| 08.08 19:58 |
Oil is trading at $115.27 (-$4.74). Earlier low were printed at $115.00 |
| 08.08 19:48 |
GBP/USD set stable above $1.9200. Earlier rate printed session lows around $1.9140. |
| 08.08 19:40 |
Dow +314.37 at 11745.80, Nasdaq +56.78 at 2412.51, S&P +29.41 at 1295.48
The stock market continues to trade with hefty
gains after taking another step higher.The Dow Jones Industrial Average is now up 2.7%. All 30 components in the Dow are trading
higher.Home Depot is posting the
largest percentage-based advance in the index.The stock is currently at a fresh session high. Sliding oil prices continue to bolster optimism
among market participants.Crude is down
4% and trading near $115 per barrel.
|
| 08.08 19:12 |
OIL: Support is on $109.60
NYMEX September light sweet crude oil futures
hold at $116.47 per barrel, after trading in a $115.61 to $120.08 range. The
front contract, which settled at $120.02 Thursday, posted a record high of
$147.27 onJuly 11. Analysts are watching key support at $109.60, where the
200-day moving average comes in.
|
| 08.08 18:50 |
Hot stocks: Fannie Mae, McDonald's
The homebuilder Beazer Homes USA, Inc’s posted a narrower loss of $109.8M in its fiscal third quarter despite lower revenue as expenses declined; nevertheless quarterly results fell short of Wall Street's expectations.
The movie theater operator Cinemark Holdings Inc reported a drop in second-quarter earnings, though it still beat analysts' estimates by a penny on increased sales of tickets and concessions.
Deckers Outdoor Corp posted its first quarterly loss since 2002.
Fannie Mae reported a much larger-than-expected net loss of $2.3B in the second quarter.
World Fuel Services Corporation reported second-quarter profit of 73 cents a share well above analysts’ forecasts.
MBIA Inc returned to profitability in the second quarter on $3.32B.
McDonald's Corporation says strong demand for breakfast items helped lift global same-store sales 8% in July; U.S. same-store sales grew 6.7%.
|
| 08.08 18:23 |
BOA sees euro around $1.5400
Bob Sinche of BOA suggests that the euro should
be trading around $1.5400.Accordingly, BOA decided to take profit (at
$1.5040) on their euro short established mid July (euro posted life-high at
$1.6040 on July 15).
|
| 08.08 18:11 |
Wall Street still holding solid gains, Dow is up 237 and close to the high of the session with Nasdaq is up 46 |
| 08.08 18:03 |
American focus: Euro falls the most in 8 years on reduced bets for higher rate [M]
The euro fell the most in almost eight years
against the dollar as traders pared bets the European Central Bank will raise
interest rates as the economy slows.
The euro is poised for its biggest weekly loss
since January 2005 after ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet yesterday said
economic growth will be ``particularly weak'' through the third quarter. The European currency has declined 3.1% against
the dollar in its fourth weekly decline, the worst losing streak since May
2007. Against the yen, the U.S.
currency has advanced 2.1%, heading for its biggest weekly gain in almost two
months. Crude oil fell to a three-month low. The pound
fell below $1.93 for the first time since March 2007 as the Bank of England
kept its main interest rate steady at 5% yesterday after inflation accelerated
and the economy teetered on the brink of a recession. It has dropped 2.7% this
week, its biggest weekly drop in three years.
|
| 08.08 17:48 |
Goldman Sachs about EUR/USD
“The euro's
decline below $1.53 and the break of the 200-day moving average at $1.5226 marks
a significant change in sentiment for the dollar, pointing to a further decline
to $1.46,” Kevin Edgeley, technical analyst at Goldman Sachs Group Inc., wrote.
“It was the first time the euro fell below the 200-day moving average since 2006”, he added.
|
| 08.08 17:34 |
Oil holds at $116.00, down $4.02 on the day and only slightly off session lows marked at $115.61 thus far |
| 08.08 17:10 |
Blue chips rise amid oil prices decline
Slumping oil prices and a rising dollar fired
up a big stock market rally Friday, enabling investors to look beyond
mortgage finance firm Fannie Mae's steep quarterly loss.
Stocks tumbled Thursday on continued economic
worries, sparked by reports showing sluggish retail sales, higher consumer
borrowing costs and more problems for the financial sector.
