|
|
| 03.06 19:55 |
SocGen "the door still open for cuts if needed."
"We consider that
Bernanke's speech was well balanced, with the door still open for cuts
if needed." SocGen says mkt is afraid of upcoming broker earnings in
the week of June 16. LEH's report should come at start of the week,
Morgan Stanley at the end of the week. and Goldman on June 17.
|
| 03.06 19:42 |
Dow -119.69 at 12384.45, Nasdaq -18.14 at 2473.39, S&P -10.49 at 1375.18
The major indices extend their losses as disappointing auto sales data from General Motors (GM 17.20, -0.24) hits the wires.
General Motors reported May North American sales fell 28%, compared to
the expected decline of roughly 20%. Truck sales plummeted 39%, while
car sales fell 17%. GM's stock reverses into the red, going from a gain
of 4.2% to a loss of 1.4%. GM's announced early this morning that it
is closing four North America auto plants in an effort to save costs.
The stock market is now down 0.8% after being up as much as 0.5%.
|
| 03.06 19:13 |
July crude trading below $125 bbl, is at $124.78, down $2.98. |
| 03.06 19:04 |
Dow -76.87 at 12431.27, Nasdaq -6.15 at 2485.38, S&P -4.86 at 1381.38
The stock market suddenly retreats into the red, falling to its worst
level of the session. The decline is broad-based, with only health
care (+0.3%) and materials (+0.4%) still in positive territory. Crude
prices are also under selling pressure, down 2.0% to $125.25 per barrel.
European markets ended their session higher, with a rebound in banks
leading the way. London's FTSE rose 0.8%, Germany's DAX advanced 0.2%
and France's CAC gained 1.0%.
|
| 03.06 18:50 |
American focus: Bernanke's speech busted dollar
The dollar rose to a two-week high against the euro and increased
versus the yen after Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said the
central bank is ``attentive'' to the implications of the currency's
decline.
Traders interpreted the remarks as a sign that policy makers are done
cutting interest rates as the weakened dollar causes the price of
imports including crude oil to rise, sparking inflation. The U.S.
currency has tumbled 9 percent against the euro and the yen since the
Fed began cutting the target lending rate on Sept. 18.
``It could be a turning point for the dollar,'' said Michael Woolfolk,
senior currency strategist in New York at Bank of New York Mellon, the
world's largest custodial bank, with more than $20 trillion in assets
under administration. ``It's very unusual for a sitting Fed chairman to
talk about the dollar explicitly.''
The dollar has increased 3.5 percent since touching the all-time low of
$1.6019 per euro on April 22, as the Fed signaled it will stop cutting
interest rates. It has arranged $39 billion of financing to facilitate
the takeover of Bear Stearns Cos. by JPMorgan Chase & Co.
The Fed is working with the Treasury to ``carefully monitor
developments in foreign exchange markets'' and is aware of the effect
of the dollar's decline on inflation and price expectations, Bernanke
said via satellite to the International Monetary Conference in
Barcelona, Spain.
``Bernanke is now saying that he also has an interest in the level of
the currency,'' said Torsten Slok, a U.S. economist with Deutsche Bank
AG in New York, the biggest currency trader. ``If the last bastion of
dollar weakness -- U.S. indifference -- is falling away, the dollar may
rally.''
The dollar will strengthen to $1.49 against the euro by the end of the
year, according to the median forecast of 44 economists surveyed by
Bloomberg News. It's expected to increase to 105 yen.
The U.S. currency's gains against the euro may erode before the
European Central Bank's meeting on June 5 and the U.S. Labor
Department's payroll report the next day, according to Marc Chandler,
global head of currency strategy at Brown Brothers Harriman & Co.
in New York.
The ECB will keep its main refinancing rate at a six-year high of 4
percent, according to all 59 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. The
U.S. probably lost 60,000 jobs in May, after a decrease of 20,000 the
prior month, according to the median forecast of 78 economists in a
separate Bloomberg survey.
The U.S. currency fell earlier against the euro on speculation credit market losses will widen.
Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. may seek as much as $4 billion by selling
common stock, the Wall Street Journal reported, citing unidentified
people with knowledge of the matter. Lehman spokesman Mark Lane
declined to comment. S&P downgraded the credit ratings of Lehman,
Morgan Stanley and Merrill Lynch & Co. yesterday, saying they may
disclose more writedowns for devalued assets.
|
| 03.06 18:36 |
July crude sliding further, is down $2.46 at $125.40. |
| 03.06 18:01 |
MS: "we reduced our Q2 GDP forecast to -0.9% from -0.6%."
"Factory orders jumped a larger than expected 1.1% in April as the
durables component was revised down marginally to -0.6% but nondurables
surged 2.8% on what was likely a mostly price-related spike in
petroleum. Nondefense capital goods ex aircraft orders, the key core
gauge, still posted a sharp gain in April after several declines, but
the upside was revised down slightly to +4.0%. Details bearing on GDP
growth were negative overall. Inventories were flat... we now see
inventories subtracting 1.0pp from Q2 GDP growth, down from our prior
forecast of -0.6pp. Meanwhile, nondefense capital goods ex aircraft
shipments were revised lower in April to +0.2% from +0.5%... We now see
investment in equipment and software falling 2.2% in Q2 and overall
investment declining 0.5%, up from our prior forecasts of -2.9% and
-1.0%. Netting the inventory and investment adjustments, we reduced
our Q2 GDP forecast to -0.9% from -0.6%."
|
| 03.06 17:40 |
Dow -5.79 at 12497.22, Nasdaq +11.47 at 2503.88, S&P +3.73 at 1389.40
The stock market gives up some of its advance following a increase in
broad-based selling pressure. The Dow has fallen into negative
territory, although its loss is slight.
Within the Dow, 20 of the 30 components are in positive territory.
Weakness in Boeing (BA 78.58, -2.57) is acting as the limiting factor,
as it is shedding 18 points off the Dow.
|
| 03.06 17:15 |
Ford Co. has reported soft May sales |
| 03.06 17:12 |
Techs lead advance on Wall Street
Wall
Street edged higher Tuesday morning, thanks to oil prices and a
narrower-than-expected drop in factory orders, however gains were
limited by news that GM will be shutting plants and a Lehman may need to raise more capital. Factory orders rose 1.1% in April after increasing 1.5% in March, the government reported. Sales were expected to drop 0.1% in the month. Financial
sector woes dragged on stocks Monday after S&P cut its debt rating
on a number of banks, and Wachovia and Washington Mutual announced
management shakeups. Toll Brothers
reports results: The homebuilder reported a fiscal second-quarter loss
that was nonetheless narrower than what analysts were expecting,
sending shares higher. The Federal Reserve Chairman Bernanke said
the economy remains under pressure, but implied that the central bank
is unlikely to cut interest rates again soon due to rising oil prices
and other inflationary pressures. Oil prices fall: U.S. light crude oil for July delivery fell $1.31 to $126.45 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Treasury prices fell, raising the yield on the 10-year note to 4.01% from 3.96% late Monday. COMEX gold for August delivery fell $10.50 to $886.50 an ounce.
|
| 03.06 16:57 |
Dow +20.62 at 12523.03, Nasdaq +16.48 at 2508.01, S&P +4.85 at 1390.70 |
| 03.06 16:38 |
EUR/USD stabilized
The pare has rebounded to $1.5450 area after finding a
base at $1.5410 tech support area and traders now eyeing $1.5485 as
nearby resistance that could contain and leave downside potential in
place.
|
| 03.06 16:08 |
Dow +13.84 at 12514.64, Nasdaq +13.01 at 2504.09, S&P +3.71 at 1389.23
The major indices give a up a portion of their factory orders induced
gains as financials (-0.3%) retreat into the red. The Nasdaq is
outperforming as tech gains 0.8%.
