|
|
| 03.09 19:52 |
Dow -52.92 at 11463.02, Nasdaq -20.58 at 2328.66, S&P -9.69 at 1267.89
Stocks trade in a volatile manner as market participants digest the
Fed's Beige Book. The report said economic activity has been slow in
most of the 12 Federal Reserve districts.
The stock market heads toward session lows with all ten economic sectors in negative territory.
|
| 03.09 19:47 |
JPM says 2Q real GDP growth is tracking 3.6% q/q, vs +3.3% in the Commerce Dept estimate. |
| 03.09 19:45 |
GM fleet sales -35% in Aug |
| 03.09 19:44 |
October NYMEX crude trades at $109.11, down $0.59, after seeing earlier lows at $107.22. |
| 03.09 19:22 |
Dow -32.89 at 11484.03, Nasdaq -17.97 at 2331.27, S&P -7.02 at 1270.56
Stocks had been paring losses, but the trend has reversed on the
release of the Fed's Beige Book, which is a survey of anecdotal
regional economic activity.
The Fed sees moderate wage pressure as hiring slows and that almost all
districts are seeing price pressures. Fed also says mortgage loan
demand is weakening and economic activity has been slow.
All three of the major indices have slipped on the news.
|
| 03.09 19:03 |
FED: Beige book prepared for the Sept 16 FOMC meeting
"Pace of econ activity has been slow in most Districts." Cleveland
& St Louis weakened, Boston-NY stabilized, KC improved. Consumer
spending is slow as price pressures continue from high food-energy
& high input costs. Mfg was weak or declining, real estate moved
down. Labor mkt is unch & wage gains moderate. Bank lending was
steady/slowing. Farm sector is in drought. Book was prepared at Philly
Fed based on info collected on or before Aug 25. July's beige book
(prepared pre-Jul 14) said "pace of econ activity slowed somewhat" - so
currrent summary is a tad stronger.
|
| 03.09 19:01 |
American focus:
The euro pared losses versus the dollar on investors' reluctance to
sell the currency before the ECB's policy meeting tomorrow, according
to Stephen Malyon, co-head of currency strategy at Scotia Capital Inc.
in Toronto.
ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet and his colleagues will hold the
benchmark at a seven-year high of 4.25 percent, according to all but
one of the 53 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg News. ECB council member
Axel Weber said last week that inflation leaves no room for rate cuts.
``The expectation is that Trichet will remain hawkish on inflation
despite the recent growth slowdown in Europe,'' Malyon said. ``If we do
see renewed deterioration in the U.S. economy, the euro may snap back
against the dollar.''
European reports showed retail sales and business investment dropped and crude oil extended its decline.
The yen rose for a fifth day against the euro and increased to a
two-year high versus the New Zealand dollar as signs of a global
economic slowdown led investors to sell higher-yielding assets and pay
back loans in Japan. The Canadian dollar rose for the first time in a
week after the central bank said the economy is ``still close'' to its
production capacity.
``The market hasn't fully comprehended the magnitude of the sharp
slowdown in the euro zone,'' said Matthew Strauss, a senior currency
strategist in Toronto at RBC Capital Markets Inc., a unit of Canada's
biggest bank by assets. ``Commodities are under pressure again. It
reinforced the dollar-bullish trend and euro-negative trend.''
|
| 03.09 18:32 |
Dow -69.77 at 11447.80, Nasdaq -20.98 at 2328.26, S&P -10.32 at 1267.26 |
| 03.09 18:06 |
E15, Almunia says EMU is experiencing a serious downturn, must take slowdown seriously.
Germany's
econ looks better than others in EMU, worried about growing intra-EMU
inflation spread. German growth of 1.9% possible this year.
|
| 03.09 18:05 |
Dow -65.45 at 11452.85, Nasdaq -21.06 at 2328.17, S&P -9.38 at 1268.29
The stock market stabilizes near recently reached session lows.
