| 11.04 19:24 |
Companies downgrades
Credit Suisse downgraded General Electric GE from Outperform to Neutral. JP Morgan downgraded Total S.A. TOT from Overweight to Neutral. Wachovia downgraded BlackRock BLK from Outperform to Mkt Perform. Bernstein downgraded Hershey Foods HSY from Mkt Perform to Underperform.
|
| 11.04 19:20 |
Companies upgrades
DA Davidson upgraded AmericanWest Banc AWBC from Neutral to Buy. Credit Suisse upgraded Delta Air Lines DAL from Neutral to Outperform. JP Morgan upgraded Diamond Offshore DO from Neutral to Overweight. JP Morgan upgraded BP BP from Neutral to Overweight.
|
| 11.04 18:25 |
Hot stocks: Delta, Genentech, GE
BlackRock Inc was cut to "neutral" from "buy"' by Goldman Sachs.
Delta Air Lines Inc agreed in principle on a contract that would clear the way for a merger with Northwest Airlines (NWA).
Genentech Inc said first-quarter profit rose 12% while demand for its top-selling product, the cancer medicine Avastin, didn't climb as fast as analysts expected.
General Electric Company reported an unexpected 5.8% decline in net income.
Trizetto Group Inc agreed to be bought for $1.4B by funds advised by Apax Partners.
|
| 11.04 18:08 |
USD/JPY holds Y100.85, “you could hear a pin drop” one trader says of the trading action. |
| 11.04 17:37 |
May NYMEX crude contract trading at $109.30, down $0.80 on the day |
| 11.04 17:27 |
Goldman on consumer confidence
Economists at Goldman say consumer confidence
declines yet further, to the lowest level since 1982. At this low of a level it
tough to see it as consistent with anything but a recession. This level of
confidence is consistent with outright declines in consumer spending.
|
| 11.04 17:14 |
EU stocks closed lower Friday: the CAC40 -61.49 points (to 4797.93), the FTSE-100 -66.10 points (to 5899.00), and the DAX -99.95 points (to 6604.37) |
| 11.04 17:01 |
American focus: Yen rose on Friday
The yen and Swiss
franc rose against
all of the major currencies as General Electric Co.'s first quarterly decline
in profit since 2003 encouraged investors to reduce holdings of higher-yielding
assets. This week the yen has risen 0.5% against the dollar and is down 0.1%
versus the euro. The dollar fell to
within a cent of the record low against the euro on speculation Group of Seven finance chiefs are
unlikely to agree on a plan to support the U.S. currency. The pound fell to a
record against the euro for a fourth day on bets the Bank of England will keep cutting interest
rates as the U.K.
economy slows. The euro extended its
advance versus the dollar after ECB council member Axel Weber, in Washington
for the G-7 conference, said at a press briefing that there's no room to lower
interest rates in Europe. The currency pared
gains a little later after German Finance Minister Peer Steinbrueck, also in
Washington, said the euro's gain has a ``massive impact'' on exports. The G-7, which comprises the U.S., Japan,
Germany, the U.K., France,
Italy and Canada, hasn't intervened in
currency markets since it supported the euro in 2000. The dollar remained lower against the euro today after a report
showed confidence among U.S.
consumers sank to a 26-year low this month. The Reuters/University of Michigan preliminary
index of consumer sentiment decreased to 63.2, less than forecast, from 69.5 in March. The measure
is the lowest reading since March 1982. The U.S. currency is down 0.6% against
the euro this week after touching the all-time low of $1.5913 yesterday. The pound fell 1.6% against
the euro this week on
bets the Bank of England will keep cutting interest rates while the European
Central bank holds its lending target at a six-year high. Policy makers in the U.K. lowered
the lending target by a quarter-percentage point to 5% yesterday, while the ECB
kept its rate at 4%.
|
| 11.04 16:45 |
EUR/USD holds near $1.5800
EUR/USD trades near $1.5800, lifting
back over the figure from trade around $1.5780. Traders also note reports of a
minor incident in the Persian Gulf involving
US and Iranian warship, said to have rattled nerves.
|
| 11.04 16:28 |
UBS ahead of G-7 meeting
“There's no consensus among the major G-7
countries,” said George Magnus, senior economist adviser at UBS AG. “The
Americans are actually very happy about the weak dollar because it deflects
some of the problems they have in the domestic economy.”
