|
|
| 13.08 20:01 |
Hot Stocks: Best Buy Co. Inc, Toll Brothers Inc
Apple has agreed to let the electronics retailer Best Buy Co. Inc sell the new iPhone 3G starting next month.
Nvidia Corp, тhe second-largest maker of computer-graphics chips increased its share buyback program by $1B.
The homebuilder Toll Brothers Inc said its revenue
fell to $796.5M in the third quarter, down 34% from the year-ago
period, citing "continued weakness in most of our markets."
Cree Inc, тhe maker of semiconductors used in lighting
mobile phones and street lamps reported fourth-quarter profit above
analysts’ estimates.
|
| 13.08 19:42 |
RDQ Economics about US GDP
"The aggregate inventory-to-sales ratio remained low at the end of the
second quarter. Our running revision calculation (which includes
inventories, trade, construction
spending, components of retail sales, and capital goods shipments)
points to an upward revision to second-quarter real GDP to around
2.75%."
|
| 13.08 19:19 |
Nomura: abour import prices
"+1.7% Jul import prices were dominated by soaring petroleum prices but
notes +0.9% nonoil prices. But, sharp slowing in global demand is
likely to lead to a significant moderation
of import and export price inflation in the months ahead."
|
| 13.08 19:02 |
CRUDE OIL: Sep is up about $4,11 now at $117.10 |
| 13.08 18:46 |
USD/JPY Gains extend to Y109.75 area
Gains extend to Y109.75 area now as the dollar surge extends, forcing
weak shorts in various yen crosses to scramble for cover amid a visious
rebound. Hard to say what precipitated the move, one trader points to
oil surge as hurting yen but scale of move is suggestive of a stop
scramble.
|
| 13.08 18:31 |
Dow -151.68 at 11489.89, Nasdaq -18.51 at 2412.10, S&P -9.58 at 1280.01
Buyers are not showing much interest as crude approaches a 3.0% gain,
although stocks are trading modestly above session lows. The Amex
Airline Index is tumbling 8.6% as the prospect of higher jet fuel
prices weigh on the industry's outlook.
|
| 13.08 18:10 |
American focus: Yen rises to 12-week high against euro as carry trades pared [M]
The yen rose to a 12-week high against the euro and
its strongest level in two months versus the pound as investors in
Japan reduced bets on higher-yielding assets abroad.
Japan's currency climbed to a two-year high against New Zealand's
dollar and a four-month high versus Australia's dollar on speculation
central banks will lower interest rates.
The pound fell
to a 22-month low against the dollar after the Bank of England cut its
growth forecast and unemployment increased the most in almost 16 years.
``The
global economy is definitely slowing down, and people are trying to
avoid risks,'' said Hidetoshi Yanagihara, senior currency trader at
Mizuho Corporate Bank in New York. ``They're buying back the yen
because the interest-rate differential between Japan and the rest of
the world is going to shrink.''
``The euro zone is quickly plunging into a negative GDP environment
right now,'' said Greg Salvaggio, a vice president of capital markets
in Washington at Tempus Consulting, a currency-trading company.
``That's the backdrop that's leading investors to run to the exits on
the euro.''
Europe's economy shrank 0.2 percent in the second quarter, following
0.7 percent growth in the previous three months, according to the
median forecast of 40 economists.
``We are starting to see the beginning of the cyclical recovery of the
dollar,'' said Vassili Serebriakov, a currency strategist at Wells
Fargo & Co. in New York. ``It's mainly because global growth is
slowing.''
The U.S. Dollar Index, which tracks the currency against six trading
partners, yesterday touched 76.616, the highest level since Feb. 12.
The index has advanced 3.9 percent since July 31. Last week's 3.3
percent gain was the biggest since January 2005.
|
| 13.08 17:51 |
Calyon about US dollar
Mitul Kotecha, head of global foreign exchange research at Calyon "(We)
are becoming increasingly cautious about the ability of the dollar to
sustain gains and believe that a period of consolidation is more likely
over coming days. The risk remains that it is all happening too quickly
especially as there is still a lot of bad news out there."
|
| 13.08 17:35 |
JPMorgan Chase have cut their eurozone GDP forecast by at least 0.5% in each of the next four quarters |
| 13.08 17:22 |
BAS suggests +0.7% business inventories may not be a sign of strength
"Despite the decline in auto and parts retail inventories, the
inventory-sales ratio rose from 2.19 in May to 2.22 in June. One year
ago, the ratio was 2.03. Vehicle sales are falling faster than
inventories."
|
| 13.08 17:05 |
Wall Street retreats amid concerns about a consumer spending slowdown in an already strapped economy [M]
Stocks slumped Wednesday morning, extending the previous session's
slide, as investors eyed a weak retail sales report, higher oil prices
and the latest financial market woes.