The decline in oil prices gave a lift to a
variety of stocks, with 29 out of 30 Dow components rising. The financial sector remained in focus Friday,
after Fannie Mae reported a big quarterly loss that was more than triple what
analysts were expecting, reflecting ongoing deterioration in housing market
conditions. Fannie swung to a loss of $2.3 billion, or $2.54 per share, due to
big reserves for credit losses in the quarter, versus a profit of $1.86 a year
ago. Analysts had thought Fannie would lose 68 cents per share. The mortgage
finance behemoth also slashed its quarterly dividend. Fannie shares slumped 10%
in active trade. Merrill Lynch said late Thursday that it will
buy back around $12 billion over a one-year period starting in January. On Thursday, Citigroup agreed to buy back over
$7 billion.
|
| 08.08 16:25 |
GBP/USD under pressure
GBP/USD breaks below the "neckline"
(head and shoulders pattern) at $1.9350 on the weekly chart. Strategists at CIBC
World Market maintain a downside target between $1.75/$1.76 and stress that
"an overshoot towards the market base at $1.7050 cannot be ruled
out."
|
| 08.08 16:01 |
USD/JPY looks optimistic
USD/JPY lifted to Y110.37 amid dollar’s rise, but
pair is easing back a bit now for trade to Y110.15. Offers on Y110.50 and
Y110.80. Might be a barrier Y110.50, not mentioned but always a risk.
|
| 08.08 15:42 |
Gold weakens
Spot gold holds at $853.25/oz on the low side
of a $852.00/$873.50 range. UBS maintains their one-month forecast of $850.
|
| 08.08 15:25 |
EUR/USD tested $1.5000
EUR/USD fell to $1.5000 before recovering to
current $1.05035. Area of $1.5000 offered as psychological support, barrier strikes
also suggested here.Below there, $1.4980/60 area seen as critical
with stops expected below.
|
| 08.08 15:02 |
US: June wholesale inventories +1.1% |
| 08.08 14:51 |
USD/CAD retreats
USD/CAD earlier traded to a high of C$1.0695,
currently holding back around C$1.0665. Traders begin to talk about option barrier
interest on C$1.0700.
|
| 08.08 14:31 |
US Stocks Open: DJIA +3,10, Nadaq -22.64, S&P +0.22 |
| 08.08 14:15 |
Before the bell: [M]
A relatively mixed tone is indicated during premarket action (S&P futures +0.7, Nasdaq futures +3.5).
McDonald's announced global same-store sales climbed 8% in July. Its U.S. comparable-store sales were up 6.7%. Meanwhile, Merrill Lynch
is planning to buy back auction rate securities from its clients. They
are mostly AAA and not credit impaired. Additionally, Korea Investment
Corp. disclosed a 7.4% stake in Merrill in a regulatory filing.
Second quarter nonfarm productivity increased 2.2%, though economists
were looking for 2.5% after the first quarter's 2.6% increase. Unit
labor costs were up 1.3% after climbing 2.5% in the first quarter.
Economists thought unit labor costs would climb 1.4%.
Separately, relative strength in the dollar is helping push oil prices lower.
|
| 08.08 14:00 |
USD/JPY: rise over Y110
Lofts over Y110.00 area as the dollar scores fresh gains across the
board and as euro-yen steadies for now, the dollar stalling for now
around Y110.05 area as tech resistance from the Jan 9 high at Y110.10
becomes a feature. Offers in place at Y110.20.
|
| 08.08 13:47 |
Lehman: ECB press conference as neutral Открыть в новом окне
Michael Hume of Lehman says, "The growth scare is clearly seen as being
sufficient for the time being to counter the inflation risks that have
been building for some time. It seems reasonable to expect no change in
rates over the next few months."
|
| 08.08 13:34 |
USA Productivity (Q2) preliminary 2,2% |
| 08.08 13:30 |
USA Unit labour cost (Q2) preliminary 1,3% |
| 08.08 13:00 |
European session: Euro slumps to five-month low on reduced bets for higher rates [M]
The euro slumped to a five-month low against the dollar as traders
pared bets the European Central Bank will raise interest rates as the
economy slows.
The euro also fell to a three-week low versus the yen after ECB
President Jean-Claude Trichet said economic growth will be
``particularly weak'' through the third quarter and policy makers kept
the benchmark rate unchanged yesterday. The New Zealand and Australian
dollars led losses among the most-traded currencies on speculation
central banks will cut borrowing costs. The U.K. pound sank to the
weakest in 17 months against the dollar as Royal Bank of Scotland Group
Plc posted its first loss in 40 years.
