| 12.08 19:59 |
Hot Stocks: McDonald's Corporation, UBS AG
UBS cut its rating of the world's largest restaurant company McDonald's Corporation, citing slowing fast food trends in the United States and a forecast for increased U.S. job losses.
The European banking giant UBS AG reported further losses and second-quarter writedowns of $5.1B.
JPMorgan raised its rating on the fourth-largest U.S. carrier Continental Airlines Inc to ``overweight'' from ``underweight,'' citing the drop in fuel prices.
The women’s clothing retailer Ann Taylor Stores Corporation had Citigroup cut its rating, saying the company could report lower-than-expected second-quarter profit.
|
| 12.08 19:50 |
Dow -76.37 at 11708.10, Nasdaq +0.47 at 2440.42, S&P -7.75 at 1297.65
Stocks catch a modest bid as oil prices go back on the decline in
volatile fashion. Crude is now down 1.3% at $113.00 per barrel. The
Nasdaq is posting a slight gain, while the Dow and S&P 500 remain
in the red.
Airlines are posting a solid 4.0% gain, benefiting from the drop in oil
prices and several airlines being upgraded to Overweight from Neutral
or Underperform at JPMorgan.
The financial sector (-3.8%) extends its losses in broad-based
weakness. Investment banks and brokerages are down 6.7%, followed by a
5.7% loss in the diversified financials group.
|
| 12.08 19:22 |
USD/JPY: Chopping to fresh lows for the session
Chopping to fresh lows for the session as the dollar gives back
ground everywhere, albeit modestly so. Dollar-yen easing to Y109.58 now
an on approach to bids at 109.50. Stops a risk sub Y109.40.
|
| 12.08 19:05 |
USA Federal budget (July), bln -102,8 |
| 12.08 18:41 |
Lehman Brothers about GDP of eurozone
Lavinia Santovetti and Michael Hume of Lehman Brothers say Q2
eurozone growth looks to have dropped quickly in Q2 and they look for a
contraction of 0.4% q-o-q (seas adj). "Looking ahead, the ongoing fall
in the forward-looking survey indicators suggest that growth could turn
out to be negative in Q3 (-0.1% q-o-q) as well," the strategists say.
"We therefore expect the euro area to enter a technical recession in
2008," they add.
|
| 12.08 18:37 |
American focus: Dollar snaps five-day rally versus Euro on bets gains excessive [M]
The dollar snapped a five-day winning streak against the euro on
speculation the currency's recent gains are too fast to be sustained.
The greenback has rallied 4.3 percent versus the euro this month on
speculation the U.S. economic slowdown is spreading to Europe and as
commodity prices have tumbled.
``The dollar's rally was overextended,'' said Steve Butler, director of
foreign-exchange trading at Scotia Capital Inc. in Toronto. ``It has
been such a one-way street.''
The Dollar Index, which gauges the greenback against the currencies of
six major U.S. trading partners, was little changed at 76.135. It
touched 76.616, the highest level since Feb. 12. The index rose 1.7
percent on Aug. 8, the biggest jump in six years.
``It's just time for a bit of correction,'' said Matthew Kassel,
director at ING Financial Markets LLC in New York. ``The dollar's rally
is exhausted.''
Germany's economy, the largest in the 15-nation region that uses the
euro, probably contracted in the second quarter for the first time in
almost four years, according to the median forecast of 41 economists.
The government is due to report the data on Aug. 14.
In Japan, a report tomorrow may show gross domestic product shrank at
an annual rate of 2.3 percent in the three months ended June 30,
following 4 percent growth in the previous quarter, according to a
separate survey.
