of $3.386, AAA reported.
COMEX gold for June delivery rose $2.80 to $931.50 an ounce.
Treasury prices fell, raising the yield on the benchmark 10-year note
to 3.54% from 3.51% late Monday. Bond prices and yields move in
opposite directions.
|
| 15.04 15:57 |
Nomura on TICS
"The Treasury International Capital System (TICS) report shows that net
foreign inflows rose from about $57 billion the two previous months to
about $72.5 billion in February. Private sector purchases of U.S.
Treasures rose by $24.1 billion after declining the two previous months
but "official" institutions reduced their holdings. Among other asset
classes, foreign purchases of agencies topped smaller inflows into the
corporate bond market and still small investments in corporate stocks."
|
| 15.04 15:21 |
Dow +25.89 at 12328.19, Nasdaq -3.68 at 2272.14, S&P +0.96 at 1329.07
Stocks get a modest lift from a recovery within the financial sector
(+0.5%). The major indices are now trading in mixed fashion, with the
Nasdaq posting a slight loss.
|
| 15.04 15:02 |
HFE on Empire State survey index
"Empire State survey index jumped to 0.6 from -22.2, far above
the consensus, -17.0. Reports like this give regional surveys a (mostly
deserved) bad name. It is inconceivable to us that real business
conditions have improved to this degree in the NY region over the past
month, so we strongly recommend taking no notice at all of the headline
number. The subindexes were stronger than in March but the rise in new
orders, to 0.1 from -4.7, seems much more plausible than the headline.
It is tempting to blame seasonal adjustment chaos, due to the
exceptionally early Easter, for the jump in the headline but we cannot
be sure. Either way, don't take it seriously."
|
| 15.04 14:49 |
Dow +16.85 at 12318.18, Nasdaq -0.64 at 2275.22, S&P +0.54 at 1328.90 |
| 15.04 14:34 |
BAS on PPI:
"While we expect the softer economy to reduce finished
goods price pressures in the months ahead, the persistent and resurgent
cost increases have raised Fed anxiety over its inflation-fighting
credibility."
|
| 15.04 14:16 |
Dow +63.10 at 12364.10, Nasdaq +8.43 at 2284.25, S&P +5.51 at 1333.83
The stock market slips in its best levels, but remains in the green. Nine of the ten economic sectors are posting a gain.
Financials (+1.1%) are leading the way in response to the better than
expected earnings results from US Bancorp (USB 31.94, +0.27) and
Northern Trust (NTRS 66.88, +1.88).
Consumer discretionary (-0.2%) and healthcare (-0.1%) are the main laggards.
|
| 15.04 13:55 |
RBC on PPI
RBC analyst TJ Marta: PPI "will cause the market to focus a more on
the inflation problems confronting the Fed, although the Empire figure
does not likely reflect the overall economy, but rather the one sector
that is benefiting most from the weak US$. The combination of high
inflation and slow growth continues to augur for "stagflation-lite"."
|
| 15.04 13:45 |
Dow +64.48 at 12366.13, Nasdaq +12.40 at 2288.00, S&P +7.37 at 1335.69
The stock market opens on a strong note. Lifting the market is better
than expected earnings from Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), US Bancorp
(USB), State Street (STT) and Northern Trust (NTRS).
Also fueling some buying interest is word that Delta Air Lines (DAL) is
going to acquire Northwest Airlines (NWA). Each share of Northwest
will be worth 1.25 shares of Delta.
|
| 15.04 13:22 |
Before the bell: Wall Street to open higher
Futures (S&P futures vs fair value: +6.2. Nasdaq futures vs fair
value: +4.5.) manage to extend their gains despite a higher than
expected inflation reading. Just reported, March Producer Price Index (PPI)
rose 1.1% month over month, compared to the expected 0.6% rise. PPI
excluding food & energy gained 0.2%, which matched the consensus
estimate. That leaves PPI up 6.9% year over year, and PPI excluding
food & energy up 2.7%. Separately, the April Empire Manufacturing reading came in at +0.6. Economists expected a reading of -17.0. In earnings news, Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) reported earnings of $1.26 per share, which topped expectations by six cents. Charles Schwab (SCHW) reported earnings of $0.26, which met expectations.
