|
|
| 13.10 20:02 |
Hot stocks: Apple, Morgan Stanley, Wachovia.[M]
Apple Inc The technology company was upgraded to “buy,” but its price target was cut to $135, by Sanford Bernstein.
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc The technology company said
Monday that the U.S. Department of Justice has closed its investigation
into ATI Technologies' (which AMD had acquired) pricing and marketing
practices in the sale of graphics processing units.
Citigroup, Inc The bank had its ratings put on review for a
possible downgrade by both Standard & Poor's and Moody's, despite
the bank's lost bid for Wachovia.
Morgan Stanley announced Monday that it has sold 21% of itself to Japanese banking giant Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group for $9B in stock.
Spanish bank Banco Santander confirms that it is negotiating to acquire Philadelphia-based Sovereign Bancorp. The deal is reportedly valued at $2.5B.
Wachovia Corp The Federal Reserve Board said Sunday it has
approved the application by Wells Fargo to acquire the bank. The deal
is expected to close by the end of the year.
|
| 13.10 19:36 |
Dow +565.50 at 9016.69, Nasdaq +121.23 at 1770.74, S&P +62.88 at 962.61
Stocks climb to their best levels of the session. All ten of the major economic sectors are sporting gains of 5% or more.
The session's advance, thus far, has given the Dow its largest
single-session point advance in history. 28 of its 30 components are
trading higher.
JPMorgan Chase (JPM 40.88, -0.76) and General Electric (GE 21.21,
-0.29) are the only two companies listed in the Dow Jones Industrial
Average failing to participate in the session's rally. Reuters
reported earlier today that General Electric considered a bank charter
that would give it access to government lending channels. General
Electric remains one of the few corporations to hold a AAA credit
rating.
|
| 13.10 18:30 |
OPTIONS: Expiries of note for today's 1400GMT cut
EUR/USD $1.3650, $1.3850, $1.3900
USD/JPY Y100.00, Y100.50, Y98.00, Y101.75, Y102.45
EUR/GBP stg0.8000
|
| 13.10 18:09 |
Dow +541.45 at 8990.41, Nasdaq +117.85 at 1766.94, S&P +59.42 at 958.41
The major indices extend their gains, with the Dow briefly surpassing the 9000 level.
Tech stocks (+7.7%) are seeing a notable rebound this session, helping
the Nasdaq 100 (+7.3%) outperform. Apple (AAPL 105.31, +8.51),
Microsoft (MSFT 24.01, +2.50) and Google (GOOG 365.34, +33.34) are all
showing notable strength. Sears Holdings (SHLD 68.58, -2.34), the only
Nasdaq 100 component to post a loss this session, is down 3.3%
|
| 13.10 17:52 |
American focus:
The euro rose the most in three weeks against
the dollar and yen after European leaders agreed to guarantee bank
borrowing and prevent failures that would further batter the credit
markets.
The U.S. currency fell versus the Mexican peso and Australian dollar as
the Federal Reserve and three other central banks announced unlimited
dollar auctions, reducing demand for the greenback for funding among
financial firms. Brazil's real, South Korea's won and the peso led a
rally in emerging-market currencies as the Group of Seven nations
pledged over the weekend to take ``all necessary steps'' to stem the
market turmoil.
``It helps restore market confidence and avert further financial
meltdown,'' said Brian Kim, a currency strategist at UBS AG in
Stamford, Connecticut. ``It's positive for risky assets. If financial
institutions stabilize, there's less of a flight toward the dollar.''
Foreign-exchange movements may be exaggerated because trading volumes
are lower than normal due to public holidays in Japan, the U.S. and
Canada, according to Takashi Yamamoto, chief trader at Mitsubishi UFJ
Trust & Banking Corp. in Singapore.
The pound rose for the first time in four days, gaining 2.2 percent to
$1.7423, as the U.K. government said it will invest in banks. Royal
Bank of Scotland Group Plc, HBOS Plc, and Lloyds TSB Group will get 37
billion pounds ($64.4 billion), the government said in a Regulatory
News Service statement. The funding will allow the banks to boost their
so-called Tier One capital ratio to more than 9 percent.
European policy makers meeting in Paris yesterday pledged to guarantee
until the end of 2009 bank-debt issues with maturities up to five
years. Plans to recapitalize banks in the region will cost 300 billion
euros ($409.7 billion), according to Goldman Sachs Group Inc.
