|
|
| 01.08 20:00 |
Dow -45.92 at 11332.10, Nasdaq -11.85 at 2313.70, S&P -5.84 at 1261.54
All three of the major indices are carrying losses into the final hour of trading.
Though the S&P 500's technology sector is down 0.4%, weakness among
large-cap tech is more noticeable in the Nasdaq 100, which is down
1.0%. Shares of Apple (-1.89), Research In Motion (-2.20), and Microsoft (-0.24) have all spent nearly the entire session in the red.
|
| 01.08 19:40 |
BAS:
"July unemployment rate jumped to 5.7% and aggregate hours worked
declined on a shrinking workweek, both indications that the labor
market remains in sustained decline."
|
| 01.08 19:00 |
Lehman Brothers about inflation
"We expect coreinflation to remain contained through 2009, with the core PCE deflator leveling
out within the FOMC's 1.5-2.0% implicit target.Slow GDP growth, rising
unemployment and tame rents should offset higher commodity prices, a
weak dollar and soft productivity growth."
|
| 01.08 18:40 |
Dow -39.89 at 11338.13, Nasdaq -12.52 at 2313.03, S&P -5.44 at 1261.94
Stocks continue to slog along through negative territory. The
respective positions of the three major indices have improved, though.
At their lows, the Dow was down 1.0%, the Nasdaq was down 1.7%, and the
S&P 500 was down 1.0%.
Weakness is most distinguishable in utilities and materials, both down 1.8%. Every component of the Dow Jones Utility Average is now in the red. Weakness in materials is focused around Monsanto (-3.72) and Freeport-McMoRan (-4.50).
|
| 01.08 18:25 |
Citi: "No significant trend changes are evident in today's employment report." |
| 01.08 18:00 |
American focus: Dollar rises to one-month high versus Euro on Payroll report
The dollar rose to a one-month high against the euro as a
government report showed employers in the U.S. eliminated fewer jobs
last month than analysts forecast.
The euro weakened as German retail sales dropped in June more than
twice as much as forecast, undermining the case for the European
Central Bank to boost interest rates again this year. The pound headed
for its biggest weekly drop since mid- June as U.K. manufacturing
shrank by the most in a decade.
``The labor market is weak, but the pace of job erosion is slowing
down,'' said Mike Moran, a senior currency strategist at Standard
Chartered in New York. ``Europe is catching up with where the U.S. has
been. It does put a floor under the dollar.''
U.S. payrolls shrank in July for a seventh straight month, decreasing
by 51,000, matching the previous month's decline, the Labor Department
said today in Washington. The median forecast of 79 economists was for
a reduction of 75,000. The unemployment rate rose to 5.7 percent, the
highest since March 2004, from 5.5 percent.
The dollar pared its gain versus the euro as crude oil rose as much as
3.6 percent to $128.60 a barrel. Israeli Deputy Prime Minister Shaul
Mofaz said Iran, OPEC's second-largest oil producer, is on a path
toward a ``major breakthrough'' in its nuclear program.
The yen rose to a two-week high against the euro as slowing global
growth prompted traders to pare holdings of higher- yielding assets
funded in Japan.
|
| 01.08 17:40 |
Dow -58.29 at 11319.73, Nasdaq -18.86 at 2306.69, S&P -7.50 at 1259.88
The stock market continues to chop along in negative territory.
Despite the widespread losses and the generally dour tone, the
defensive-oriented utilities sector (-1.8%) is trading appreciably lower.
In the Dow Jones Utility Average only Firstenergy (+0.01) and Williams Companies (+0.02) are trading higher.
|
| 01.08 17:20 |
Credit Suisse about Fed policy
"No change in Fed policy in '08 but in '09 we expect at least 50 basis points of tightening."
|
| 01.08 17:02 |
Markets slide in early going
Investors consider a 7th straight month of job losses, a huge miss from General Motors and climbing oil prices.
Stocks fell Friday morning as investors considered a seventh straight
month of job losses, a dismal second-quarter report from General Motors
and oil prices that jumped more than $4 in morning trading.
Employment report. The Labor Department reported a net loss of 51,000
jobs in July, which was not as many as expected. Economists had been
forecasting a loss of 75,000 jobs. Nevertheless, it was the seventh
straight month of job losses, bringing the 2008 loss to date to 463,000.