``The market has become less bearish about the U.S. and, comparatively
speaking, much more bearish about what's going on in the rest of the
world,'' said Mike Moran, a senior currency strategist at Standard
Chartered Bank in New York.
|
| 12.08 18:01 |
GBP/USD:
Dithering around $1.9000 area amid muted flows, the pair having
stalled around $1.9010 just at the European close and while recent dips
have been held to about 10 pips above the morning low at $1.8970 where
decent bids are reported.
|
| 12.08 17:43 |
Dow -67.90 at 11717.71, Nasdaq -0.32 at 2439.83, S&P -6.46 at 1299.09 |
| 12.08 17:23 |
Brown Brothers Harriman: Price pressures may ease in the coming months
"Falling commodity prices will act like a tax cut for households and
businesses world wide. Price pressures may ease in the coming months,
which could allow some central banks to be a little less aggressive in
terms of monetary tightening. For the US, the thinking is that the
effect of the fiscal stimulus packages has been limited because of the
run-up in food and energy costs, so the reverse may be seen in coming
months. In terms of US inflation, expectations have fallen in recent
weeks."
|
| 12.08 17:05 |
Wall Street retreats on financial woes, weaker greenback [M]
Stocks declined Tuesday morning, retreating after the recent rally as
oil prices fluctuated, the dollar fell and more credit market problems
surfaced.
The ongoing credit market crisis pressured investor sentiment.
JP Morgan Chase said in a regulatory filing that trading
conditions have deteriorated in the third quarter versus the second
quarter and that it has written down $1.5 billion in credit market
losses in the quarter.
Morgan Stanley said late Monday that it will repurchase $4.5
billion in auction-rate securities after the Attorney General's office
said its investigation of the sale of such securities will include the
firm.
The repurchase plan won't stop the investigation from continuing, the
Attorney General's office said following the news. Also, Moody's cut
Morgan's debt rating.
UBS reported its fourth straight quarterly loss Tuesday and said
it would split its investment banking unit from its wealth management
unit after wealthy clients withdrew substantial sums during the quarter.
BP said Tuesday morning that it shut down a Georgian pipeline
for safety reasons. Russia said it has halted its attacks on Georgia
but unrest in the region remains after days of fighting.
U.S. light crude oil for September delivery fell $1,85 to $112.70 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
The U.S. deficit unexpectedly narrowed in June, as an increase in
exports overshadowed a surge in oil import prices, the government said.
The trade gap narrowed to $56.77 billion in June from a revised $59.2
billion in May.
In the bond market, Treasury prices rose, lowering the yield on the benchmark 10-year note to 3.95% from 3.99% late Monday.
COMEX gold for December delivery rose 70 cents to $829 an ounce.
|
| 12.08 16:45 |
Calyon: July CPI merely prove that BoE was correct
Stuart Bennett, strategist at Calyon-
"Unsurprisingly the upside CPI surprise supported sterling. However, it
is doubtful as to whether the numbers will actually alter the economic
and policy outlook significantly. TheBoE has long warned that short term price risks are to the upside and the July numbers merely prove that they were correct."
|
| 12.08 16:31 |
CRUDE OIL: WTI Nymex crude oil breaks below $112.70 - hits fresh lows for the move and lowest since May 2 |
| 12.08 16:15 |
Royal London Asset Management about UK inflation
Ian Kernohan, economist at Royal London Asset Management - "Market
players are also remaining sidelined ahead of Wednesday's key BoE
inflation report for signs of how rate setters on the Monetary Policy
Committee view the situation. With the ominous combination of inflation
spiking while the economy slows. As expected, inflation continues to move
higher, however the market will be more interested in tomorrow's
Inflation Report which will include the MPC's view on the likely path
of inflation over the next couple of years."
|
| 12.08 15:51 |
EUR/USD holds above $1.49
Hold $1.4915 and underscores well the remarks of several traders today
describing very patchy flows, uneven liquidity and a market that is
inclined to move in fits and starts without actually getting anywhere
fast. Normal liquidity seems lacking most of the time, traders say,
with markets impacted by peak vacation season in the northern
hemisphere.
|
| 12.08 15:30 |
Dow -56.01 at 11731.55, Nasdaq -9.38 at 2432.69, S&P -6.14 at 1300.32
The stock market trades with a modest loss, with eight of the ten
economic sectors in negative territory. The financial sector (-2.2%)
is the main laggard, as no other sector is posting a loss of more than
1%.