``The rebound in the euro, and in sterling, is a direct response to the
clarity of bailout plans in the euro zone and the U.K.,'' said Simon
Derrick, head of currency strategy in London at Bank of New York Mellon
Corp. ``In the medium-term, this means a surge in national debt which
won't bode well for these currencies. In the near-term, the plans give
investors confidence that there won't be further banking failures.''
|
| 13.10 17:38 |
Gold is under pressure following positive Wall Street stock open
Bullion has lost around $20 in the past 30 minutes. Support is
at $820.00 and break favours $810.82 -- 61.8% of $737.00-$930.25 move.
|
| 13.10 17:38 |
Dow +505.77 at 8957.75, Nasdaq +105.35 at 1754.84, S&P +54.34 at 953.40 |
| 13.10 17:06 |
Dow +470.12 at 8920.95, Nasdaq +93.84 at 1743.35, S&P +50.11 at 949.33
The major indices trade at or near session highs. The S&P 500 will
break an eight session losing streak if it manages to end the session
with a gain.
U.S. automakers, which have been hit very hard by the economic turmoil,
are rallying this session. General Motors (GM 6.49, +1.60) is up 33%
and Ford (F 2.51, +0.52) is up 26%. It was reported over the weekend
that GM and privately held Chrysler held merger talks, although the
Wall Street Journal reported that GM's board gave a "cool reception" to
the merger. Despite today's gains, GM and Ford are down 85% and 72%,
respectively, from their 52-week highs.
|
| 13.10 17:05 |
EUR/USD tech comments
Edging toward earlier rally highs at $1.3671, with offers
noted around this level. A break and clear above here to open a move on
toward $1.3690/00 ahead of $1.3730/40.
Traders note that the 200 hour (not day) m/a
line comes through today at $1.3695, adding that rate has not been
above this level since Sep29. This technical level expected to
strengthen reported offers placed to $1.3700, with stops earlier
reported to be building above the figure.
|
| 13.10 16:26 |
Dow +470.12 at 8920.95, Nasdaq +93.84 at 1743.35, S&P +50.11 at 949.33
The major indices trade at or near session highs. The S&P 500 will
break an eight session losing streak if it manages to end the session
with a gain.
U.S. automakers, which have been hit very hard by the economic turmoil,
are rallying this session. General Motors (GM 6.49, +1.60) is up 33%
and Ford (F 2.51, +0.52) is up 26%. It was reported over the weekend
that GM and privately held Chrysler held merger talks, although the
Wall Street Journal reported that GM's board gave a "cool reception" to
the merger. Despite today's gains, GM and Ford are down 85% and 72%,
respectively, from their 52-week highs.
|
| 13.10 16:13 |
EUR/USD tech comments
Edging toward earlier rally highs at $1.3671, with offers
noted around this level. A break and clear above here to open a move on
toward $1.3690/00 ahead of $1.3730/40.
Traders note that the 200 hour (not day) m/a
line comes through today at $1.3695, adding that rate has not been
above this level since Sep29. This technical level expected to
strengthen reported offers placed to $1.3700, with stops earlier
reported to be building above the figure.
|
| 13.10 15:58 |
Gold is under pressure following positive Wall Street stock open
Bullion has lost around $20 in the past 30 minutes. Support is
at $820.00 and break favours $810.82 -- 61.8% of $737.00-$930.25 move.
|
| 13.10 15:45 |
Dow +436.44 at 8885.56, Nasdaq +90.69 at 1740.59, S&P +49.62 at 948.84
The major indices are posting gains of more than 5% in broad-based
strength -- all ten of the major indices are up at least 4%. The
S&P 500 is up more than 12% from its multi-year intraday low that
was reached on Friday.
Within the S&P 500, 91% of stocks are posting a gain. Microsoft
(MSFT 23.17, +1.67) and Johnson & Johnson (JNJ 49.94, +4.09) are
providing leadership. General Electric (GE 21.11, -0.39) and JPMorgan
Chase (JPM 40.41, -1.20) are the main laggards.
|
| 13.10 15:29 |
Dow +339.94 at 8799.49, Nasdaq +75.59 at 1725.09, S&P +38.06 at 937.28
The major indices dip from opening highs, but still sport gains of roughly 4%. Buying interest is broad-based, led by telecom (+5.6%) and healthcare (+5.7%) stocks.
General Electric (GE 21.30, -0.23) -- the second largest U.S.
company by market cap behind Exxon Mobil (XOM 64.27, +2.06) -- is
failing to participate in this session's rally despite GE's diversified
business portfolio. The industrial sector is underperforming on a relative basis with a gain of 2.0%.
Commodities (+1.0%) and oil (+3.6% at $80.45) are posting
strong gains, although they have retreated from earlier levels. The
dollar is up 2.2% against a basket of world currencies.