|
| 15.04 13:02 |
U.S. February TIC data:
Net foreign purchases of US L-T securities were $72.5 bn with net
foreign purchases of L-T secs of $82.8 bn offset by $10.2 bn of foreign
securities buying by US residents.
|
| 15.04 12:49 |
Dollar gains in the wake of the morning data
Empire data
come stronger than expected and PPI double expectations. EUR/USD posted low at $1.5786 before returned to $1.5810. Offers now seen placed to $1.5860
(76.4% $1.5875/1.5815), a break above to open a push back toward the
earlier rally highs at $1.5875.
|
| 15.04 12:33 |
US: NY Fed Empire State Index 0.63 Apr vs -22.23 March |
| 15.04 12:30 |
US: Mar PPI +1.1% , core +0.2% |
| 15.04 12:17 |
European session: Euro renaines near record high after German confidence report [M]
The euro traded near a record
high against the dollar on speculation inflation in the common-
currency region is too strong for the European Central Bank to cut
interest rates.
French inflation accelerated in March to the fastest pace in at least
12 years, a government report showed today. The euro stayed higher
against the dollar even as a separate report showed investor confidence
in Germany unexpectedly fell this month. The pound slid to an all-time
low versus the euro amid evidence the U.K. housing slump is the worst
since 1978.
EUR/USD traded within the $1.5810/70 range before stabilized at $1.5840. Offers now seen placed to $1.5860
(76.4% $1.5875/1.5815), a break above to open a push back toward the
earlier rally highs at $1.5875. Bids remain in place between $1.5815/10.
GBP/USD retreated
to session low on $1.9660. Cable bids $1.9660/50, $1.9710/00. Offers $1.9720/30, $1.9750-70.
USD/JPY got support at Y100.80 before bounsed back above the figure. Offers Y101.50, Y102.00, bids Y100.80, Y100.30/00 US
data start at 1230GMT with Producer Price Index ( Last +0.3% Fcast
+0.6%), PPI ex food & energy (+0.5% Fcast +0.2%) and
Apr-08 NY Fed Empire State Survey. At 1300GMT Feb-08 Tsy Intl Capital System is due.
|
| 15.04 11:59 |
WTI Nymex crude oil extend gains and hits fresh record highs above $113.00. |
| 15.04 11:48 |
ECB GARGANAS: Sees possible US recession this year. |
| 15.04 11:28 |
OPEC; Current OPEC output enough to meet demand growth, build stocks further
- Q2 seasonal demand drop could be more pronounced on slowing US economy
- OPECleaves 2008 world oil demand growth forecast unchanged at 1.2 mln bpd
- OPEC trims 2008 non-OPEC supply forecast by about 90,000 bpd to 50.28 mln bpd. (OPEC monthly oil report/Rtrs)
|
| 15.04 11:04 |
WTI Nymex crude oil reverses earlier losses and hits fresh record highs above $112.48 -- traders note supply disruptions in US & Nigeria. |
| 15.04 10:50 |
European focus: inflation to support the euro
The
euro traded near a record high against the dollar on speculation
inflation in the common- currency region is too strong for the European
Central Bank to cut interest rates.
French inflation accelerated in March to the fastest pace in at least
12 years, a government report showed today. The euro stayed higher
against the dollar even as a separate report showed investor confidence
in Germany unexpectedly fell this month. The pound slid to an all-time
low versus the euro amid evidence the U.K. housing slump is the worst
since 1978.
Consumer prices in France climbed by an annual 3.5 percent, up from 3.2
percent in February, based on European Union- harmonized methods,
Insee, the national statistics bureau, said today in Paris. That's the
fastest pace since 1996, when Insee began reporting the data, and
matched the euro region's rate.
The ZEW Center for European Economic Research said its index of
investor and analyst expectations declined to minus 40.7 from minus 32
in March. Economists expected a gain to minus 30, according to the
median of 41 forecasts in a Bloomberg News survey. The gauge reached a
15-year low of minus 41.6 in January.