The materials sector (+1.2%) is a pocket of strength. Agriculture
company Monsanto (MON 111.69, +3.82) is providing leadership after
saying that gross profit in its corn seeds and traits business is
expected to grow by roughly 25% in 2008 and expects corn gross profit
to grow by another 25% to 30% in 2009. In 2007, corn seeds and traits
accounted for 33% of Monsanto's $8.6 billion in revenue.
The energy sector (+0.6%) is also enjoying some buying interest.
The energy and materials sectors have had a rough third quarter on
sinking commodity prices, falling 17.5% and 7.7%, respectively. By
comparison, the S&P 500 is up 1.5% this quarter.
|
| 12.08 15:12 |
Crude oil prices paring earlier gains now, with WTI Nymex crude oil at $114.55 and spot gold at $819.00. |
| 12.08 14:55 |
Dow -68.06 at 11714.12, Nasdaq -8.17 at 2331.78, S&P -4.58 at 1300.74 |
| 12.08 14:53 |
WTI Nymex crude oil rose to $115.85 after reports of Nigeria oil facility attack. |
| 12.08 14:42 |
EUR/USD gains extend to near $1.4960 as crude oil drives the pair
Sustained break
above $1.4930/35 area may relieve part of the current underlying negative tone and
boost recovery hopes. Offers emerging here,
just ahead of $1.4970/80. Bids $1.4850, more between $1.4835/30 and
stronger interest at $1.4815/00.
|
| 12.08 14:18 |
Crude oil futures break above $115.00 level on short-covering after floor session began, having traded as low as $112.48 earlier in the electronic session. |
| 12.08 14:15 |
Before the bell:
Futures suggest a slightly lower open after having a mostly muted
reaction to the latest trade balance reading: (S&P futures vs fair
value: -3.2. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -1.2. ). The June trade
deficit narrowed to $56.8 billion from the previous month's deficit of
$59.2 billion. Economists forecast a deficit of $62 billion.
Separately, Goldman Sachs (GS) had its earnings estimates cut at
Oppenheimer. Goldman's 2008 full year earnings estimate was cut to
$14.32 per share from $15.5 (consensus $16.77) and 2009 was cut to
$14.90 per share from $16.30 (consensus $19.75). The primary catalysts
for the downward revision are customer volumes, weak global equity
markets and weak advisory and underwriting revenue. In addition,
Goldman was downgraded to Hold from Buy at Deutsche Bank.
JPMorgan Chase: The banking giant said in a filing with the Securities
and Exchange Commission that it suffered more substantial third-quarter
losses related to the hard-hit mortgage sector than it did in the
second quarter. JPMorgan said that problems in the credit market caused it to lose $1.5 billion.
Crude prices fell anew on signs of softening demand. U.S. crude for
September delivery fell $1.07 to $113.38 a barrel in electronic trading
Tuesday. Nymex crude is down substantially from its high of $147.27 on July 11.
|
| 12.08 14:13 |
USD/CAD reaction on the news
Minimal inital react to release of US and Canadian trade data, but rate
now breaking lower as the US dollar softens generally. Dollar-Canada
breaks support at C$1.0680, and moves down to challenge next band of
reported bid interest at C$1.0645/40. Rate currently trades around
C$1.0655 after touching C$1.0640. Below C$1.0640 to open a deeper move
toward C$1.0610/00.
|
| 12.08 13:38 |
German Finance Minister Peer Steinbrueck: A quarterly decline of 1% in 2Q German GDP growth is probably realistic but must be seen in the light of the "sensational" growth at the beginning of the year. |
| 12.08 13:33 |
CANADA: June intl merchandise trade surplus C$5.76bln vs May +C$5.22bln |
| 12.08 13:31 |
US: June trade bal a much better than expected -$56.8b, as exports surprise at +$6.4b and imports +$3.9b. |
| 12.08 13:23 |
European session: Dollar trades near 5 1/2-month high on lower commodity prices [M]
The dollar traded near a 5 1/2-month high against the euro on
speculation tumbling commodity prices will give a boost to the world's
largest economy.