Trichet said yesterday he has ``no bias'' or ``pre- commitment'' toward
future rate movements after the central bank left the main refinancing
rate at 4.25 percent. He told reporters in Frankfurt that while
inflation remains a threat, risks to economic growth are
``materializing.''
Traders pared bets the ECB will lift rates a second time this year
after increasing its main rate by a quarter-point to 4.25 percent last
month. The implied yield on the December interest rate futures, an
indication of expectations, has retreated 21 basis points from the
previous meeting, to 4.94 percent today.
``We do not expect a significant recovery in the euro from current
levels,'' Ashley Davies, a currency strategist in Singapore at UBS AG,
the world's second-largest foreign-exchange trader, wrote in a research
note today. ``Trichet delivered fairly standard comments, which were
interpreted in a dovish fashion.''
``Oil prices have turned out to be much more supportive of the dollar
than I expected,'' said Masanobu Ishikawa, general manager of foreign
exchange at Tokyo Forex & Ueda Harlow Ltd., Japan's largest
currency broker. ``It does temporarily relieve some concern that the
U.S. economy will weaken further. This is a plus for sentiment.''
Losses in the yen against the dollar may accelerate on speculation a
slowing economy will prevent the Bank of Japan from raising interest
rates from 0.5 percent, the lowest among industrialized economies.
EUR/USD: Rate posted low at $1.5100.
GBP/USD: lowered from $1.9440 to low around $1.9215.
USD/JPY: yen stil holding around Y110 00-Y109.10.

There are no key economic data from US today. At 12:30 GMT is due US
Productivity (Q2) preliminary and Unit labour cost (Q2) preliminary,
then at 14:00 GMT will come Wholesale inventories (June).
|
| 08.08 12:41 |
EUROPEAN STOCKS: FTSE 100 down 0.03%, the Dax up 0.2% and the Cac in Paris up 0.455% in current trade |
| 08.08 12:21 |
European focus:
The euro slumped to a five-month low against the dollar as
traders pared bets the European Central Bank will raise interest rates
as the economy slows.
The euro also fell to a three-week low versus the yen after ECB
President Jean-Claude Trichet said economic growth will be
``particularly weak'' through the third quarter and policy makers kept
the benchmark rate unchanged yesterday. The New Zealand and Australian
dollars led losses among the most-traded currencies on speculation
central banks will cut borrowing costs. The U.K. pound sank to the weakest in 17 months against the dollar as Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc posted its first loss in 40 years.
Trichet said yesterday he has ``no bias'' or ``pre- commitment'' toward
future rate movements after the central bank left the main refinancing
rate at 4.25 percent. He told reporters in Frankfurt that while
inflation remains a threat, risks to economic growth are
``materializing.''
Traders pared bets the ECB will lift rates a second time this year
after increasing its main rate by a quarter-point to 4.25 percent last
month. The implied yield on the December interest rate futures, an
indication of expectations, has retreated 21 basis points from the
previous meeting, to 4.94 percent today.
``We do not expect a significant recovery in the euro from current
levels,'' Ashley Davies, a currency strategist in Singapore at UBS AG,
the world's second-largest foreign-exchange trader, wrote in a research
note today. ``Trichet delivered fairly standard comments, which were
interpreted in a dovish fashion.''
``Oil prices have turned out to be much more supportive of the dollar
than I expected,'' said Masanobu Ishikawa, general manager of foreign
exchange at Tokyo Forex & Ueda Harlow Ltd., Japan's largest
currency broker. ``It does temporarily relieve some concern that the
U.S. economy will weaken further. This is a plus for sentiment.''
Losses in the yen against the dollar may accelerate on
speculation a slowing economy will prevent the Bank of Japan from
raising interest rates from 0.5 percent, the lowest among
industrialized economies.
|
| 08.08 12:05 |
Unemployment rate (July) 6,1% |
| 08.08 12:01 |
Employment (July) -55,2К |
| 08.08 11:30 |
Economist Gary Bigg at BAS says bottom line from claims data is "labor demand is soft." |
| 08.08 11:17 |
USD/JPY techs:
Resistance 3: Y111.50 Resistance 2: Y110.40 Resistance 1: Y110.00 Current price: Y109.92 Support 1: Y109.30 Support 2: Y108.40 Support 3: Y107.60 Comments: Dollar challenges strong resistance is near session highs on Y110.00 (Y109.90, 50% of Y124.15 - Y95.75 decline). Above the rise may extend to Y110.40. Key level is around resistance line from Mar 2008 on Y111.50. Support comes at around Y109.30 with a break under correction may dip to Y108.40 (23.6% of the Y103.70 - Y109.80 rise), and then – to Aug 05 lows on Y107.60.