``The ECB is still very much
focused on inflation rather than growth,'' said Henrik Gullberg, a
London-based strategist at Calyon, the investment-banking arm of Credit
Agricole SA, France's second-largest bank. ``The rate dynamic will
continue to push the euro higher.''
|
| 15.04 10:37 |
OPTIONS: Expiries of note for 1400GMT cut
EUR/USD: $1.6000
USD/JPY: Y101.00,
Y101.50, Y102.80
EUR/JPY: Y160.00
EUR/CHF: Chf1.5600,
Chf1.6130
AUS/USD: $0.9305, $0.9245
|
| 15.04 10:20 |
USD/JPY techs:
Resistance 3: Y102.80Resistance 2: Y102.30
Resistance 1: Y101.50
Current price: Y100.91
Support 1: Y100.30
Support 2: Y100.00
Support 3: Y99.40
Comments: Dollar retreats. The
nearest support comes at Monday’s low on Y100.30 with a break under will widen
losses to Y100.00 and Y99.40. Back above Y101.50 will open a way to Y102.30 and
resume rebound to Apr 07-09 high on Y102.80.
|
| 15.04 10:19 |
EU ALMUNIA: Current euro FX level is above what fundamentals say. |
| 15.04 10:14 |
EU ALMUNIA: US is in a recession or close to a recession
- Market turmoil having some impact on EMU economy
- Notes changes in G7 line on forex
- Changes in G7 line speak for themselves
|
| 15.04 10:10 |
USD/CHF techs:
Resistance 3: Chf1.0215
Resistance 2: Chf1.0170
Resistance 1: Chf1.0080Current price: Chf0.9983
Support 1: Chf0.9980
Support 2: Chf0.9920
Support 3: Chf0.9870
Comments: Dollar retreats. Break
under session low on Chf0.9800 will widen losses to Chf0.9920 and then – to Mar
31 lows near Chf0.9870. Strong resistance is around yesterday’s high on
Chf1.0080/00, then – at Chf1.0170 (Apr 09 high).
|
| 15.04 10:01 |
GBP/USD techs:
Resistance 3: $1.9960
Resistance 2: $1.9840
Resistance 1: $1.9760
Current price: $1.9690
Support 1: $1.9660
Support 2: $1.9540
Support 3: $1.9480
Comments: Cable falls, getting
close to yesterday’s low on $1.9660. Under the losses may extend to $1.9540 and
lower - till $1.9480. Resistance comes at $1.9760. Break above April 10 high at
$1.9840 will open a way to $1.9960.
|
| 15.04 09:47 |
EUR/USD techs:
Resistance 3:$1.6000
Resistance 2: $1.5910 Resistance 1: $1.5880
Current price: $1.5842
Support 1: $1.5780
Support 2: $1.5660
Support 3: $1.5510
Comments: Euro consolidates after
yesterday’s rally. Resistance comes at session high on $1.5880
(Monday’s high), with a break above will let testing the record high on $1.5915.
Support comes at 50% Fibo of yesterday’s rise on $1.5780. Below the downward
target is around Monday’s low on $1.5660 and Apr 03 low at $1.5510.
|
| 15.04 09:17 |
GERMANY: ZEW: Low incoming orders point to slower Germany growth
- No reason for exaggerated pessimism
- Germany GDP growth of 1.7% in 2008 realistic
- Don't see major change on trend in expectation
- Markets are relatively nervous.
|
| 15.04 09:02 |
Germany ZEW economic expectations index (April) -40.7 |
| 15.04 08:53 |
Before ZEW index release, EUR/USD holds near session high on $1.5868. Median estimate -28.0 versus -32.0 |
| 15.04 08:44 |
ECB STARK: Inflation rates are elevated
1. Difficult to assess duration of market turmoil 2. Difficult to assess impact of turmoil on real economy
|
| 15.04 08:38 |
GBP/USD weakens after the UK data release
GBP/USD drops back below $1.9700,
from around $1.9715, on release of weaker than expected UK inflation data. Rate declined to
$1.9660 as stops triggered below $1.9670. Bids now seen placed toward $1.9650 with
more stops noted on a break of $1.9640.
