| 05.08 19:58 |
Hot Stocks: Apple Inc, The Procter & Gamble Company
The iPod maker Apple Inc was rated ``buy'' in new coverage
at UBS AG, citing the company's ``core strengths and opportunities''
and ``competitive advantage.''
The Procter & Gamble Company posted a 33% jump in
fourth-quarter net income as price hikes and cost-savings measures
offset rising commodity prices; a $3B increase in commodity costs over
the next 12 months will hurt profit margins.
Bertelsmann AG is selling its 50% stake in Sony BMG to Sony
Corp. in a $1.2B, giving the Japanese company full ownership of the
joint venture whose artists include Alicia Keys and Leona Lewis.
The world's biggest maker of agricultural chemicals Syngenta Ag fell after falling crop prices raised concerns about pesticide and fertilizer demand.
|
| 05.08 19:44 |
Dow +242.93 at 11537.69, Nasdaq +42.52 at 2330.12, S&P +24.56 at 1274.64
The Fed took a neutral tone in its latest directive, noting that
there are both risks to inflation and growth. The Fed noted that
although the economy grew in the second quarter, labor markets have
"softened further" and financial markets remain under "considerable
stress."
The FOMC believes that inflation will moderate later this year and in 2009.
The stock market traded in choppy manner following the release, and is currently trading modestly higher than pre-FOMC levels.
|
| 05.08 19:25 |
Main events of FOMC’s statement
- Labor mkts have softened further;
- Tight credit & energy to weigh on growth;
- Bal of risks keeps upside risks to inflation & downside risks to growth but is more
symmetrical (no bias). Outlook still expects inflation to moderate to this is uncertain, and growth to rebound to 'moderate' pace. Vote: 10-1 with Fisher dissenting for an unspecified rate hike.
|
| 05.08 19:15 |
FOMC: Key lending rate 2%, as expected |
| 05.08 19:10 |
Before FOMC’s rate decision EUR/USD holds at $1.5460, GBP/USD at $1.9535 and USD/JPY at Y108.30 |
| 05.08 18:50 |
USD/JPY:
Just etched a new high for the session at Y108.34 area as dollar buying continues ahead of the FOMC announcement.
|
| 05.08 18:17 |
RBC: «ISM describes a soft, but not recessionary, economy that remains plagued by elevated price pressures.» |
| 05.08 18:07 |
American focus: Dollar gains to seven-week high versus Euro on Fed outlook, oil [M]
The dollar touched the highest in more than seven weeks versus the euro
on speculation Federal Reserve policy makers will highlight concern
that inflation needs to be contained while leaving interest rates
unchanged.
``There's high hope riding on the Fed's statement,'' said Michael
Woolfolk, senior currency strategist at the Bank of New York Mellon in
New York, the world's largest custodial bank with over $23 trillion in
assets. ``The market is looking for any excuse to buy the dollar. Lower
crude oil is the primary catalyst for the dollar to rally into the Fed
meeting.''
Oil's decline also pushed the dollar higher versus the euro. The
euro-dollar exchange rate and oil have had a correlation of 0.9 in the
past year, according to Bloomberg calculations. A reading of 1 would
mean they moved in lockstep.
``The underperformance of commodity currencies is amplified by a
commodity sell-off and a dovish Australian central bank,'' said Shaun
Osborne, chief currency strategist at TD Securities Inc. in Toronto.
``That gives a boost to the broad-based dollar rally. The dollar is a
little bit overbought, unless either the Fed sounds a hawkish tone or
oil continues to tumble.''
The Federal Open Market Committee is scheduled to announce its decision
at 2:15 p.m. in Washington. The benchmark rate will be held at 2
percent, according to all 69 economists surveyed.
Futures on the Chicago Board of Trade showed a 34 percent chance the
Fed will raise the target rate for overnight lending between banks by
at least a quarter-point at the meeting on Sept. 16.
Consumer inflation accelerated to 0.8 percent in June, the fastest pace
since September 2005, the U.S. Commerce Department reported yesterday.
Accelerating inflation adds to the risk that three members of the
committee will dissent for the first time since 1992. Gary Stern,
president of the Fed's Minneapolis bank, and the Philadelphia Fed's
Charles Plosser joined Dallas's Richard Fisher since the last meeting
in June in calling for an increase in rates to limit price increases.
The trio has more clout than usual because two seats assigned to Fed
governors on the 12- member panel will be vacant at the end of this
month.