The U.S. currency was also close to a
seven-month high against the yen as crude oil traded near a 14-week
low, copper fell to the weakest in six months and gold to the cheapest
since December. The Australian dollar slid for an 11th day, its longest
losing streak since 1975, and New Zealand's currency declined to an
11-month low as prices of raw materials the nations export declined.
``The trend has turned in favor of the dollar,'' said Michael Klawitter, a currency strategist at Dresdner Kleinwort.
``Oil and commodities prices, a hedge against dollar weakness, have
fallen, and that seems to have a positive impact on the currency. Near
term, I would be cautious about the dollar at the current level though.
It has gone up too far too fast.''
EUR/USD fell from $1.4930 to
$1.4814 before rebounding to new high $1.4937. Bids $1.4850, $1.4835/30, $1.4815/00. Offers $1.4920/30.
GBP/USD
UK CPI data came in stronger than expected and took cable to $1.9080,
but rally quickly faltered, with rate dropping back to eventually
retest overnight lows of$1.8970 before cable stabelized at $1.9000 . Bids $1.8970, $1.8955/45. Offers $1.9020/25, $1.9050-80
USD/JPY consolidated within Y110.30 -Y109.80. Bids Y109.80-50. Offers Y110.40/50, Y111.00, Y111.20/30.
In Europe
attention will be on UK CPI report, that may weight on pound.
Meanwhile, dollar’s rise may be capped ahead of International Trade report
with analysts expect deficit widened to $61,0 B in June after -$59,8 B month
earlier.
|
| 12.08 13:07 |
USD/JPY tech comments
Getting further confirmation of demand interest
at Y109.85/80, this linking interest here to institutional interest.
Earlier reports from Asia placed bids from local Japanese funds,
importers and CTA's around Y109.80. Rate currently trades around
Y110.20. Offers remain in place toward Y110.40, with stops above.
Option barrier noted at Y110.50.
|
| 12.08 12:39 |
HSBC on current market situation
Kosuke Hanao, head of forex sales at HSBC-
"The deteriorating economic outlook for the euro zone and elsewhere is
now having an impact after the market had become used to weakness in
the U.S. economy. Technical factors may drive the dollar a little
higher, but how long it will stay strong remains to be seen especially
when the U.S. economy is not in good shape either."
|
| 12.08 12:18 |
EUR/USD failed at key resistance
Offers noted between $1.4920/30 proved to be impenetrable
and the pare eased back under the $1.4900. Bids seen placed to
$1.4850, more at $1.4835/30 ahead of $1.4815/00. Recovery tied to
market reaction to Russian cessation of military action in
Georgia, with oil and gold also squeezing higher and adding influence.
|
| 12.08 11:52 |
ECB WEBER: Financial market crisis could last far into next year
--Robust German labour market to help private consumption.
-- Inflation prospects gloomy for relatively long time
-- No reason to be pessimistic on mid-term German GDP
-- Not yet at point where need to consider stimulus
-- Must anchor inflation expectations in eurozone
-- Current inflatoion cannot be standard for wage negotiations
-- German economy to recover next year with help from consumption.
|
| 12.08 11:32 |
European focus:
The dollar traded near a 5 1/2-month high against the euro on
speculation tumbling commodity prices will give a boost to the world's
largest economy.
The U.S. currency was also close to a seven-month high against the yen
as crude oil traded near a 14-week low, copper fell to the weakest in
six months and gold to the cheapest since December. The Australian
dollar slid for an 11th day, its longest losing streak since 1975, and
New Zealand's currency declined to an 11-month low as prices of raw
materials the nations export declined.
``The trend has turned in favor of the dollar,'' said Michael
Klawitter, a currency strategist at Dresdner Kleinwort. ``Oil and
commodities prices, a hedge against dollar weakness, have fallen, and
that seems to have a positive impact on the currency. Near term, I
would be cautious about the dollar at the current level though. It has
gone up too far too fast.''