Crude oil prices have eased 1.1% to $126.30 per barrel, which is giving
a 2.2% boost to the Amex Airline Index. Commodities as a whole have
slipped 0.9% as the dollar advances 0.6% against a basket of world
currencies.
|
| 03.06 15:50 |
EU ALMUNIA: Receiving some positive signs from financial markets
- Less market volatility, but still seeing some tension
- Seen
some evidence of tighter credit conditions
- Must continue to monitor
financial markets carefully
|
| 03.06 15:34 |
Dow +30.45 at 12539.56, Nasdaq +16.35 at 2509.15, S&P +5.14 at 1391.58
The major indices extend their gains on a better-than-expected economic release. April factory orders rose 1.1%, after increasing 1.5% in March. The result was better than the expected a decline of 0.1%. Orders increased 2.6% when excluding transports. Importantly, this report does not indicate an economy that is in a recession. Eight of the ten economic sectors are posting a gain. Materials (+1.0%) saw a surge in buying interest on the report.
|
| 03.06 15:21 |
Miller, Tabak's about Bernanke’s speech in Spain
Tony Crescenzi from Miller, Tabak's says "Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke delivered a strong defense of the U.S. dollar. His defense was about as strong as he could make it given the U.S. policy of letting only the U.S. Treasury Secretary speak about matters concerning the dollar.”
|
| 03.06 15:03 |
Reaction on news
Much stronger-than-expected Factory orders report fueled the catalyst for dollar rally (+1.1% versus the med. estimate -0.1%). Currently EUR/USD probes new session lows around $1.5415, GBP/USD declined to $1.9608, while USD/JPY rose up to Y105.45/50.
|
| 03.06 15:00 |
US: Apr Factory orders, +1.1% |
| 03.06 14:56 |
OPTIONS: Expiries of note for today's 1400GMT cut
EUR/USD: $1.5750 USD/JPY: Y104.00, Y105.00, Y105.15, Y106.00 AUS/USD: $0.9480 USD/CAD C$0.9980
|
| 03.06 14:52 |
HSBC on ISM:
"employment still weak at 45.5, suggesting this is productivity
driven output gains, not employment driven. Therefore, Friday's payroll report
could still show a big factory job loss. This report is consistent with about
2.5% GDP growth and represents upside risk to Wed's ISM Non-Mfg report, given
the correlation between the two indexes."
|
| 03.06 14:28 |
Before the bell: Stocks on Wall Street set for mixed start
A cautious open was on
tap Tuesday for Wall Street as investors kept an eye on oil prices and awaited word of possible
plant closings at General Motors. Oil prices slipped to $127.73 a barrel in Asian
electronic trading, and remained about $8 below the record above $135 set May
22. Market participants are looking for clues about whether another run at the
record is imminent. U.S. stocks finished
lower Monday, hurt
by new data showing a soft economy, S&P ratings cuts for some leading
investment banks and shakeups of management at banking companies Wachovia and
Washington Mutual. This should give Ben Bernanke, chairman of the
Federal Reserve, plenty to talk about when he provides his economic outlook via
satellite to the International Monetary Conference at in Barcelona, Spain.
Also today the Senate Commerce Committee will hold a hearing on energy price
manipulation, federal enforcement, and the state of the oil and gas markets. In addition, after the opening bell, the
Department of Commerce is expected to announce a 0.1% slip in factory orders in
April. Corporate news: the automaker General Motors, which
is holding its annual meeting Tuesday, is expected to announce plans to
increase production of small and midsize cars, and close plants producing
trucks and SUVs. The company will join its rivals later in the day to s report
on auto and truck sales for the month of May. The investment bank Lehman Brothers is
considering whether to raise up to $4 billion as it prepares to report its
first-ever quarterly loss as a public company, The Wall Street Journal reported
Tuesday. Lehman's stock fell 8% on Monday following negative reports from
analysts, and the company's losses could exceed $300 million when it reports
quarterly earnings in the week of June 16.
|
| 03.06 14:08 |
USD/JPY rally holds on
USD/JPY holds near new session high on Y104.90,
triggering some stops. Offers between Y105.30, lge exp Y104.00, stops Y103.80.
|
| 03.06 13:50 |
EUR/GBP probes stg0.7900
EUR/GBP probes support at stg0.7900, having
challenged resistance at stg0.7940 earlier in the day. A break below stg0.7900
to open a deeper pullback toward stg0.7885/80.
|
| 03.06 13:37 |
HFE on ISM
HFE economist Ian Shepherdson: "ISM manufacturing index rose to 49.6 from
48.5, a bit above the consensus, 48.5. The plunge in auto production in recent
months threatened to push the ISM down sharply but strength elsewhere appears
to have offset it. New export orders rose to a three-year high of 59.5, up from
57.5. This is dead in line with the performance implied by the weakening of the
dollar over the past year and will likely persist for a few more months yet.