The yen rose against the 16 most-actively traded currencies, gaining
the most versus Brazil's real, the rand and krone as well as the
Australian dollar as investors reduced holdings of high-yielding assets
funded by the Japanese currency. Japan's 0.5 percent benchmark interest
rate compares with 13 percent in Brazil.
``There is concern the world economy is going to be bad,'' said Toru
Umemoto, chief currency strategist in Tokyo at Barclays Capital Inc., a
unit of Britain's third-biggest bank. ``The yen is being buoyed by risk
aversion.''
|
| 05.08 17:39 |
Dow +217.08 at 11501.62, Nasdaq +38.92 at 2324.92, S&P +22.50 at 1271.79
The major indices climb to fresh session highs. Stock market bulls are
pleased with the performance thus far, as only one economic sector --
energy (+0.5%) -- is posting a gain less than 1%.
|
| 05.08 17:21 |
SocGen: ISM surveys are above what normally transpire in recession
«ISM data were weak but there is good news: ISM surveys are above what
normally transpire in recession. Additionally, in hindsight we can see
the weakest period for the ISM in
late 2007 and the bottom in January of 2008."
|
| 05.08 17:03 |
EUR/USD Notched a marginal fresh low for the session
Notched a marginal fresh low for the session at $1.5455 as a fresh
burst of dollar buys hit the street, but one trader says action remains
quite muted nonetheless as traders jockey for position ahead of the
FOMC rate announcement later. Bids remain $1.5450/40.
|
| 05.08 16:50 |
Stocks post solid advance [M]
Major indexes higher in the early going as oil prices fall. Investors await the Fed's rate decision and comments.
The sentiment on Wall Street appeared to be better Tuesday as investors
awaited the Federal Reserve's decision on interest rates.
The central bank is widely expected to leave its key fed funds rate
unchanged at 2% when it announces its decision at 2:15 pm ET.
But investors will likely pay close attention to the Fed's statement, which may contain clues regarding future rate hikes.
Central bankers are in a bind when it comes to interest rates. The Fed
cut rates to help spur economic activity, which remains relatively
sluggish, but rising prices have put pressure on the central bankers to
increase rates to curb inflation.
Crude prices continued to ease. Light, sweet crude for September delivery fell 93 cents to $120.48 a barrel in electronic trading.
The nation's service-oriented businesses remained in contraction in
July, although by not as much as the month before, according to the
Institute for Supply Management.
The ISM, a trade group of purchasing managers, said its reading of the
service sector was 49.5 in July, up from 48.2 in June. That's better
than economists' prediction of a reading of 48.7, according to the
consensus estimate of economists.
A reading below 50 signals contraction, while a reading above 50 indicates growth.
Procter & Gamble said fourth-quarter profit soared 33%, thanks to price increases, overseas sales and tax benefits.
On the down side, Archer Daniels Midland said fiscal
fourth-quarter profit was hurt by higher commodity prices. The
industrial agriculture company said profit fell 61% to 58 cents per
share.
Cisco Systems and News Corp. are slated to release results after the closing bell.
Gold prices tumbled $14.50 to $893.40 an ounce in New York.
|
| 05.08 16:20 |
NewEdge about nonmfg ISM
"49.5 nonmfg ISM "looks like a technical rebound rather than a sign of
cyclical recovery in the services sector due to its recent volatility
and fact that components were mixed."
|
| 05.08 16:05 |
Dow +176.65 at 11462.05, Nasdaq +29.80 at 2315.84, S&P +18.07 at 1267.08
The stock market is trading in a tight range near its session high.
The financial sector continues to show strength (+2.4%), with 92% of its 88 components posting a gain. AIG (+2.02)
is the best-performing name after being upgraded to Buy from Neutral at
UBS. UBS believes that AIG is well positioned to absorb further losses
without the need for an equity raise.
Oil prices climb to just under the unchanged mark and then run
into some resistance, sending oil to a loss of 1.1% at $120.06 per
barrel. As a result, the energy sector (+0.8%) is underperforming on a relative basis.
|
| 05.08 15:48 |
MS: world growth slowing
«World growth slowing, against that backdrop, US earnings are likely to
decline by more than is priced into equity markets, and earnings
disappointments likely will continue to pressure stock prices. Fed on
hold with the risks between growth and inflation more balanced than at
the last FOMC meeting in June."
|
| 05.08 15:31 |
HFE: the ISM nonmanuf is "soft"
Economist Ian Shepherdson at HFE says up-move in
headline ISM nonmanuf index to 49.5 was driven by strength in core
retail sales but the move was "marginal, and the subindexes are weak."