Those concerns spread into Wednesday's market and were compounded by
the retail sales report. A positive reaction to a few tech earnings
reports helped limit losses for the Nasdaq.
July retail sales fell 0.1% from the previous month, in line with
estimates and reflecting the end of the impact from the government
stimulus checks. Sales excluding autos rose 0.4%, the government said,
with results falling short of the expected rise of 0.5%.
Applied Materials reported sales and earnings late Tuesday that
tumbled from a year ago due to the tough industry environment.
Nonetheless, results edged out analysts' estimates.
Deere & Co. reported higher third-quarter sales and earnings
that topped sales forecasts and missed earnings expectations. The
tractor maker also warned that higher raw material costs would crimp
fourth-quarter profit margins.
Toll Brothers warned that home-building revenue fell about 34%
in the fiscal third quarter because of the housing market collapse. The
luxury homebuilder also reported a big drop in net contracts signed,
and said that it is not comfortable providing an earnings outlook due
to the state of the market.
However, analysts were expecting a bigger drop in home-building revenue, and Toll stock managed to inch higher.
U.S. light crude oil for September delivery rose $2,37 to $115.38 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange Tuesday.
Oil prices rose ahead of the weekly oil inventories report, due out at
10:35 a.m. ET. Also, investors were monitoring fighting between Russia
and Georgia, which has continued despite an announced cease-fire
Tuesday. Georgia serves as an important hub for transporting fuel
between Asia and Europe.
In the bond market, Treasury prices tiptoed higher, lowering the yield on the benchmark 10-year note to 3.90% from 3.99% late Monday.
COMEX gold for October delivery rose $11.20 to $822 an ounce.
|
| 13.08 16:50 |
RBSGC: consumption to pick up later
RBSGC
says the negative of high oil prices "should begin to fade as summer
ends, given the pullback in prices at the pump." They look for
consumption to pick up later.
|
| 13.08 16:35 |
Dow -131.94 at 11511.47, Nasdaq -6.93 at 2424.63, S&P -8.54 at 1281.05
Crude prices (+1.4% at $114.67) extend their advance on the
unexpected drop in oil inventory levels and a steep 6.4 million barrel
decline in gasoline inventories.
The energy sector (+0,9%) catches a bid on the strength in
crude, while consumer discretionary (-2.0%) and airline stocks (-4.4%)
go on the retreat.
Shares of General Motors (-0.50) were already lower, but come
under additional pressure on news that Moody's lowered its credit
ratings on GM. Specifically, the GM corporate family was downgraded to
Caa1 from B3, with a negative outlook.
|
| 13.08 16:20 |
GBP/USD Continues to slide
Continues to slide, fresh lows for the session recently printed at
$1.8640 area as the pound remains under strong pressure following a
dovish inflation report from the MPC. Techs suggest support at $1.8620,
the 61.8% retracement of Nov 2005 to Nov 2007 and at $1.8525 Reversal
low October 2006.
|
| 13.08 16:05 |
EUR/USD Slips back below $1.4900
Slips back below $1.4900, after failing to clear above $1.4904,
currently trading back round $1.4890. Bids now seen placed between
$1.4855/50. A break and clear below this area seen opening technical
potential for a move down to area between $1.4720/10.
|
| 13.08 15:50 |
CRUDE OIL:
WTI Nymex crude oil moved higher to $115.70 after news reports that
Russia has shot down a Georgian spy drone above South Ossetian capital.
