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| 21.07 08:51 |
STOCKS: weekly review
Japan
stocks fell, capping the Topix index's longest weekly losing streak in
seven years, as tumbling crude prices sent oil explorers lower. Shares extended declines after a newspaper report U.S. mortgage lender Freddie Mac will raise $10 billion in new equity. Inpex Holdings Inc., Japan's biggest oil explorer, sank to the lowest in more than two months after crude declined 11 percent in three days. Sony Corp. led a drop by electronics producers on concern the global economy is weakening. Sony,
the maker of the PlayStation 3 game console, lost 1.8 percent to 4,310
yen. Matsushita Electric Industrial Co., the world's largest maker of
consumer electronics, declined 2.1 percent to 2,130 yen. Manufacturing
in the Philadelphia region shrank in July for an eighth-straight month
as orders and employment sank, adding to evidence the U.S. economy has
yet to begin a recovery. Mizuho lost 0.6 percent to finish at 541,000 yen. Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Inc., the country's biggest lender by value, declined 0.4 percent to 951 yen after rising as much as 3 percent in the morning. The
Nikkei recorded a 1.8 percent drop in the last five days, while the
Topix fell 2.6 percent. Both gauges have declined for the past six
weeks, which is the longest stretch of losses for the Topix since
September 2001.
European
stocks posted the first weekly gain since May, after Citigroup Inc.'s
smaller-than-estimated loss outweighed disappointing earnings at
Merrill Lynch & Co. and Microsoft Corp. Royal Bank
of Scotland Group Plc and BNP Paribas SA led the Dow Jones Stoxx 600
Banks Index to its biggest three-day advance in five years. Air
France-KLM Group, Europe's largest airline, and Daimler AG, the world's
second-biggest maker of luxury cars, also rallied for a third day as
oil posted a 10 percent weekly decline. The Stoxx 600
added 1.6 percent to 280.69 Friday, extending this week's gain to 3.8
percent. Shares climbed as Citigroup joined JPMorgan Chase & Co.,
Wells Fargo & Co. and Nokia Oyj this week in reporting
better-than-expected earnings. Royal Bank, the
second-biggest U.K. bank, jumped 10 percent to 197.6 pence. BNP, the
largest French bank, gained 6.6 percent to 62.50 euros. Citigroup reported a second-quarter net loss of $2.5 billion, compared with a loss of $3.67 billion estimated by analysts Merrill,
the third-biggest U.S. securities firm, yesterday posted a net loss of
$4.65 billion, exceeding the firm's $1.96 billion first-quarter loss.
Microsoft, the world's biggest software maker, posted fourth-quarter
profit that trailed analyst estimates and gave a disappointing forecast. Air
France climbed 4.7 percent to 15.88 euros. British Airways Plc, the
region's third-biggest, rallied 6.5 percent to 242 pence. Daimler gained 3.8 percent to 41.09 euros.
Most
U.S. stocks fell Friday, led by technology shares, as disappointing
results at Google Inc. and Microsoft Corp. overshadowed Citigroup
Inc.'s smaller-than- estimated loss, extending the yearlong earnings
slump. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index lost 1.86
point, or 0.2 percent, to 1,258.46 Friday, paring its gain this week to
1.6 percent. The Dow average climbed 36.64, or 0.3 percent, to
11,483.30.
The Nasdaq Composite Index fell 29.04, or 1.3 percent, to 2,283.26.
Sixty-seven
S&P 500 companies that reported second-quarter earnings missed the
analyst estimate by 0.9 percent on average, according to data compiled
by Bloomberg. As of the close of trading yesterday, results were
running 6.7 percent ahead of forecasts. Analysts project profits fell
16 percent during the period, the fourth consecutive decline. That
would be the longest streak in six years, Bloomberg data show. The
combined value of global equities has fallen by about $13.5 trillion
since October as more than $447 billion in credit- related losses
prolong the global economy's slump and rising commodity prices stoke
inflation. U.S. stocks have fared better than European
and Asian equities, measured by the performance of broad benchmark
indexes. The S&P 500's 14 percent drop this year compares with
losses of 17 percent for the U.K.'s FTSE 100 Index, 21 percent for the
German DAX Index and 15 percent for Japan's Topix Index. Better-than-expected
reports from Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Wells Fargo &
Co. this week eased investor concern about how much more capital
financial institutions need to raise because of the U.S. housing slump.