So he terms the index "soft."
|
| 05.08 15:13 |
Dow +146.96 at 11430.78, Nasdaq +29.10 at 2314.45, S&P +15.01 at 1264.01 |
| 05.08 15:00 |
US: July nonmfg ISM 49.5 vs 48.2.
July nonmfg ISM business activity 49.6 vs 49.9. Prices paid 80.8 vs 84.5, employment 47.1, new orders 47.9.
|
| 05.08 14:55 |
Dow +127.99 at 11409.29, Nasdaq +23.79 at 2309.35, S&P +11.94 at 1260.87
The stock market gets off to a strong start ahead of the FOMC policy
announcement at 2:15 ET. The Fed is expected to leave the fed funds
rate unchanged at 2.00%, but the wording of the directive will have a
market-moving impact.
Giving stocks a boost is a 1.3% drop in crude prices to $119.80 per
barrel, although prices have recovered from a loss of as much as 2.8%.
Meanwhile, European markets are rallying, lifted by bank stocks after
Societe Generale posted better-than-feared earnings. London's FTSE is
up 2.0%, Germany's DAX is up 2.4% and France's CAC is up 1.6%.
In earnings news, Procter & Gamble (PG 66.58, +0.76) topped
estimates, while Archer Daniels Midland (ADM 27.31, -0.09), Molson
Coors Brewing Company (TAP 47.98, -6.45) and MGM Mirage (MGM 32.70,
+1.70) fell short of expectations.
|
| 05.08 14:48 |
ISM non-manuf. index is due at 1400 GMT
Before FOMC
non-manuf. ISM index will come. Analysts predict index rose to 51,0 points
versus 48,2 points month earlier.
|
| 05.08 14:21 |
Before the bell:
Futures
(S&P futures vs fair value: +8.3. Nasdaq futures vs fair value:
+15.2.) point to a higher open ahead of the FOMC policy announcement at
18:15 GMT.
 
The Fed is
expected to leave the fed funds rate unchanged at 2.00% (fed funds
futures imply a 93% probability rates will remain unchanged). Giving
futures a boost this morning is a 2.0% drop in crude prices.
In addition, European stock markets are rallying thanks to strength in
financial names following better-than-expected results from Societe
Generale. In earnings news, Procter & Gamble (PG) topped its expectations.
Investors will be looking for any clues the policymakers offer about where rates are headed next. Oil prices extended their slide, as crude futures for September delivery tumbled $2.56 to $118.85 in electronic trading. Oil prices have fallen sharply in recent weeks on worries that high prices are starting to cut into demand. Earnings: Consumer products maker Procter & Gamble
reported higher fiscal fourth-quarter profit and revenue that beat
analyst expectations. The company announced that profit jumped 33% to
$3.02 billion, or 92 cents per share. Cisco Systems and News Corp. are slated to release results after the market close.
|
| 05.08 14:10 |
USD/CAD keeps positive mood
Pushes up to trigger the reported barrier at C$1.0430, as these option
structures become generally targeted in the thin pre NY open period. If
rate can build over this level expected to meet further sell interest
placed to C$1.0440 ahead of C$1.0460. Bids C$1.0390/80, more between
C$1.0360/50.
|
| 05.08 13:43 |
European session: US dollar rose to a six-week high against the euro before a Federal Reserve meeting [M]
The
dollar rose to a six-week high against the euro before a Federal
Reserve meeting today at which policy makers may leave interest rates
on hold and highlight concern that inflation needs to be contained.
The
U.S. currency also climbed against the British pound after a report
yesterday showed personal spending exceeded forecasts and as crude oil
fell to a 13-week low, adding to optimism lower fuel prices will help
sustain U.S. economic growth. The yen rose against all 16 major
currencies as concern that financial-market losses
are deepening reduced demand for higher-risk investments funded in
Japan. The euro weakened on speculation a slowing economy will deter the European Central Bank from raising interest rates.
Retail
sales in the 15 countries that share the euro fell 1.3 percent in June
from a year earlier, reversing a 0.3 percent gain in May, according to
a Bloomberg News survey. The European Union's statistics office will
release the data at 11 a.m. in Luxembourg today.
The ECB
will leave its benchmark rate on hold at 4.25 percent when it announces
a decision on Aug. 7, a separate survey showed. The ECB raised rates by
a quarter of a percentage point on July 3 to curb the fastest inflation
in 16 years.