|
| 15.04 08:33 |
UK Retail prices (March) +0.3% m/m; +3.8% y/y |
| 15.04 08:33 |
UK RPI-X (March) +0.5% m/m; +3.5% y/y |
| 15.04 08:32 |
UK HICP (March) +0.4% m/m; +2.5% y/y |
| 15.04 08:21 |
Median estimate on UK CPI: +0.6% m/m, +2.6% y/y, core +1.2% y/y |
| 15.04 08:13 |
Orders:
EUR Bids: $1.5795/90, $1.5770/50 Offers: $1.5895/05
JPY Bids: Y100.30/00 Offers: Y101.50, Y102.00/20, Y102.80/00 GBP Bids: $1.9650, $1.9600 Offers: $1.9725/35
AUSSIE Bids: $0.9200 Offers: $0.9340/50
|
| 15.04 08:07 |
ITALY: March HICP +1.6% m/m; +3.6% y/y |
| 15.04 08:07 |
ITALY: March CPI +0.5 m/m; +3.3% y/y |
| 15.04 08:01 |
Asian session: Euro trades near record high before German confidence report [M]
The euro traded near a record high against the dollar as a German industry report will
probably show rising investor confidence, bolstering the case for the European
Central Bank to refrain from cutting interest rates. . The pound fell after the Royal
Institution of Chartered Surveyors said the number of residential property
agents and surveyors saying prices declined exceeded those reporting gains by
78.5 percentage points in March, down from 65.7 in February. The yen fell against 14 of the 16
most-active currencies on speculation sovereign wealth funds will step up
acquisitions, restoring confidence in holding higher-yielding assets funded in Japan.
EUR/USD consolidated
within the $1.5810/30 range before rising to $1.5854. GBP/USD retreated
to session low on $1.9690. USD/JPY fell
from Y101.44 to Y100.90.
The ZEW Center
for European Economic Research will say that its index of German investor and
analyst expectations rose to minus 30 in April from minus 32 in March, according to a
Bloomberg News survey of economists. The gauge reached a 15-year low of minus 41.6 in January.
|
| 15.04 07:58 |
Japans stocks close lower
Japanese stock indices ended
Tuesday's session lower, but off the day's worst levels. The benchmark Nikkei
225 was up 73.07 points, or 0.57%, at 12990.58. The broader-based TOPIX was up
9.73 points at 1255.97.
|
| 15.04 07:39 |
Stock market: Monday summary
Stock market fixing: Nikkei 225 -406.22 -3.10% 12,917.51
Topix -32.38 -2.50% 1,246.24
DAX -49.08 -0.74%
6,554.49
CAC -31.44 -0.66%
4,766.49
FTSE 100 -63.90 -1.08%
5,831.60
Dow -23.36 -0.19% 12,302.06
NASDAQ -14.42 -0.63%
2,275.82
S&P -4.51 -0.34%
1,328.32
Light Crude (NYM) May 08 ($US per bbl.) 111.76
+1.62
Gold (CMX) June 08 ($US per Troy oz.)
928.70 +1.70
Japanese stocks fell the most in a month after earnings at General Electric Co.
unexpectedly sank and a brokerage downgraded electronics makers, raising
concern profits may slow in the U.S.,
Japan's
biggest export market. Canon tumbled 5%, the steepest fall
since March 3. The camera-maker's net income may drop by as much as 35 billion
yen ($346 million) in the three months ended March 31, the Nikkei said on April
12. Ricoh Co. sank 4.4% after Nikkei said Japan's second-biggest office
equipment maker may have missed its profit target. A Canon spokesman declined
to comment on the report, and a representative for Ricoh wasn't available when
called by Bloomberg News. Matsushita fell 4%. Sharp, Japan's
largest maker of liquid-crystal displays, slumped 3.8%, the biggest drop since
March 17. Nomura cut its rating on both companies to ``neutral'' from ``buy.'' Mitsubishi UFJ lost 3.7%. Sumitomo
Mitsui Financial Group Inc., Japan's
second largest, plunged 4.2%. Bank of Ikeda Ltd. dropped 4%, the lowest since
at least September 1974, after a decline in the value of stockholdings caused
an annual net loss of 55 billion yen. The regional bank had earlier forecast a
6 billion yen profit.
European stocks fell for a fifth day after Royal Philips Electronics NV's profit
missed analysts' estimates, an unexpected loss at Wachovia Corp. weighed on
banks and the Group of Seven finance ministers said prospects for the economy
deteriorated. Philips, Europe's largest
consumer-electronics maker, declined the most in a month in Amsterdam after saying earnings slumped 75%.