US DoE inventory report shows sharp fall in gasoline supplies.
|
| 13.08 15:36 |
USA Weekly crude oil stocks -0,4М |
| 13.08 15:23 |
MS says Q3 real GDP is tracking at -0.5%. |
| 13.08 15:22 |
Dow -100.06 at 11542.06, Nasdaq -5.79 at 2424.82, S&P -7.29 at 1282.59 |
| 13.08 15:01 |
US: June business inventories +0.7% |
| 13.08 14:49 |
Dow -72.87 at 11570.82, Nasdaq +0.21 at 2430.80, S&P -4.35 at 1285.24
The stock market gets off to a slightly lower start. In earnings news,
Deere (DE 61.78, -7.56) missed on both the top and bottom lines in its
fiscal third quarter, and issued disappointing guidance for its fiscal
fourth quarter. Chip makers are seeing a boost, after Nvidia (NVDA
12.10, +1.03) and Applied Materials (AMAT 19.19, +0.72) reported
quarterly earnings that topped estimates. As a result, the Nasdaq is
outperforming. On the economic front, July retail sales were on the
soft side, falling 0.1% month-over-month, although they matched the
median economist forecast.
|
| 13.08 14:47 |
HSBC on US data
HSBC economist Ryan Wang says "With the collapse in auto sales (-8%
unit sales) and the underlying details in this report, real PCE looks
like it will decline again in July after falling 0.2% in June."
|
| 13.08 14:22 |
Before the bell: market to open lower
Stock futures suggest a lower open, but have recovered from their worst levels: S&P futures vs fair value: -4.8. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -5.0. According to the Wall Street Journal, a Goldman Sachs (GS) led group has agreed to pay $1.5 billion for some of ABN AMRO's private equity assets.
Toll
Brothers: The homebuilder said its revenue fell to $796.5 million in
the third quarter, down 34% from the year-ago period. Toll said the
results reflected "continued weakness in most of our markets."
CVS: Drug store chain CVS announced that it would build up its
presence in the West Coast by purchasing Longs Drug Stores (LDG,
Fortune 500) for $71.50, valuing the company at about $2.9 billion.
Best Buy: Apple has agreed to let the electronics retailer sell
the new iPhone 3G starting next month - a move that could give Best Buy
(BBY, Fortune 500) a boost during the holiday season.
Energy prices will be back in focus when the U.S. Department of Energy releases its weekly inventory report at 14:35 GMT.
Crude futures, which are down about 23% from their peak in mid-July,
rose slightly ahead of the inventory report. U.S. crude for September
delivery rose 72 cents to $113.73 a barrel in electronic trading
|
| 13.08 14:00 |
Insight Economics: "retail spending to weak further"
Economist Steven Wood at Insight Economics says "retail spending is
likely to slump becauseof accumulating job losses, still high (but
falling) energy prices, the housing meltdown, and the financial market
turmoil. Consumer spending is off to a weak start at the beginning of
Q3, suggesting much weaker overall economic growth in Q3 than we had in
Q2."
|
| 13.08 13:44 |
European session: [M]
The yen rose to a 12-week high against the euro and its strongest in
two months versus the British pound as Japanese investors cut bets on
higher-yielding assets abroad.
Investors pared so-called carry trades on concern the global economy is
slowing after a report showed Japan's economy contracted last quarter.
The yen climbed to a two-year high against New Zealand's dollar and the
strongest in four months versus Australia's as prices of commodities
the nations export extended declines. The yen also rose for a third day
against the U.S. dollar as financial companies led Asian stocks lower.
``The yen is being driven higher by liquidation of carry trades,'' said
Neil Jones, head of European hedge-fund sales in London at Mizuho
Capital Markets. ``We are still in a risk- aversion type environment.
Also, it's a seasonal story. Japanese investors tend to stop buying
foreign currencies at this time of the year, which is a holiday
season.''
The dollar may extend its decline versus the yen before a U.S.
government report forecast to show consumers are spending less. Retail
sales dropped 0.1 percent last month, the first decrease since
February, according to the median forecast of 75 economists surveyed by
Bloomberg News. The Commerce Department is scheduled to release the
report today at 1230GMT
EUR/USD slowly rose from $1.4880
to $1.4950 before fell back to $1.4850. Rate currently rose to $1.4900 -- Euro-dollar bids $1.4855/50 Offers $1.4940, $1.4950/60-80/00
GBP/USDeased
to $1.8993 ahead of the BOE Inflation Report. Dovish report dropped
rate to an initial low of $1.8897, with secondary sales taking it to a
pre NYopen low of $1.8735,
USD/JPY printed
low at Y108.35 before it rebounded to Y109.10. Rate failed to keep bullish
momentum and retreated to Y108.60/70. Bids Y108.35, Y108.20/00. Offers Y109.10/30, Y109.50/65.