Within the S&P 500, 353 stocks are posting a loss. Weakness is led
by tech names, which take up eight of the top ten laggard spots. Exxon
Mobil (XOM 77.74, +0.42) and Procter & Gamble (PG 71.14, +0.67) are
showing leadership.
|
| 03.09 17:39 |
Stocks struggled Wednesday
Investors
welcomed a report showing a stronger-than-expected rise in factory
orders, but remained wary about the economic outlook.
July factory orders rose 1.3%, the government reported, from an
upwardly revised 2.1% in June. Economists surveyed by Briefing.com
thought orders would rise just 1% in the month.
The report is the latest to show that the economic slowdown appears to be stabilizing.
Lehman Brothers inched higher on reports that Korea
Development Bank has offered to buy a 25% stake in the troubled
financial services firm for as much as $5.3 billion.
Shares of Corning fell 6.7% after the company warned
that third-quarter sales and earnings won't meet forecasts due to
weaker shipments of its glass used in flat-screen televisions and
computers.
Staples reported weaker quarterly earnings that were in line with forecasts. Shares of the retailer rose 1.4% in early trading.
Coca-Cola said it will buy Chinese juice maker China Huiyuan Juice Group Ltd. in a $2.5 billion all-cash deal. Coke shares slipped 1%.
In the bond market, Treasury prices inched higher, lowering the yield on the benchmark 10-year note to 3.72% from 3.73% late Tuesday.
COMEX gold for December delivery fell 10 cents to $810.40 an ounce after plunging nearly $25 in the previous session
U.S. light sweet crude oil for October delivery fell $1.42 to $108.29 a barrel after tumbling $5.75 a barrel Tuesday to settle at a nearly five-month low.
|
| 03.09 17:25 |
Ford's Aug sales are weak at about -26% YOY. |
| 03.09 16:56 |
GS says they are sticking to an est of +2% real growth in Q3 but admintting this has downside risks. |
| 03.09 16:36 |
Nomura on factory report
Economists at Nomura say in the factory report, "most major industries
reported stronger orders. While some of the gain may reflect higher
prices (e.g., steel, petroleum, food, and other basic commodities), the
growth in demand for manufactured goods is an encouraging sign."
|
| 03.09 16:12 |
Dow -12.13 at 11504.22, Nasdaq -2.04 at 2347.20, S&P -2.41 at 1275.17
The stock market fluctuates near the unchanged mark. Six of the ten
sectors are posting a loss, with tech (-0.9%) and utilities (-0.9%) the
worst performing areas. The consumer discretionary sector (+0.6%) is
posting the largest gain thanks to strength in retailers (+1.4%).
Standard and Poor's downgraded the credit ratings of regional banks
First Horizon (FHN 11.05, -0.64) and National City (NCC 4.93, -0.13).
Zions Bancorp (ZION 30.13, +0.68) and Regions Financials (RF 10.98,
-0.07) had their ratings affirmed, but their outlooks were revised to
negative from stable.
The financial sector is up 0.2%.
|
| 03.09 15:56 |
Insight Economics on factory orders
Economist Steve Wood at Insight Economics says factory orders show mfg
reviving: "Factory activity climbed in July for the fifth consecutive
month. Moreover, this month's increase was due less to higher prices
and more to higher volumes." RDQ says factories are holding up well in
the Commerce Dept data but not in the ISM orders.
|
| 03.09 15:32 |
Dow +14.17 at 11531.82, Nasdaq +4.14 at 2352.37, S&P +1.02 at 1278.72
The stock market recovered some losses and then gets a modest boost on
the release of the economic data. The major indices trade with a
slight gain.
Financial stocks (unch) are in focus this morning. Goldman Sachs (GS
164.04, -1.28) had its third quarter and fiscal year 2008 earnings
estimates cut at Credit Suisse. The firm cited the the widening in the
cost of asset price declines/spread, weaker trading volumes, and sparse
investment banking activity.