Crude oil traded at $113.45 a barrel after yesterday falling to a
14-week low of $112.72. It has fallen 23 percent since touching a
record $147.27 on July 11. The euro-dollar exchange rate and oil had a
correlation of 0.9 in the past year, according to Bloomberg
calculations. A reading of 1 would mean they move in lockstep.
|
| 12.08 11:16 |
USD/JPY techs:
Resistance 3: Y112.00
Resistance 2: Y111.60
Resistance 1: Y110.40
Current price: Y110.26
Support 1: Y109.50
Support 2: Y109.10
Support 3: Y107.70
Comments: Techs on USD/JPY hasn’t changed with rate still holding within the
upward channel from Jul 15, limited today by Y109.10/Y112.00 (strong support
and resistance respectively). Strong resistance comes at Y110.30/40 (yesterday’s
highs). Above dollar may rise to trend line from Mar on Y111.60/65. Support comes
near yesterday’s lows on Y109.50. Break under Y109.10 will open the way to Y107.70
(Aug 05 lows).
|
| 12.08 11:02 |
USD/CHF techs:
Resistance 3: Chf1.1080
Resistance 2: Chf1.1000
Resistance 1: Chf1.0920
Current price: Chf1.0908
Support 1: Chf1.0740
Support 2: Chf1.0680
Support 3: Chf1.0520
Comments: Dollar looks optimistic. Strong resistance is around trend resistance
line from Mar 17 on Chf1.0940. Above the target comes at 38.2% Fibo (Chf1.3180 -
Chf0.9630 decline). Break above that level will open the way to Chf1.1080. Support
is near yesterday’s lows on Chf1.0740. Below correction may dip down to Chf1.0680
and then – to Chf1.0520 (last Thursday’s lows).
|
| 12.08 10:52 |
GBP/USD techs:
Resistance 3: $1.9320
Resistance 2: $1.9260
Resistance 1: $1.9120
Current price: $1.9004
Support 1: $1.8980
Support 2: $1.8920
Support 3: $1.8830
Comments: Cable falling, going to trend support line from Jan 2002 at $1.8980
with a break under will widen losses to $1.8920 and then – to $1.8830. Resistance
comes at session high on $1.9120 with stronger – on yesterday’s highs at $1.9260.
Above key resistance is around channel line from Jul 31 on $1.9320.
|
| 12.08 10:32 |
EUR/USD techs:
Resistance 3:$1.5200
Resistance 2: $1.5080
Resistance 1: $1.4900
Current price: $1.4893
Support 1: $1.4720
Support 2: $1.4700
Support 3: $1.4620
Comments: Euro continues to dip. Support comes at $1.4720 with stronger on $1.4700
(50% of $1.3380 - $1.6040 decline). Break under will widen losses to $1.4620
(Feb 20 low). Resistance is near the upper bound of 4-days channel on
$1.4890/00. Above the target comes at $1.5080 (Monday’s high) and $1.5200/10 (Broken
channel line from Jul 15).
|
| 12.08 10:17 |
WTI Nymex crude oil fell to $112.52 after Russia ceases military operation in Georgia. |
| 12.08 10:05 |
OPTIONS: Expiries of note for today's 1400GMT cut,
USD/JPY: Y109.40,
Y109.00, Y108.75, Y108.50 EUR/JPY: Y165.45 GBP/USD: $1.9415
|
| 12.08 09:53 |
WTI Nymex crude oil breaks below $113.00 level -- the move comes after IEA cuts oil demand forecasts |
| 12.08 09:50 |
IEA says geo-political tensions pose short-term risks to supply
1.Too early to cite sea-change on
oil market
2.July supply up 890 kbd to 87.7
mbd; OPEC crude up 145 kbd to 32.8 mbd
3.OECD June stocks down 15.3 mb;
July seen up 30 mb
|
| 12.08 09:42 |
UK: June house prices +0.6% y/y vs +3.0% in May - UK Government |
| 12.08 09:34 |
UK: Jul RPIX -0.2% m/m; +5.3% y/y |
| 12.08 09:34 |
UK: Jul RPI -0.1% m/m; +5% y/y |
| 12.08 09:33 |
UK: Jul CPI unch. m/m; +4.4% y/y |
| 12.08 09:26 |
Orders:
EUR Bids: $1.4815/00, $1.4780 Offers: $1.4900
JPY Bids: Y109.80, Y109.50 Offers: Y110.40, Y111.00, Y111.30
GBP Bids: $1.8970, $1.8955/45, $1.8940
Offers: $1.9080
AUSSIE Bids: $0.8730, $0.8700
Offers: $0.8800

|
| 12.08 08:58 |
Asian session: Dollar trades near 5 1/2-month high on lower commodity prices [M]
The dollar traded near a 5 1/2-month
high against the euro on speculation tumbling commodity prices will give
a boost to the world's largest economy. The U.S.
