|
|
| 14.10 19:39 |
Dow -144.40 at 9243.21, Nasdaq -59.54 at 1784.71, S&P -14.16 at 989.19
Stocks momentarily fell to new session lows, but have since pared their
losses. Still, the Dow is off by more than 140 points, which a stark
comparison to when it sported a gain of more than 400 points early in
the session.
Despite the downturn, Dow component's Bank of America (BAC 25.95,
+3.16) and Citigroup (C 18.30, +2.55) continue to be a couple of the
session's strongest performers. Both companies are expected to
participate in the Treasury's plan to make up to $250 billion directly
available to banks in the form of equity investments.
|
| 14.10 19:33 |
Nov NYMEX crude is trading at $78.62, down $2.57 on the day. |
| 14.10 19:09 |
Dow -49.46 at 9336.96, Nasdaq -42.06 at 1801.86, S&P -2.38 at 100.56 |
| 14.10 18:58 |
GS on oil
GS oil analysts say "WTI Crude Oil has held and
recovered from the base of the bear channel at $75.35; the $90.17 prior
wave low now offers resistance." Nov NYMEX crude trades currently at
$80.72, down $0.47 on the day.
|
| 14.10 18:22 |
Dow +53.92 at 9439.50, Nasdaq -23.91 at 1819.91, S&P +7.29 at 1010.64
The S&P 500 posts a gain of 0.7%. Discover Financial Services (DFS
12.20, -1.60) settled an antitrust lawsuit with MasterCard (MA 179.70,
+6.10) and Visa (V 58.75, -0.12), according to Reuters. The judge did
not give the settlement details, although in 2004 Discover filed
lawsuit seeking roughly $6 billion, according to the report.
|
| 14.10 18:07 |
American focus: [M]
The yen had its biggest two-day decline versus the euro in almost a
month as global government support of banks encouraged investors to buy
high-yielding assets funded by low-cost loans in Japan.
Japan's currency was poised for a record two-day drop versus the
Australian dollar as the U.S. plan to inject $250 billion into banks
raised speculation that investors will resume carry trades. The dollar
fell against the euro and the pound as governments' efforts to revive
bank lending reduced demand for the greenback as a haven.
``It's the unwinding of safe-haven positions,'' said Dustin Reid, a
senior currency strategist at ABN Amro Bank NV in Chicago. ``The
coordinated government intervention takes the probability of a
1930s-style depression off the table.''
Japan's currency pared its losses as the Standard & Poor's 500
Index fell 1 percent after initially gaining today and rallying
yesterday the most in seven decades.
``You'd better play this rebound of the carry trade, but you'd be
looking for opportunities to sell this rally in the next couple of
weeks,'' said Stephen Malyon, co-head of currency strategy at Scotia
Capital Inc. in Toronto. ``The honeymoon will end. We're facing a
prolonged period of lackluster growth of the global economy.''
The London interbank offered rate, or Libor, for three-month dollar
loans dropped 12 basis points to 4.64 percent, reflecting increased
willingness of banks to lend.
Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson urged banks receiving capital
injections to use the funds to spur economic growth. People familiar
with the plan said nine financial institutions, including Citigroup
Inc. and Goldman Sachs Group Inc., will get $125 billion.
European countries committed $1.8 trillion to guarantee loans and
invest in lenders yesterday. Japan and Australia pumped $9.1 billion
today into money markets after European leaders agreed to guarantee new
debt from financial institutions and use taxpayer money to rescue banks.
Action in Europe may not prevent the euro from weakening, some currency
strategists and investors said. Morgan Stanley predicts a decline in
the euro to $1.25 by 2009, from the all- time high of $1.6038 in
mid-July. Strategists at BNP Paribas see weakness after ``some support
in the near term.''
``The euro was overbought, over-owned, over-rated and overvalued,''
said Stephen Jen, global head of currency research at Morgan Stanley in
London. Jen correctly predicted in July that the euro would slump just
as it began to weaken 15 percent from its record. ``The strategic view
has to be that a global recession will keep seeing the euro sold off,''
he said.
|
| 14.10 18:02 |
ECB, Trichet: no time for complacency in dealing with crisis. |
| 14.10 17:31 |
ECB, Trichet: crisis reduced upside risks to price stability, justified rate cut.