The unemployment rate rose to 5.7% from a 5.5% reading in June, which was worse than the 5.6% rate economists were looking for.
General Motors. The automaker reported a massive
second-quarter net loss of $15.5 billion, due in large part to
restructuring costs. Revenue fell to $37.7 billion from $45.8 billion a
year earlier, and far below analysts expectations of revenue of $44.6
billion. General Motors shares fell 8%.
Nissan. Japan's third-largest automaker reported that its
second-quarter profit fell 42.8% amid continued softening demand in the
United States. Nissan s revenue slipped 4.1% and the carmaker said that
the stronger yen cut into its exporting sales. Nissan's stock was down
by more than 5%.
Oil. After being down almost $2 earlier in the day, crude prices
surged at midmorning. They were up $2.85 to $126.93 a barrel in
electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. On Thursday,
oil fell $2.69.
COMEX gold for December delivery fell $3.70 to $919.00.
In the bond market, Treasury prices were mixed. The 10-year note was down, sending the yield up slightly to 3.96%.
|
| 01.08 16:41 |
Newedge Strategy: ISM data are mixed
Economist Annalisa Piazza at Newedge Strategy says ISM data are
mixed: rising production "is at odds with the Fed industrial production
figures" and a large upswing in employment "is very suspicious given
that today's employment report showing another sharp decline in
manufacturing payrolls."
|
| 01.08 16:21 |
HSBC about US data
Economist Ryan Wang at HSBC says some parts of employ report "were
not so bad, but the most important signal for us is the further rise in
unemployment from 5.5% to 5.7%, a new cycle high." He says rising
unemployment looks genuine "and it is being backed up rising continuing
claims, and from consumer surveys on jobs conditions." He says the risk
for the FOMC statement is fully balanced risks between growth/inflation
and a unanimous decision for no change in rates.
|
| 01.08 16:01 |
Dow -89.89 at 11288.13, Nasdaq -34.15 at 2291.40, S&P -10.85 at 1256.53
All three of the major indices are trading markedly lower amid
broad-based declines. Only 20% of the S&P 500 components are
trading with a gain.
Energy (+1.1%) is the lone standout among the major economic sectors. The sector is receiving leadership from oil giants Exxon Mobil (+0.27), ConocoPhillips (+1.38), and Chevron (
+0.44). Exxon actually traded lower yesterday after it announced
disappointing earnings results. Chevron is trading higher, despite
announcing earnings per share results that failed to meet the consensus
estimate. One immediate difference between the two session's is
today's higher oil price, which is now up more than 3%.
|
| 01.08 15:40 |
SocGen: job losses are not deepening
Economist
Stephen Gallagher at SocGen says job losses are not deepening and "are
less than the average so far this year."But this does not mean rebound
in the economy - he says this will force Fed into a wait-and-see mode.
|
| 01.08 15:18 |
CRUDE OIL:
WTI Nymex crude oil briefly broke above $128.00 on return of
geo-political risk premium, with traders citing story about
Iran/Israel. WTI Nymex crude oil is now at $127.50, up $3.42.
|
| 01.08 15:01 |
USA ISM Manufacturing (Jul) 50,0 |
| 01.08 14:46 |
OPTIONS: Expiries of note for today's 1400GMT cut
EUR/USD: $1.5575, $1.5505, $1.5680, $1.5720
USD/JPY: Y107.70, Y108.00, Y105.50
|
| 01.08 14:24 |
Before the bell: futures suggest a modestly higher open
Stock futures continue to indicate an upward start to trading Friday (S&P futures +2.5, Nasdaq futures +4.2). Oil futures remain lower, extending yesterday's decline. Oil services giant Chevron announced earlier this morning second quarter earnings per share results that fell short of the consensus estimate.
The July unemployment rate hit 5.7%, up from 5.5% in June. Nonfarm
payrolls fell by 51,000 in July, which is less than the 75,000 decline
that was widely expected and even with a 51,000 drop in June.