|
| 11.04 16:14 |
USD/JPY holds Y100.90 area
USD/JPY holds Y100.90 area as the
European session winds down, US
stocks still holding losses and feeding a yen positive tone. But markets are
pretty quiet too, amid general pre-weekend uncertainty that is exacerbated by
the G7 meeting. Bids remain down near session low on
Y100/60 and at the Thursday lows on Y100.00.
|
| 11.04 16:00 |
Stocks fall on Wall Street
Stocks tumbled Friday after General Electric's earnings miss amped up worries about how badly the economic slowdown will hurt corporate profits. A steep drop in a key consumer sentiment index added to the early negative tone. Stocks rallied Thursday amid an upgrade of Intel, lower oil prices and improved earnings forecasts from Dow components Wal-Mart and DuPont. But GE dragged on Wall Street Friday, with its stock falling more than 11%. GE after it reported lower first-quarter sales and earnings that missed estimates. The company, a Dow component, also cut its second-quarter and full-year 2008 profit forecast. Additionally, investors reacted to the University of Michigan's preliminary report on April consumer sentiment. The index fell to 63.2 from 69.5, the worst result since March 1982, according to reports. Other company news. Washington Mutual shares lost 3% in active trade Friday after a Goldman Sachs analyst said the mortgage lender could see an additional $14 billion in loan losses this year. American Airlines canceled an additional 595 flights, or 25% of its schedule, Friday, stranding thousands of passengers. American has canceled about 3,100 flights this week due to safety concerns. AMR stock lost about 2%. U.S. light crude oil for May delivery fell 41 cents to $109.70 a barrel.
|
| 11.04 15:44 |
EUR/USD remains within the range
EUR/USD continues to hold within the narrow range, limited by $1.5800/50. Offers around session high with stops on the break of $1.5870.
|
| 11.04 15:28 |
Wall Street: Dow holds losses of about 142 points, Nasdaq is down 29 |
| 11.04 15:17 |
RBC Capital Markets on Consumer confidence
TJ Marta of RBC Capital Markets notes that “the March U of Mich confidence reading was the worst since 1982. The components were no less dismal. The economic conditions component (fell to 78.4 from 84.2) was also the worst since 1982 too.”
|
| 11.04 14:58 |
Mkt now pricing in a 50/50 chance of a 50bps ease in April. This is up from about 30%-40% priced in most of the week. |
| 11.04 14:46 |
WTI Nymex crude trades at $109.60 per barrel(down 51 cents) |
| 11.04 14:37 |
Deutsche Bank AG sees dollar's fall to $1.60
"It's going to be generally a dollar-weakening
environment,'' John Horner, a currency strategist in Sydney for
Deutsche Bank AG, the world-largest currency trader, said in an
interview with Bloomberg Television. Policy makers at the G-7 won't
``argue for a stronger dollar,'' he said, forecasting the dollar may
fall beyond $1.60 a euro in coming weeks.
|
| 11.04 14:15 |
Dow -142.73 at 12433.55, Nasdaq -30.30 at 2320.04, S&P -16.01 at 1344.31 |
| 11.04 14:01 |
Components of UMich
Current conditions 78.4 vs 84.2,
future expectations 53.4 vs 60.1.
One-year inflation expectations 4.8%, 5-year 3.1%.
|
| 11.04 13:56 |
U.S: UMich consumner sentiment, 63.2 vs March 69.5. |
| 11.04 13:54 |
OPTIONS: Expiries of note for today's 1400GMT cut,
EUR/USD $1.5950, $1.6000, $1.5750
USD/JPY Y99.00
AUD/USD $0.9200
USD/CAD C$1.0190, C$1.0210, C$1.0125, C$1.0090
|
| 11.04 13:44 |
ECB Weber Doesn't share IMF's view on leeway to cut rates, see EU inflation over 3% most of this year.
No need for monetary or fiscal stimulus in EU. EU
economic fundamentals robust. No decoupling, but Europe now more
resilient. Mkt tensions ongoing, must monitor very closely.
|
| 11.04 13:36 |
US Stocks Open Lower; DJIA Off 129, Nasdaq Down 26 |
| 11.04 13:23 |
Before the bell: the market is sad after GE results
Stocks were set to tumble at
Friday's open as corporate bellwether General Electric posted
disappointing results that raised new worries about problems in the
nation's financial sector.