This helped boost overall orders, which rose to 49.7 from 46.5, and production,
up to 51.2 from 49.1. But employment was little changed at a weak 45.5; export
gains are not enough to offset productivity growth so manuf jobs are still
being lost. Overall, soft but not catastrophic; but remember this is a deeply
atypical, consumer-led downturn."
|
| 03.06 13:18 |
European session: Factory orders, Bernanke speech are expected
The next data was issued 09:00 EU(15) PPI (April) Y/Y 6.1% 6.1% 5.7% 09:00 EU(15) PPI (April) 0.8% 0.8% 0.7% 09:00 EU(15) GDP (Q1) preliminary Y/Y 2.2% 2.2% 2.2% 09:00 EU(15) GDP (Q1) preliminary 0.8% 0.7% 0.4%
The
dollar fell by signs that the U.S. financial sector, and thus probably
the economy, is still far from out of the woods. The Wall Street
Journal reported on Tuesday that U.S. investment bank Lehman Brothers
may raise up to $4 billion in new capital, suggesting the firm could
post its first quarterly loss since going public. The
news added to risk aversion stoked during the previous session after
Standard & Poor's cut its credit ratings on Lehman, Merrill Lynch
and Morgan Stanley and said their outlooks were predominantly negative.
Data on Tuesday showed annual euro zone producer price
inflation surging to 6.1 percent, its highest in 7-1/2 years,
while first quarter growth was revised slightly higher.
EUR/USD: Opened in early Europe around $1.5552. European dealing
saw the greenback under pressure on the back of the WSJ article
alleging more writedowns to come out of the US, rate pushing up
steadily over the balance of the morning, with widely reported stops
through $1.5600 targeted and triggered en-route to $1.5628. Euro-dollar
eased back under the figure to trade around $1.5590 ahead of the US
open. Offers $1.5630, $1.5640/50, tech $1.5665, bids $1.5580, $1.5555/45 GBP/USD:
Opened early Europe at $1.9645. Cable recovered to $1.9645 into Europe,
but came under further pressure, extending lows to $1.9612 before
recovering, easing to $1.9650 ahead of NY.Cable bids $1.9650/40,
$1.9610/00. Offers $1.9690-00/10, $1.9740/50 USD/JPY:
Opened in early Europe around Y104.25.European dealing opened with
dollar-yen coming back to test Monday's low, this level giving wat as
the pair eased to Y103.88. Talk of large expiry interest at Y104.00
today provided support, with rate able to push back to Y104.40 by the
end of the morning. Dlr-yen offers Y104.70/80, Y105.30, lge exp
Y104.00, stops Y103.80
At 1400GMT, US factory new orders are expected to hold steady in April on an already reported 0.5% decline in durables orders.
|
| 03.06 13:02 |
State Street Bank & Trust Co. : ``We're bearish on the pound,''
``We're bearish on the pound,'' said Kimihiko Tomita, head of foreign
exchange in Tokyo at State Street Bank & Trust Co., a unit of the
world's largest money manager. ``The U.K. housing market is turning out
to be worse than some people expected and their financial sector is
facing a difficult time.''
|
| 03.06 12:28 |
OPTIONS: Expiries of note for today's 1400GMT cut,
EUR/USD: $1.5750
USD/JPY: Y104.00, Y105.00, Y105.15, Y106.00
AUS/USD: $0.9480
USD/CAD C$0.9980
|
| 03.06 12:16 |
UBS on Fed policy
"Our longstanding forecast for two more 25 bpfed funds rate cuts to
1.5% this year has become a distinctly minorityview since the Fed
started signaling a preference to be on hold.However, history reminds
us that the Fed and fixed-income markets can undergo rapid opinion
shifts, as happened in January. Key upcoming signposts for whether the
Fed eases further as soon as the June 24-25 FOMC meeting will be May
statistics on labor markets, purchasing agents, and retail sales."
|
| 03.06 11:58 |
European focus: dollar falls as market reduces risk-appetite
The dollar fell from close to a two- week high against the euro and traded
at the lowest level in a week versus the yen on concern credit-market losses
will widen, delaying any recovery in U.S. economic growth. The dollar
weakened as Asian stocks slumped after Standard & Poor's lowered its debt
rating on three of the biggest U.S. securities firms and the Wall Street Journal
reported Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. may raise as much as $4 billion of extra
capital to bolster its balance sheet. The yen advanced versus the New Zealand
dollar and the South African rand as investors pared so-called carry trades.