Lehman Brothers (LEH 16.40, +0.27) is once again in focus. A commodity
hedge fund that Lehman has a 20% stake in will close down after losing
27% in August, according to Bloomberg.com. There are continued reports
of possible interest in the struggling investment bank, including HSBC
(HBC 78.25, -0.23).
|
| 03.09 15:00 |
US: July factory new orders +1.3% vs +1.1% expected. |
| 03.09 14:53 |
Dow -49.66 at 11469.05, Nasdaq -10.16 at 2338.72, S&P -5.62 at 1272.12 |
| 03.09 14:25 |
Before the bell:
Futures are steadily recovering from their premarket lows, although a
lower start to the trading day is still indicated: S&P futures vs
fair value: -2.2. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -4.8.
ConAgra (CAG) is down 4.9% in premarket
trading after giving an earnings warning due to underperformance in its
consumer business. The food company was also downgraded to
Underperform from Buy at Credit Suisse.
A lower start is expected. Shares of bond insurer Ambac Financial Group
(ABK) are up 13% in premarket trading. The company confirmed that it
received regulatory approval from the Commissioner of Insurance of the
State of Wisconsin to capitalize and restart Connie Lee Insurance,
which will provide insurance for the municipal bond market.
In earnings news, retailer Staples (SPLS) reported a drop in quarterly earnings, but the results met Wall Street's forecast. In corporate news, Coca-Cola (KO) offered to Buy a Chinese juice maker for $2.4 billion.
Oil is down 1.4% to $108.15 per barrel following its steep drop in the previous session.
|
| 03.09 14:00 |
Bank of Canada leaves key interest rates unchanged, as expected
- Overnight rate target remains at 3.00%, bank rate at 3.25%
|
| 03.09 13:42 |
EUR/USD extends recovery
Recovery
off European morning lows of $1.4385 extend back to test broken support
at $1.4450. Offers seen placed between $1.4450/60, a break above to
open a move on toward $1.4480/85. The $1.4510 level holds digital
option interest. Bids seen in place back at $1.4410/00.
|
| 03.09 13:27 |
OPTIONS: Expiries of note for today's 14:00GMT cut
EUR/USD $1.4500
USD/JPY Y109.30, Y108.75, Y108.60, Y108.05/00
AUD/NZD NZ$1.2285
USD/CAD C$1.0545
|
| 03.09 13:10 |
European session: [M]
The euro fell to the lowest in more than seven months against the
dollar after reports showed business investment, exports and retail
sales declined, adding evidence of an economic slump in the
single-currency region.
The 15-nation currency also dropped to a five-month low versus the yen
on speculation the European Central Bank will signal concern tomorrow
the economic outlook in the region is deteriorating. The pound traded
near a two-year low against the dollar on concern the U.K. is headed
for a recession. The South Korean won was at the weakest in four years
on speculation international investors are selling the country's
assets.
European retail sales fell 0.4 percent in July from June, the European
Union's statistics office said from Luxembourg today. They were
forecast to rise 0.1 percent, according to the median forecast of
economists.
Investment by companies slid 1.2 percent, the first decline in five
years, and household spending dropped 0.2 percent after stagnating in
the previous three months, separate EU data showed today. Overall gross
domestic product fell 0.2 percent, matching an initial estimate
published on Aug. 14.
The dollar rose against the yen earlier on speculation a decline in oil
prices will support economic growth in the world's largest energy
consumer. Crude oil for October delivery fell 1.3 percent to $108.32 a
barrel, near a five-month low of $105.46 reached yesterday.
The pound was at 81.36 pence per euro, near a record low of 81.64 pence
reached yesterday. British consumer confidence stayed at a four-year
low in August, according to a survey published today by Nationwide
Building Society, the nation's second-biggest mortgage lender. The Bank
of England will keep its target lending rate at 5 percent tomorrow,
according to all economists.
Gains in the dollar may be limited by speculation a weakening U.S. labor market will damp consumer spending.
U.S. nonfarm payrolls fell by 75,000 jobs in August, faster than the
previous month's decline of 51,000, according to the median estimate
before the Labor Department releases the report Sept. 5.
EUR/USD
falling to a $1.4385 low, still trading heavy ahead of the US open
around $1.4400. Bids $1.4370/65, stops below $1.4360, bids $1.4350,
offers $1.4430.