currency was also close to a seven-month high against the yen as crude oil
traded near a 14-week low, copper fell to the weakest in six months and gold to
the cheapest since December. The Australian dollar slid for an
11th day, its longest losing streak since 1975, and New Zealand's currency
declined to an 11-month low as prices of raw materials the nations export
declined. Any gains in the yen may be limited by
speculation Japan's
economy is approaching a recession as export growth slows. Gross domestic product
shrank an annualized 2.3% in the three months ended June 30, following 4% growth
in the previous quarter, according to the median estimate of economists.
EUR/USD fell from $1.4930 to
$1.4814 before rebounding to $1.4890.
GBP/USD printed lows around $1.8967
before recovering to $1.9038.
USD/JPY fell from Y110.30 to
Y109.80.
In Europe
attention will be on UK CPI report, that may weight on pound. Meanwhile, dollar’s rise may be capped ahead of International Trade report
with analysts expect deficit widened to $61,0 B in June after -$59,8 B month
earlier.
|
| 12.08 08:22 |
Stock market: Monday summary
Stock market fixing: Nikkei 225 +262.50 +2.00% 13,430.91
Topix +20.07 +1.60% 1,280.00.
FTSE +52.60 +0.96%
5,541.80
DAX +47.98 +0.73%
6,609.63
CAC +46.64 +1.04%
4,538.49
Dow +48.03 +0.41% 11,782.35
NASDAQ +25.85 +1.07%
2,439.95
S&P +9.00 +0.69%
1,305.32
10yr Note +0.5200 +0.132%
4.002%
NYMEX Crude Oil -0.75
-0.65% 114.45
Gold -36.50 -4.22% 828.30
Japan's stocks rose, sending the
benchmark index to the highest in almost three weeks, after
crude oil traded near a 14-week low and a drop in the yen boosted the earnings outlook for
manufacturers.
Sumitomo Rubber Industries Ltd., which sells Dunlop and Falken-branded tires,
jumped the most in more than six months. Fuji Heavy Industries Ltd., the maker
of Subaru cars, climbed to a one-year high after the yen weakened to a near a
seven-month low. Hoya Corp., the nation's largest maker of optical glass,
soared after profit beat analyst estimates.
Sumitomo Rubber added 6.4%, the most since Jan. 25, while Toyo Tire &
Rubber Co. soared 6.2%. Bigger rival Yokohama Rubber Co. gained 3.3%.
Mitsubishi Chemical Holdings Corp. rose 5.7%, the most since February 2007. Synthetic
rubber maker Zeon Corp. leapt 10%, the sharpest jump since Jan. 17. Fuji Heavy
rose 6.9%, the highest close since July 2007. Nissan Motor Co. advanced 4.3%,
while Honda Motor Co., which gets more than half its sales from North America, jumped 4.6%, the most since July 22.
European stocks rose to the highest
since June as investors speculated carmakers will benefit from the stronger
dollar and oil's drop to a 14-week low buoyed the profit outlook for airlines
and retailers.
Bayerische Motoren Werke AG climbed to a two-week high after Merrill Lynch
& Co. said the dollar's rally last week will help ``reduce margin
headwinds.'' Ryanair Holdings Plc, Europe's
biggest discount airline, and Marks & Spencer Group Plc advanced for a
second day. UBS AG, the European bank hardest hit by the subprime contagion,
jumped the most in four days after keeping its earnings guidance following a
settlement in the U.S.