EUR/USD consolidated within $1.5520/30 before pressure resumed and the pare piersed $1.5500 mark. Rate posted low at $1.5460,
before rebounded to $1.5490.
GBP/USD lowered from $1.9585 to low around $1.9525. Bids $1.9525/15. stronger at $1.9500 and
$1.9480/70. . Offers at $1.9575/80.
USD/JPY got support at
Y107.65, before failed to clear back above Y108.00. Rate trades now at Y107.85. Bids
Y107.50, Y107.30/20. Offers Y108.40
The main
focus is on FOMC’s decision on Fed’s rate due at 18:15 GMT. The benchmark rate will be held at 2.00%. Before FOMC
non-manuf. ISM index will come. Analysts predict index rose to 51,0 points
versus 48,2 points month earlier.
|
| 05.08 13:14 |
Saxo Bank on Fed
``The Fed will certainly keep rates unchanged, and is likely to toss
out a few warning words on inflation,'' said John Hardy, market
strategist in London at Saxo Bank AS. ``Its view of the economy is
likely dour enough to rein in any rhetoric that might suggest that they
are about to hike interest rates any time soon.''
|
| 05.08 12:58 |
CMC Markets on FOMC statement
``The
FOMC statement is going to sound a little bit'' dovish, Ashraf Laidi,
chief currency analyst at CMC Markets in New York, said in an interview
with Bloomberg Television. ``They are going to continue to say they are
preoccupied with inflation, but acknowledging the decline in energy
prices,'' pushing down the dollar below 108 yen, he said.
|
| 05.08 12:38 |
Cable remains under pressure
GBP/USD posted fresh low at $1.9525, as rate takes direction from further euro-dollar slippage,
while euro-sterling remains support by the stg0.79220/10 area. Cable
bids seen placed between $1.9525/15, more toward $1.9500 ahead of
$1.9480/70. Offers $1.9575/85.
|
| 05.08 12:28 |
HSBC Bank; euro to fall to $1.54 this week
``The euro is in an adjustment phase and is likely to head lower,''
said Takuma Kurosawa, global markets treasurer in Tokyo at HSBC Bank, a
unit of Europe's biggest lender. ``The euro won't rise even if the ECB
raises rates again. The euro-zone economy is weakening and the central
bank will have to acknowledge that.''
Europe's single currency may fall to $1.54 this week, Kurosawa said.
|
| 05.08 12:06 |
European focus:
The
dollar rose to a six-week high against the euro before a Federal
Reserve meeting today at which policy makers may leave interest rates
on hold and highlight concern that inflation needs to be contained. The
U.S. currency also climbed against the British pound after a report
yesterday showed personal spending exceeded forecasts and as crude oil
fell to a 13-week low, adding to optimism lower fuel prices will help
sustain U.S. economic growth. The yen rose against all 16 major
currencies tracked by Bloomberg as concern that financial-market losses
are deepening reduced demand for higher-risk investments funded in
Japan. ``I'm definitely not a seller of the U.S. dollar
against the euro,'' said Andrew Gordon-Mackay, chief executive officer
of Absolute Asset Management, a Melbourne-based currency hedge fund.
``The dollar is close to its medium-term bottom and reasons for selling
the currency are already in the market. The euro area's outlook, on the
other hand, is starting to turn negative.'' The Federal
Open Market Committee is scheduled to announce its decision at about
2:15 p.m. in Washington. The benchmark rate will be held at 2 percent,
according to all 69 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News.
The euro weakened on speculation a slowing economy will deter the European Central Bank from raising interest rates.
Retail
sales in the 15 countries that share the euro fell 1.3 percent in June
from a year earlier, reversing a 0.3 percent gain in May, according to
a Bloomberg News survey. The European Union's statistics office will
release the data at 11 a.m. in Luxembourg today.