Emphasises need to strengthen risk-management, stresses close sooperation among central banks.
|
| 14.10 17:11 |
Dow +16.25 at 9409.28, Nasdaq -33.15 at 1812.06, S&P +1.70 at 1005.05 |
| 14.10 16:41 |
Spot gold holds at $843.00/oz after trading in a $833.75/$853.50 range.
The precious metal topped out at a 3-month high of $931 on safe-haven
demand last Friday and then fell to $821 Monday as world central banks
announced plans to recharge the banking sector. Strategists at Merrill
Lynch say, in the big picture, gold should hold its safe-haven status
overall, with future liquidity crises still likely. "Flight to safety"
demand could send gold up to $1000 in the months to come, the
strategists say. Renewed dollar weakness, if it occurs at the same
time, could be a contributing factor that underpins gold further -
towards $1200, they say. A new run-up in commodities would add another
element. The current global bank bailout, seen as inflationary, could
mean higher oil prices again ($150/bl). If gold maintains its long-run
relationship with other commodities, "gold prices could well press
higher to $1500," Merrill Lynch says.
|
| 14.10 16:36 |
GERMANY: Government to revise down 2009 GDP forecast to 0.0% from +0.2% |
| 14.10 16:35 |
Dow +164.79 at 9552.08, Nasdaq -7.09 at 1836.88, S&P +16.53 at 1019.14
The S&P 500 and Dow give up half of their opening advance, but
continue to post strong gains. The tech sector (-1.2%) is a playing a
major role in the pullback.
Qualcomm (QCOM 41.32, -0.98), Google (GOOG 369.99, -11.03), Microsoft
(MSFT 24.31, -1.19), Amazon.com (AMZN 57.18, -4.78 ) and eBay (EBAY
17.99, -0.11) have all slipped into the red after opening with solid
gains. Other notable tech names are still in positive territory, but
are well off their best levels.
There is not a clear catalyst for the weakness in large-cap tech.
As a result, the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 is down 1.8% compared to the broader market's advance of 1.1%.
Similar to yesterday, but to a lesser extent, commodities (+1.6%) are
on the rise as the dollar (-1.0%) comes under selling pressure. Crude
oil futures are up 1.0% to $82.01 per barrel.
|
| 14.10 15:28 |
Crude oil is paring gains as stocks give up earlier rally
WTI Nymex crude oil is at $82.00, +81 cents.
|
| 14.10 15:12 |
Barclays: watch jobless claims and TARP
Barclays economist Ethan Harris says in these unusual times we should
watch unemploy claims data as most timely (above 500k would signal real
problems) and TARP (where Tsy could get another $350b if a report is
submitted to Congress).
|
| 14.10 15:03 |
Barclays on US payrolls
Barclays economist Ethan Harris says in these unusual times we should
watch unemploy claims data as most timely (above 500k would signal real
problems) and TARP (where Tsy could get another $350b if a report is
submitted to Congress).
|
| 14.10 14:52 |
Dow +367.03 at 9761.27, Nasdaq +40.40 at 1884.82, S&P +35.23 at 1038.58
The S&P 500 opens with strong gains just one day after surging
11.6% -- its largest percent advance since the 1930s. Buying interest
is fueled by the government's plan to shore up the financial system.
The Treasury will buy up to $250 billion in preferred stock from U.S.
financial institutions. Participation in the plan is voluntary,
although it appears that there will be plenty of firms taking the
Treasury up on its offer. Nine of the largest financial institutions
in the world will receive $125 billion, including Bank of America (BAC
26.62, +3.83), Citigroup (C 18.42, +2.68), JPMorgan Chase (JPM 43.25,
+1.26), Morgan Stanley (MS 21.27, +3.17) and Wells Fargo (WFC 33.09,
+2.68). To participate in the program, firms will have to agree to
executive compensation limits, including the elimination of golden
parachutes.
In addition, the FDIC will provide insurance for interbank lending and
remove the $250,000 insurance limit on noninterest-bearing accounts.
European governments took similar actions yesterday.
The S&P 500 is now 24% above its multi-year intraday low reached last Friday.
|
| 14.10 14:27 |
Before the bell: U.S. stocks seen opening higher as Bush unveils bank recapitalization plan.[M]
Stocks were set to surge at Tuesday's Wall Street open, adding to the
prior session's historic rally, as investors cheered the Bush
administration's plan to recapitalize major banks: S&P futures vs fair value: +47.60. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +51.50.

Stocks surged Monday, with the Dow industrials soaring some 936 points,
or 11%, marking the largest-ever point advance for the blue-chip index.