A retreat in commodity prices last week and better-than- expected earnings from
Societe Generale SA and Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc helped lift the Stoxx
600 to its first weekly gain this month. Still, the index has lost 20% this
year on concern accelerating inflation and credit losses approaching $500
billion will stifle profit growth.
BMW jumped 4.5%. The company derives more than a fifth of its sales from
America
Hochtief AG gained 6%. Germany's
biggest construction company relies on the Americas for 43%.
Ryanair jumped 3.7%. Marks & Spencer, the U.K.'s largest clothing retailer,
advanced 5.9%.
UBS added 5.4%.
Stocks cut their gains Monday
afternoon, but the broader market remained in positive territory as lower oil
prices reassured investors for the second session in a row.
  
Stock movers: Tech led
the way, with Amazon.com, Apple and Google among the big gainers. Amazon.com
gained 9.4% after Citi Investment Research said it will probably sell twice as
many Kindle electronic book readers this year as Citi initially thought it
would. Citi
upgraded Qwest Communications to "buy" from "hold," saying
that the company is due for a restructuring that should improve returns to
shareholders. Qwest shares gained 6% and topped the New York Stock Exchange's
most actives list. Retail
stocks jumped on bets that lower fuel costs will boost consumer spending. American
Express, AT&T, Citigroup, Home Depot and General Motors were the Dow's
biggest gainers. Verizon
Communications said it reached an agreement Sunday with two unions that
represent 65,000 workers, averting a potential strike. The three-year contract
gives workers pay increases and changes in retirement benefits. Shares gained
2%. Waste
Management boosted its unsolicited bid for rival Republic Services to $37 per
share, or $6.73 billion, from the original offer of $34 per share. Republic
rejected that offer last month.
|
| 12.08 08:13 |
FOREX. Monday summary
The dollar rose to a 5 1/2-month high against the euro on speculation the economic
slowdown that started in the U.S.
is spreading and as oil prices dropped.
The European currency sank the most
in almost eight years against the dollar on Aug. 8 as traders pared bets the
ECB will raise interest rates as the economy slows. Last week's decline was the
most since January 2005.
French industrial production unexpectedly dropped 0.4% in June, the National
Statistics Office reported today in Paris.
The median forecast of economists was for an increase of 0.6%.
EUR/USD printed lows around $1.4908. Liebscher's
comments helped the rate to break above $1.5000 and print highs on $1.5083. Later rate back to $1.5040 and
$1.5000/05 before
falling to $1.4900. GBP/USD rose to $1.9260 before it back under
$1.9200 and showed lows around $1.9070. USD/JPY set stable around Y109.70/90.
In Europe
attention will be on UK CPI report, that may weight on pound. Meanwhile, dollar’s rise may be capped ahead of International Trade report
with analysts expect deficit widened to $61,0 B in June after -$59,8 B month
earlier.
|
| 12.08 07:59 |
USD/JPY techs:
Resistance 3: Y112.00 Resistance 2: Y111.60 Resistance 1: Y110.40 Current price: Y110.08 Support 1: Y109.50 Support 2: Y109.10 Support 3: Y107.70 Comments: Techs on USD/JPY hasn’t changed with rate still holding within the upward channel from Jul 15, limited today by Y109.10/Y112.00 (strong support and resistance respectively). Strong resistance comes at Y110.30/40 (yesterday’s highs). Above dollar may rise to trend line from Mar on Y111.60/65. Support comes near yesterday’s lows on Y109.50. Break under Y109.10 will open the way to Y107.70 (Aug 05 lows).
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| 12.08 07:52 |
FRANCE: July HICP -0.3% m/m, +4.0% y/y |
| 12.08 07:52 |
FRANCE: July nsa CPI -0.2% m/m, +3.6% y/y |
| 12.08 07:22 |
USD/CHF techs:
Resistance 3: Chf1.1080 Resistance 2: Chf1.1000 Resistance 1: Chf1.0940 Current price: Chf1.0908 Support 1: Chf1.0740 Support 2: Chf1.0680 Support 3: Chf1.0520 Comments: Dollar looks optimistic. Strong resistance is around trend resistance line from Mar 17 on Chf1.0940. Above the target comes at 38.2% Fibo (Chf1.3180 - Chf0.9630 decline). Break above that level will open the way to Chf1.1080. Support is near yesterday’s lows on Chf1.0740. Below correction may dip down to Chf1.0680 and then – to Chf1.0520 (last Thursday’s lows).