The ECB
will leave its benchmark rate on hold at 4.25 percent when it announces
a decision on Aug. 7, a separate survey showed. The ECB raised rates by
a quarter of a percentage point on July 3 to curb the fastest inflation
in 16 years.
|
| 05.08 11:45 |
OPTIONS: Expiries of note for today's 1400GMT cut
EUR/USD: $1.5500,
$1.5400
USD/JPY: Y108.00,
Y107.50, Y106.00
EUR/JPY: Y167.75
|
| 05.08 11:17 |
USD/JPY techs:
Resistance 3: Y111.05
Resistance 2: Y110.00
Resistance 1: Y108.40 Current price: Y107.83
Support 1: Y107.30
Support 2:
Y106.00
Support 3: Y105.15 Comments: Dollar still
holds within the upward channel from Jul 18, limited by Y105.15/Y111.05 (key support/resistance). Strong support is near Y107.30
(23.6% of Y103.70 - Y108.30/40 rise). Below losses may widen to 50% Fibo on Y106.05/00,
then – near channel line on Y105.15. Resistance is around last Thursday’s high
on Y108.40. Strong resistance comes at Fibo level on Y110.00 (50% of the move
from Jun 2007 highs at Y124.10 to Mar 16 lows on Y95.70). 100 points higher the
next band of resistance is – near channel line on Y111.00/05.
|
| 05.08 11:00 |
USD/CHF techs:
Resistance 3: Chf1.0720 Resistance 2: Chf1.0610
Resistance 1: Chf1.0520
Current price: Chf1.0517
Support 1: Chf1.0400
Support 2: Chf1.0320
Support 3: Chf1.0280
Comments: Dollar tries to rebound with
resistance is around Wednesday’s and yesterdays highs on Chf1.0520. A bit
higher there is stronger level on Chf1.0610 (upper bound of the upward channel
from Jul 15). Break above will open the way to Feb lows on Chf1.0620. Strong
support comes at channel line on Chf1.0400 (also 23.6% Fibo of Chf1.0012 - Chf1.0520 rise). Below correction
may dip to Chf1.0320 (Jul 25-27 lows)
with a break under will open the way to Chf1.0280 (Jul 23 lows).
|
| 05.08 10:51 |
Major European bourses are holding on to gains, consolidating after turning around a lower open.
The FTSE was last 1.25% higher at 5384.5,
while the CAC and the DAX are 1.4% and 2.3% higher respectively.
|
| 05.08 10:40 |
GBP/USD techs:
Resistance
3: $1.9840
Resistance 2: $1.9760
Resistance 1: $1.9680
Current price: $1.9567
Support 1: $1.9530
Support 2: $1.9460
Support 3: $1.9360
Comments: Sterling reached lower bound of the 4-days
range
at $1.9530. Break above will open the way
to $1.9460. Strong support comes near $1.9370/65 (Jan, Fen and May lows). Resistance is around the channel line from Jul
15 at $1.9680 (broken yesterday). Back above will target Monday’s highs on $1.9760, then – on $1.9840.
|
| 05.08 10:21 |
EUR/USD techs:
Resistance 3:$1.5780 Resistance 2: $1.5700 Resistance 1: $1.5630
Current price: $1.5494
Support 1: $1.5500 Support 2: $1.5450
Support 3:
$1.5300
Comments: Euro still under
pressure on Tuesday with support zone remains between $1.5500 (yesterday’s
low). Break down will accelerate the decline to the channel line from Jul 15 on
$1.5450 and then – to $1.5350 and Jun lows around $1.5300. Minor resistance comes near
yesterday’s high at $1.5630, then – Jul 30 high on $1.5700. Stronger level is around
channel line from Jul 15 on $1.5780.
|
| 05.08 10:00 |
EMU: June Retail sales, -0.6% m/m and -3.1% y/y |
| 05.08 09:32 |
UK: July services PMI stood at 47.4 |
| 05.08 09:32 |
UK: Jun manufacturing output -0.5% m/m; -1.3% y/y |
| 05.08 09:32 |
UK: Jun industrial production -0.2% m/m; -1.6% y/y |
| 05.08 09:20 |
Orders:
EUR Bids: $1.5500/90 Offers: $1.5545/50, $1.5560/65, $1.5575/85, $1.5600
JPY Bids: Y108.00/107.90, Y107.50 Offers: Y108.40, Y108.60
GBP Bids: $1.9525/15 Offers: $1.9600, $1.9620/30, $1.9650
|
| 05.08 09:02 |
ITALY: July services PMI fell to 45.6, down from 48.5 in June |
| 05.08 09:02 |
EUROZONE: July services PMI stood at 48.3), down from 49.1 in June |
| 05.08 09:01 |
FRANCE: July services PMI fell to 47.5, down from 50.1 in June |
| 05.08 08:58 |
GERMANY: July services PMI fell to 53.1, up from 52.1 in June |
| 05.08 08:52 |
Asian session: Dollar advances against Euro on Fed rate outlook, oil decline [M]
The dollar rose toward a six-week
high against the euro before a Federal Reserve meeting today at which
policy makers may leave interest rates on hold and highlight concern about
inflation. The U.S. currency also climbed to a
six-week high versus the British pound after crude oil fell
to a 13-week low, adding to optimism lower fuel prices will help sustain growth
in the world's biggest economy. The greenback also gained as crude oil fell
below $120 a barrel for the first time since May. Australia's dollar fell to a
three- month low after the nation's central bank signaled it may cut borrowing
costs. The Reserve Bank of Australia Board said there is ``scope to move
towards a less restrictive stance of monetary policy,'' after keeping interest
rates unchanged at a 12-year high of 7.25%.