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq also hit point-gain records.
Investors reacted to global efforts over the weekend and into Monday
aimed at unfreezing credit markets and getting money flowing through
the pipelines.
Treasury trading resumes following the Columbus Day holiday, and could
give a good indication of whether all the recent interventions are
working.
On Tuesday, the Bush administration announced plans to recapitalize
U.S. banks in an effort to end the credit freeze that has slammed the
global economy. Among the moves announced: a $250 billion investment in
nine major banks and a plan for the the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp.
will back up new senior bank debt for three years.
In overseas trading, Japan's Nikkei, which was closed Monday, surged
14.2% and Hong Kong's Hang Seng rose 3.2%. In Europe, London's FTSE is
up 5.8%, Germany's Dax is up 5.5% and France's CAC is up 5.5%.
Soft drink maker PepsiCo reported weaker-than-expected
third-quarter earnings and said it would cut 3,300 jobs due to the
global economic slowdown. Pepsi shares fell 3.8% in premarket trading.
Dow component Johnson & Johnson reported higher third-quarter earnings that beat expectations. J&J shares rose 5% in premarket trading.
Crude prices, meanwhile, stepped higher. Prices, which have plunged
some 43% from the record $147.27 a barrel set on July 11, were up $3.21
at $84.40 a barrel early Tuesday.
|
| 14.10 14:05 |
OPTIONS: Expiries of note for today's 1400GMT
EUR/USD $1.3700, $1.3800, $1.3610, $1.3660/65, $1.3975
USD/JPY Y102.70, Y101.00, Y100.00
EUR/JPY Y138.50
|
| 14.10 13:48 |
European session:
The yen fell against higher-yielding currencies
after governments in the U.S., Europe and Australia pledged to support
banks, encouraging investors to increase holdings of euros, British
pounds and Australian dollars.
German investor confidence dropped for
the first time in three months in October, to near a record low, as the
global credit crisis threatened to tip Europe into a recession.
The
ZEW Center for European Economic Research said its index of investor
and analyst expectations slumped to minus 63 from minus 41.1 in
September. The gauge reached an all-time low of minus 63.9 in July.
Economists expected a decline to minus 51.1.
``The
financial-market turmoil is the main cause for the drop in the index,''
Sandra Schmidt, an economist at ZEW, said in an interview on Bloomberg
Television. ``There's concern that it will spread to the real
economy.''
Europe's economy may be cushioned by falling oil prices, the euro's retreat and lower interest rates.
U.K. inflation quickened
to the fastest pace in at least 11 years in September, squeezing
consumers with higher living costs as the financial market crisis
curbed the availability of credit.
Prices rose 5.2 percent from a
year earlier, the most since records began in 1997, the Office for
National Statistics said in London today. The median forecast of
economists was 5 percent. Inflation has now exceeded the Bank of
England's 2 percent target for a year.
``The weakness in the
economy will be more than enough to bring inflation to target,'' said
Nick Kounis, an economist at Fortis in Amsterdam and a former U.K.
Treasury official. ``Today's reading isn't a barrier to further rate
cuts. The bank is more worried about inflation undershooting the target
now.''
The pound was little changed at $1.7502 after the report.
Stocks recovered for a second day after the U.K. government bailed out
banks including HBOS Plc and similar measures were adopted in Europe
and the U.S
EUR/USD slowly extending its rally, but reported offers between
$1.3750/55 making upside progress sticky. Stops are noted on a break of
$1.3755, which if triggered seen
bringing the tech target range between $1.3780/00 well into view.
GBP/USD extended recovery to $1.7630, currently holding back around
$1.7610 as market awaits further details of TARP. Next band of reported
offers seen placed between $1.7650/60, a break above to open a move
toward $1.7680 ahead of $1.7700 and stronger interest at $1.7720. Bids
$1.7650.
USD/JPY extended rally before has run into offers placed around the Asian peak at Y103.10/20,
with dollar-yen now consolidating gains at Y102.85. Stops noted in the
Y103.30 area, with additional supply then coming in at Y103.60/70.