|
| 08.08 11:09 |
USD/CHF techs:
Resistance 3: Chf1.1040 Resistance 2: Chf1.0840 Resistance 1: Chf1.0760 Current price: Chf1.0760 Support 1: Chf1.0470 Support 2: Chf1.0380 Support 3: Chf1.0300 Comments: Strong resistance comes at Chf1.0760 (Jan low). Next level comes near Chf1.0840. Above the rise may extend to Chf1.1040. Strong support is around Chf1.0470 (23.6% of the rise from Chf1.0010 to Chf1.0610, also channel support line from Jul 16). Below losses may widen to Chf1.0380. Stronger level comes around 50% Fibo on Chf1.0300/10.
|
| 08.08 10:53 |
GBP/USD techs:
Resistance 3: $1.9500 Resistance 2: $1.9400 Resistance 1: $1.9340 Current price: $1.9240 Support 1: $1.9180 Support 2: $1.9100 Support 3: $1.9040 Comments: Sterling remains under pressure. Below $1.9180 losses may widen to $1.9040. Key support is around $1.9100/30 (trend line from Jan 2002 and 50% Fibo of the $1.7091 - $2.1160 move). Resistance is on $1.9520. Above here the rate may rebound to recent on $1.9400 and $1.9500.
|
| 08.08 10:38 |
EUR/USD techs:
Resistance 3:$1.5520 Resistance 2: $1.5400 Resistance 1: $1.5300 Current price: $1.5165 Support 1: $1.5140 Support 2: $1.5000 Support 3: $1.4950 Comments: Rate resumed fall and having broked strong support around $1.5140 (session low) then $1.5000 intermediate level. Strong support is May-June lows at $1.5300. Resistance is around $1.5300 with a break above will tsrget $1.5400 and $1.5500/20 (Wednesday and Thursday lows).
|
| 08.08 10:18 |
Asian session: Trichet caused euro slump [M]
The euro slumped to a five-month low against the dollar as traders
pared bets that the European Central Bank will raise interest rates as
the economy slows.
The euro also fell to a three-week low versus Japan's currency after
ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet said economic growth will be
``particularly weak'' through the third quarter. The dollar headed for
its biggest weekly gain against the yen in almost two months as oil
dropped 19 percent from a record. The New Zealand and Australian
dollars led losses among the most- traded currencies on speculation
central banks will cut rates.
``Trichet triggered the euro's decline when he went out of his way to
highlight weakness in the economy,'' said Saburo Matsumoto, senior
manager of foreign-exchange sales at Sumitomo Trust & Banking Co.
in Tokyo. ``A rate increase is off the cards for the time being, and
the euro is likely to adjust lower.''
EUR/USD fell from $1.5340 to $1.5140. Later the rate retreated to $1.5170.
GBP/USD followed thу euro and slumped to $1.9260 from $1.9440.
USD/JPY held
within the Y109.30/00.
|
| 08.08 09:54 |
China's benchmark stock indices ended the morning session lower.
The benchmark Shanghai Comp ended the morning
down 14.43 points or 0.53 pct at 2,713.15. The Shanghai A was down
14.96 points or 0.52 pct at 2,846.73, while the Shenzhen A fell 4.58
points or 0.55 pct to 826.21
|
| 08.08 09:53 |
OPTIONS: Expiries of note for today's 1400GMT cut,
EUR/USD: $1.5225, $1.5400
USD/JPY: Y110.00, Y109.50, Y109.00, Y108.80
|
| 08.08 09:12 |
Globex traded US stock index futures are trading modestly higher into early Europran dealing Friday.
The S&P Sep contract was last 3.80 points higher at 1271.70, with the Nasdaq Sep contract up 6.00 points at 1892.
|
| 08.08 08:55 |
USD/JPY techs:
Resistance 3: Y111.50
Resistance 2: Y110.40
Resistance 1: Y109.80
Current price: Y109.92
Support 1: Y109.30
Support 2: Y108.40 Support 3: Y107.60
Comments: Dollar challenges strong resistance is near yesterday’s highs on Y109.80
(Y109.90, 50% of Y124.15 - Y95.75 decline). Above the rise may extend to Y110.40.