The bond market is closed in observance of Columbus day.
|
| 13.10 15:29 |
ECB WEBER: Rescue plan is solid foundation to stabilize markets
- German govt plan to limit confidence crisis in markets
- Banks will be able to lend money with stronger confidence
- Citizens can be sure of their deposits
|
| 13.10 15:18 |
GERMANY FINMIN: 2009 economic development to be markedly worse than 2008
- Interbank guarantee covers only senior instruments.
|
| 13.10 15:12 |
EUR/JPY tech
Breaks back above Y137.00 as euro-dollar probes the topside, bringing
the European highs at Y137.75 back into focus. Little noted on the
orderboards on a steeper move ahead of offers at Y139.60/70, in line
with last Thursday's peak.
|
| 13.10 14:44 |
Dow +400.55 at 8866.63, Nasdaq +74.99 at 1724.50, S&P +42.06 at 943.20
The stock market soars at the open as global markets rally after
several governments took steps to improve liquidity and shore up
confidence.
The Fed and other central announced plans to provide as much liquidity
as needed in short term funding markets. In additions, the U.K.
government plans to inject up to $63 billion in three U.K. banks.
Germany will guarantee up to 400 billion euros in interbank lending.
Morgan Stanley (MS 15.00, +5.32) and Mitsubishi UFJ Financial confirmed
the closing of a $9 billion, or 21%, investment in MS. Under the terms
of the deal, MUFG acquired $7.8 billion perpetual noncumulative
convertible preferred stock at a 10% dividend and a conversion price of
$25.25. MUFG also acquired $1.2 billion of perpetual noncumulative
nonconvertible preferred stock with a 10% dividend.
|
| 13.10 14:31 |
FRANCE SARKOZY: Only governments, central banks can restore confidence |
| 13.10 14:12 |
GERMANY MARKEL: Government cabinet passed bank rescue package
- Final vote in parliament on measures on Friday
|
| 13.10 14:08 |
Before the bell: market to higher after governments took a series of aggressive steps to address the global financial crisis.
Futures
for U.S. stocks were sharply highe: S&P futures vs fair value:
+31.90. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +55.30 - indicating a good start. U.S. bond markets will be closed Monday for the Columbus Day holiday but stock markets will be open.
Stocks in Europe were trading up and key markets in Asia closed higher. "It looks like we're going to have a nice relief rally today," said David Buik with BGC Partners in London. Investors were reacting to several government actions: * The British government announced a $63 billion investment in three major banks.
* The U.S. Federal Reserve, Bank of England, European Central Bank and
the Swiss National Bank revealed coordinated steps to juice short-term
funding markets. Bank of Japan said it will mull similar measures. * On Sunday, 15 European nations agreed to a wide-ranging plan to shore up troubled banks. London's FTSE 100 is up 4.3%. The Cac 40 in Paris had gained 6.4% and the Dax in Frankfurt, Germany, was up 5.8%. In Asia and the Pacific, most markets on Monday posted gains - some were strong. Crude oil prices are off their highest levels of the morning, but are
still up a steep 5.4% to $81.90 as the dollar drops 2.1% against a
basket of world currencies.
|
| 13.10 13:43 |
GERMANY:Government cabinet has passed E480bln rescue plan |
| 13.10 13:30 |
Mitsubish UFJ Fin Group confirms the deal to buy 21% of Morgan has been closed, for $9 bln. |
| 13.10 13:11 |
European session: Euro rises most in 3 weeks as european leaders guarantee banks [M]
The euro rose the most in three weeks against the dollar after
European leaders agreed to guarantee bank borrowing and prevent
failures that would further batter the credit markets.
Europe's single currency also strengthened versus the yen as leaders of
the 15 countries using the euro endorsed bailing out ``systemically''
critical banks in distress. The British pound advanced against the
dollar on speculation the government's bailout plan will avert a
banking collapse.
``The rebound in the euro, and in sterling, is a direct response to the
clarity of bailout plans in the euro zone and the U.K.,'' said Simon
Derrick, head of currency strategy in London at Bank of New York Mellon
Corp. ``In the medium-term, this means a surge in national debt which
won't bode well for these currencies. In the near-term, the plans give
investors confidence that there won't be further banking failures.''
European policy makers meeting in Paris yesterday pledged to guarantee
until the end of 2009 bank-debt issues with maturities up to five
years. Plans to recapitalize banks in the region will cost 300 billion
euros ($406 billion), according to Goldman Sachs Group Inc.