At 12:30 GMT focus will be on US
data, including Retail sales numbers and Business
inventories. Analysts predict sales rose 0.1% in June after +0.5% month
earlier. ``A disappointing retail-sales number could limit the dollar against
the yen,'' said Hiroshi Yoshida, foreign-exchange trader in Tokyo at
Shinkin Central Bank. ``This may also cause declines in stocks, which
would encourage yen buying as investors avoid risky trades.'' At 14:35 GMT US
energy department will release oil stocks figures.
|
| 13.08 13:31 |
US: July retail sales -0.1%, ex auto +0.4%, ex gas & auto +0.3%. |
| 13.08 13:19 |
Ifo on EU economy
Hans-Werner Sinn, Ifo president - "The economic climate has further
clouded over in nearly all countries of the euro area in the third
quarter of 2008. The slowing in economic activity will continue in all
countries of the euro area in the coming six months."
|
| 13.08 12:47 |
BNP Paribas: euro to fall to $1.4600
"The euro-dollar is likely to remain on a weak footing,'' analysts led
by Hans-Guenter Redeker, the London-based global head ofcurrency
strategy at BNP Paribas SA, France's biggest bank, wrote in a research
note yesterday. ``The GDP report would confirm Europe is moving below
trend growth, which will, over time, release deflationary forces.''
Traders should sell euros for dollars with a target of $1.46, according
to BNP Paribas.
|
| 13.08 12:14 |
European focus:
The
yen rose to a 12-week high against the euro and its strongest in two
months versus the British pound as Japanese investors cut bets on
higher-yielding assets abroad.
Investors pared so-called carry trades on concern the global economy is
slowing after a report showed Japan's economy contracted last quarter.
The yen climbed to a two-year high against New Zealand's dollar and the
strongest in four months versus Australia's as prices of commodities
the nations export extended declines. The yen also rose for a third day
against the U.S. dollar as financial companies led Asian stocks lower.
``The yen is being driven higher by liquidation of carry trades,'' said
Neil Jones, head of European hedge-fund sales in London at Mizuho
Capital Markets. ``We are still in a risk- aversion type environment.
Also, it's a seasonal story. Japanese investors tend to stop buying
foreign currencies at this time of the year, which is a holiday
season.''
``As growth and rate expectations outside the U.S. continue to worsen,
we believe the dollar will continue to firm,'' UBS currency strategists
led by Zurich-based Mansoor Mohi-uddin wrote in a research note
yesterday.
The dollar may trade at $1.51 per euro in one month and $1.47 in three
months, compared with previous forecasts of $1.60 and $1.53, the
strategists wrote. The greenback also may buy 110 yen in one month and
111 yen in three months, versus an earlier estimate of 105 yen for both
periods, they said.
The dollar may extend its decline versus the yen before a U.S.
government report forecast to show consumers are spending less. Retail
sales dropped 0.1 percent last month, the first decrease since
February, according to the median forecast of 75 economists surveyed by
Bloomberg News. The Commerce Department is scheduled to release the
report today at 1230GMT.
``A disappointing retail-sales number could limit the dollar against
the yen,'' said Hiroshi Yoshida, foreign-exchange trader in Tokyo at
Shinkin Central Bank. ``This may also cause declines in stocks, which
would encourage yen buying as investors avoid risky trades.''
|
| 13.08 11:48 |
Sterling under serious pressure in the wake of the BOE Inflation Report
Cable extends react losses, from its pre
release level of $1.8993, $1.8820 (lowest level since Oct 26 2006). Rate
currently trades back around $1.8840. Bids seen placed to $1.8800, a
break below to open a deeper move toward $1.8780/70. Offers $1.8870/80.
|
| 13.08 11:26 |
USD/JPY techs:
Resistance 3: Y111.80
Resistance 2: Y110.40
Resistance 1: Y109.30
Current price: Y109.03
Support 1: Y108.30
Support 2: Y107.30
Support 3: Y105.70
Comments: Strong resistance
is around Aug 11-12 highs on Y110.40. Key resistance is around Y111.80 (trend
line from Mar 2008). Support comes at overnight’s lows on Y108.30, below
– at Y107.30. Stronger support comes near trend line from Mar 2008 at Y105.70.
Resistance is around 50% Fibo of Y110.40 - Y108.30 decline.
|
| 13.08 10:53 |
USD/CHF techs:
Resistance 3: Chf1.1080
Resistance 2: Chf1.1000
Resistance 1: Chf1.0940
Current price: Chf1.0877
Support 1: Chf1.0740
Support 2: Chf1.0680
Support 3: Chf1.0520
Comments: Dollar retreats. Support is near Monday’s lows on Chf1.0740. Below
correction may dip down to Chf1.0680 and then – to Chf1.0520 (last Thursday’s
lows). Strong resistance is around trend resistance line from Mar 17 on Chf1.0940.