GBP/USD
falling to lows of $1.7669. Recovery was boosted by release of
stronger than expected CIPS PMI data, holding above $1.7700 ahead of
NY open. Bids $1.7670-50,
$1.7610/00. Offers $1.7740, $1.7750/60.
USD/JPY
was pulled lower by the cross move, managing to hold just above the
Asia high, though remaining heavy into the US session. Bids
Y108.50/40, stops below, bids Y108.00, Y107.80/70.
Key
economic data from US today is Factory orders (14:00 GMT), crude oil
inventories at 14:35 GMT and Beige Book at 18:00 GMT. BOC will
announce its rate decision at 13:00 GMT.
|
| 03.09 12:39 |
BAS on US GDP
BAS sees "renewed weakness and near 1% real GDP growth in the second
half of the year. Housing decline, financial stress, and continued high
energy and commodity costs continue to exact a toll."
|
| 03.09 12:21 |
European focus: Euro fаalls against dollar on concern economy headed for slump [M]
The euro fell to the lowest in more than seven months against the
dollar after reports showed business investment, exports and retail
sales declined, adding evidence of an economic slump in the
single-currency region.
The 15-nation currency also dropped to a five-month low versus the yen
on speculation the European Central Bank will signal concern tomorrow
the economic outlook in the region is deteriorating. The pound traded
near a two-year low against the dollar on concern the U.K. is headed
for a recession. The South Korean won was at the weakest in four years
on speculation international investors are selling the country's
assets.
European retail sales fell 0.4 percent in July from June, the European
Union's statistics office said from Luxembourg today. They were
forecast to rise 0.1 percent, according to the median forecast of
economists.
Investment by companies slid 1.2 percent, the first decline in five
years, and household spending dropped 0.2 percent after stagnating in
the previous three months, separate EU data showed today. Overall gross
domestic product fell 0.2 percent, matching an initial estimate
published on Aug. 14.
The dollar rose against the yen earlier on speculation a decline in oil
prices will support economic growth in the world's largest energy
consumer. Crude oil for October delivery fell 1.3 percent to $108.32 a
barrel, near a five-month low of $105.46 reached yesterday.
The pound was at 81.36 pence per euro, near a record low of 81.64 pence
reached yesterday. British consumer confidence stayed at a four-year
low in August, according to a survey published today by Nationwide
Building Society, the nation's second-biggest mortgage lender. The Bank
of England will keep its target lending rate at 5 percent tomorrow,
according to all economists.
Gains in the dollar may be limited by speculation a weakening U.S. labor market will damp consumer spending.
U.S. nonfarm payrolls fell by 75,000 jobs in August, faster than the
previous month's decline of 51,000, according to the median estimate
before the Labor Department releases the report Sept. 5.
|
| 03.09 11:46 |
OPTIONS: Expiries of note for today's 14:00GMT cut
EUR/USD $1.4500
USD/JPY Y109.30, Y108.75, Y108.60, Y108.05/00
AUD/NZD NZ$1.2285
USD/CAD C$1.0545
|
| 03.09 11:29 |
CRUDE OIL: WTI Nymex crude oil at $108.46 (-$1,25) |
| 03.09 11:01 |
USD/JPY techs:
Resistance 3: Y110.30 Resistance 2: Y109.80 Resistance 1: Y109.20 Current price: Y109.02 Support 1: Y108.40 Support 2: Y107.40 Support 3: Y107.00 Comments: Tech on yen has't changed. Below Y108.40 dollar’s decline may accelerate and reach
Y107.40 then trend line from Mar 17 at Y107.00. Nearеst
resistance comes at Y109.20 (Sep 02 high), with further – on Y109.80
channel line.