General Motors reported a hefty adjusted loss of $11.21 per
share after revenues slipped nearly 18% from the prior year to $38.16
billion. Meanwhile, Deutsche Bank had its counterparty credit rating
cut to AA- from AA at S&P.
|
| 01.08 14:03 |
Insight Economics about US data
Economist Steve Wood of Insight Economics says "Jobs declined
again in July, their seventh consecutive decline for the first time
since late 2001/early 2002 when the economy was just emerging from the
last recession. So far this year, 463k jobs have been lost. The economy
has clearly slipped into a mild jobs recession."
|
| 01.08 13:36 |
USA Average workweek (June)USA ISM Manufacturing (Jul) 33,6 |
| 01.08 13:34 |
USA Average hourly earnings (July) 0,3% |
| 01.08 13:32 |
USA Unemployment rate (July) 5,7% |
| 01.08 13:31 |
USA Nonfarm payrolls (July) -51К |
| 01.08 13:25 |
Before the US data: EUR/USD $1.5580, GBP/USD $1,9780, USD/JPY Y107,40 |
| 01.08 13:10 |
Median forecast on US Payrolls numbers: -62k
Analysts predict the US employment figures will show a loss of 72,000 jobs in July, following a loss of 62,000 in June. Unemployment rate may rise up to 5.6% versus 5.5% in June. Avg Hourly Earnings may rise the sema with last month, when it was +0.3%.
|
| 01.08 13:05 |
European session: Yen rises as carry trades are pared; Dollar waits for Payrolls report [M]
The following data were issued 06:00GermanyRetail sales (June) real adjusted -1.4% -0.4% 0.5 (1.3)% 06:00GermanyRetail sales (June) real unadjusted Y/Y -3.9% - 1.0 (0.7)% 07:45ItalyPMI (July) 45.3 46.1 46.9 07:50FrancePMI (July) 47.1 47.3 49.2 07:55GermanyPMI (July) seasonally adjusted 50.9 50.9 52.6 08:00EU(15)PMI (July) 47.4 47.5 49.2 08:30UKCIPS manufacturing index (July) 44.3 45.6 45.8
The yen rose to a
two-week high against the euro as faltering global growth and falling stocks prompted traders to pare
holdings of higher-yielding assets funded in Japan. The euro remained on the
back foot against the
dollar following a weak survey on euro zone manufacturing activity, but further
losses were capped as markets fixated on the upcoming release of the closely
watched U.S.
payrolls data. The purchasing managers' index for the euro zone manufacturing sector fell
to its worst level in more than five years in July. Elsewhere, the pound came under
sharp pressure against the dollar in the run-up to the release of a key
survey on UK manufacturing
activity, before recovering slightly as markets' attention here also turned to U.S. payrolls. The purchasing managers' index on the manufacturing sector showed a
worse-than-expected fall to 44.3
in July from June's 45.9, with the reading at its
weakest since December 1998.
EUR/USD opened in early Europe
around $1.5563. Rate held within the narrow $1.5550/80 range. Small offers
$1.5580, stronger $1.5600, $1.5630. Bids $1.5550, stops below, stronger bids
$1.5520/10, $1.5480. GBP/USD opened early Europe
at $1.9834. Cable dropped below $1.9800 after weak UK PMI data.
Disappointingrelease knocked rate down
before some rebound to $1.9770. USD/JPY opened in early Europe
around Y107.61. Rate printed low on Y107.30 before recovering up to Y107.70. Dlr-yen
offers Y107.90/00, stronger Y108.30/60, stops above.
Attention turns to
Payrolls numbers release at 12:30 GMT.The U.S.
employment figures are expected to show a loss of 72,000 jobs in July,
following a loss of 62,000
in June.
|
| 01.08 12:49 |
OPTIONS: Expiries of note for today's 1400GMT cut,
EUR/USD: $1.5575, $1.5505, $1.5680, $1.5720 USD/JPY: Y107.70, Y108.00, Y105.50
|
| 01.08 12:42 |
EUR/GBP retreats
EUR/GBP tested strong resistance at stg0.7885, but
failed to break above, spurring the current retreat. Nowrateholdsaroundstg0.7870.
|
| 01.08 12:28 |
European focus: Euro still on backfoot vs dollar after weak PMI; focus on U.S. payrolls [M]
The euro remained on the
back foot against the
dollar following a weak survey on euro zone manufacturing activity, but further
losses were capped as markets fixated on the upcoming release of the closely
watched U.S.
payrolls data. The purchasing managers' index for the euro zone manufacturing sector fell
to its worst level in more than five years in July. The U.S. employment figures due later on Friday are expected to show a loss of 72,000 jobs in July, following a
loss of 62,000 in
June. Elsewhere, the pound came under
sharp pressure against the dollar in the run-up to the release of a key
survey on UK manufacturing
activity, before recovering slightly as markets' attention here also turned to U.S.