Above the target comes at 38.2% Fibo (Chf1.3180 - Chf0.9630 decline). Break
above that level will open the way to Chf1.1080.
|
| 13.08 10:48 |
GBP/USD techs:
Resistance 3: $1.9240
Resistance 2: $1.9120
Resistance 1: $1.9080
Current price: $1.8911
Support 1: $1.8910
Support 2: $1.8880
Support 3: $1.8820
Comments: Cable holds within the downward channel from Jul 31. Strong support comes
at channel line on $1.8910/20. Key support is around trend line from Jan 2002
on $1.8880. Below support is around Nov 12 of 2006 lows on $1.8820. Resistance
is near yesterday’s high on $1.9080, above – on $1.9120. Stronger level is
around channel resistance line on $1.9240.
|
| 13.08 10:31 |
BOE Aug Report: Forecasts Inflation Falling Below Target
--BOE Sees CPI Clearly Below Target On Market, Flat Rate Assumptions
--BOE Sees Risks To CPI To The Upside; Growth Risks To The Downside
The Bank of England forecast that if rates are left on hold, inflation
will be below target in two years time, undermining the case for a rate
hike and leaving the door open to slight monetary easing. Based on
constant 5% Bank Rate, the BOE's August Inflation Report showed CPI
clearly falling below 2% in two years' time. On market rate assumptions
inflation also falls back to around 1.8% in two years time and
continues to fall further in the third year. The BOE's implied rate
assumptions showed rates broadly on hold through 2009 before rising by
almost 25 basis points from the second half of 2010. Overall, the
report is less hawkish than many analysts' had expected.
|
| 13.08 10:27 |
EUR/USD techs:
Resistance 3:$1.5140
Resistance 2: $1.5080
Resistance 1: $1.4970
Current price: $1.4926
Support 1: $1.4810
Support 2: $1.4760
Support 3: $1.4700
Comments: Euro consolidates within the 40-points range above yesterday’s lows
on $1.4810 (minor support). Below losses may widen to $1.4760. Strong support
remains at $1.4700 (50% of $1.3380 - $1.6040 rise). Resistance is around 23.6% Fibo
of $1.5500 - $1.4810 decline. Above the recovery may extend to $1.5080 (38.2%),
then – to $1.5140 (Broken channel support line from Jul 15).
|
| 13.08 10:26 |
OPTIONS: Expiries of note for today's 1400GMT cut
EUR/USD: $1.5200
USD/JPY: Y109.50
AUS/USD: $0.8860,
$0.8925
NZD/USD:
$0.6950
USD/CAD: C$1.0765
|
| 13.08 10:01 |
EMU: June Industrial output 0.0% m/m; -0.5% y/y |
| 13.08 09:49 |
GBP/USD dropped
GBP/USD dropped from around $1.8967 to $1.8948 on release of UK employment data, but rate quickly
corrects back to $1.8980. Main focus remains on 0930GMT BOE Inflation Offers
now seen placed to $1.9000, more toward
earlier rally highs at $1.9036. Bids $1.8950, more between $1.8925/20 (Asia low $1.8922).
|
| 13.08 09:34 |
UK: Jun Headline Average Earnings +3.4% |
| 13.08 09:34 |
UK: Apr-Jun ILO unemployment +60,000 q/q; rate 5.4% |
| 13.08 09:33 |
UK: Jul claimant count unemployment +20,100 m/m |
| 13.08 09:33 |
UK: Jul claimant count unemployment rate 2.7% |
| 13.08 09:29 |
Orders:
EUR
Bids: $1.4900, $1.4885/00
Offers: $1.4985/95
JPY
Bids: Y108.35, Y108.20/00
Offers: Y108.90/00, Y109.20, Y109.40/50
GBP
Bids: $1.8930/20, $1.8900, $1.8885
Offers: $1.9045/55, $1.9070/80
AUSSIE
Bids: $0.8640, $0.8600/0.8590
Offers: $0.8730/35
|
| 13.08 09:03 |
Asian session: Yen rises to 12-week high against Euro as carry trades pared [M]
The yen rose to a 12-week high against the euro as Japanese investors cut bets on
higher- yielding assets abroad. Investors pared so-called carry
trades on concern the global economy is slowing after a report showed Japan's
economy contracted last quarter. The yen climbed to a two-year high against New Zealand's
dollar and the strongest in four months versus Australia's, as prices of
commodities the nations export extended declines. The yen also rose for a third day
against the U.S. dollar as financial companies led Asian stocks lower. Japan's economy, the world's largest
after the U.S., shrank an
annualized 2.4% in the three months ended June 30 after expanding a revised 3.2%
in the first quarter, the Cabinet Office said today in Tokyo.