|
| 03.09 10:48 |
USD/CHF techs:
Resistance 3: Chf1.1360
Resistance 2: Chf1.1180
Resistance 1: Chf1.1175
Current price: Chf1.1151
Support 1: Chf1.1050
Support 2: Chf1.0980
Support 3: Chf1.0880
Comments: Tech on USD/CHF has't changed. Nearеst support is session
low on Chf1.1050. Below Chf1.1050 dollar’s decline may accelerate and
reach Chf1.0980 then last week’s lows around Chf1.0880. Minor
resistance comes at Chf1.1175
(session high), then – on Chf1.1180 (Jan 07 highs). Above the rebound
may extend to channel line on Chf1.1360.
|
| 03.09 10:32 |
GBP/USD techs:
Resistance 3: $1.8130 Resistance 2: $1.7940 Resistance 1: $1.7850 Current price: $1.7745 Support 1: $1.7700 Support 2: $1.7600 Support 3: $1.7560 Comments:Tech
on GBP/USD has't changed. Pound continues to weaken with interim
support comes at session low on
$1.7670. Break under will widen losses to $1.7600 then to $1.7560.
Minor resistance is near session high on $1.7850. Above thepound’s
correction may extend to $1.7940 and then – Monday’s high on $1.8130.
|
| 03.09 10:24 |
EUR/USD techs:
Resistance 3:$1.4840 Resistance 2: $1.4720 Resistance 1: $1.4530 Current price: $1.4398 Support 1: $1.4365 Support 2: $1.4300 Support 3: $1.4260 Comments: The euro continues to sustain losses. Resistance is around session high on $1.4530 with a
break above will target Monday’s highs on $1.4720. Above the resistance
comes at channel line on $1.4840. Interim support is Jan 22 low on $1.4365. Below losses may widen to $1.4300 then support
comes at $1.4260.
|
| 03.09 10:05 |
Е-15 Retail sales (July) adjusted -0,4%, Y/Y -2,8% |
| 03.09 10:00 |
Е-15 GDP (Q2) preliminary -0,2%, Y/Y 1,4% |
| 03.09 09:55 |
Orders:
EUR/USD
Bids $1.4390, with stops at $1.4365
Offers $1.4465, $1.4480
GBP/USD
Offers $1.7730/35
EUR/JPY
Bids Y156.10
Offers Y157.50
|
| 03.09 09:45 |
Asian session: Euro falls against dollar before reports on european spending [M]
The euro fell to
the lowest in more than seven months against the dollar before reports
that will probably show European consumers are spending less as the
economy contracts. The 15-nation currency approached
the lowest in five months versus the yen on speculation the European
Central Bank will signal concern about the region's economy this week.
The pound traded near a two-year low against the dollar on concern the
U.K. is heading for a recession as house prices plunge. European
retail sales fell 2.1 percent in July from a year earlier, after a
record 3.1 percent decline the previous month, according to the median
forecast of 18 economists surveyed by Bloomberg
News. The European Union's statistics office, which started to compile
the data in 1995, is scheduled to release the report at 11 a.m. today
in Luxembourg. Revised data today may confirm that the
euro zone economy shrank 0.2 percent in the second quarter, the first
contraction since the euro's debut in 1999. The dollar rose against the yen on speculation a decline in oil prices will support economic growth in the world's largest energy consumer. The
pound was at 81.47 pence per euro, near a record low of 81.64 pence
reached yesterday. U.K. consumer confidence stayed at a four-year low
in August, according to the findings of a survey published today by
Nationwide Building Society, the nation's second-biggest mortgage
lender. The Bank of England will keep its target lending rate unchanged
at 5 percent tomorrow, according to all of the 61 economists surveyed. U.K.
inflation will reach about 5 percent in coming months and may slow to
below the central bank's 2 percent target in two years if the benchmark
rate remains unchanged, BOE Governor Mervyn King said Aug. 13. Gains in the dollar may be limited by speculation a weakening U.S. labor market will damp consumer spending. U.S. nonfarm
payrolls fell by 75,000 jobs in August, faster than the previous
month's decline of 51,000, according to the median estimate before the
Labor Department releases the report Sept. 5.