EUR/USD fell from $1.5580 and
held near $1.5520/30 for some time. Later pressure on rate resumed and rate
currently holds lows around $1.5511.
GBP/USD continued yesterday’s
slide, holding around $1.9560/70 lows.
USD/JPY challenged Y108.30
before falling to Y107.65.
In Europe today PMI
will come from EU countries, including UK. But the main
focus is on FOMC’s decision on Fed’s rate at 18:15 GMT. Before FOMC
non-manuf. ISM index will come. Analysts predict index rose to 51,0 points
versus 48,2 points month earlier.
|
| 05.08 08:30 |
Japan stocks closed lower
Japan's
benchmark stock indices ended Tuesday's session lower, unable to hold on to earlier
gains. The benchmark Nikkei 225 was down 18.52 points, or 0.14%, at 12914.66.
The broader-based TOPIX was down 0.54 points at 1247.71.
|
| 05.08 08:21 |
Stock market: Monday summary
Stock market fixing:
Nikkei 225 -161.41 -1.20% 12,933.18
Topix -24.68 -1.90% 1,248.25
CAC -33.71 -0.78%
4,280.63
FTSE -34.50 -0.64%
5,320.20
DAX -46.65 -0.73%
6,349.81
Dow -42.17 -0.37%
11,284.15
NASDAQ -25.40 -1.10%
2,285.56
S&P -11.29 -0.90%
1,249.02
10yr Note +0.2400 +0.061%
3.972%
NYMEX Crude Oil -3.69
-2.95% 121.41
Gold -9.60 -1.05% 907.90
Japan stocks dropped, sending
the benchmark Topix index to a more than three-month low, after profit fell at
Mitsui & Co. and Olympus Corp., and U.S. car sales declined to the lowest
in more than a decade.
Mitsui, Japan's second-largest trading company, tumbled
to the lowest in almost four months, while camera maker Olympus
fell the most since May 9. Nissan,
Japan's
third-largest carmaker, sank to a five-year low after net income fell more than
analysts expected while Mazda Motor Corp. plunged the most in more than six
years. Kansai Electric Co. led utilities higher as demand grew for companies
that can weather an economic slowdown.
The Nikkei
lost 1.8% last week amid weaker-than- estimated earnings from Sony Corp. and
NEC Corp. Among Topix- listed companies announcing quarterly results in the
month through Aug. 1, some 473 posted a decline in net income with 326
reporting an increase.
Olympus slumped 5.2% after the company said on Aug. 1
first-quarter profit plunged 63 percent amid slumping prices for digital
cameras. JPMorgan Chase & Co. cut its rating on the stock to
``underweight'' from ``neutral.''
Nissan
fell 4.8%, the lowest level since March 2003. The shares are also lower than
when Carlos Ghosn was named chief executive officer of the company in June
2001. The company said on Aug. 1 net income dropped 43 percent to 52.8 billion
yen ($492 million) in the first quarter due to a writedown on leased vehicles
and a stronger yen. Three brokerages cut their price targets on the company.
Meanwhile, U.S.
auto sales tumbled 13% in July, pushing the industry toward its worst year
since 1993.
European stocks fell for a third day as a
report showed the biggest jump in U.S. consumer prices since 2005, HSBC
Holdings Plc posted an increase in bad-loan charges and a drop in metal prices
sent mining companies lower.
HSBC
declined after Europe's biggest bank said it set aside more money for bad loans
in the U.S. Fortis slumped as the Belgian financial-services company said the
difficult economic environment ``will remain.'' Kazakhmys Plc led a retreat in
mining companies after copper sank to a five-month low.
BNP
Paribas SA helped trigger the global credit seizure a year ago this week after France's
largest bank by market value halted withdrawals from three funds invested in
subprime debt. Financial shares in the MSCI World Index have since tumbled 30
percent as a group.