The dollar is ``vulnerable,'' said Armin Mekelburg, a currency strategist at
Unicredit Markets & Investment Banking in Munich. ``We shouldn't forget that
the source of risk aversion is based on the U.S. subprime market, U.S. banks,
credit markets and the U.S. economy.'' Gross domestic product in the 15
countries that use the euro increased 0.8 percent from the fourth quarter,
compared with an earlier estimate of 0.7 percent, the European Union's
statistics office in Luxembourg said today. Investment jumped 1.6 percent in the
first three months of this year, the most since the second quarter of 2006.
From a year earlier, the economy expanded 2.2 percent in the first quarter.
Fourth-quarter growth was revised down to 0.3 percent from 0.4 percent compared
to the prior three months.
|
| 03.06 11:36 |
EU JUNCKER: See EU HICP coming towards ECB target in 2009
- Slowdown in EU HICP to be a slow process
- Eurozone economy faces no risk of recession
- Oil, food prices to remain high, must get used to it
|
| 03.06 11:23 |
USD/JPY techs:
Resistance 3: Y105.90
Resistance 2: Y105.50
Resistance 1: Y104.70
Current price: Y104.35
Support 1: Y103.90
Support 2: Y103.20
Support 3: Y102.70
Comments: Dollar rebounds from lows.
Strong support now comes at session low on Y103.90 with minor level comes on May 27 low at Y103.20
and then – at Y102.70. Resistance is around session highs on Y104.70. Above
Y105.50 there is a way to May 29 high at Y105.90.
|
| 03.06 11:11 |
GBP/USD techs:
Resistance 3: $1.9850
Resistance 2: $1.9770Resistance 1: $1.9700
Current price: $1.9664
Support 1: $1.9600
Support 2: $1.9520
Support 3: $1.9440
Comments: Cable rebounds. The nearest support
is yesterdays low at $1.9600. Importnant level is also at $1.9520.
Further losses may widen till May 16 low at $1.9440.
Growth above recently broken support at $1.9700 will open a way to
$1.9770 and than to May high at $1.9850.
|
| 03.06 10:46 |
USD/CHF techs:
Resistance 3: Chf1.0520
Resistance 2: Chf1.0440
Resistance 1: Chf1.0380Current price: Chf1.0319
Support 1: Chf1.0270
Support 2: Chf1.0220
Support 3: Chf1.0170
Comments: Dollar tries to rebound. Below
Chf1.0270 correction may widen to May lows on Chf1.0220 and lower - till Chf1.0170. The nearest resistance is Chf1.0380, above comes yesterday's high at Chf1.0440. Friday’s
high around Chf1.0520 is a medium resistance with a break above rate will
target Chf1.0580
|
| 03.06 10:30 |
EUR/USD techs:
Resistance
3:$1.5760
Resistance 2: $1.5660
Resistance 1: $1.5620Current price: $1.5610
Support 1:
$1.5460
Support 2: $1.5420
Support 3: $1.5365
Comments: Euro trades lower recent high on $1.5620, next band of resistance is around $1.5660
and then – on Wednesday’s high on $1.5760.The nearest support remains at Friday’s low on $1.5460. Below losses may extend to $1.5420.
|
| 03.06 10:02 |
EU(15) GDP (Q1) preliminary 0.8% q/q; 2.2% y/y |
| 03.06 10:00 |
EU(15) PPI (April) 0.8% m/m; 6.1% y/y |
| 03.06 09:55 |
EUR/USD goes higher:
Squeezing higher, moves above $1.5610 and edges into next band of
reported sell interest between $1.5615/25. Above here and rate can
progress toward $1.5640/50. One trader earlier suggested we could see a
squeeze toward $1.5625, adding that this area could provide for a
decent short entry point.
|
| 03.06 09:55 |
Stock market: Monday results
closing
Nikkei +101.60 +0.71% 14,440.14
FTSE -45.90 -0.76% 6,007.60
DAX -88.02 -1.24% 7,008.77
CAC -79.07 -1.58% 4,935.21
Dow -134.50 -1.06% 12,503.82
NASDAQ -31.13 -1.23% 2,491.53
S&P -14.71 -1.05% 1,385.67
10yr Note -0.8300 -0.205% 3.963%
NYMEX Crude Oil +0.90 +0.71% 128.25
Gold +5.40 +0.61% 896.90
Asian stocks gained for the third day on expectations demand for row materials will support prices.