EU GDP (Q2) preliminary report is due to come at 09:00 GMT today and may weight on euro’s move ahead of ECB rate decision. Later focus will be on Canada BOC meeting announcement (13:00 GMT), at 14:00 GMT US Factory orders (July) and Weekly oil stocks (14:35 GMT).
|
| 03.09 09:39 |
Stock market: Tuesday summary
Japan's stocks fell a second day, led by
commodity-related companies, after oil dropped to the lowest in four
months and the resignation of Prime Minister Yasuo Fukuda shook
confidence in the government's economic policies.
Inpex
Holdings Inc., Japan's biggest oil explorer, dropped 6.7 percent, the
most in a month, while rival Japan Petroleum Exploration Co. lost 5.1
percent. Mitsui & Co., which gets more than half its profit from
commodities trading, sank 5.4 percent. Fukuda quit just a
month after changing his Cabinet, ending less than a year in office
marred by gridlock with the opposition over taxes, security and
leadership of the central bank. The Nikkei 225 Stock
Average tumbled 224.71, or 1.8 percent, to 12,609.47 at the close of
Tokyo trading, reversing a morning gain and extending yesterday's 1.8
percent decline. The broader Topix index dropped 18.27, or 1.5 percent,
to 1,212.37. Almost nine shares retreated for each that gained on the
Topix. Inpex fell 76,000 yen to 1.067 million yen, the
sharpest drop since Aug. 1 and the biggest loser on the Nikkei. Japan
Petroleum Exploration dropped 360 yen to 6,750 yen. Mitsui, Japan's
second-largest trading company, lost 103 yen to 1,790 yen. Gauges
tracking oil explorers and trading companies were the two- biggest
losers among Topix industry groups. Other commodities
also retreated, with a measure of six metals on the London Metal
Exchange, including zinc and copper, falling 2.4 percent yesterday, the
lowest in two weeks. China shares today declined to a 19-month low. Nippon
Mining Holdings Inc., Japan's biggest copper producer, dropped 5.1
percent to 558 yen. Toho Zinc Co., Japan's fourth- largest producer of
non-ferrous metals, sank 6.2 percent to 332 yen, the sharpest sell-off
since Aug. 4. Nippon Yusen K.K., the nation's largest
shipping company by sales, dropped 2.3 percent to 836 yen, while Mitsui
O.S.K. Lines Ltd., the No. 2, fell 2.4 percent to 1,238 yen.
European
stocks climbed to a three- week high after oil's decline eased concern
rising fuel costs will spur inflation and curb earnings at airlines and
retailers. British Airways Plc, Europe's
third-largest carrier, rallied 4.4 percent and Metro AG, Germany's
biggest retailer, gained for a fourth day as crude traded at a
five-month low. Taylor Wimpey Plc and Persimmon Plc led an advance in
U.K. builders, jumping more than 8 percent each, after Prime Minister
Gordon Brown suspended a homebuyer tax and brought forward 1 billion
pounds ($1.8 billion) of spending. National indexes
increased in all 18 western European markets except Norway as oil
companies weighed on the country's benchmark. The U.K.'s FTSE 100 added
0.3 percent while France's CAC 40 and Germany's DAX increased 1.5
percent. Carrefour SA, the world's second-largest
retailer, and Carnival Corp., the biggest cruise-line company, also led
gains among consumer-related companies as oil's slide eased concern
that higher fuel bills will curb spending. The dollar
climbed to its highest since February against the euro on speculation
lower oil prices will support economic growth in the U.S., the biggest
energy consumer. The U.S. currency rose to $1.7783 versus the pound,
the strongest since April 2006. Deutsche Lufthansa AG, Europe's second-biggest airline, climbed 4.2 percent to 15.63 euros. Crude
oil sank to as low as $105.46 a barrel in New York as producers and
refiners prepared to restart output and started assessing the damage to
production facilities after Hurricane Gustav struck the U.S. Gulf
Coast.