At 1800GMT, the US Treasury is expected to post a $45.0 billion
surplus in the September tax month. There are also two late Fed
speakers into Wednesday morning. At
0030GMT, St. Louis Fed President James Bullard is due to address the
Memphis Economic Club, in Memphis, Tennessee, while at 0200GMT, San
Francisco Fed President Janet Yellen delivers a speech on the US
economic outlook.
|
| 14.10 13:30 |
GBP/USD gains further
Cable extends recovery to $1.7630, currently holding back around
$1.7610 as market awaits further details of TARP. Next band of reported
offers seen placed between $1.7650/60, a break above to open a move
toward $1.7680 ahead of $1.7700 and stronger interest at $1.7720. Bids
$1.7650.
|
| 14.10 13:06 |
US: Pres Bush confirms US to implement G7 plan by using $700b plan to inject capital into banks via equity buys. |
| 14.10 12:50 |
USD/JPY to extend gains
Rally has run into offers placed around the Asian peak at Y103.10/20,
with dollar-yen now consolidating gains at Y102.85. Stops noted in the
Y103.30 area, with additional supply then coming in at Y103.60/70.
|
| 14.10 12:43 |
EUR/USD tests $1.3750
The rate slowly extending its rally, but reported offers between
$1.3750/55 making upside progress sticky. Stops are noted on a break of
$1.3755, which if triggered seen
bringing the tech target range between $1.3780/00 well into view.
|
| 14.10 12:13 |
ML says we could be 85% of the way through crisis and mkt is "a very long way towards discounting a very severe GDP and profits recession." |
| 14.10 11:43 |
European focus:
The yen fell against higher-yielding currencies after
governments in the U.S., Europe and Australia pledged to support banks,
encouraging investors to increase holdings of euros, British pounds and
Australian dollars.
German investor confidence dropped for the first time in three
months in October, to near a record low, as the global credit crisis
threatened to tip Europe into a recession.
The ZEW Center for European Economic Research said its index of
investor and analyst expectations slumped to minus 63 from minus 41.1
in September. The gauge reached an all-time low of minus 63.9 in July.
Economists expected a decline to minus 51.1.
``The financial-market turmoil is the main cause for the drop in the
index,'' Sandra Schmidt, an economist at ZEW, said in an interview on
Bloomberg Television. ``There's concern that it will spread to the real
economy.''
Europe's economy may be cushioned by falling oil prices, the euro's retreat and lower interest rates.
U.K. inflation quickened to the fastest pace in at least 11
years in September, squeezing consumers with higher living costs as the
financial market crisis curbed the availability of credit.
Prices rose 5.2 percent from a year earlier, the most since records
began in 1997, the Office for National Statistics said in London today.
The median forecast of economists was 5 percent. Inflation has now
exceeded the Bank of England's 2 percent target for a year.
``The weakness in the economy will be more than enough to bring
inflation to target,'' said Nick Kounis, an economist at Fortis in
Amsterdam and a former U.K. Treasury official. ``Today's reading isn't
a barrier to further rate cuts. The bank is more worried about
inflation undershooting the target now.''
The pound was little changed at $1.7502 after the report. Stocks
recovered for a second day after the U.K. government bailed out banks
including HBOS Plc and similar measures were adopted in Europe and the
U.S
|
| 14.10 11:19 |
USD/JPY techs:
Resistance 3: Y104.50
Resistance 2: Y103.50
Resistance 1: Y103.10
Current price: Y102.25
Support 1: Y101.80
Support 2: Y101.10
Support 3: Y100.45
Comments: The techn hasn't changed. The pair continues to be consolidated. The nearest resistance is Y103,10
(session high). Further is located level Y103,50 (area of July 16 and
Sep 16 low). Above there is a probability of return to Y104,50 (Oct 3
low). The nearest support is located on Y101,80 (session low and also a
level of 23,6 % FIBO of growth Y97,80-Y103,10). Below loss of a rate
can will increase up to Y101,10 (38,2 %) and further to Y100,45.
|
| 14.10 11:02 |
USD/CHF techs:
Resistance 3: Chf1.1730
Resistance 2: Chf1.1500
Resistance 1: Chf1.1440
Current price: Chf1.1311
Support 1: Chf1.1305
Support 2: Chf1.1185
Support 3: Chf1.1090
Comments:The dollar has renewed decrease. At present the pair has again
come nearer to support in the field of a session low on Chf1,1305 (and
also a level of 23,6 %FIBO of
growth Chf1,0680-Chf1,1500). Overcoming of the given mark will open
road to Chf1,185 (38,2 %) and further to Chf1,090 (50,0 %). In case of
renewal of growth by the nearest resistance there will be an area of a
yesterday's high on Chf1.1440, above there is an opportunity of growth
to Chf1,1500 Oct 6 high) and further to Chf1,1730 (the top border of
the ascending channel from July 17).