EUR/USDslowlyrosefrom$1.4880
to$1.4950, where it set stable.
GBP/USD challenged
strong support around $1.8900 and rebounded to $1.9013.
USD/JPY printed
low at Y108.35 before it rebounded to Y108.90. Rate failed to keep bullish
momentum and retreated to Y108.60/70.
In Europe UK labor market report will
be the major event (at 08:30 GMT). At 09:00 GMT EU Industrial production report
is due to come. At 09:30 GMT attention will be on BoE quarterly inflation
letter, that may weight on VHC’s rates prospects.
At 12:30 GMT focus will be on US
data, including Retail sales numbers and Business
inventories. Analysts predict sales rose 0.1% in June after +0.5% month
earlier. At 14:35 GMT US
energy department will release oil stocks figures.
|
| 13.08 08:59 |
Japan's stocks fell
Japan's stocks
fell a second day after the nation's economy shrank for the first time in a
year, pointing to dimmer earnings prospects in the second half. The Nikkei 225
Stock Average dropped 280.55, or 2.1%, to close at 13,023.05. The broader Topix
index fell 24.94, or 2%, to 1,246.48.
|
| 13.08 08:27 |
Stock market: Tuesday summary
Stock market fixing: Nikkei 225 -127.31 -1.0%
13,303.60
Topix -8.58 -0.7% 1,271.42
FTSE -7.30 -0.13%
5,534.50
DAX -23.76 -0.36%
6,585.87
CAC -20.01 -0.44% 4,518.48
Dow -139.88 -1.19%
11,642.47
NASDAQ -9.34 -0.38% 2,430.61
S&P -15.73 -1.21%
1,289.59
10yr Note -0.8400 -0.210%
3.918%
NYMEX Crude Oil -1.44 -1.26%
113.01
Gold -13.70 -1.65% 814.60
Japan's stocks fell for the first time in three days on concern steelmakers' earnings
will be squeezed and the fastest wholesale inflation in almost three decades
will erode profit margins at manufacturers. JFE Holdings Inc. led producers of
the alloy lower on speculation Chinese exports will weigh on prices. Snow Brand
Milk Products Co. sank the most in five years as materials costs cut profit.
Mitsui Sumitomo Insurance Group Holdings Inc. rose to the highest this month as
first-quarter profit reached about half of its annual target. China's steel exports climbed 38% in July
from the previous month, the nation's customs office said yesterday. BHP
Billiton Ltd., the world's biggest mining company, raised prices of iron ore by
as much as 97% this year, while its venture with Japan's Mitsubishi Corp. tripled
coking - coal prices. Japan's producer prices, the costs
companies pay for energy and raw materials, climbed 7.1% in July from a year
earlier, the steepest gain since January 1981, the Bank of Japan said.
Meanwhile, Japanese consumers became the most pessimistic in June since at
least 1982 when the government began compiling the figures, the Cabinet Office
said today. JFE fell 6.1%, while bigger rival
Nippon Steel Corp. sank 4.6%. Sumitomo Metal Industries Ltd. dropped 4.6%. Snow Brand tumbled 13%, the most
since February 2003, after net income fell 12%. Ajinomoto Co., the nation's
largest maker of food additives, lost 4.4%, after surging materials costs more
than halved first- quarter profit. Nikko Citigroup Ltd. lowered its rating on
the stock to ``hold'' from ``buy.''