S&P 500 companies in that industry surged more than 20 percent
since July 15, the steepest three-day gain on record. Citigroup
gained $1.55, or 8.6 percent, to $19.52 for the biggest advance in the
Dow average. The biggest U.S. bank by assets, which is still down 33
percent in 2008, posted a loss of 49 cents a share from continuing
operations. That was less than the 60-cent loss analysts estimated on
average in a Bloomberg survey. Citigroup took about $7.2 billion of
credit-market writedowns. Merrill Lynch & Co. fell 76
cents to $29.97, limiting financials' advance. The third-biggest U.S.
securities firm reported its fourth straight quarterly loss. Merrill
lost $4.65 billion as it added $9.7 billion to its tally of
credit-market writedowns. Analysts at Citigroup Inc., Oppenheimer &
Co. and Wachovia Corp. had predicted the company would book charges of
at least $5 billion. Google fell $50.87, or 9.5
percent, to $482.57. The company posted second-quarter profit of $3.92
a share, excluding costs such as stock compensation. Analysts estimated
$4.73 on average in a Bloomberg survey. Google reported a slowdown in
the growth of consumers clicking on Web ads and higher-than-expected
research and legal expenses. Microsoft retreated $1.90,
or 6.9 percent, to $25.62. The world's biggest software maker reported
2.3 percent less fourth- quarter profit than analysts estimated. The
company, whose shares have fallen 28 percent this year, predicted
first-quarter earnings as low as 47 cents a share. Analysts polled by
Bloomberg anticipated 49 cents a share, on average. Advanced
Micro Devices Inc. fell 13 percent to $4.62, its biggest drop since
October 2006 and the most in the S&P 500. The chipmaker reported a
wider loss after writing down the value of its 2006 purchase of ATI
Technologies Inc. by $880 million. Chief Executive Officer Hector Ruiz
resigned, passing the reins to Chief Operating Officer Dirk Meyer. The S&P 500 Information Technology Index slumped 1.6 percent, its first retreat in four days.
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| 21.07 08:41 |
FOREX: weekly review
The
dollar headed for a weekly advance against the euro, rebounding from a
record low on signs U.S. investment banks will withstand credit-market
losses stemming from the collapse of the subprime-mortgage market.
The
U.S. currency rose versus the yen today after Citigroup Inc., the
biggest U.S. bank, reported better-than-expected second-quarter results.
``The
risk of a systematic meltdown has been reduced,'' said Benedikt
Germanier, a currency strategist in Stamford, Connecticut, at UBS AG,
the world's second-largest foreign- exchange trading firm. ``It lends
some support to the dollar.''
The dollar traded at
$1.5834 per euro in New York Friday, compared with $1.5863 Thursday
and $1.5938 at the end of last week. It dropped to an all-time low of
$1.6038 on July 15. The currency climbed to 106.88 yen from 106.28 yen
Thursday. The Japanese currency traded at 169.23 per euro, from 168.58
and 169.46 on July 11.
The pound dropped
to 79.37 pence per euro, from 79.16 Thursday, and to $1.9955 from
$2.0038 on speculation the U.K. government will boost borrowing as
Chancellor of the Exchequer Alistair Darling introduces new spending
guidelines.
The rules will allow it to break limits on
public sector debt, the Financial Times said today, without citing
anyone. A Treasury spokesman said the report is ``pure speculation.''
The yen was set for a weekly loss against the US dollar, Australian dollar and South African rand as the rally in U.S. stocks following JPMorgan's earnings yesterday encouraged so-called carry trades. The yen fell 2 percent this week against the rand and 0.6 percent versus the Australian dollar.
In
carry trades, investors get funds in a country with low borrowing costs
and buy assets where returns are higher. The Bank of Japan held its
target lending rate at 0.5 percent this week, the lowest among major
economies. Benchmark rates are 12 percent in South Africa and 7.25
percent in Australia.