|
| 14.10 10:58 |
ZEW SCHROEDER: Index shows analysts expect Germany recession
- EMU inflation expectations dropped from 27 to -56 - Expect further reductions in ECB interest rates. - Post-bailout survey shows Germany expectations at -50, not -63 - Bailout may help banks but not necessarily business cycle.
|
| 14.10 10:43 |
GBP/USD techs:
Resistance 3: $1.7925
Resistance 2: $1.7700
Resistance 1: $1.7560
Current price: $1.7478
Support 1: $1.7390
Support 2: $1.7260
Support 3: $1.6790
Comments: The dollar continues to remain under pressure. The pair has
tested the nearest resistance in a session high on $1,7560. Above is
possible growth to $1,7700
(50,0 % FIBO of falling $1,8675-$ 1,6790). Further is possible return
to $1,7925 (61,8 %). As intermediate support acts the area of a session
low on $1,7390. Below is located the level $1,7260 (23,6 %), further
are possible falling to a Friday's low on $1,6790.
|
| 14.10 10:25 |
EUR/USD techs:
Resistance 3:$1.3900
Resistance 2: $1.3780
Resistance 1: $1.3670
Current price: $1.3645
Support 1: $1.3450
Support 2: $1.3320
Support 3: $1.3255
Comments: The tech hasn't changed. The pair remains in the field of
resistance on $1,3670 (yesterday's high). Further follows $1,3780
(area of Oct 9 high) which
overcoming will open road to Oct 3 high on $1,3900/10. Support is
marked in the field of a session low on $1,3450/40 ($1,3440 - area of
Oct 6 low), further is possiblefalling to $1,3320 (61,8%FIBO growth
$1,1630-$ 1,6040), then testing $1,3255 (Friday's low).
|
| 14.10 09:57 |
OPTIONS: Expiries of note for today's 1400GMT cut
EUR/USD $1.3660/65, $1.3800, $1.3975
USD/JPY Y102.70, Y101.00, Y100.00(lge)
EUR/CHF Chf1.5550
|
| 14.10 09:50 |
Asian session: [M]
The yen fell against higher-yielding currencies after
governments in the U.S., Europe and Australia pledged to support banks,
encouraging investors to increase holdings of euros, British pounds and
Australian dollars.
The yen headed for a record 7.1 percent decline against the
Australian dollar after Prime Minister Kevin Rudd allotted A$10.4
billion ($7.3 billion) in spending for home buyers, families and
pensioners. The U.S. Treasury will buy stakes in banks including
Citigroup Inc. and JPMorgan Chase & Co., people briefed on the plan
said. European countries committed $1.8 trillion to guarantee bank
loans and invest in lenders.
Shares rallied, with the MSCI Asia-Pacific Index of regional shares
rising 9.3 percent, heading for the biggest gain in a decade. The
Standard & Poor's 500 Index yesterday rose by the most in seven
decades.
The Bush administration will spend about half of a total of $250
billion for stakes in banks, people briefed on the matter said. The
banks are Citigroup, Wells Fargo & Co., JPMorgan, Bank of America
Corp., Goldman Sachs Group Inc., Morgan Stanley, State Street Corp.,
and Bank of New York Mellon Corp., they said. Treasury Secretary Henry
Paulson is scheduled to hold a press conference at 8:30 a.m. in
Washington.
Losses in the dollar accelerated against the euro after the Fed
said yesterday the European Central Bank, the Bank of England and the
Swiss National Bank will offer financial institutions unlimited funds
in the U.S. currency.
The London interbank offered rate, or Libor, for three- month dollar
loans dropped 7 basis points to 4.75 percent yesterday, the British
Bankers' Association said. Japan and Australia pumped $9.1 billion into
money markets after European leaders agreed to guarantee new debt from
financial institutions and use taxpayers' money to rescue banks.
Japan may halt sales of government-held shares to help protect
financial markets from the global credit crisis, Finance Minister
Shoichi Nakagawa said in a statement today. Japan will also take steps
to tighten restrictions on short-selling, while relaxing regulations on
share buybacks to limit the spread of the global financial crisis.
EUR/USD bargained in a range $1,3600-$ 1,3695.
GBP/USD having shown session high on $1,7560, the rate has receded in area $1,7410.
USD/JPY having established session high on Y103,10, the pair has
receded in area Y102,00. Later the rate has continued to be
consolidated in range Y102.00-Y102.50.