GE, which rarely posts results far from
forecasts, earned only 44 cents a share from continuing operations,
well below the 51 cents a share forecast by analysts surveyed by
earnings tracker Thomson First Call.
In other corporate news, the pilots union at Delta Air Lines
agreed to contract revisions that could clear the way for the No. 3
airline's merger with Northwest Airlines (NWAC), a combination that has
been widely anticipated since January. But there is also trouble in the
airline industry. AMR unit
American Airlines, the world's largest airline, canceled another 570
flights Friday as it tries to complete inspections of its MD-80
aircraft ordered by federal safety regulators.
And Denver-based low-fare carrier Frontier Airlines Holdings
(FRNT) filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection after it said its
principal credit card processor started withholding "significant
proceeds" received from the sale of Frontier tickets.
Retailer Linens 'n Things, the No. 2 home-furnishing store after Bed Bath & Beyond,
could soon be the latest victim of the downturn in housing. The Wall
Street Journal reported the privately held chain is set to file for
Chapter 11 bankruptcy-court protection by Tuesday.
Biotechnology giant Genentech (DNA)
reported improved first-quarter profit after the closing bell Thursday,
although sales of its top-selling cancer drug disappointed Wall Street
analysts.
|
| 11.04 13:09 |
UK DARLING: Oil and food prices are bringing new inflationary pressures. |
| 11.04 13:07 |
UK DARLING: All major economies will see slower growth this year. |
| 11.04 12:43 |
Globex trade
Futures nursing losses across the board in the wake of
disappointing GE earings and a downgrade to '08 forecasts. Dow futures
down about 114 points now and Nasdaq futures down 15. Stock futures had
been in the black ahead of the earnings release from GE. GE shares down
about $4 at $33 in current trading.
|
| 11.04 12:31 |
US: Export prices +1.5% vs 0.9% |
| 11.04 12:30 |
US: March import prices +2.8% vs 0.2% |
| 11.04 12:15 |
European session: dollar weakens. US data ahead.
The dollar fell against the euro on
speculation officials from the Group of Seven nations are unlikely to
agree on a plan to support the U.S. currency when they meet today.
The currency weakened against the British pound today before an
industry report that will probably show U.S. consumer confidence fell
to a 16-year low.
The yen pared earlier declines against the dollar on
speculation increased risk appetite will be short-lived as credit
losses widen, discouraging demand for higher-yielding assets financed
with Japanese loans, so-called carry trades. Mizuho posted a 50 percent
drop in full-year profit today after losing $5.5 billion mortgage
securities, the most reported by an Asian company.
EUR/USD: Another
round of buying in late Asia/early Europe was able to take rate through
the earlier highs and onto $1.5787 before a brief period of
consolidation. The bid tone soon returned however, leading euro-dollar
back above $1.5800. Russian demand was also noted as the rate pushed on
to highs at $1.5850 before easing back to end the morning back around
$1.5800, recovering to $1.5820 in early US trade.Stops $1.5880, strong
offers $1.5900/15, stops $1.5920, bids $1.5780
GBP/USD: Opened early
Europe at $1.9742. Cable extended recovery to $1.9769, while
euro-sterling pushed to fresh life highs of stg0.80345 on a late
morning order driven move.
USD/JPY: European
dealing opened with dollar-yen trading back around Y101.90,and with the
greenback coming under pressure versus the euro, dollar-yen also eased
back, initially making lows for the day at Y101.54. Early US news of
GE results undershooting forecasts then knocked dollar-yen down to
Y101.10, with euro-yen shedding 100-points to Y160.20.US data starts at 1230GMT with the import/export price index for March,
followed at 1400GMT by the Reuters/University of Michigan Consumer
Sentiment Index, which is expected to hold around 69.0 in mid-April.
Consumers remain very concerned about a variety of economic ailments.
|
| 11.04 11:52 |
EU stocks drop after GE news
European equity bourses have reversed earlier gains and in negative
territory following disappointing General Electric earning results.