``The current financial woes will likely be gradually resolved in the
long term,'' said Mitsubishi UFJ Trust's Yamamoto. ``The euro may
strengthen.''
Losses in the dollar accelerated after the Fed said today the
European Central Bank and its counterparts will offer financial
institutions unlimited funds in the U.S. currency, providing easier
access to the U.S. currency in response to demand for dollar loans.
The ECB, the Bank of England and the Swiss National Bank will conduct
dollar auctions at maturities of seven days, 28- days and 84-days at a
fixed interest rate, the Fed said on its Website.
Gains in the euro may be limited by speculation the ECB will
lower borrowing costs to stimulate the economy, reducing the 15-nation
region's interest-rate advantage over the U.S. and Japan, according to
UBS AG.
``Over a longer-time horizon, if we avoid a meltdown in the financial
system, evolving yield differentials should be supportive of the yen
and the U.S. dollar, as European countries have further room to cut
interest rates in response to slowing global growth,'' wrote Ashley
Davies, a currency strategist in Singapore at UBS, in a research note
today.
The economy of the euro region, where the benchmark interest rate is
3.75 percent, will expand 1.35 percent this year and 1 percent in 2009,
according to the median of forecasts. Growth in the U.S., whose key
rate is 1.5 percent, will be 1.6 percent this year and 1.2 percent in
2009, a separate survey of 75 economists showed.
The yen may extend gains against the U.S. dollar as Japanese investors
start selling some of their more than $1.3 trillion in overseas assets
to bring money home because of a global slump in equities, JPMorgan
Chase & Co. said.
EUR/USD it continues to be consolidated in the field of $1,3560-$ 1,3670.
GBP/USD having raised above a level $1,7300 the pair has updated a session high.
USD/JPY bargains within the limits of Y100,15-Y100,85.
In second half of day today it is not expected publications of
economic data. Financial markets of the USA and Canada today are closed
in connection with national holidays.
|
| 13.10 12:45 |
Germany is to raise size of bank-bailout to E500 bln. |
| 13.10 12:30 |
BOE SENTANCE: Big squeeze on real disposable incomes happening
- Other factors now may be sharpening that - Main task now is to stabilise financial system - Monetary policy not main driver of crisis in UK at least - Main lessons of crisis for financial system operation.
|
| 13.10 12:01 |
European session: Euro rises most in 3 weeks as european leaders guarantee banks
The euro rose the most in three weeks against the dollar after
European leaders agreed to guarantee bank borrowing and prevent
failures that would further batter the credit markets.
Europe's single currency also strengthened versus the yen as leaders of
the 15 countries using the euro endorsed bailing out ``systemically''
critical banks in distress. The British pound advanced against the
dollar on speculation the government's bailout plan will avert a
banking collapse.
``The rebound in the euro, and in sterling, is a direct response to the
clarity of bailout plans in the euro zone and the U.K.,'' said Simon
Derrick, head of currency strategy in London at Bank of New York Mellon
Corp. ``In the medium-term, this means a surge in national debt which
won't bode well for these currencies. In the near-term, the plans give
investors confidence that there won't be further banking failures.''
European policy makers meeting in Paris yesterday pledged to guarantee
until the end of 2009 bank-debt issues with maturities up to five
years. Plans to recapitalize banks in the region will cost 300 billion
euros ($406 billion), according to Goldman Sachs Group Inc.
``The current financial woes will likely be gradually resolved in the
long term,'' said Mitsubishi UFJ Trust's Yamamoto. ``The euro may
strengthen.''
Losses in the dollar accelerated after the Fed said today the
European Central Bank and its counterparts will offer financial
institutions unlimited funds in the U.S. currency, providing easier
access to the U.S. currency in response to demand for dollar loans.
The ECB, the Bank of England and the Swiss National Bank will conduct
dollar auctions at maturities of seven days, 28- days and 84-days at a
fixed interest rate, the Fed said on its Website.
Gains in the euro may be limited by speculation the ECB will
lower borrowing costs to stimulate the economy, reducing the 15-nation
region's interest-rate advantage over the U.S. and Japan, according to
UBS AG.
``Over a longer-time horizon, if we avoid a meltdown in the financial
system, evolving yield differentials should be supportive of the yen
and the U.S. dollar, as European countries have further room to cut
interest rates in response to slowing global growth,'' wrote Ashley
Davies, a currency strategist in Singapore at UBS, in a research note
today.
The economy of the euro region, where the benchmark interest rate is
3.75 percent, will expand 1.35 percent this year and 1 percent in 2009,
according to the median of forecasts. Growth in the U.S., whose key
rate is 1.5 percent, will be 1.6 percent this year and 1.2 percent in
2009, a separate survey of 75 economists showed.