Germany ZEW economic expectations index (October) is due at 0900GMT, expected to come in at -52.0.
E15 ndustrial production (August) is due at 0900GMT. Expected to come in at 1.1% m/m, -1.7% y/y.
At 1800GMT, the US Treasury is expected to post a $45.0 billion surplus
in the September tax month, leaving the full fiscal year gap much wider
than the 2007 fiscal year due to a decline in receipts and rising
outlays.
|
| 14.10 09:31 |
JAPAN STOCKS:
Japan's benchmark stock indices screamed higher Tuesday, recording
their largest percentage gain on record. The Nikkei 225 gained 1171.2
points, to 14.15%, to stand at 9447.57. The broader-based TOPIX was
ahead by 115.44 points to stand at 953.30. The gain was the highest
recorded, beating the 13.4% one-day advance seen in the wake of the
October 1987 crash.
|
| 14.10 09:09 |
Stock market: Monday summary
Japan market was shut for a holiday.
European
stocks rallied, sending the Dow Jones Stoxx 600 Index, Germany's DAX
and France's CAC 40 to their biggest gains on record, as governments in
Europe, the U.S. and Asia agreed to support banks. Europe's
regional benchmark rebounded from its steepest weekly slump ever, with
UBS AG, Deutsche Bank AG and ING Groep NV jumping more than 12 percent
after European leaders said they would guarantee new bank debt. Total
SA increased 10 percent and BHP Billiton Ltd. rose 9.1 percent as oil
climbed from a 13- month low and copper advanced. Stocks increased
after the U.S. Federal Reserve said central banks will offer financial
institutions unlimited dollar funds and Europe pledged to guarantee
bank debt issues and permit governments to buy stakes and recapitalize
some distressed financial companies. National benchmark indexes
climbed more than 5 percent in 16 of the 17 western European markets
that were open. The U.K.'s FTSE 100 jumped 7.1 percent. Germany's DAX
advanced 11 percent. France's CAC 40 increased 11 percent as Total SA
gained. UBS, the European bank hardest hit by subprime-related
losses, surged 12 percent to 19.1 Swiss francs. Deutsche Bank,
Germany's biggest, rallied 12 percent to 35 euros. ING, the largest
Dutch financial-services provider, gained 27 percent to 13.26 euros. Goldman
Sachs Group Inc. raised its recommendation on European banks to
``neutral'' from ``underweight,'' citing the recent decline in
valuations and central bank action to reduce risks for the industry. Barclays Dividend Barclays
Plc added 3.7 percent to 215.25 pence. The U.K.'s second-biggest bank
plans to sell more than 6.5 billion pounds of shares to private
investors without turning to the government for help and said it won't
pay a final dividend for 2008. Royal Bank of Scotland fell 8.4
percent to 65.7 pence, and HBOS dropped 28 percent to 90 pence. Lloyds
TSB lost 14 percent to 162 pence.
U.S. stocks rallied after
the market's worst week in 75 years, boosted by the government's plan
to buy stakes in banks and a Federal Reserve-led push to flood the
global financial system with dollars. Morgan Stanley soared as
much as 66 percent after sealing a $9 billion investment from Japan's
Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group In. Bank of America Corp. and Citigroup
Inc. jumped more than 5 percent, while General Motors Corp. and Ford
Motor Co., the largest U.S. automakers, climbed more than 25 percent
each. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index rose the most since 1987 and
Europe's benchmark index posted its best gain ever, helping the MSCI
World Index rebound from its worst week on record. The S&P 500
halted an eight-day losing streak, its longest since 1996. Last week's
18 percent declines pushed both the S&P 500 and Dow down more than
40 percent from their peaks last October. The S&P 500 ended last
week trading for 17 times reported earnings of its companies, the
cheapest valuation in more than a year. Citigroup climbed 6.3
percent to $15, Bank of America added 5.6 percent to $22.21, Merrill
Lynch & Co. climbed 5 percent to $16.53 and Goldman Sachs Group
Inc. rallied 12 percent to $99.61. Morgan Stanley Morgan Stanley
rose $5.54 to $15.22 and gained as much as $6.42. Morgan Stanley agreed
to change the terms of its $9 billion investment from Mitsubishi UFJ
Financial Group Inc., providing the Japanese bank with preferred stock
that pays a 10 percent dividend instead of common stock. Mitsubishi
UFJ, Japan's biggest lender, will get 21 percent of the New York-based
company as previously agreed, the two firms said today in a joint
statement. The terms were renegotiated after the tumble in Morgan
Stanley's shares last week. Exxon Mobil Corp. climbed 5.6 percent
to $65.85 after a 20 percent tumble last week. Oil gained as much as
6.2 percent to $82.52 a barrel today, rebounding from a 13-month low. General
Motors jumped 32 percent to $6.46, the biggest gain in the Dow average,
and Ford added 26 percent to $2.51. GM, the largest U.S. automaker, is
in talks with Cerberus Capital Management LP's Chrysler LLC about a
merger or partnership, five people with direct knowledge of the
discussions said. Ford, the second-largest, is considering selling its
controlling stake in Japan's Mazda Motor Corp., a person familiar with
the matter said. Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc. added 7.8
percent to $39.20 as copper on the London Metal Exchange rebounded from
a 33-month low. Apple Inc. rose 7.7 percent to $104.22. Sanford C.