CAC-40 is down 31pts (-0.64%), FTSE-100 is down 50pts (-0.84%) and
Xetra-DAX is down 83pts (-1.2%).
|
| 11.04 11:29 |
Euro-sterling hits fresh life-time highs above Stg0.8029. |
| 11.04 11:20 |
Investors should buy the euro and sell the pound on speculation the European Central Bank will keep interest rates at a six-year high to curb inflation as the U.K. central bank cuts rates, according to BNP Paribas SA, France's largest bank. |
| 11.04 11:16 |
European focus
The dollar fell against the euro on
speculation officials from the Group of Seven nations are unlikely to
agree on a plan to support the U.S. currency when they meet today.
The currency weakened against the British pound today before an
industry report that will probably show U.S. consumer confidence fell
to a 16-year low. The yen headed for a weekly loss against the euro as
a rally in Asian stocks prompted investors to buy higher-yielding
assets with loans from Japan.
``The dollar remains vulnerable to another move to the downside,'' Ian
Stannard, a currency strategist at BNP Paribas SA in London who says
the dollar may ``test'' $1.60 against the euro in the coming week.
``We're unlikely to see any significant change coming out of the G-7.''
Futures on the
Chicago Board of Trade show traders increased bets that the Federal
Reserve will lower its benchmark target lending rate by a
half-percentage point on April 30 to 42 percent, compared with 36
percent a week ago. The remaining bets were for a quarter-point.
A weaker dollar has made U.S. goods and services more competitive in
global markets, supporting growth as the economy risks lapsing into a
recession. U.S. exports increased 2 percent to a record $151.4 billion
in February, the Commerce Department said yesterday in Washington.
The yen pared earlier declines against the dollar on
speculation increased risk appetite will be short-lived as credit
losses widen, discouraging demand for higher-yielding assets financed
with Japanese loans, so-called carry trades. Mizuho posted a 50 percent
drop in full-year profit today after losing $5.5 billion mortgage
securities, the most reported by an Asian company.
Investors should buy the euro and sell the pound on speculation the
European Central Bank will keep interest rates at a six-year high to
curb inflation as the U.K. central bank cuts rates, according to BNP
Paribas SA, France's largest bank.
The Bank of England yesterday lowered its benchmark interest rate to 5
percent, the third reduction since December, as the worst housing slump
in 16 years threatens to push the economy into a recession.
|
| 11.04 10:57 |
General Electric cuts 2008 EPS outlook $2.2-2.3 vs estimates of $2.43, and sees Q2 EPS 53-55c vs concensus of 58c. |
| 11.04 10:52 |
IEA reports global supply fell 100 kb/d in March to 87.3 mb/d, with OPEC crude down 265 kb/d to 32.1 mb/d.
- Feb OECD stocks down 48.9 mln barrels, reversing Jan rise. March stocks seen up 6.3 mb.
- IEA cuts 2008 global demand forecast 310 kb/d to 87.2 mb/d on weaker economic growth.
|
| 11.04 10:39 |
USD/JPY techs:
Resistance 3: Y103.60 Resistance 2: Y102.80
Resistance 1: Y102.30
Current price: Y101.50
Support 1: Y101.50
Support 2: Y100.00
Support 3: Y99.40
Comments: Dollar drops. The nearest support comes at Y101.50 with a break under will widen losses to yesterday's low at Y100.00 and Y99.40.
Back above session high at Y102.30 will resume rebound to to Apr 07-09 high on
Y102.80 and higher - to Y103.60.
|
| 11.04 10:22 |
USD/CHF techs:
Resistance 3: Chf1.0215
Resistance 2: Chf1.0170
Resistance 1: Chf1.0100Current price: Chf1.0054
Support 1: Chf1.0000
Support 2: Chf0.9940
Support 3: Chf0.9870
Comments: Dollar rebounds. Strong resistance is around
session high on Chf1.0000, then – at Chf1.0100. Key level comes near Chf1.0170 (Apr 09 high). Closest support lies at session low on Chf1.0000 stronger one is at Chf0.9980. Break under will widen losses
to Chf0.9940 and then – to Mar 31 lows near Chf0.9870.
|
| 11.04 10:00 |
GBP/USD techs:
Resistance 3: $1.9960
Resistance 2: $1.9840
Resistance
1: $1.9800
Current price: $1.9720
Support 1: $1.9730
Support 2: $1.9650
Support 3: $1.9580
Comments: Cable tests support at $1.9730.