HSBC Holdings Plc led financial firms lower as Wachovia set aside $2.8 billion
for credit losses and slashed its dividend. BHP Billiton Ltd., the world's
largest mining company, declined with metals prices in London. Philips dropped 3.3%. Net income fell to 219
million euros ($344.2 million) in the first quarter from 875 million euros a
year earlier. HSBC, Europe's
largest bank by market value, fell 1.7%. Credit Suisse Group, Switzerland's
second- biggest bank, dropped 3.3%. Wachovia, the fourth-largest U.S.
bank, said it plans to raise capital and slash the quarterly dividend. The
first- quarter loss of 20 cents a share compared with earnings of $1.20 a year
earlier. Analysts had estimated Wachovia would earn about 40 cents a share in a
survey. Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc, Britain's
third-largest bank, dropped 2.1%. Barclays Plc, the nation's second-biggest
bank, dropped 2%.
Stocks slipped Monday, as worries about Wachovia's earnings and the outlook for corporate
profits overshadowed any relief about the better-than-expected March retail
sales report. Wachovia reported a quarterly loss
of 20 cents per share versus a profit of $1.20 a year earlier. Analysts thought
it would report a profit of 40 cents per share. The company also cut its
quarterly dividend and said it will raise $7 billion through a share sale. The
stock fell 10%. A variety of financial stocks
slumped on the news, including Citigroup, Bank of America and Washington Mutual.
Retail sales were up in March, although rising gas prices and the slumping economy continued
to take a toll. Overall sales gained 0.2%, versus a decline in the previous
month and above economists' forecasts. Without both auto and gas sales, retail
sales were up just 0.1%. Blockbuster said it will take its
unsolicited bid for Circuit
City to shareholders
after failing to make progress with the company. Blockbuster is offering over
$1 billion in an all-cash bid. Blockbuster shares lost 13%, while Circuit City shares jumped 29%. Delta Air Lines and Northwest are
reportedly close to announcing a deal after months of speculation. U.S. based Manitowoc, a diversified manufacturer is
buying food equipment maker Endodis for $2.1 billion. Endodis is listed in the U.K. but operates out of Tampa, Fla.
|
| 15.04 07:30 |
FOREX. Monday summary
The dollar fell against the euro Monday after the Group of Seven nations failed to
convince investors that they will intervene to prop up the U.S. currency. The G-7 said on April 11 that the
recent ``sharp fluctuations'' in exchange rates risk hurting the global
economy, a sign to some traders that it would support the dollar. It was the
most significant change in the G-7 statement since the Boca Raton, Florida,
meeting in February 2004, when officials cautioned against ``excess
volatility.'' The latest statement didn't
explicitly mention the dollar or suggest plans for intervention, in which
central banks arrange purchases or sales of foreign exchange.
EUR/USD rose
to $1.5880, triggering offers near $1.5850/60. Later rate retreated to $1.5800,
but later rose back to $1.5845/50. GBP/USD has got
close to $1.9900 after strong inflation data. But position adjustment dragged
the pound down to $1.9740. USD/JPY printed
high on Y101.20 before sliding to Y100.60. Recover to Y101.45 was short-lived
and dollar refreshed lows near Y100.30.
In Europe the focus will be on UK retail
sales report (08:30 GMT) and German ZEW
index that may rise to -28.0 versus -32.0. Later in US attention will be on PPI data and TICS numbers from US Treasury.
|
| 15.04 07:12 |
USD/JPY techs:
Resistance 3: Y102.80 Resistance 2: Y102.30 Resistance 1: Y101.50 Current price: Y101.01 Support 1: Y100.30 Support 2: Y100.00 Support 3: Y99.40 Comments: Dollar retreats. The nearest support comes at Monday’s low on Y100.30 with a break under will widen losses to Y100.00 and Y99.40. Back above Y101.50 will open a way to Y102.30 and resume rebound to Apr 07-09 high on Y102.80.
|
| 15.04 07:07 |
USD/CHF techs:
Resistance 3: Chf1.0215 Resistance 2: Chf1.0170 Resistance 1: Chf1.0080 Current price: Chf0.9988 Support 1: Chf0.9980 Support 2: Chf0.9920 Support 3: Chf0.9870 Comments: Dollar retreats. Break under session low on Chf0.9800 will widen losses to Chf0.9920 and then – to Mar 31 lows near Chf0.9870. Strong resistance is around yesterday’s high on Chf1.0080/00, then – at Chf1.0170 (Apr 09 high).