The yen may extend gains against the U.S. dollar as Japanese investors
start selling some of their more than $1.3 trillion in overseas assets
to bring money home because of a global slump in equities, JPMorgan
Chase & Co. said.
|
| 13.10 11:46 |
USD/JPY techs:
Resistance 3: Y102.70 Resistance 2: Y101.50 Resistance 1: Y101.20 Current price: Y100.58 Support 1: Y99.50 Support 2: Y98.50 Support 3: Y97.90 Comments: Tech on yen hasn't changed. The nearest resistance is Y101,20
(session high). Further is located level Y101,50/65 (area of
Wednesday-Thursday highs). Above there is a probability of return to
Y102,70 (38,2 % FIBO of falling Y110,70-Y97,90). The nearest support is
located on Y99,50 (session low). Below loss of a rate can will increase
up to Y98,50 and further to Y97,90 (Friday's low).
|
| 13.10 11:21 |
European bank bailuot plans:Summary of intended/rumoured plans so far:
GERMANY: total volume of German financial rescue plan is E470bln (E400bln in guarantees and E70bln bank recapitisation).
FRANCE: French state bank guarantees limited to E300bln and will run until to end 2009.
UK: UK government announced Monday it was making stg37 billion of
capital investments in leading UK banking group's, RBS and Lloyd's/TSB
when the merger between the latter two is completed.
|
| 13.10 11:02 |
USD/CHF techs:
Resistance 3: Chf1.1700 Resistance 2: Chf1.1500 Resistance 1: Chf1.1410 Current price: Chf1.1335 Support 1: Chf1.1270 Support 2: Chf1.1125 Support 3: Chf1.1085 Comments:After
unsuccessful testing area of a session low, the rate has receded back.
Resistance is located in the field of a session high on Chf1.1410 and
in the field of Oct 6 high on Chf1,1500. Above is possible growth to
the top border of the ascending channel from July 17. As the nearest
support acts the area of a session low on Chf1,1260/70. Further are
possible losses of a rate up to Chf1,1125 and Chf1,1085.
|
| 13.10 10:41 |
GBP/USD techs:
Resistance 3: $1.7660
Resistance 2: $1.7400
Resistance 1: $1.7230
Current price: $1.7206
Support 1: $1.6920
Support 2: $1.6540 Support 3: $1.5750
Comments: The pair tests resistance in the field of a session high on $1,7230. Further is possible return to
$1,7400 (Thursday's high) and to $1,7660 (area of of the last week
high).
Support is located in the field of a session low on
$1,6920, stronger level is $1,6540 (61,8 % FIBO from growth $1,3670-$
2,160), further are possible falling to $1,5450 (76,4 %).
|
| 13.10 10:21 |
EUR/USD techs:
Resistance 3:$1.3900
Resistance 2: $1.3780
Resistance 1: $1.3670
Current price: $1.3645
Support 1: $1.3450
Support 2: $1.3320
Support 3: $1.3255
Comments: The pair continues to be consolidated in the field of
дотигнутых levels. As the nearest resistance acts the area $1,3670
(session high). Further follows
$1,3780 (area of Oct 9 high) which overcoming will open road to Oct 3
high on $1,3900/10. Support is marked in the field of a session low on
$1,3450/40 ($1,3440 - area of Oct 6 low), further is possible falling
to $1,3320 (61,8 % FIBO of growth $1,1630-$ 1,6040) then testing
$1,3255 (Friday's low).
|
| 13.10 10:01 |
OPTIONS: Expiries of note for today's 1400GMT cut
EUR/USD $1.3650, $1.3850, $1.3900 USD/JPY Y100.00(lge), Y98.00, Y101.75, Y102.45
|
| 13.10 09:48 |
Asian session: [M]
The euro rose the most in three weeks against the dollar after
European leaders agreed to guarantee bank borrowing and prevent
failures that would disrupt credit markets. The currency advanced
versus the greenback, snapping two days of losses, as leaders of the 15
countries using the euro meeting in Paris endorsed bailing out
``systemically'' critical banks in distress. The yen climbed against
the dollar as Asian stocks pared gains, adding to concern that Japanese
investors will sell higher-yielding overseas assets. The euro rose
0.7 percent, the most since Sept. 22, to $1.3507 at 12:46 p.m. in
Tokyo, from $1.3408 late in New York on Oct. 10. It advanced 0.2
percent to 135.15 yen, from 134.96 at the end of last week. The dollar
declined 0.6 percent to 100.10 yen. Foreign-exchange movements may
be exaggerated because trading volumes are lower than normal due to a
Japanese public holiday today, according to Yamamoto. Europe's
single currency gained for the first day in three against the dollar as
European Central Bank President Jean- Claude Trichet said the ECB will
examine ways to widen its collateral rules after governments asked it
to set up a facility to buy commercial paper. Gains in the euro
may be limited by speculation the European Central Bank will lower
borrowing costs to stimulate the economy, reducing the 15-nation
region's interest-rate advantage over the U.S. and Japan, according to
UBS AG. The yen climbed as the MSCI Asia-Pacific Index of
regional shares excluding Japan trimmed its gain to 1.6 percent from as
much as 4.2 percent earlier in Asian trade.