Below losses may extend to Apr 09 low on $1.9650. But key level comes at lower
bound of the upward trend from Mar 2006 at $1.9580. The nearest resistance comes at $1.9800, then – on $1.9840. Stronger level
is on channel line from Mar 14 at $1.9960.
|
| 11.04 09:48 |
EUR/USD techs:
Resistance 3:$1.6000
Resistance 2: $1.5910
Resistance 1: $1.5850
Current price: $1.5811
Support 1: $1.5730
Support 2: $1.5670
Support 3: $1.5540
Comments: Euro rebounds. Above $1.5850 there is a chance of challenging record high at $1.5900/15 again
and then – psychological level at $1.6000. Strong support is around session low
on $1.5730. Break under will widen losses to Apr 08 low
on $1.5670.
|
| 11.04 09:31 |
EU bourses edge higher:
European equity bourses are higher on Fridayfollowing 3 consecutive
session falls, with FTSE-100 breaking throughthe 6,000 level and CAC-40
above 4,900 level. France Telecom is leading
the charge on the CAC-40 after reports that the French government
hasdecided not to issue a fourth 3G licence, and La Tribune report that
thtelecom company is considering a share buyback. BP is top gainer on
FTSE-100 following broker upgrade by JPMorgan Chase to "overweight"
from"neutral". CAC-40 is up 49pts (+1.00%), Xetra-DAX is up 48pts
(+0.71%)and FTSE-100 is up 47pts (+0.78%).
|
| 11.04 09:13 |
Japan stock market closing:
Japanese stocks ended Friday's session higher across the board, boosted
by hopes for a stronger dollar in the wake of the G7 meeting. The
benchmark Nikkei 225 was 378.4 points, or 2.92%, higher at 13323.73.
The broader-based TOPIX gained 30.55 points to stand at 1278.62.
|
| 11.04 09:06 |
Asian session: the market is jittery ahead of G7 [M]
The dollar headed for a weekly
decline against the euro on speculation officials from the Group
of Seven nations are unlikely to agree on a plan to support the
U.S. currency when they meet today.
The currency weakened against the British pound today
before an industry report that will probably show U.S. consumer
confidence fell to a 16-year low. The yen headed for a weekly
loss against the euro as a rally in Asian stocks prompted
investors to buy higher-yielding assets with loans from Japan.
EUR/USD got support near $1.5740 lifting to $1.5850.
GBP/USD traded within $1.9710/50.
USD/JPY fell to a low at Y101.50, before rebounding to Y101.80.
US data starts at 1230GMT with the import/export price index for March,
followed at 1400GMT by the Reuters/University of Michigan Consumer
Sentiment Index, which is expected to hold around 69.0 in mid-April.
Consumers remain very concerned about a variety of economic ailments.
|
| 11.04 08:41 |
ING Financial Markets LLC before the G7 meeting
The Group of Seven meeting is a ``risk event,'' said
John McCarthy, director of currency trading at ING Financial Markets
LLC in New York. ``People just want to take some money off the table.''
|
| 11.04 08:36 |
USD/JPY techs:
Resistance 3: Y102.70
Resistance 2: Y102.20
Resistance 1: Y101.80
Current price: Y101.90
Support 1: Y100.00
Support 2: Y99.40
Support 3: Y98.50
Comments: The nearest support comes at Y100.00 with a break under will widen losses to Y99.40 and Y98.50.
Back above Y101.80 will resume rebound to Y102.20 and then – to Apr 07 high on
Y102.70.
|
| 11.04 08:35 |
USD/CHF techs:
Resistance 3: Chf1.0215
Resistance 2: Chf1.0170
Resistance 1: Chf1.0100Current price: Chf1.0078
Support 1: Chf1.0060
Support 2: Chf0.9940
Support 3: Chf0.9870
Comments: Closest support lies at Chf1.0060 stronger one support at Chf0.9980. Break under will widen losses
to Chf0.9940 and then – to Mar 31 lows near Chf0.9870. Strong resistance is around
session high on Chf1.0000, then – at Chf1.0100. Key level comes near Chf1.0170 (Apr 09 high).