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| 12.08 07:11 |
GBP/USD techs:
Resistance 3: $1.9320 Resistance 2: $1.9260 Resistance 1: $1.9120 Current price: $1.8975 Support 1: $1.8980 Support 2: $1.8920 Support 3: $1.8860 Comments: Cable falling, going to trend support line from Jan 2002 at $1.8980 with a break under will widen losses to $1.8920 and then – to $1.8860. Resistance comes at session high on $1.9120 with stronger – on yesterday’s highs at $1.9260. Above key resistance is around channel line from Jul 31 on $1.9320.
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| 12.08 06:45 |
EUR/USD techs:
Resistance 3:$1.5200 Resistance 2: $1.5080 Resistance 1: $1.4900 Current price: $1.4833 Support 1: $1.4780 Support 2: $1.4700 Support 3: $1.4620 Comments: Euro continues to dip. Support comes at $1.4780 with stronger on $1.4700 (50% of $1.3380 - $1.6040 decline). Break under will widen losses to $1.4620 (Feb 20 low). Resistance is near the upper bound of 4-days channel on $1.4890/00. Above the target comes at $1.5080 (Monday’s high) and $1.5200/10 (Broken channel line from Jul 15).
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| 12.08 06:32 |
Daily History for Aug 11, 2008
High Low Close EUR/USD 1.5084 1.4876 1.4891 USD/JPY 110.39 109.53 110.10 GBP/USD 1.9259 1.9065 1.9101 USD/CHF 1.0883 1.0741 1.0869
EUR/JPY 165.56 163.61 163.97 EUR/GBP 0.7835 0.7790 0.7793 GBP/JPY 211.53 209.68 210.34 GBP/CHF 2.0781 2.0669 2.0758
Change % Change Last Nikkei 225 +262.50 +2.00% 13,430.91 Topix +20.07 +1.60% 1,280.00. FTSE +52.60 +0.96% 5,541.80 DAX +47.98 +0.73% 6,609.63 CAC +46.64 +1.04% 4,538.49 Dow +48.03 +0.41% 11,782.35 NASDAQ +25.85 +1.07% 2,439.95 S&P +9.00 +0.69% 1,305.32 10yr Note +0.5200 +0.132% 4.002% NYMEX Crude Oil -0.75 -0.65% 114.45 Gold -36.50 -4.22% 828.30
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| 12.08 06:07 |
Schedule for today, Tuesday, Aug 12, 2008
04:30 Japan Industrial output (June) final -2.0% -2.0% 04:30 Japan Industrial output (June) final Y/Y 0.2% 0.2% 06:45 France CPI (July) unadjusted -0.2% 0.4% 06:45 France CPI (July) unadjusted Y/Y 3.7% 3.6% 06:45 France HICP (July) Y/Y 4.1% 4.0% 08:30 UK HICP (July) -0.3% 0.7% 08:30 UK HICP (July) Y/Y - 3.8% 08:30 UK HICP ex EFAT (July) Y/Y - 1.6% 08:30 UK Retail prices (July) -0.3% 0.8% 08:30 UK Retail prices (July) Y/Y - 4.6% 08:30 UK RPI-X (July) Y/Y - 4.8% 12:30 USA International trade (June), bln -61.0 -59.8 12:30 USA Export (June), bln - 157.6 12:30 USA Import (June), bln - 217.3 12:55 USA Redbook (09.08) 18:00 USA Federal budget (July), bln -70.0 50.7 23:50 Japan Real GDP (Q2) preliminary -0.6% 1.0% 23:50 Japan Real GDP (Q2) preliminary Y/Y - 4.0% 23:50 Japan Current account (June) unadjusted, trln - 2.000 23:50 Japan Trade balance (June) unadjusted, trln - 0.529
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