Mizuho, Japan's second-largest publicly traded bank by market value, surged 6.7 percent to 591,000 yen, the highest since Dec. 12.
Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Inc., the largest, rose 4.7 percent to 1,129 yen. The 85-member Topix Banks Index climbed 3.9 percent to its highest since Dec. 13.
Sony, the world's No. 2 consumer-electronics maker,
rose 4.6 percent to 5,520 yen, its highest close since Jan. 18. The
stock was raised to ``buy'' from ``neutral'' at Goldman Sachs, citing
the weakness in the yen and sustained demand in North America.
European stocks fell for
the first time in four days as Bradford & Bingley Plc said it will
raise capital, reviving concern credit losses are spreading. Bradford & Bingley plummeted
21.25% after the lender slashed the price of its rights offering and
said it will sell a 23 percent stake to TPG Inc. for 179 million pounds
($353 million). The company had a pretax loss of 8
million pounds, including one-time items, in the first four months of
the year, and Chief Executive Officer Stephen Crawshaw resigned for
health reasons. HBOS sank 10%. Alliance & Leicester Plc decreased 5.2%. Air France, Europe's largest airline, lost 3.5%. Deutsche Lufthansa AG, the region's second-biggest carrier, slipped 2.5%. Michelin & Cie.
retreated 4.9% after Credit Suisse Group cut its share-price estimate
on the world's second-largest tiremaker by 19% and reiterated its
``underperform'' recommendation.Credit Suisse also lowered its price
target on Continental AG shares by 2 percent to 93 euros and removed
the stock from its ``focus list.'' The shares fell 4.6%. Roche, the
world's biggest maker of cancer medicines, rose 4.6% after clinical
data showed its Avastin tumor drug helped patients live longer. Novartis AG
climbed 2.3%. Switzerland's second-largest drugmaker said its
experimental cancer treatment RAD001 made the Femara medicine more
effective in breast-cancer patients. Merck KGaA
fell 2.8 percent to 87.79 euros after new data on the Erbitux cancer
drug cast doubt it can overtake Roche's Avastin as the medicine of
choice for bowel and lung tumors.
US stocks closed Monday lower on new worries about
the financial sector after
S&P cut its debt rating on a number of banks, and Wachovia and
Washington Mutual announced management shakeups. The broad stock
declines accelerated in the afternoon after S&P said it was cutting
its debt rating on Merrill Lynch, Lehman Brothers and Morgan Stanley to "negative" from "stable" and cut its long-term outlook on JP Morgan Chase and Bank of America. The changes followed S&P's conclusion of its review of the securities industry.
Best Buy The electronics retailer was unveiling a program
Monday that would allow customers to bring in old TV sets and other
gadgets so that they can be properly disposed, and not poison the
nation's landfills.
ImClone
The biotech's price edged up 1% in pre-market trading, after the New
York company unveiled study results on Sunday showing that its drug
Erbitux extended survival in lung cancer patients by one month.
Both Wachovia and Washington Mutual announced executive management
changes amid the ongoing fallout from the credit market crisis.
|
| 03.06 09:55 |
Forex: Monday results
The pound fell and the yen advanced on speculation spreading credit
market losses at banks will result in slower economic growth and
discourage policy makers from raising interest rates.
Sterling
dropped the most in more than three weeks versus the dollar after
Bradford & Bingley Plc, the U.K.'s biggest mortgage lender to
landlords, said it will sell shares at a 33 percent discount. The yen
rose against all of the major currencies as a decline in European and
U.S. stocks eroded demand for higher-yielding assets funded in Japan.
The pound weakened after Bradford & Bingley Chief Executive Officer
Stephen Crawshaw quit yesterday, citing health reasons. TPG Inc., a
leveraged buyout firm, is in talks to buy a 20 percent stake in the
mortgage lender. It plans to raise an additional 250 million pounds
($490 million) from shareholders.