Bernstein & Co. analyst Toni Sacconaghi upgraded the maker of
Macintosh computers and the iPhone to ``outperform'' from ``market
perform,'' saying the shares are ``overly discounted'' after plunging
46 percent in two months.
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| 14.10 08:26 |
FOREX. Monday summary [M]
The euro rose the most in three weeks against the dollar and yen
after European leaders agreed to guarantee bank borrowing and prevent
failures that would further batter the credit markets.
The U.S. currency fell versus the Mexican peso and Australian
dollar as the Federal Reserve and three other central banks announced
unlimited dollar auctions, reducing demand for the greenback for
funding among financial firms. Brazil's real, South Korea's won and the
peso led a rally in emerging-market currencies as the Group of Seven
nations pledged over the weekend to take ``all necessary steps'' to
stem the market turmoil.
Foreign-exchange movements may be exaggerated because trading volumes
are lower than normal due to public holidays in Japan, the U.S. and
Canada, according to Takashi Yamamoto, chief trader at Mitsubishi UFJ
Trust & Banking Corp. in Singapore.
The pound rose for the first time in four days, gaining 2.2
percent to $1.7423, as the U.K. government said it will invest in
banks. Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc, HBOS Plc, and Lloyds TSB Group
will get 37 billion pounds ($64.4 billion), the government said in a
Regulatory News Service statement. The funding will allow the banks to
boost their so-called Tier One capital ratio to more than 9 percent.
European policy makers meeting in Paris yesterday pledged to guarantee
until the end of 2009 bank-debt issues with maturities up to five
years. Plans to recapitalize banks in the region will cost 300 billion
euros ($409.7 billion), according to Goldman Sachs Group Inc.
EUR/USD on results enough changeable session the pair could will
become stronger up to $1,3600, having shown before it a session high on
$1,3682.
GBP/USD the rate has established session low on $1,6923 then has
raised up to $1,7440. In the end of session the pair was corrected in
area $1,7300.
USD/JPY has established session low in the field of Y99,50, the pair could finish the tenders above level Y102,00.
UK inflation data is due at 0830GMT with the CPI expected to come in at
0.4% m/m, 5.0% y/y. This will mean CPI inflation reaches a fresh series
high in September and may break above 5% on the back of higher utility
bills.
Germany ZEW economic expectations index (October) is due at 0900GMT, expected to come in at -52.0.
E15 ndustrial production (August) is due at 0900GMT. Expected to come in at 1.1% m/m, -1.7% y/y.
At 1800GMT, the US Treasury is expected to post a $45.0 billion surplus
in the September tax month, leaving the full fiscal year gap much wider
than the 2007 fiscal year due to a decline in receipts and rising
outlays.
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| 14.10 08:10 |
USD/JPY techs:
Resistance 3: Y104.50
Resistance 2: Y103.50
Resistance 1: Y103.10
Current price: Y102.22
Support 1: Y101.80
Support 2: Y101.10
Support 3: Y100.45
Comments: The yen fell for
a second day against the dollar as increased support for banks by
European and the U.S. governments encouraged investors to add to
holdings of high-yielding assets funded in the Japanese currency -
practice known as carry trades. The nearest resistance is Y103,10
(session high). Further is located level Y103,50 (area of July 16 and
Sep 16 low). Above there is a probability of return to Y104,50 (Oct 3
low). The nearest support is located on Y101,80 (session low and also a
level of 23,6 % FIBO of growth Y97,80-Y103,10). Below loss of a rate
can will increase up to Y101,10 (38,2 %) and further to Y100,45.