|
| 11.04 08:21 |
BMO Capital Markets about the ECB
ECB President Trichet offered no new suprises Thursday, saysBenjamin
Reitzes of BMO Capital Markets. Reitzes take on Trichet is that "the
ECB will remain reluctant to soften its hawkish stance until inflation
pulls back from current 16-year highs," but "as the eurozone economy
slows through mid-year and inflation retreats, look for the ECBto turn
more dovish, eventually moving toward a rate cut in the second half of
the year."
|
| 11.04 07:44 |
OPTIONS: Expiries of note for today's 1400GMT cut
* Euro-dollar; $1.5950, $1.6000, $1.5750
* Dollar-yen; Y99.00
* Euro-Swiss; Chf1.5900
* Aussie; $0.9200
* Dollar-Canada; C$1.0190
|
| 11.04 07:06 |
Globex traded US index futures are trading higher in Asian hours Friday.
The June S&P contract was last 3.8 points higher at 1366.5, with the Nasdaq June contract 0.25 points lower at 1863.0.
|
| 11.04 06:27 |
GBP/USD techs:
Resistance 3: $1.9960
Resistance 2: $1.9840
Resistance
1: $1.9800
Current price: $1.9751
Support 1: $1.9730
Support 2: $1.9650
Support 3: $1.9580
Comments: Cable slowly
rebounds with median resistance comes at $1.9800, then – on $1.9840. Stronger level
is on channel line from Mar 14 at $1.9960. Support comes at session low on $1.9730.
Below losses may extend to Apr 09 low on $1.9650. But key level comes at lower
bound of the upward trend from Mar 2006 at $1.9580.
|
| 11.04 06:03 |
GERMANY: March WPI +1.6% m/m, +7.1% y/y; Feb +6.0% y/y |
| 11.04 05:47 |
EUR/USD techs:
Resistance 3:$1.5900
Resistance 2: $1.5860
Resistance 1: $1.5800
Current price: $1.5748
Support 1: $1.5730
Support 2: $1.5670
Support 3: $1.5540
Comments: Euro rebounds after fall fron new record high at $1.5900 (key resistance). Above $1.5800and $1.5860 there is a chance of challenging $1.5900 again
and then – psychological level at $1.6000. Strong support is around session low
on $1.5730. Break under will widen losses to Apr 08 low
on $1.5670.
|
| 11.04 05:34 |
Major European bourses are initially seen trading higher Friday, helped by solid gains in Asian trade.
UK
spreadbetter Cantor Index are calling the FTSE up 17, the DAX 32
higher, the CAC up 13 and the Eurostoxx 50 up 15.
|
| 11.04 05:23 |
Crude futures are trading lower in Asian trade Friday.
The front-month Nymex WTI May 08 contract
was last down 51 cents at $109.60, having earlier touched a low at
$109.49.
|
| 11.04 05:18 |
Daily History for April 10, 2008
High Low Close
EUR/USD 1.5909 1.5724 1.5742
USD/JPY 102.02 100.01 101.76
GBP/USD 1.9841 1.9705 1.9715
USD/CHF 1.0085 0.9884 1.0072
EUR/JPY 161.20 158.78 160.19
EUR/GBP 0.8026 0.7965 0.7982
GBP/JPY 201.25 198.06 200.64
GBP/CHF 1.9891 1.9576 1.9858
Change% ChangeLast
Nikkei 225 -166.59 -1.3% 12,945.30
Topix -14.83 -1.2% 1,248.07
FTSE 100 -18.80 -0.31% 5,965.10
CAC 40 -15.55 -0.32% 4,859.42
Xetra Dax -17.04 -0.25% 6,704.32
DOW +54.72 +0.44% 12,581.98
NASDAQ +29.58 +1.27% 2,351.70
S&P 500 +6.06 +0.45% 1,360.55
10yr Note +0.6600 +0.190% 3.532%
NYMEX Crude Oil -0.76 -0.69% 110.11
Gold -5.70 -0.61% 931.80
|
| 11.04 05:13 |
Schedule for Today. April 11Th 2008
12:30 USA Import prices (March) - 0.2%
12:30 USA Export prices (March) - 0.9%
14:00 USA Michigan sentiment index (April) preliminary 69.0 69.5
G7 meeting begins
|