payrolls. The purchasing managers' index on the manufacturing sector showed a
worse-than-expected fall to 44.3
in July from June's 45.9, with the reading at its
weakest since December 1998.
|
| 01.08 12:13 |
JAPAN, New Economy Minister Yosano: Japan economy may have entered downturn in economic cycle late last year |
| 01.08 11:52 |
USD/JPY techs:
Resistance 3: Y110.60 Resistance 2: Y109.60 Resistance 1: Y108.40 Current price: Y107.30 Support 1: Y107.30 Support 2: Y106.50 Support 3: Y106.00 Comments: Dollar tested 23.5% Fibo level at Y107.30 (Y103.70 - Y108.40 move). Below losses may widen to Y106.50 and Y106.00. Strong resistance is around yesterday’s high on Y108.40 with a break above will open the way to Y109.60. Stronger level comes near channel line on Y110.60.
|
| 01.08 11:44 |
USD/CHF techs:
Resistance 3: Chf1.0610 Resistance 2: Chf1.0560 Resistance 1: Chf1.0520 Current price: Chf1.0481 Support 1: Chf1.0400 Support 2: Chf1.0350 Support 3: Chf1.0280 Comments: Dollar trades volatile today ahead if Payrolls report. Minor support comes at yesterday’s low on Chf1.0400. Below correction may dip to key level on Chf1.0350 (channel support line from Jul 15) with a break under will open the way to Chf1.0280 (Jul 23 lows). Resistance is around Wednesday’s highs on Chf1.0520. A bit higher there is stronger level on Chf1.0560 (upper bound of the upward channel from Jul 15). Break above will open the way to May highs on Chf1.0610.
|
| 01.08 11:24 |
JAPAN: Japanese PM Yasuo Fakuda names
-Kaoru Yosano named as new Economics Minister -- replacing Hiroko Ota -Bunmei Ibuki named Finance Minister -- replacing Fukushiro Nukaga
|
| 01.08 11:12 |
GBP/USD techs:
Resistance 3: $2.0070 Resistance 2: $1.9950 Resistance 1: $1.9840 Current price: $1.9750 Support 1: $1.9730 Support 2: $1.9650 Support 3: $1.9590 Comments: Techs on pound hasn’t changed. Strong support comes at channel line from Jul 15 on $1.9730. Further target comes at Jul 22 lows on $1.9650. Key support is around trend line from Apr 2006 on $1.9590/00. Minor resistance is mentioned near $1.9840. Stronger level is near channel line from Jul 15 on $1.9950. Break above will open the way to Jul 07 highs on $2.0070.
|
| 01.08 10:59 |
EUR/USD techs:
Resistance 3:$1.5800 Resistance 2: $1.5700 Resistance 1: $1.5600 Current price: $1.5568 Support 1: $1.5520 Support 2: $1.5460 Support 3: $1.5300 Comments: Euro still holds within the narrow range. Strong support zone remains between $1.5520/00 (channel line from Jul 15 and trend line from Dec08 2007 pass here). Break down will accelerate the decline to $1.5460 and then – to Jun lows around $1.5300. Minor resistance comes near hourly high on $1.5600, then – at yesterday’s high on $1.5700. Stronger level is around channel line from Jul 15 on $1.5800.
|
| 01.08 10:35 |
EU Stocks get down
European
equity bourses are trading in the red on Friday, following the late sell-off on
Wall Street. Weaker than expected German retail sales and european PMI
manufacturing data is weighing on sentiment. CAC-40 is down 40pts, Xetra-DAX is
down 53pt and FTSE-100 is down 47pts.