European stocks fell for the first time in three days as a retreat in metals prices sent
mining companies lower and investors speculated bank losses will deepen. BHP Billiton Ltd., the world's
largest mining company, tumbled after gold, platinum and copper declined. BNP
Paribas SA and UniCredit SpA led banks lower after JPMorgan Chase & Co.
signaled it may write down $1.5 billion in mortgage assets. UBS AG, the
European bank hardest hit by the collapse of the U.S. subprime market, sank the most
in a week. Weir Group Plc, the world's biggest maker of pumps for the mining
industry, had its steepest drop since 2006 after sales at its U.S. unit
declined. House prices in Britain fell as
the squeeze on credit brought the property market to a ``virtual standstill,''
the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors said today. U.K. homebuilders Persimmon Plc and
Bellway Plc dropped after Dresdner Kleinwort said investors should abandon the
stocks. BHP dropped 1.3%. Rio Tinto Group retreated
1.2%. BNP Paribas, France's
largest bank, dropped 3.7%. UniCredit,
Italy's
biggest, slipped 1.2%. JPMorgan said it will write down the
value of mortgage- backed assets by at least $1.5 billion this quarter after
the credit-market turmoil and the U.S. housing slump deepened. UBS sank 2.4%. The bank reported a
second-quarter net loss of 358 million Swiss francs ($329 million), and said it
doesn't expect the ``adverse economic and financial trends'' to improve in the
second half. Standard Chartered Plc slipped 6.8%.
Citigroup cut its recommendation on the stock to ``sell'' from ``hold,'' citing
rising inflationary pressure in Asia. Persimmon sank 5.2%. Bellway, a U.K.
homebuilder aimed at first-time buyers, tumbled 5.6%.
Stocks declined Tuesday, retreating after the recent rally as oil prices fluctuated, the dollar
fell and more credit market problems surfaced. The ongoing credit market crisis
pressured investor sentiment.
JP Morgan Chase said in a regulatory
filing that trading conditions have deteriorated in the third quarter versus
the second quarter and that it has written down $1.5 billion in credit market
losses in the quarter. Morgan Stanley said late Monday that
it will repurchase $4.5 billion in auction-rate securities after the Attorney
General's office said its investigation of the sale of such securities will
include the firm. The repurchase plan won't stop the
investigation from continuing, the Attorney General's office said following the
news. Also, Moody's cut Morgan's debt rating. UBS reported its fourth straight
quarterly loss Tuesday and said it would split its investment banking unit from
its wealth management unit after wealthy clients withdrew substantial sums
during the quarter. BP said Tuesday morning that it shut
down a Georgian pipeline for safety reasons. Russia
said it has halted its attacks on Georgia but unrest in the region
remains after days of fighting. The U.S.
deficit unexpectedly narrowed in June, as an increase in exports overshadowed a
surge in oil import prices, the government said. The trade gap narrowed to
$56.77 billion in June from a revised $59.2 billion in May.
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| 13.08 08:12 |
FOREX. Tuesday summary
The dollar snapped a five-day
winning streak against the euro on speculation the currency's recent gains are
too fast to be sustained.
The greenback has rallied 4.3% versus the euro this month on speculation the U.S. economic slowdown is spreading to Europe and as commodity prices have tumbled.
Germany's
economy, the largest in the 15-nation region that uses the euro, probably
contracted in the second quarter for the first time in almost four years,
according to the median forecast of 41 economists. The government is due to
report the data on Aug. 14.

EUR/USDprinted lows around $1.4820, where bids helped
the rate to recover to $1.4960. Later rate set stable around $1.4870/$1.4930. GBP/USD printed
lows on $1.8967 before rebounded to $1.9080 after stronger-then-expected UK CPI
report. But rate failed to keep bullish momentum and retreated to $1.8945/50. USD/JPY again
tested strong resistance area between the Y110.35/40 levels with offers capped
the rally and dollar retreated to Y109.20.
InEuropeUKlabormarketreportwillbethemajorevent(at08:30
GMT). At 09:00 GMT EU Industrial production report is
due to come. At 09:30 GMT attention will be on BoE quarterly inflation letter,
that may weight on МРС’s rates prospects. At 12:30 GMT focus will be on US data, including Retail sales
numbers and Business inventories. Analysts predict sales rose 0.1% in June
after +0.5% month earlier. At 14:35 GMT US energy department will release
oil stocks figures
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| 13.08 08:02 |
USD/JPY techs:
Resistance 3: Y111.80 Resistance 2: Y110.40 Resistance 1: Y109.30 Current price: Y108.66 Support 1: Y108.30 Support 2: Y107.30 Support 3: Y105.70 Comments: USD/JPY declines with support comes at overnight’s lows on Y108.30, below – at Y107.30. Stronger support comes near trend line from Mar 2008 at Y105.70. Resistance is around 50% Fibo of Y110.40 - Y108.30 decline. Strong resistance is around Aug 11-12 highs on Y110.40. Key resistance is around Y111.80 (trend line from Mar 2008).