The U.S. currency rose earlier against the euro as crude oil fell by as
much as 1.7 percent to $125.22 a barrel, easing concern high commodity
prices will reduce U.S. consumer spending. Crude reached a record high
of $135.09 on May 22.
EUR/USD: fell from $1.5560 to
$1.5486. Later rate showed a high on $1.5588.
GBP/USD: slumped from $1.9770 to a low at $1.9600, rebounding later till $1.9670.
USD/JPY: sunk fromY105.50 to a low at Y104.08 with a close level on Y104.50.
Eurozone data sees the first details of Q1 GDP data as well as April
PPIat 0900GMT. The GDP should be 0.7% q/q, 2.2% y/y with industrial PPI
at0.8% m/m, 6.1% y/y.
In
the US today at 1300GMT, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke appears on a panel
of central bankers at the International Monetary Conference, in
Barcelona, with ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet, Bank of Japan
Governor Masaaki Shirakawa and Bank of Spain Governor Miguel Fernandez
Ordonez.
|
| 03.06 09:41 |
ECB PARAMO: Price stability necessary but not enough for growth
- Single currency has minimized impact of market turmoil
- Must not take benefits of the Euro for granted
|
| 03.06 09:10 |
Asian session: yen gained on carry trades reduction
The yen rose to a two-week high against the euro as concern
credit-market losses will widen prompted investors to pare holdings of
higher-yielding assets funded in the Japanese currency.The yen advanced
versus the New Zealand dollar and the South African rand, favorites for
so-called carry trades, as stocks slumped after Standard & Poor's
lowered its debt rating on three of Wall Street's biggest securities
firms. The currency extended gains after the Wall Street Journal
reported Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. may raise as much as $4 billion
of extra capital, citing unidentified executives.
The dollar may fall before a government report today that will probably
show weakness in U.S. manufacturing, showing there is less need for the
Federal Reserve to raise interest rates.
The euro may be supported by speculation data will show the prices
European companies pay for goods and services rose at the fastest pace
in almost eight years, giving the European Central Bank less scope to
lower borrowing costs.EUR/USD traded within $1.5517/45.
GBP/USD retreated from $1.9660 to $1.9610.
USD/JPY firmed from Y104.30 to offers Y104.66.
Eurozone data sees the first details of Q1 GDP data as well as April
PPIat 0900GMT. The GDP should be 0.7% q/q, 2.2% y/y with industrial PPI
at0.8% m/m, 6.1% y/y.
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| 03.06 08:56 |
Japan stock market closing
Japanese stock indices are ending Tuesday's session sharply lower,
although just shy of the worst levels. The markets were lower at the
luchbreak, but extended falls in the afternoon session, weighed by
media reports of further losses at Lehman Bros. The benchmark Nikkei
225 was down 230.97 points, or 1.60%, at 14209.17. The broader-based
TOPIX was down 17.66 points at 1407.44.
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| 03.06 08:50 |
USD/JPY techs:
Resistance 3: Y105.90
Resistance 2: Y105.50
Resistance 1: Y104.70
Current price: Y104.23
Support 1: Y103.90
Support 2: Y103.20
Support 3: Y102.70
Comments: Dollar tries to rebound from lows.
Strong support now comes at session low on Y103.90 with minor level comes on May 27 low at Y103.20
and then – at Y102.70. Resistance is around session highs on Y104.70. Above
Y105.50 there is a way to May 29 high at Y105.90.
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| 03.06 08:25 |
USD/CHF techs:
Resistance 3: Chf1.0580
Resistance 2: Chf1.0520
Resistance 1: Chf1.0440 Current price: Chf1.0329
Support 1: Chf1.0320
Support 2: Chf1.0260
Support 3: Chf1.0220
Comments: Dollar trades a bit higher session lows on Chf1.0320.Below
correction may widen to Chf1.0260 and around May lows on Chf1.0220. The nearest resistance is yesterday's high at Chf1.0440. Friday’s
high around Chf1.0520 is a medium resistance with a break above rate will
target Chf1.0580, then - Chf1.0640.