|
| 01.08 10:06 |
OPTIONS: Expiries of note for today's 1400GMT cut,
EUR/USD: $1.5575, $1.5505, $1.5680, $1.5720 USD/JPY: Y107.70, Y108.00, Y105.50
|
| 01.08 09:52 |
Orders:
EUR Bids: $1.5550, $1.5530, $1.5500,
$1.5480 Offers: $1.5580/85,
$1.5600/10, $1.5625/30, $1.5645/55
JPY Bids: Y107.30/20 Offers: Y107.90/00, Y108.30/60
GBP Bids: $1.9740/20
Offers: $1.9850/55,
$1.9880/85, $1.9900
AUSSIE Bids: $0.9350, $0.9330 Offers: $0.9400/10
|
| 01.08 09:37 |
UK CIPS manufacturing index (July) 44.3 |
| 01.08 09:29 |
Asian session: Yen rises against Euro as carry trades pared on global slowdown [M]
The yen rose to a
two-week high against the euro as faltering global growth and a slump in Asian
stocks prompted traders to pare holdings of higher-yielding assets funded in
the Japanese currency. The currency advanced
the most versus the Australian and New Zealand dollars, favorites of
so-called carry trades, on speculation the nations' central banks will cut
interest rates. Traders speculated the Reserve Bank of Australia will lower its benchmark
rate by 68 basis points, or 0.68 percentage point, over the next 12 months. The euro fell against the dollar after a report today showed German
retail sales slumped, undermining the case for the European Central Bank to
raise borrowing costs.
EUR/USD fell from $1.5590
to $1.5550. Later rate set stable within the $1.5550/80.
GBP/USD printed high
on $1.9840 before sharply fell to $1.9752.
USD/JPY also declined
from Y107.90 to Y107.30.
U.S. non-farm
payrolls dropped by 75,000 last month, following a decline of 62,000 in June, according
to a survey of economists. The Labor Department's report is scheduled to be
released at 12:30 GMT.
|
| 01.08 09:25 |
Japan stocks closed lower
Japan's benchmark stock indices ended Friday's
session lower, weighed by overnight falls in the US. The benchmark Nikkei 225 was
down 282.22 points, or 2.11%, at 13094.59. The broader-based TOPIX was down
30.69 points at 1272.93.
|
| 01.08 09:16 |
Germany PMI (July) seasonally adjusted 50.9 |
| 01.08 09:16 |
EU(15) PMI (July) 47.4 |
| 01.08 09:15 |
France PMI (July) 47.1 |
| 01.08 09:14 |
Italy PMI (July) 45.3 |
| 01.08 09:02 |
Stock market: Thursday summary
Stock market fixing: Nikkei 225 +9.02 +0.1%
13,376.81
Topix +0.63 +0.1% 1,303.62
DAX 30 +19.44 (+0.3%) 6479.56
САС 40 +5.02
(+0.11%) 4405.57
FTSE 100 -8.80 (-0.16%) 5411.90
Dow -205.67 (-1.78%) 11378.02
Nasdaq -4.17 (-0.18%) 2325.55
S&P -16.88 (-1.31%) 1267.38
10YR +26/32 3.94% 99 13/32
NYMEX Crude Oil -2.69 (-2.12%) $124.08
Most
Japanese stocks advanced, paring a monthly decline, as investors sought haven
in companies whose earnings can weather a global economic slowdown. Kansai
Electric Power Co., which hasn't recorded an annual loss in more than a decade,
climbed the most since January. Takeda Pharmaceutical Co., Japan's largest
drugmaker, gained after boosting its net income forecast by a quarter. Limiting
gains, Nintendo Co. plunged the most in six months after a disappointing profit
forecast. Kansai
Electric, the nation's second-largest power producer, surged 5%. Larger rival
Tokyo Electric Power Co. jumped 4.6%. Kansai
Electric reported a 27.5 billion yen ($255 million) net loss for the first
quarter after the close of trading as higher fuel costs eroded profitability. Takeda
jumped 4.2% percent to 5,750 yen. The company lifted its net income forecast
for the current year by 25 percent to 200 billion yen as it integrates its $8.8
billion acquisition Millennium Pharmaceuticals Inc. Daiichi Sankyo Co., Japan's
third-largest drugmaker, jumped 3.9%. NTT DoCoMo
Inc. added 1.7%. The country's largest mobile phone operator boosted quarterly
profit in spite of declining revenue, while analysts had expected price
competition among mobile operators would erode profitability.