U.S.
stocks erased an earlier rally as a retreat in commodity producers
overshadowed gains in airlines and automakers after Hurricane Gustav
spared drilling platforms in the Gulf of Mexico, sending oil to a
five-month low. Alcoa Inc., Exxon Mobil Corp. and
Chevron Corp. fell more than 2 percent each. Coal producers Peabody
Energy Corp. and Massey Energy Co. led all 39 energy companies in the
Standard & Poor's 500 Index lower. EBay Inc. slumped 3.5 percent as
Stifel Nicolaus & Co. reduced its price estimate for the largest
Internet auction site, while Apple Inc. tumbled after Thomas Weisel
Partners cut profit estimates. Delta Air Lines Inc. climbed more than
14 percent as crude slid below $110 a barrel. The
S&P 500 Index fell 5.86 points, or 0.5 percent, to 1,276.97 at 2:47
p.m. in New York. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 4.56 points to
11,538.99 after earlier rallying almost 247 points. The Nasdaq
Composite Index slid 20.36 to 2,347.16. About four stocks fell for
every three that rose on the New York Stock Exchange.
|
| 03.09 09:34 |
UK CIPS services index (July) 49.2 |
| 03.09 09:33 |
FOREX. Tuesday summary
The dollar rose to the highest level against the euro in almost seven months as crude oil fell and traders speculated that the Federal Reserve's monetary policy will help the U.S. economy outperform Europe and Asia. The pound
fell to a two-year low versus the greenback on evidence a recession in
the U.K. is looming. Australia's dollar declined to the weakest level
in almost a year after the country's central bank cut interest rates
for the first time since 2001 and said economic growth will slow. The
pound depreciated as much as 0.6 percent to 81.64 pence per euro, the
weakest level since the European currency's debut. U.K. mortgage
approvals dropped to the lowest level in nine years and manufacturing
contracted, reports showed yesterday. The Bank of England
will keep the target lending rate unchanged at 5 percent on Sept. 4,
according to all of the economists surveyed. Standard Chartered Plc and BNP Paribas
SA raised their forecasts for the dollar. London-based Standard
predicts the dollar will rise to $1.44 per euro by year-end and $1.36
by the end of the first quarter, compared with previous forecasts of
$1.49 and $1.42. BNP,
based in Paris, forecasts the dollar will rise to $1.42 versus the euro
and $1.71 per the pound by year- end, stronger than $1.45 and $1.88
previously. The U.S. currency surged 6
percent versus the euro in August, its biggest monthly gain since the
European currency's debut in 1999. The economies of Europe and Japan
shrank in the second quarter, while U.S. gross domestic product
expanded at a 3.3 percent annual pace. The European Central Bank to hold its main refinancing rate at a seven-year high of 4.25 percent at its meeting Sept. 4.
EUR/USD eased down from $1.4595 to $1.4463 GBP/USD refreshed 2-years lows on $1.7670. USD/JPY rise from Y107.75 to Y109.20.
EU GDP (Q2) preliminary report is due to come at 09:00 GMT today and may weight on euro’s move ahead of ECB rate decision. Later focus will be on Canada BOC meeting announcement (13:00 GMT), at 14:00 GMT US Factory orders (July) and Weekly oil stocks (14:35 GMT).
|
| 03.09 09:17 |
Е15 PMI services (August) 48,5 |
| 03.09 09:01 |
Japan's stocks closed higher
Japan's
benchmark stock indices ended the day higher across the board, boosted
by the weaker yen and dip-buying. The benchmark Nikkei 225 was up 80.12
points, or 0.64%, to stand at 12689.59. The broader-based TOPIX was higher by 8.18 points at 1220.55.
|
| 03.09 08:27 |
USD/JPY techs:
Resistance 3: Y110.30 Resistance 2: Y109.80 Resistance 1: Y109.20 Current price: Y109.02 Support 1: Y108.40 Support 2: Y107.40 Support 3: Y107.00 Comments: USD/JPY
rebounds within the the downward channel from Aug 15, limited by
Y107.40/Y109.80 (key support and resistance respectively). Nearеst
resistance comes at Y109.20 (Sep 02 high), with further – on Y109.80
channel line. Below Y108.40 dollar’s decline may accelerate and reach
Y107.40 then trend line from Mar 17 atY107.00.