EUR/USD
having established session low on $1.3455, the pair has become stronger
in area $1,3650 where it continues to be consolidated at present. GBP/USD
having decreased in the beginning of the tenders up to a mark $1,6923,
in a consequence the pair has become stronger in area $1,7230. USD/JPY having established a session low on Y99,50, the rate has risen above mark Y100,00.
Today is expected the publication only UK data - PPI 08:30 GMT.
|
| 13.10 09:35 |
UK data
PPI (Input) (September) unadjusted Y/Y 24.5 PPI (Input) (September) adjusted -1.2% PPI Output ex FDT (September) unadjusted Y/Y PPI Output ex FDT (September) adjusted -0.1% PPI (Output) (September) unadjusted Y/Y 8.5% PPI (Output) (September) unadjusted 0.3%
|
| 13.10 09:20 |
STOCKS: weekly review
The stock market posted its eighth consecutive loss in an extremely
volatile session, which marked a fitting end to one of the most
tumultuous weeks ever. The S&P 500 settled with a loss of 1.2%,
which was actually a pretty decent result considering how far it was
down at session lows.
For the week, the Dow, Nasdaq and S&P 500 declined 18.2%, 15.3% and
18.2%, respectively. For the year, the Dow, Nasdaq and S&P 500 are
down 36.3%, 37.8% and 38.8%, respectively.
The S&P 500 plunged 7.7% on the open with global economic fears
driving the selling interest. The index then quickly bounced back into
positive territory, only to retreat toward session lows in afternoon
trade. Then, in the final hour of the session, the S&P 500
rebounded from a loss of 7.3% to a gain of 2.9%, and eventually ended
the day with a loss of 1.2%. Trading volume on the NYSE was the third
heaviest on record, with 2.95 billion shares exchanging hands.
Eight of the ten economic sectors posted a loss. Small-cap stocks outperformed, with the Russell 2000 surging 4.7%.
Continued tightness of credit markets and uncertainty regarding the
economic outlook fueled the volatility. The TED spread, which is the
difference between what banks charge each other for three-month dollar
loans (three-month Libor) and what the government pays (three-month
T-Bill) rose 40 basis points to 4.64%. For comparison, the TED spread
averaged 0.36% in 2006. The Volatility Index, which is considered to
reflect market fear, spiked to its highest level on record.
Overseas stock markets, which closed before the U.S. stock market
rebounded, saw some of their worst sessions in decades. In Asian
trading, Japan's Nikkei fell 9.6% and Hong Kong's Hang Seng dropped
7.2%. In Europe, London's FTSE fell 8.9%, Germany's DAX dropped 7.0%
and France's CAC declined 7.7%.
In corporate news, Lehman Brothers bonds were priced at 8.63 cents on
the dollar during an auction by credit default swap (CDS) sellers,
according to Creditfixings.com. In other words, firms that sold
protection against Lehman defaulting on its debt, known as CDS, will be
forced to pay 91.37 cents on the dollar to reimburse those who bought
the protection -- resulting in steep losses for the firms that sold CDS.
Separately, Morgan Stanley (MS 9.68, -2.77) and Goldman Sachs (GS
88.80, -12.55) tumbled 22.3% and 12.4%, respectively, after the
long-term credit ratings of both companies were put on review for a
downgrade at Moody's.
Still, the financial sector (+7.0%) outperformed, as traders scooped up
the recently beaten up shares of real estate investment trusts,
regional banks (+9.5%) and large diversified firms (+10.2%), such as
JPMorgan Chase (JPM 41.64, +4.96) and Citigroup (C 14.11, +1.18).
In earnings news, General Electric (GE 21.50, +2.49) posted a 10%
year-over-year drop in third quarter earnings per share to $0.45, which
met estimates. The company also said it is on track to meet its full
year guidance and will maintain its dividend for the full year. Shares
of GE rallied 13%, helping the industrial sector outperform with a gain
of 1.8%.