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| 03.06 08:11 |
GERMANY DEP FINMIN: ECB doing its job to curb inflation |
| 03.06 08:00 |
FINLAND FINMIN: Oil price to stay high for many years
- National governments must help ECB tackle inflation.
|
| 03.06 07:54 |
GBP/USD techs:
Resistance 3: $1.9850
Resistance 2: $1.9770Resistance 1: $1.9700
Current price: $1.9619
Support 1: $1.9600
Support 2: $1.9520
Support 3: $1.9440
Comments: Cable drifts lower. The nearest support
is yesterdays low at $1.9600. Importnant level is also at $1.9520.
Further losses may widen till May 16 low at $1.9440.
Growth above recently broken support at $1.9700 will open a way to
$1.9770 and than to May high at $1.9850.
|
| 03.06 07:39 |
EU BAJUK: Monetary policy can't deal with high inflation |
| 03.06 07:37 |
EU BAJUK: Inflation to remain high longer than first thought and is a matter of concern for us all. |
| 03.06 07:34 |
EU ALMUNIA: Hopes inflation won't stay high all year
- Have to accept external price shocks
- Next G-8 summit to discuss high food/oil price
|
| 03.06 07:33 |
Major European stock indices are seen opening lower Tuesday, as global bourses remain pressured. UK FTSE down 10, the DAX down 12, the CAC down 10 and the Eurostoxx 50 down 8. |
| 03.06 07:01 |
EUR/USD techs:
Resistance
3:$1.5760
Resistance 2: $1.5660
Resistance 1: $1.5590Current price: $1.5555
Support 1:
$1.5460
Support 2: $1.5420
Support 3: $1.5365
Comments: Euro trades within yesterday's range. The nearest resistance is at yesterday's high on $1.5590, next band of resistance is around $1.5660
and then – on Wednesday’s high on $1.5760.The nearest support remains at Friday’s low on $1.5460. Below losses may extend to $1.5420.
|
| 03.06 06:41 |
WSJ: Lehman Brothers Holdings is set to report its first quarterly loss
Lehman Brothers Holdings is set to report its first quarterly loss
since going public and is considering raising billions of dollars in
fresh capital to help shore up its balance sheet, the WSJ reports,
citing sources. The exact amount of the capital hike isn't known, but
analysts and Wall Street executives estimate it is likely to be $3
billion to $4 billion, the WSJ says. They said Lehman would probably
announce the capital raising in conjunction with its quarterly results,
due the week of June 16. The amount of new capital under consideration
suggests Lehman's quarterly loss could be larger than the $300 million
or so that some analysts have been expecting.
|
| 03.06 06:18 |
Daily History for June 02, 2008
High Low Close
EUR/USD 1.5587, 1.5485, 1.5537
USD/JPY 105.51, 104.00, 104.39
GBP/USD 1.9769, 1.9595, 1.9656
USD/CHF 1.0446, 1.0324, 1.0370
EUR/JPY 164.18, 162.08, 162.24
EUR/GBP 0.7927, 0.7866, 0.7902
GBP/JPY 208.32, 204.64, 205.22
GBP/CHF 2.0598, 2.0299, 2.0386
Change % Change Last
Nikkei +101.60 +0.71% 14,440.14
FTSE -45.90 -0.76% 6,007.60
DAX -88.02 -1.24% 7,008.77
CAC -79.07 -1.58% 4,935.21
Dow -134.50 -1.06% 12,503.82
NASDAQ -31.13 -1.23% 2,491.53
S&P -14.71 -1.05% 1,385.67
10yr Note -0.8300 -0.205% 3.963%
NYMEX Crude Oil +0.90 +0.71% 128.25
Gold +5.40 +0.61% 896.90
|
| 03.06 06:00 |
Schedule for today, Tuesday, June 03, 2008
07:00 UK Halifax house price index (May) 3m Y/Y -0.9%
07:00 UK Halifax house price index (May) -1.3%
09:00 EU(15) PPI (April) Y/Y 6.1% 5.7%
09:00 EU(15) PPI (April) 0.8% 0.7%
09:00 EU(15) GDP (Q1) preliminary Y/Y 2.2% 2.2%
09:00 EU(15) GDP (Q1) preliminary 0.7% 0.4%
12:55 USA Redbook (31.05)
14:00 USA Factory orders (April) -0.5% 1.3%
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