|
| 15.04 06:52 |
FRANCE: CPI +0.8% m/m, +3.2% y/y |
| 15.04 06:52 |
FRANCE: Sa core: +0.4% m/m, +2.1% y/y |
| 15.04 06:51 |
FRANCE: March HICP +0.8% m/m, +3.5% y/y |
| 15.04 06:19 |
GBP/USD techs:
Resistance 3: $1.9960 Resistance 2: $1.9840 Resistance 1: $1.9760 Current price: $1.9690 Support 1: $1.9660 Support 2: $1.9540 Support 3: $1.9480 Comments: Cable falls, getting close to yesterday’s low on $1.9660. Under the losses may extend to $1.9540 and lower - till $1.9480. Resistance comes at $1.9760. Break above April 10 high at $1.9840 will open a way to $1.9960.
|
| 15.04 06:06 |
EUR/USD techs:
Resistance 3:$1.5915 Resistance 2: $1.5880 Resistance 1: $1.5840 Current price: $1.5832 Support 1: $1.5780 Support 2: $1.5660 Support 3: $1.5510 Comments: Euro consolidates after yesterday’s rally. Resistance comes at session high on $1.5840, stronger – on $1.5880 (Monday’s high), with a break above will let testing the record high on $1.5915. Support comes at 50% Fibo of yesterday’s rise on $1.5780. Below the downward target is around Monday’s low on $1.5660 and Apr 03 low at $1.5510.
|
| 15.04 05:56 |
Major European bourses are initially seen trading modestly higher Tuesday: the |
| 15.04 05:33 |
Daily History for April 14, 2008
High Low Close EUR/USD 1.5884 1.5668 1.5834 USD/JPY 101.47 100.28 101.12 GBP/USD 1.9892 1.9658 1.9763 USD/CHF 1.0075 0.9926 0.9991
EUR/JPY 160.21 158.21 160.10 EUR/GBP 0.8009 0.7962 0.8008 GBP/JPY 200.76 198.06 199.87 GBP/CHF 1.9832 1.9699 1.9746
Change % Change Last Nikkei 225 -406.22 -3.10% 12,917.51 Topix -32.38 -2.50% 1,246.24 DAX -49.08 -0.74% 6,554.49 CAC -31.44 -0.66% 4,766.49 FTSE 100 -63.90 -1.08% 5,831.60 Dow -23.36 -0.19% 12,302.06 NASDAQ -14.42 -0.63% 2,275.82 S&P -4.51 -0.34% 1,328.32 Light Crude (NYM) May 08 ($US per bbl.) 111.76 +1.62 Gold (CMX) June 08 ($US per Troy oz.) 928.70 +1.70
|
| 15.04 05:08 |
Schedule for today, Tuesday, April 15, 2008
06:45 France CPI (March) unadjusted 0.6% 0.2% 06:45 France CPI (March) unadjusted Y/Y 3.0% 2.8% 06:45 France HICP (March) Y/Y 3.3% 3.2% 08:00 Italy CPI (March) final - 0.5% 08:00 Italy CPI (March) final Y/Y - 3.3% 08:00 Italy HICP (March) final Y/Y - 3.6% 08:30 UK HICP (March) 0.6% 0.7% 08:30 UK HICP (March) Y/Y 2.6% 2.5% 08:30 UK Retail prices (March) 0.5% 0.8% 08:30 UK Retail prices (March) Y/Y 3.9% 4.1% 08:30 UK RPI-X (March) Y/Y 3.6% 3.7% 09:00 Germany ZEW economic expectations index (April) -28.0 -32.0 12:30 USA PPI (March) 0.5% 0.3% 12:30 USA PPI (March) Y/Y - 6.4% 12:30 USA PPI excluding food and energy (March) 0.2% 0.5% 12:30 USA PPI excluding food and energy (March) Y/Y - 2.4% 12:30 USA NY Fed Empire State manufacturing index (April) -17.0 -22.2 12:55 USA Redbook (12.04) 13:00 USA TICS (February), bln - 37.4 13:00 USA TICS long-term (February), bln - 62.0
|