European stocks fell, sending
the Dow Jones Stoxx 600 Index to its third straight monthly drop, as reports
showed the U.S.
economy expanded at a slower-than- estimated pace and profits at Unilever
trailed projections. Unilever,
the world's second-largest consumer-products company, had its steepest slump
since June 2003 after earnings slipped 20 percent. Sanofi-Aventis SA, France's
biggest drugmaker, retreated as a decline in sales dragged profit below
estimates. BT Group Plc sank the most in eight years after reporting a fourth
consecutive quarterly drop in earnings. Outokumpu
tumbled 32% this month after the world's fourth-biggest stainless-steel maker
reported profit below analysts' estimates. SBM Offshore, the largest producer
of floating oil production platforms, is down 38%. Unilever
dropped 8.4%. Net income fell to 909 million euros ($1.4 billion) from 1.14
billion euros a year earlier, the company said, below the 914.5 million- euro
median estimate of analysts. Sanofi-Aventis
sank 4.7%. The drugmaker reported second-quarter earnings that missed estimates
as savings from job cuts failed to offset a decline in sales. Sanofi raised its
earnings guidance for the year.
European stocks had advanced earlier
Thursday after earnings from AstraZeneca Plc, the U.K.'s second- largest drugmaker, and
HBOS Plc exceeded projections. AstraZeneca
climbed 3.3% as the company reported second-quarter profit of $1.62 billion,
topping the $1.45 billion median estimate in a survey. HBOS added
7.1%, paring this year's decline to 60%. Britain's biggest mortgage lender
said net income dropped to 931 million pounds ($1.84 billion) from 2.1 billion
pounds a year earlier. That beat the 792 million-pound average estimate of analysts.
GDP, Exxon disappointments and jump in jobless claims drag on Wall Stree
yesterday.
A government report that showed the
economy grew at a slower-than-expected pace in the second quarter hit
sentiment, as did a surge in initial jobless claims. Exxon Mobil, which
reported sales and profit that fell short of forecasts, also dampened the mood.
The weak opening comes on the heels of a big two-day rally for stocks.
In the news on Thursday:
The economy grew at a faster pace in the second quarter than it did in the
first quarter, but the pace of growth was not as fast as economists had forecast.
The Commerce Department reported that GDP grew at an annual rate of 1.9% in the
three months ended in June, up from a revised first-quarter growth rate of
0.9%. GDP for the fourth quarter of 2007 was revised lower, to a decline of
0.2%.
Exxon Mobil: The world's largest publicly traded oil company reported
the largest quarterly profit in history, but missed expectations. Exxon
reported net income of $11.68 billion. Analysts were looking for a profit of
$12.1 billion. Exxon reported revenue of $138 billion, which missed analyst
expectations of $144.4 billion.
Motorola announced modest profits for the second quarter, despite
slumping handset sales. The tech giant posted earnings of 2 cents per share,
excluding one-time charges, which was better than expected.
|
| 01.08 08:46 |
FOREX. Thursday summary
The dollar was little changed
against the euro as reports showed the U.S. economy grew less than forecast in
the second quarter and initial jobless claims rose last week to a five-year
high.
U.S.
gross domestic product increased at an annual rate of 1.9% in the second
quarter, the Commerce Department reported today. The median forecast of
economists was for an advance of 2.3%. The report also showed a recession may
have begun in the final three months of 2007, as GDP was revised to show a
contraction in the period.
The euro strengthened earlier versus the dollar after the European Union
statistics office reported that the euro zone's inflation rate rose to 4.1
percent this month, the highest since 1992. The European Central Bank raised
its main refinancing rate to 4.25 percent on July 3, the highest since 2001.

EUR/USD fell from $1.5590
to $1.5550. Later rate set stable within the $1.5550/80 range. GBP/USD printed high
on $1.9840 before falling sharply to session low on $1.9752. USD/JPY declined from
Y107.90 to Y107.30.
Non-farm payrolls dropped by 75,000 this month following a decline of 62,000 in June, according to the median forecast of economists. The Labor Department's report, which includes government hiring, is due today at 12:30 GMT.
|
| 01.08 08:10 |
USD/JPY techs:
Resistance 3: Y109.60 Resistance 2: Y108.40 Resistance 1: Y107.70 Current price: Y107.30 Support 1: Y107.30 Support 2: Y106.50 Support 3: Y106.00 Comments: Dollar dragged down, currently testing 23.5% Fibo level at Y107.30 (Y103.70 - Y108.40 move). Below losses may widen to Y106.50 and Y106.00. Minor resistance is around Y107.70 with stronger level is around yesterday’s highs on Y108.40. Break above will target Y109.60.