``Currency traders are likely to
take their cue from the stock market,'' said Masanobu Ishikawa, general
manager of foreign exchange at Tokyo Forex & Ueda Harlow Ltd.,
Japan's largest currency broker. ``Earnings season isn't as bad as many
had feared. There will be some pressure on the yen to weaken.''
The yen may decline to 107 per dollar Friday, Ishikawa forecast.
The
S&P index lost 3.8 percent in the seven trading days ended July 15,
the day the dollar reached its worst level against the euro, on
speculation a government plan to shore up Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac
would fail to restore confidence in the two largest buyers of U.S. home
loans. It has since risen 3.6 percent.
``The Treasury
and the Fed have put a firewall around Freddie and Fannie to contain
the systemic risk in the financial markets,'' said Richard Franulovich,
a senior currency strategist at Westpac Banking Corp. in New York. ``It
has created the conditions of a big dollar bounce.''
Merrill Lynch & Co., the third-biggest U.S. securities firm, reported a fourth straight quarterly loss yesterday.
Global
banks and securities firms have reported losses and writedowns of $436
billion related to subprime loans to U.S. homeowners with poor credit,
weighing on both stocks and the nation's currency this year.
Cheaper
oil is still helping to support the greenback against the euro. Crude
oil for August delivery is set for a record weekly drop in dollar
terms, having lost about $14 a barrel since July 11 in New York.
The
euro-dollar exchange rate and oil have moved in the same direction 90
percent of the time during the past year, according to Bloomberg
calculations based on the correlation of their value changes.
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| 21.07 08:17 |
COMMODITIES: weekly review
Crude oil fell for a fourth day of the last week,
capping the biggest weekly decline in more than three years, as the
Bush administration's decision to participate in nuclear talks with
Iran eased concern of a possible military conflict. A slowing global
economy, faltering U.S. fuel demand and rising supplies helped push
futures to their biggest weekly dollar decline ever. Prices tumbled 11%
last week on reduced tension between the U.S. and Iran, which holds the
world's second- largest oil reserves.
Iran has said it may blockade the Strait of Hormuz, the shipping lane
for a fifth of the world's crude, if its nuclear facilities are
attacked. The country is the second-biggest producer in the
Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries.
U.S. fuel consumption fell 3% in the first half of 2008, the biggest
decline for the period in 17 years, as high prices and a slowing
economy curbed demand, the American Petroleum Institute said.
Crude oil for August delivery fell 10.6% to $128.88 a barrel, the
lowest close since June 5. Futures reached a record of $147.27 on July
11 and have risen 72% from a year ago. Last week's decline was the
biggest in percentage terms since December 2004, when heating demand in
the U.S. Northeast eased because of mild weather. Oil closed at $42.54
a barrel that week, less than a third of today's settlement price. The
$16.20 a-barrel decline was the biggest weekly drop in dollar terms
since the futures began trading in 1983. Brent crude oil for September
settlement fell to $130.19 a barrel, the lowest close since June 5.
Prices climbed to a record $147.50 on July 11.
Gold fell after rallying shares reduced demand for
the precious metal as an alternative investment. Silver also declined.
Gold futures fell to $958 an ounce. Earlier, the most-active contract
touched $950.20, the lowest price in a week. Silver futures for
September delivery fell to $18.20 an ounce. The metal still has gained
22% this year, while gold climbed 14%.
Copper declined, heading for a second straight
weekly drop, as supplies rose in China, the world's largest consumer of
the metal. Stockpiles monitored by the Shanghai Futures Exchange gained
13% this week to 42,935 metric tons. That's the highest level since May
29. Chinese production in the six months through June rose 19% from a
year earlier, the country's statistics bureau said today. Copper fell
5.3% the week before. On the London Metal Exchange, copper dropped to
$8,085 a metric ton. A close at that price would mark a decline of 2.1%
this week. Copper has more than quadrupled in the past five years as
mining companies, hampered by strikes and falling ore grades, struggled
to keep up with demand from China, India and other emerging economies.
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