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| 03.09 07:54 |
USD/CHF techs:
Resistance 3: Chf1.1360
Resistance 2: Chf1.1180
Resistance 1: Chf1.1145
Current price: Chf1.1085
Support 1: Chf1.1050
Support 2: Chf1.0980
Support 3: Chf1.0880
Comments: Nearest support is session low on Chf1.1050. Below
Chf1.1050 dollar’s decline may accelerate and reach Chf1.0980 then
last week’s lows around Chf1.0880. Minor resistance comes at Chf1.1145
(session high), then – on Chf1.1180 (Jan 07 highs). Above the rebound
may extend to channel line on Chf1.1360.
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| 03.09 07:37 |
GBP/USD techs:
Resistance 3: $1.8130 Resistance 2: $1.7940 Resistance 1: $1.7850 Current price: $1.7745 Support 1: $1.7700 Support 2: $1.7600 Support 3: $1.7560 Comments:
GBP/USD continues to weaken with interim support comes at session low
on $1.7700. Break under will widen losses to $1.7600 then to $1.7560.
Minor resistance is near session high on $1.7850. Above the pound’s
correction may extend to $1.7940 and then – Monday’s high on $1.8130.
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| 03.09 07:23 |
EUR/USD techs:
Resistance 3:$1.4840
Resistance 2: $1.4720
Resistance 1: $1.4530
Current price: $1.4450
Support 1: $1.4410
Support 2: $1.4300
Support 3: $1.4260
Comments: Techs say euro still holds within the downward channel from
Jul 22, limited today by $1.4240/$1.4840 (key support and resistance
respectively). Resistance is around session high on $1.4530 with a
break above will target Monday’s highs on $1.4720. Above the resistance
comes at channel line on $1.4840. Interim support is near session low
on $1.4410. Below losses may widen to Feb lows on $1.4440. Key support
comes at $1.4320 (trend line from Feb 2006).
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| 03.09 06:39 |
Daily History for Sep 02, 2008
High Low Close EUR/USD 1.4598 1.4464 1.4514 USD/JPY 109.18 107.76 108.58 GBP/USD 1.8003 1.7781 1.7829 USD/CHF 1.1130 1.1008 1.1064
EUR/JPY 158.42 156.95 157.62 EUR/GBP 0.8161 0.8101 0.8137 GBP/JPY 194.87 192.63 193.65 GBP/CHF 1.9856 1.9682 1.9727
Change % Change Last Nikkei -224.71 -1.80% 12,609.47 Topix -18.27 -1.50% 1,212.37 FTSE +17.90 +0.32% 5,620.70 DAX +96.67 +1.51% 6,518.47 CAC +66.94 +1.50% 4,539.07 Dow -26.63 -0.23% 11,516.92 NASDAQ -18.28 -0.76% 2,349.24 S&P -5.25 -0.40% 1,277.58 10yr Note -0.6700 -0.177% 3.746% NYMEX Crude Oil -5.75 -4.97% 109.71 Gold -24.70 -2.95% 810.50
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| 03.09 06:22 |
Schedule for today, Monday, Sep 03, 2008
07:30 Italy Business confidence (August) - 83.5 07:45 Italy PMI services (August) - 45.6 07:50 France PMI services (August) 48.5 47.5 07:55 Germany PMI services (August) seasonally adjusted 49.9 53.1 08:00 EU(15) PMI services (August) 48.2 48.3 08:30 UK CIPS services index (Avgust) 47.0 47.4 09:00 EU(15) GDP (Q2) preliminary -0.2% 0.7% 09:00 EU(15) GDP (Q2) preliminary Y/Y 1.5% 2.1% 09:00 EU(15) Retail sales (July) adjusted - -0.6% 09:00 EU(15) Retail sales (July) adjusted Y/Y - -3.1% 12:15 USA ADP employment (August) - +9K 12:55 USA Redbook (30.08) 13:00 Canada BOC meeting announcement 3.00% 3.00% 14:00 USA Factory orders (July) 1.0% 1.7% 18:00 USA Fed Beige book
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