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| 13.08 07:31 |
USD/CHF techs:
Resistance 3: Chf1.1080 Resistance 2: Chf1.1000 Resistance 1: Chf1.0940 Current price: Chf1.0843 Support 1: Chf1.0740 Support 2: Chf1.0680 Support 3: Chf1.0520 Comments: Dollar retreats. Support is near Monday’s lows on Chf1.0740. Below correction may dip down to Chf1.0680 and then – to Chf1.0520 (last Thursday’s lows). Strong resistance is around trend resistance line from Mar 17 on Chf1.0940. Above the target comes at 38.2% Fibo (Chf1.3180 - Chf0.9630 decline). Break above that level will open the way to Chf1.1080.
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| 13.08 07:15 |
GBP/USD techs:
Resistance 3: $1.9240 Resistance 2: $1.9120 Resistance 1: $1.9080 Current price: $1.8971 Support 1: $1.8910 Support 2: $1.8880 Support 3: $1.8820 Comments: Cable holds within the downward channel from Jul 31. Strong support comes at channel line on $1.8910/20. Key support is around trend line from Jan 2002 on $1.8880. Below support is around Nov 12 of 2006 lows on $1.8820. Resistance is near yesterday’s high on $1.9080, above – on $1.9120. Stronger level is around channel resistance line on $1.9240.
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| 13.08 06:53 |
EUR/USD techs:
Resistance 3:$1.5140 Resistance 2: $1.5080 Resistance 1: $1.4970 Current price: $1.4916 Support 1: $1.4810 Support 2: $1.4760 Support 3: $1.4700 Comments: Euro consolidates within the 40-points range above yesterday’s lows on $1.4810 (minor support). Below losses may widen to $1.4760. Strong support remains at $1.4700 (50% of $1.3380 - $1.6040 rise). Resistance is around 23.6% Fibo of $1.5500 - $1.4810 decline. Above the recovery may extend to $1.5080 (38.2%), then – to $1.5140 (Broken channel support line from Jul 15).
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| 13.08 06:31 |
Oil set stable
Oil has steadied above $113 (trading
$113.17) in Asia, after falling Tuesday to its lowest since May 2 in the wake of official data
showing US
oil use in its steepest dive in 26 years. The NYMEX September light crude oil
contract settled at $113.01 per barrel Tuesday, down from Monday's settlement
at $114.45. Earlier, the September contract bottomed out at a low of $112.31.
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| 13.08 06:21 |
Daily History for Aug 12, 2008
High Low Close EUR/USD 1.4962 1.4812 1.4912 USD/JPY 110.35 109.18 109.29 GBP/USD 1.9123 1.8950 1.8956 USD/CHF 1.0924 1.0827 1.0865
EUR/JPY 164.39 162.77 162.97 EUR/GBP 0.7872 0.7791 0.7871 GBP/JPY 210.61 206.98 207.16 GBP/CHF 2.0778 2.0588 2.0595
Change % Change Last Nikkei 225 -127.31 -1.0% 13,303.60 Topix -8.58 -0.7% 1,271.42 FTSE -7.30 -0.13% 5,534.50 DAX -23.76 -0.36% 6,585.87 CAC -20.01 -0.44% 4,518.48 Dow -139.88 -1.19% 11,642.47 NASDAQ -9.34 -0.38% 2,430.61 S&P -15.73 -1.21% 1,289.59 10yr Note -0.8400 -0.210% 3.918% NYMEX Crude Oil -1.44 -1.26% 113.01 Gold -13.70 -1.65% 814.60
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| 13.08 05:59 |
Schedule for today, Wednesday, Aug 13, 2008
08:30 UK Claimant count (July) +16.5K +15.5K 08:30 UK Claimant count rate (July) 2.6% 2.6% 08:30 UK Average earnings (3 months to June) Y/Y 3.6% 3.8% 08:30 UK ILO Jobless rate (3 months to June) - 5.2% 09:00 EU(15) Industrial production (June) -2.3% -1.9% 09:00 EU(15) Industrial production (June) Y/Y 0.3% -0.6% 09:30 UK BoE quarterly inflation report 12:30 USA Retail sales (July) 0.5% 0.1% 12:30 USA Retail sales excluding auto (July) 0.6% 0.8% 12:30 USA Import prices (July) - 2.6% 12:30 USA Export prices (July) - 1.0% 14:00 USA Business inventories (June) 0.5% 0.3% 23:50 Japan Tertiary activity index (June) - -0.2%
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