|
| 01.08 08:03 |
USD/CHF techs:
Resistance 3: Chf1.0610 Resistance 2: Chf1.0560 Resistance 1: Chf1.0520 Current price: Chf1.0488 Support 1: Chf1.0400 Support 2: Chf1.0350 Support 3: Chf1.0280 Comments: Dollar rangebound within the narrow range. Minor support comes at yesterday’s low on Chf1.0400. Below correction may dip to key level on Chf1.0350 (channel support line from Jul 15) with a break under will open the way to Chf1.0280 (Jul 23 lows). Resistance is around Wednesday’s highs on Chf1.0520. A bit higher there is stronger level on Chf1.0560 (upper bound of the upward channel from Jul 15). Break above will open the way to May highs on Chf1.0610.
|
| 01.08 07:43 |
GBP/USD techs:
Resistance 3: $2.0070 Resistance 2: $1.9950 Resistance 1: $1.9840 Current price: $1.9837 Support 1: $1.9730 Support 2: $1.9650 Support 3: $1.9590 Comments: Techs on pound hasn’t changed. Minor resistance is mentioned near $1.9840. Stronger level is near channel line from Jul 15 on $1.9950. Break above will open the way to Jul 07 highs on $2.0070. Strong support comes at channel line from Jul 15 on $1.9730. Further target comes at Jul 22 lows on $1.9650. Key support is around trend line from Apr 2006 on $1.9590/00.
|
| 01.08 07:33 |
EUR/USD techs:
Resistance 3:$1.5800 Resistance 2: $1.5700 Resistance 1: $1.5600 Current price: $1.5572 Support 1: $1.5520 Support 2: $1.5460 Support 3: $1.5300 Comments: Euro tried to rebound yesterday, but today the pressure resumes. Overnight range was limited within the 20 points with strong support zone remains between $1.5520/00 (channel line from Jul 15 and trend line from Dec08 2007 pass here). Break down will accelerate the decline to $1.5460 and then – to Jun lows around $1.5300. Minor resistance comes near hourly high on $1.5600, then – at yesterday’s high on $1.5700. Stronger level is around channel line from Jul 15 on $1.5800.
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| 01.08 07:02 |
GERMAN: June Retail sales, -1.4% m/m; -3.9% y/y |
| 01.08 06:41 |
Major European bourses are initially seen trading lower, weighed by the late extended falls in the US: the FTSE down 32, the DAX down 321, the CAC down 27 and the Eurostoxx 50 down 25 |
| 01.08 06:18 |
Daily History for July 31, 2008
High Low Close EUR/USD 1.5698 1.5566 1.5596 USD/JPY 108.37 107.55 107.83 GBP/USD 1.9928 1.9779 1.9832 USD/CHF 1.0496 1.0401 1.0473
EUR/JPY 169.16 168.04 168.20 EUR/GBP 0.7894 0.7855 0.7861 GBP/JPY 214.57 213.34 213.88 GBP/CHF 2.0787 2.0686 2.0774
Change % Change Last Nikkei 225 +9.02 +0.1% 13,376.81 Topix +0.63 +0.1% 1,303.62 DAX 30 +19.44 (+0.3%) 6479.56 САС 40 +5.02 (+0.11%) 4405.57 FTSE 100 -8.80 (-0.16%) 5411.90 Dow -205.67 (-1.78%) 11378.02 Nasdaq -4.17 (-0.18%) 2325.55 S&P -16.88 (-1.31%) 1267.38 10YR +26/32 3.94% 99 13/32 NYMEX Crude Oil -2.69 (-2.12%) $124.08
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| 01.08 06:05 |
Schedule for today, Friday, Aug 01, 2008
Switzerland National Day 06:00 Germany Retail sales (June) real adjusted -0.4% 1.3% 06:00 Germany Retail sales (June) real unadjusted Y/Y - 0.7% 07:45 Italy PMI (July) 46.1 46.9 07:50 France PMI (July) 47.3 49.2 07:55 Germany PMI (July) seasonally adjusted 50.9 52.6 08:00 EU(15) PMI (July) 47.5 49.2 08:30 UK CIPS manufacturing index (July) 45.6 45.8 12:30 USA Nonfarm payrolls (July) -58K -62K 12:30 USA Unemployment rate (July) 5.6% 5.5% 12:30 USA Average hourly earnings (July) 0.3% 0.3% 12:30 USA Average workweek (June) 33.7 33.7 14:00 USA ISM Mfg business index (July) 50.3 50.2 14:00 USA Construction spending (June) -0.3% -0.4%
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