Commodities plunged 6.7% and oil prices fell 6.9% to $80.61 per barrel
as traders speculated a global economic slowdown will crimp
consumption. The dollar advanced 1.6%, which also played a role in some
of the decline in commodities.
The drop in oil prices weighed on energy stocks, which fell 8.1%.
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| 13.10 08:51 |
FOREX: weekly review
Europe's currency is on course for its second straight weekly decline versus the dollar on
speculation the credit crisis in Europe will deepen, prompting the
European Central Bank to cut interest rates further. The bank lowered
its main refinancing rate two days ago for the first time in five
years. The pound fell as much as 1.8 percent to $1.6792, breaching
$1.70 for the first time since November 2003.
The yen headed for its biggest weekly gain in a decade against
the dollar as the global stock- market rout prompted investors to sell
higher-yielding assets and pay back low-cost loans in Japan.
The yen gained 20 percent this week to 65.27 versus the
Australian dollar, 15.1 percent to 59.17 against New Zealand's
currency, known as the kiwi, and 7 percent against the euro on
speculation investors will reverse trades in which they get funds in
countries with low borrowing costs and buy assets where returns are
higher. Japan's 0.5 percent target lending rate compares with 6 percent
in Australia, 7.5 percent in New Zealand and 3.75 percent in Europe.
Japan's currency was poised to rise the most versus the 15- nation euro
in any week since its debut in 1999 as the worst week ever for the
Standard &Poor's 500 Index discouraged carry trades. President
George W. Bush said the U.S. is working with global partners to solve
the financial crisis as Group of Seven finance ministers and central
bankers met in Washington.
The U.S. currency has dropped 5.2 percent against the yen this week,
the most since Oct. 9, 1998, when it plunged 14 percent as investors
shed risk and abandoned yen carry trades in the wake of the collapse of
hedge fund Long-Term Capital Management LP.
Coordinated interest-rate reductions by central banks in the U.S.,
Europe and Asia in the past two days failed to revive lending among
banks, putting stocks on course for their worst week in 30 years. The
cost of borrowing in dollars in London for three months rose to 4.82
percent today, the highest since December, the British Bankers'
Association said.
Threatened by the worst economic outlook in a quarter- century, G-7
officials arrived in Washington without a broad- based strategy that
investors were seeking. Among options is a proposal by U.K. Chancellor
Alistair Darling for nations to guarantee lending between banks, a
suggestion that U.S. Treasury Secretary HenryPaulson hasn't ruled out.
Paulson and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke will meet with
counterparts from the G-7, which comprises Canada, France, Germany,
Italy, the U.K., the U.S. and Japan. Paulson and top aides are still
considering options on how to proceed with a $700 billion bank bailout
plan, including having the government acquire preferred stock, two
officials informed of the matter said.
The Federal Reserve reduced its target lending rate by a
half-percentage point to 1.5 percent, while the European Central Bank
and the central banks of the U.K., Canada, Sweden and Switzerland also
reduced rates. Separately, China's central bank lowered its key
one-year lending rate.
The Bank of Japan held its target lending rate at 0.5 percent
yesterday, compared with 7.5 percent in New Zealand and 5.75 percent in
Norway. The Reserve Bank of Australia cut its cash rate by 1 percentage
point to 6 percent.
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| 13.10 08:42 |
CHINA STOCKS:
China A-shares finished the morning session sharply lower as resources
stocks slumped on persistent worries that a slowing global economy will
reduce demand for raw materials. The benchmark Shanghai Composite Index
ended the morning down 68.82 points or 3.44% at 1,931.75. The Shanghai
A-share Index was down 72.22 points or 3.44% at 2,029.07, while the
Shenzhen A-share Index fell 23.74 points or 4.25% to 534.60.
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| 13.10 08:29 |
USD/JPY techs:
Resistance 3: Y102.70
Resistance 2: Y101.50
Resistance 1: Y101.20
Current price: Y100.67
Support 1: Y99.50
Support 2: Y98.50
Support 3: Y97.90
Comments: The yen climbed as the MSCI Asia-Pacific Index of regional
shares excluding Japan trimmed its gain to 1.6 percent from as much as
4.2 percent earlier in Asian trade. The nearest resistance is Y101,20
(session high). Further is located level Y101,50/65 (area of
Wednesday-Thursday highs). Above there is a probability of return to
Y102,70 (38,2 % FIBO of falling Y110,70-Y97,90). The nearest support is
located on Y99,50 (session low). Below loss of a rate can will increase
up to Y98,50 and further to Y97,90 (Friday's low).