Key level is around resistance line from Mar 2008 on Y111.50. Support comes at around Y109.30 with a break under
correction may dip to Y108.40 (23.6% of the Y103.70 - Y109.80 rise), and then –
to Aug 05 lows on Y107.60.
|
| 08.08 08:52 |
USD/CHF techs:
Resistance 3: Chf1.0760 Resistance 2: Chf1.0720
Resistance 1: Chf1.0690
Current price: Chf1.0690
Support 1: Chf1.0470
Support 2: Chf1.0380
Support 3: Chf1.0300
Comments: Minor resistance comes at session highs on Chf1.0690 (channel line).
Stronger level comes near Chf1.0720 (Feb lows). Above the rise may extend
to Chf1.0760. Strong support is around Chf1.0470 (23.6% of the rise from Chf1.0010 to Chf1.0610,
also channel support line from Jul 16). Below losses may widen to Chf1.0380. Stronger
level comes around 50% Fibo on Chf1.0300/10.
|
| 08.08 08:46 |
GBP/USD techs:
Resistance
3: $1.9640
Resistance 2: $1.9580
Resistance 1: $1.9520
Current price: $1.9287
Support 1: $1.9260
Support 2: $1.9180
Support 3:
$1.9100
Comments: Sterling remains under pressure. Below $1.9260 losses may widen to $1.9180. Key support is around $1.9100/30
(trend line from Jan 2002 and 50% Fibo of the $1.7091 - $2.1160 move). Resistance is near last session high on $1.9520. Above here the rate may rebound to recent highs on $1.9580
and $1.9640.
|
| 08.08 08:33 |
Japan's benchmark stock indices ended Friday's session higher.
The
benchmark Nikkei 225 was higher by 43.42 points, or 0.33%, at
13168.41.The broader-based TOPIX was higher by 1.12 points at 1259.93.
|
| 08.08 08:06 |
Major European bourses are initially seen trading lower Friday.
FTSE down 20, the DAX down 15, the CAC down 19 and the Eurostoxx 50
down 14.
|
| 08.08 07:31 |
EUR/USD techs:
Resistance 3:$1.5520 Resistance 2: $1.5400 Resistance 1: $1.5340
Current price: $1.5225
Support 1: $1.5230 Support 2: $1.5170
Support 3:
$1.5140
Comments: Rate resumed fall and having broked strong support around $1.5280 (May-June lows) target $1.5170 intermediate level. Below support is around Mar lows on $1.5140. Resistance is around $1.5340 with a break above will tsrget $1.5400.
|
| 08.08 07:16 |
Crude futures are little changed in Asian session Friday
The
front-month Nymex WTI Sep 08 contract was last down 4 cents at $119.98, just shy of
the session high at $120.08. The contract had touched an early low at
$119.50.
|
| 08.08 06:54 |
Switzerland: July seasonally adjusted jobless rate 2.5% in July, with unadjusted data at 2.3%. |
| 08.08 06:41 |
Japanese indices continue to rally
The Nikkei was last 102 points higher
at 13227, having touched an early low at 12962.
|
| 08.08 06:25 |
Daily History for Aug 07, 2008
High Low Close
EUR/USD 1.5501 1.5307 1.5322
USD/JPY 109.68 109.10 109.33
GBP/USD 1.9538 1.9418 1.9432
USD/CHF 1.0637 1.0521 1.0609
EUR/JPY 169.47 167.47 167.53
EUR/GBP 0.7935 0.7874 0.7882
GBP/JPY 213.73 212.38 212.45
GBP/CHF 2.0672 2.0554 2.0620
Change % Change Last
Nikkei 225 -129.90 -1.0% 13 124.99
Topix -18.46 -1.5% 1 258.81
FTSE -8.60 -0.16% 5,477.50
DAX -17.90 -0.27% 6,543.49
CAC +9.10 +0.20% 4,457.43
Dow -224.64 -1.93% 11,431.43
NASDAQ -22.64 -0.95% 2,355.73
S&P -23.12 -1.79% 1,266.07
10yr Note -1.1300 -0.279% 3.935%
NYMEX Crude Oil +1.44 +1.21% 120.02
Gold -5.10 -0.58% 877.90
|
| 08.08 06:16 |
Schedule for today, Thursday, Aug 08, 2008
09:00 Italy GDP (Q2) preliminary - 0.5%
09:00 Italy GDP (Q2) preliminary Y/Y - 0.3%
11:00 Canada Employment (July) - -5K
11:00 Canada Unemployment rate (July) - 6.2%
12:30 USA Productivity (Q2) preliminary 2.8% 2.6%
12:30 USA Unit labour cost (Q2) preliminary - 2.2%
14:00 USA Wholesale inventories (June) 0.6% 0.8%
|