HSBC
retreated 1.1%. The bank said first-half profit fell 29 percent as it set aside
more money for bad loans in the U.S. HSBC also reported a 29% drop in
first-half profit.
Fortis sank
3.6%. The Belgian financial-services firm that ousted its chief executive
officer last month said second-quarter profit declined 49% on credit-related
writedowns.
Stocks on Wall Street closed lower
Monday as investors mulled mixed readings on the economy a day ahead of the
Federal Reserve's policy meeting.
  
The Commerce Department reported
that personal spending and income edged higher in June. Individual
income increased by 0.1% after a revised 1.8% jump in May, matching economists
expectations. The increase was due in part to the government's economic
stimulus plan, which included billions of dollars in rebate checks sent to
Americans in May and June. Personal spending increased by 0.6%, topping the
0.5% increase that economists had expected. When adjusted for inflation,
however, individual spending actually fell 0.2% following a 0.3% increase in
May.
Among corporate news: Europe's
largest bank, HSBC, said Monday that profits fell 29% through the first half of
the year, the most since 2001, due to bad U.S. mortgages.
Chrysler
said on Sunday that its financial unit had renewed lines of credit totaling $24
billion. The privately-held automaker had originally sought $30 billion in
credit.
|
| 05.08 08:12 |
FOREX. Monday summary
The dollar fell from a one-month high against the euro as stocks declined amid concern
losses in U.S.
credit markets may widen. U.S. consumer spending rose 0.6% in June
following a 0.8% increase in May, the Commerce Department said. The median
forecast of economists was for an increase of 0.4%. The Fed's preferred price gauge,
known as the core measure which excludes food and fuel, rose 0.3% last month
after a revised 0.2% May gain. The median forecast was for a 0.2% increase. Policy makers will keep their target rate for overnight loans between
banks at 2% when they meet Tuesday. The pound fell against the euro for
a third day and dropped versus the dollar after an industry report showed the U.K.'s
construction industry shrank in July at the fastest pace in 11 years. The Australian dollar has
taken a big hit as
investors have been caught off guard by a sharp shift in expectations towards
interest rate cuts, tumbling nearly 3 percent against the dollar and yen last
week for its biggest weekly drop since the Bear Stearns collapse in March.
Traders said the Aussie likely had more room to fall as market players come
around to the view that the Reserve Bank of Australia, which holds a policy
meeting on Tuesday, could start cutting interest rates before long.

EUR/USD tested
$1.5620/30, but failed to set above the figure and back off to $1.5560. Later
rate resumed decline and fell to session low on $1.5525. GBP/USDfellfrom$1.9755.
Rate broke thought $1.9700
support and after triggering some stops fell to $1.9600. Rebound to $1.9635 was
short-lived and pound refreshed session lows around $1.9580. USD/JPY rose
from Y107.44 to Y108.30. Later rate set stable within the Y108.10/30 range.
In Europe today PMI
will come from EU countries, including UK. But the main
focus is on FOMC’s decision on Fed’s rate at 18:15 GMT. BeforeFOMCnon-manuf. ISMindexwillcome. Analysts predict index rose to 51,0 points
versus 48,2 points month earlier.
|
| 05.08 07:53 |
USD/JPY techs:
Resistance 3: Y111.05 Resistance 2: Y110.00 Resistance 1: Y108.40 Current price: Y107.83 Support 1: Y107.30 Support 2: Y106.00 Support 3: Y105.15 Comments: Dollar still holds within the upward channel from Jul 18, limited by Y105.15/Y111.05 (key support/resistance). Strong support is near Y107.30 (23.6% of Y103.70 - Y108.30/40 rise). Below losses may widen to 50% Fibo on Y106.05/00, then – near channel line on Y105.15. Resistance is around last Thursday’s high on Y108.40. Strong resistance comes at Fibo level on Y110.00 (50% of the move from Jun 2007 highs at Y124.10 to Mar 16 lows on Y95.70). 100 points higher the next band of resistance is – near channel line on Y111.00/05.