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| 14.10 08:01 |
USD/CHF techs:
Resistance 3: Chf1.1730
Resistance 2: Chf1.1500
Resistance 1: Chf1.1440
Current price: Chf1.1349
Support 1: Chf1.1305
Support 2: Chf1.1185
Support 3: Chf1.1090
Comments:Upside risks still prevail. The pair has tested support in the
field of a session low on Chf1,1305 (and also a level of 23,6 %FIBO of
growth Chf1,0680-Chf1,1500). Overcoming of the given mark will open
road to Chf1,185 (38,2 %) and further to Chf1,090 (50,0 %). In case of
renewal of growth by the nearest resistance there will be an area of a
yesterday's high on Chf1.1440, above there is an opportunity of growth
to Chf1,1500 Oct 6 high) and further to Chf1,1730 (the top border of
the ascending channel from July 17).
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| 14.10 07:34 |
GBP/USD techs:
Resistance 3: $1.7925
Resistance 2: $1.7700
Resistance 1: $1.7560
Current price: $1.7478
Support 1: $1.7390
Support 2: $1.7260
Support 3: $1.6790
Comments: U.K. government said it will invest in banks. That continues
to render a sterling support. The nearest resistance is presented by
area of a session high on $1,7560. Above is possible growth to $1,7700
(50,0 % FIBO of falling $1,8675-$ 1,6790). Further is possible return
to $1,7925 (61,8 %). As intermediate support acts the area of a session
low on $1,7390. Below is located the level $1,7260 (23,6 %), further
are possible falling to a Friday's low on $1,6790.
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| 14.10 07:11 |
EUR/USD techs:
Resistance 3:$1.3900
Resistance 2: $1.3780
Resistance 1: $1.3670
Current price: $1.3645
Support 1: $1.3450
Support 2: $1.3320
Support 3: $1.3255
Comments: The euro rose against the dollar after European leaders
agreed to guarantee bank borrowing and prevent failures that would
further batter the credit markets. The pair tests resistance on $1,3670
(yesterday's high). Further follows $1,3780 (area of Oct 9 high) which
overcoming will open road to Oct 3 high on $1,3900/10. Support is
marked in the field of a session low on $1,3450/40 ($1,3440 - area of
Oct 6 low), further is possiblefalling to $1,3320 (61,8%FIBO growth
$1,1630-$ 1,6040), then testing $1,3255 (Friday's low).
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| 14.10 06:41 |
Daily History for Okt 13, 2008
High Low Close
EUR/USD 1.3682 1.3455 1.3593
USD/JPY 102.16 99.53 101.99
GBP/USD 1.7441 1.6923 1.7409
USD/CHF 1.1441 1.1244 1.1375
EUR/JPY 138.79 134.20 138.65
EUR/GBP 0.7964 0.7779 0.7807
GBP/JPY 177.68 168.66 177.56
GBP/CHF 1.9820 1.9251 1.9805
Change % Change Last
FTSE +324.84 +8.26% 4,256.90
DAX +518.14 +11.40% 5,062.45
CAC +355.01 +11.18% 3,531.50
DOW +936.42 +11.08% 9,387.61
NASDAQ +194.74 +11.81% 1,844.25
S&P 500 +104.13 +11.58% 1,003.35
10YR 29/32 100 31/32 Yield: 3.88%
OIL +3.49 +4.49% $81.19
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| 14.10 06:21 |
Schedule for today, Tuesday, Okt 14, 2008
00:30 Australia National Australia Bank's Business Conditions (Sep) -7
05:00 Japan Consumer Confidence Households (Sep) 31.5
05:00 Japan Consumer Confidence (Sep) 30.1
08:30 UK Retail Price Index (YoY) (Sep) 4.8%
08:30 UK Retail Price Index (MoM) (Sep) 0.3%
08:30 UK Core Consumer Price Index (YoY) (Sep) 2,0%
08:30 UK Consumer Price Index (YoY) (Sep) 4,7%
08:30 UK Consumer Price Index (MoM) (Sep) 0,6%
09:00 E15 Industrial production (August), YoY -1,7% -1,7%
09:00 E15 Industrial production (August) 1,1% -0,3%
09:00 Germany ZEW economic expectations index (October) -52.0 -41.1
18:00 USA Federal budget (September), bln +54.3 -111.9
23:50 Japan Balance of payment (Aug) -17,3%
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