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| 13.10 08:01 |
USD/CHF techs:
Resistance 3: Chf1.1700
Resistance 2: Chf1.1500
Resistance 1: Chf1.1410
Current price: Chf1.1335
Support 1: Chf1.1270
Support 2: Chf1.1125
Support 3: Chf1.1085
Comments:Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson said Oct. 10 that the
government will buy equity ``as soon as we can'' in banks and other
financial institutions to weather the worst credit crisis in seven
decades. The Treasury Department said yesterday Paulson is studying
Europe's plan to provide a backstop for debt issued by banks. The pair
remains within the limits of the ascending channel since July 17 which
top border is strong area of resistance. Below the given level
resistance is located in a session high on Chf1.1410 and in the a Oct 6
high on Chf1,1500. As the nearest support acts the area of a session
low on Chf1,1270. Further are possible up losses of a rate to Chf1,1125
and Chf1,1085
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| 13.10 07:41 |
GBP/USD techs:
Resistance 3: $1.7660
Resistance 2: $1.7400
Resistance 1: $1.7230
Current price: $1.7214
Support 1: $1.6920
Support 2: $1.6540
Support 3: $1.5750
Comments: Traders added to bets policy makers will lower borrowing
costs again after cutting the main rate by half a percentage point on
Oct. 8, in concert with other major central banks worldwide. The pair
has receded from are reached on Friday's low, but essential changes of
a tech haven't occured. Support is located in the field of a session
low on $1,6920, stronger level is $1,6540 (61,8 % FIBO from growth
$1,3670-$ 2,160), further are possible falling to $1,5450 (76,4 %).
Resistance is located in a session high on $1.7230. Further is possible
return to $1,7400 (Thursday's high) and to $1,7660 (area of of the last
week high).
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| 13.10 07:02 |
EUR/USD techs:
Resistance 3:$1.3980
Resistance 2: $1.3780
Resistance 1: $1.3740
Current price: $1.3630
Support 1: $1.3450
Support 2: $1.3320
Support 3: $1.3255
Comments: The euro rose the most in three weeks against the dollar
after European leaders agreed to guarantee bank borrowing and prevent
failures that would disrupt credit markets. As the nearest resistance
acts the area $1,3740 (area of Oct 2 kow and high 7-8). Further follows
$1,3780 (area of Oct 9 high) which overcoming will open road to Oct 3
high on $1,3900/10. Support is marked in the field of a session low on
$1,3450/40 ($1,3440 - area of Oct 6 low), further is possible falling
to $1,3320 (61,8 % FIBO of growth $1,1630-$ 1,6040) then testing
$1,3255 (Friday's low).
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| 13.10 06:42 |
Daily History for Okt 10, 2008
EUR/USD 1.3651 1.3254 1.3410 USD/JPY 100.70 97.88 100.34 GBP/USD 1.7180 1.6784 1.7037 USD/CHF 1.1410 1.1126 1.1332
EUR/JPY 136.32 132.22 134.55 EUR/GBP 0.8068 0.7848 0.7869 GBP/JPY 172.15 165.94 170.95 GBP/CHF 1.9405 1.8860 1.9312
Change % Change Last Nikkei -881,06 -9,62% 8 276,43 TOPIX -62,47 -6.90% 842,64 FTSE -381.74 -8.85% 3,932.06 DAX -342.69 -7.01% 4,544.31 CAC -266.21 -7.73% 3,176.49 Dow -128.00 -1.49% 8,451.19 NASDAQ +4.39 +0.27% 1,649.51 S&P -10.70 -1.18% 899.22 10yr Note +0.2700 +0.070% 3.861% NYMEX Crude Oil -8.89 -11.44% 77.70 Gold -27.50 -3.20% 859.00
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| 13.10 06:29 |
Schedule for today, Monday, Okt 13, 2008
00:00 USA Columbus Day
00:00 Canada Thanksgiving Day
00:00 Japan Health-Sports Day
08:30 UK PPI (Input) (September) unadjusted Y/Y -19.8% 26.2%
08:30 UK PPI (Input) (September) adjusted -1.4% -2.0%
08:30 UK PPI Output ex FDT (September) unadjusted Y/Y 5.9% 6.4%
08:30 UK PPI Output ex FDT (September) adjusted -0.3%
08:30 UK PPI (Output) (September) unadjusted Y/Y 9,0% 9,7%
08:30 UK PPI (Output) (September) unadjusted -0.2% -0.6%
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