|
| 05.08 07:29 |
USD/CHF techs:
Resistance 3: Chf1.0720 Resistance 2: Chf1.0610 Resistance 1: Chf1.0520 Current price: Chf1.0507 Support 1: Chf1.0400 Support 2: Chf1.0320 Support 3: Chf1.0280 Comments: Dollar tries to rebound with resistance is around Wednesday’s and yesterdays highs on Chf1.0520. A bit higher there is stronger level on Chf1.0610 (upper bound of the upward channel from Jul 15). Break above will open the way to Feb lows on Chf1.0620. Strong support comes at channel line on Chf1.0400 (also 23.6% Fibo of Chf1.0012 - Chf1.0520 rise). Below correction may dip to Chf1.0320 (Jul 25-27 lows) with a break under will open the way to Chf1.0280 (Jul 23 lows).
|
| 05.08 07:19 |
GBP/USD techs:
Resistance 3: $1.9840 Resistance 2: $1.9760 Resistance 1: $1.9680 Current price: $1.9585 Support 1: $1.9580 Support 2: $1.9460 Support 3: $1.9370 Comments: Sterling slowly weakens within the 4-days range. Rate holds a bit above key support zone around trend line from Apr 2006 at $1.9580. Break above will open the way to $1.9460. Strong support comes near $1.9370/65 (Jan, Fen and May lows). Resistance is around the channel line from Jul 15 at $1.9680 (broken yesterday). Back above will target Monday’s highs on $1.9760, then – on $1.9840.
|
| 05.08 07:01 |
EUR/USD techs:
Resistance 3:$1.5780 Resistance 2: $1.5700 Resistance 1: $1.5620 Current price: $1.5535 Support 1: $1.5500 Support 2: $1.5450 Support 3: $1.5300 Comments: Euro still under pressure on Tuesday with support zone remains between $1.5500 (yesterday’s low). Break down will accelerate the decline to the channel line from Jul 15 on $1.5450 and then – to Jun lows around $1.5300. Minor resistance comes near yesterday’s high at $1.5620, then – Jul 30 high on $1.5700. Stronger level is around channel line from Jul 15 on $1.5780.
|
| 05.08 06:52 |
Major European bourses are initially seen trading mixed Tuesday: the FTSE down 15, the DAX up 5, the CAC up 4 and the Eurostoxx 50 unchanged |
| 05.08 06:30 |
Daily History for Aug 04, 2008
High Low Close EUR/USD 1.5629 1.5550 1.5570 USD/JPY 108.29 107.44 108.19 GBP/USD 1.9760 1.9598 1.9610 USD/CHF 1.0505 1.0432 1.0482
EUR/JPY 168.77 167.28 168.47 EUR/GBP 0.7944 0.7877 0.7937 GBP/JPY 212.88 212.05 212.18 GBP/CHF 2.0718 2.0529 2.0556
Change % Change Last Nikkei 225 -161.41 -1.20% 12,933.18 Topix -24.68 -1.90% 1,248.25 CAC -33.71 -0.78% 4,280.63 FTSE -34.50 -0.64% 5,320.20 DAX -46.65 -0.73% 6,349.81 Dow -42.17 -0.37% 11,284.15 NASDAQ -25.40 -1.10% 2,285.56 S&P -11.29 -0.90% 1,249.02 10yr Note +0.2400 +0.061% 3.972% NYMEX Crude Oil -3.69 -2.95% 121.41 Gold -9.60 -1.05% 907.90
|
| 05.08 06:09 |
Schedule for today, Tuesday, Aug 05, 2008
04:30 Australia RBA meeting announcement - 7.25% 07:45 Italy PMI services (July) - 48.5 07:50 France PMI services (July) 47.0 50.1 07:55 Germany PMI services (July) seasonally adjusted 53.3 52.1 08:00 EU(15) PMI services (July) 48.3 49.1 08:30 UK CIPS services index (July) 46.7 47.1 08:30 UK Industrial production (June) 0.2% -0.8% 08:30 UK Industrial production (June) Y/Y -1.1% -1.6% 08:30 UK Manufacturing output (June) 0.2% -0.5% 08:30 UK Manufacturing output (June) Y/Y -0.5% -0.8% 09:00 EU(15) Retail sales (June) adjusted -0.5% 1.2% 09:00 EU(15) Retail sales (June) adjusted Y/Y -1.1% 0.2% 12:55 USA Redbook (02.08) 14:00 USA ISM Non-mfg composite index (July) 51.0 48.2 14:00 USA ISM Non-mfg business index (July) - 49.9 18:15 USA FOMC meeting announcement 2.00% 2.00%
|
| 05.08 05:32 |
RBA: As widely expected, the Reserve Bank of Australia left its key rate unchanged at 7.25% Tuesday |