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| 18.09 19:47 |
Hot stocks: Barclays, Google, Morgan Stanley[M]
Barclays PLC Fitch Ratings revised its outlook on the AA long-term issuer default rating to negative from stable.
MidAmerican Energy Holdings Co., a subsidiary Berkshire Hathaway, reached a tentative deal to buy Constellation Energy for approximately $4.7B.
CKE Restaurants, Inc. (Delaware Holding Co.) The restaurant
group announced second-quarter profit rose to $12.3M, or 23 cents a
share, from $9.4M, or 15 cents a share, in the year-ago period, beating
analysts expectations. Revenue fell to $352.5M from $363.1M.
Fedex Corp The shipping giant’'s fiscal first-quarter net
income fell 22% amid weak domestic volumes as the company forecast
earnings for the current quarter above analysts' estimates and said it
will increase shipping rates 6.9% beginning in January.
Google Inc The search giant’s new mobile device, to be introduced Sept. 23, will cost $199, The Wall Street Journal reported.
Kraft Foods Inc The food conglomerate replaces AIG in the Dow Jones industrial average effective Monday.
Morgan Stanley reportedly has held preliminary takeover talks with Wachovia.
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| 18.09 19:45 |
FED FUND FUTURES:
The odds of an intermeeting 25bps rate
cut this month are coming down after Fed and other CB maneuvers
overnight. As it stands now, the risk of a 25bps rate cut this month
stand at 36%, down from 52% on the close yest.
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| 18.09 19:32 |
Dow +116.51 at 10726.17, Nasdaq +14.22 at 2113.07, S&P +12.36 at 1168.75
Financials recently found their best level of the session, helping the
broader market pull out of the red. The sector has climbed all the way
to a 4.5% gain.
Still lagging, though, are investment banks and brokers. The industry
group is down 4.6%. That is still quite an improvement from the 20%
loss the group was showing at its session low.
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| 18.09 19:07 |
JPM: "S&P exactly hit the target"
JPM's Mike Krauss says "Watch the close today....S+P exactly hit the
1134 target- very big six year H+S bottom neckline shown yesterday. Buy
zone (other is 1122). Also, 2 year swap spreads hit very long term
measured moves at 155-160. This seems radeable."
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| 18.09 18:25 |
Dow -119.68 at 10489.98, Nasdaq -24.98 at 2073.87, S&P -19.58 at 1136.81
Losses continue to extend in the stock market. The major indices are now at a session low.
The downturn has taken stocks to a new 52-week low. The S&P 500 is
now almost 28% off its high, which was posted almost 11 months ago.
Treasuries have fared well during that time. The 10-year Note, the
benchmark for Treasuries, has seen its yield fall from around 4.65% to
its current 3.38% since the time stocks hit their high. Yields move
inversely to prices.
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| 18.09 18:07 |
Insight Economics on LEI
"indicates that economic activity is poised to
decline over the second half of this year and into the early part of
2009. At best, the economy might manage very sluggish growth."
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| 18.09 17:47 |
Dow -19.54 at 10590.12, Nasdaq -9.58 at 2089.27, S&P -6.41 at 1149.98 |
| 18.09 17:28 |
American focus: [M]
The dollar touched a two-week low versus the euro after the
world's biggest central banks said they will act to revive financial
markets, reducing demand for the greenback as a haven.
The yen dropped versus the New Zealand and Australian dollars as
the Federal Reserve, Bank of Japan and European Central Bank joined
global counterparts to reverse the seizure in credit markets, reviving
demand for higher-yielding assets. The dollar remained lower versus the
euro as U.S. initial jobless claims unexpectedly increased last week.
``We're seeing reassertion of the weakness feature in the dollar as we
get some breathing room,'' said Alan Ruskin, head of international
currency strategy in North America at RBS Greenwich Capital Markets
Inc. in Greenwich, Connecticut. ``There are really two forces running
against each other, repatriation flows and weak economic fundamentals
in the U.S.''
The Fed said in a statement on its Web site it authorized other central
banks to auction $180 billion in dollar funds to financial
institutions. The ECB will offer up to $40 billion for one day today
and increase the amount of dollars provided to European banks in
existing longer-term auctions, it said
The U.S. currency remained lower versus the euro as the Labor
Department reported that the number of Americans filing first-time
claims for unemployment benefits increased to 455,000 in the week ended
Sept. 13, from 445,000 in the previous week. The median forecast of 38
economists surveyed by Bloomberg News was for a drop to 440,000.
``We're seeing a modest rebound in risk appetite,'' said Adam Cole,
head of global currency strategy at RBC Capital Markets in London. The
intervention ``signals that they will do what they can to help us
through this situation,'' he said.
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| 18.09 16:53 |
Insight Economics on Philly Fed index
Economist Steven Wood at Insight Economics says Philly Fed index had
its "first positive reading in the last 8 months. On an ISM-weighted
basis, the index also improved sharply but remained slightly negative.
These data suggest that manufacturing activity of mid-Atlantic based
businesses expanded modestly."
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| 18.09 16:35 |
Dow +37.86 at 10647.52, Nasdaq -0.71 at 2098.14, S&P +2.27 at 1158.66
The major indices dipped into negative territory as conviction behind early morning buying fades.
The financial sector had been up as much as 3.7% early on. It is now down 1.3%, trading just above its session low.
Consumer staples continue to hold gains. The sector has attracted
safety seekers and is up 1.5%. At its session high it was up 2.2%.
Cereal and prepared food company Kellogg (K 56.79, +0.38) is acquiring
a privately owned Austrailian cereal maker, Specialty Cereals. The
terms of the deal were not disclosed, but the acquisition is not
expected to have a material impact on Kellogg's 2008 operating profit.
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| 18.09 16:25 |
BAS sees "encouraging signs" in Philly Fed data. |
| 18.09 16:13 |
Dow +164.80 at 10774.46, Nasdaq +36.48 at 2135.33, S&P +21.89 at 1178.28
Still looking for direction, the financial sector is up 2.6% this
session, though that pales in comparison to the prior session's 8.9%
slump. One weak spot in the sector remains to be investment banking
and brokers (-0.6%) as their future remains clouded.
Reuters reported that Morgan Stanley (MS 20.15, -1.50) is pursuing
multiple tracks to endure the current crisis. Reuters also reported
Morgan Stanley is approaching China Investment Corp regardin an
increased stake in the American investment bank.
The fate of Morgan Stanley has been debated in recent sessions,
following the failure of Bear Stearns, Lehman Brothers, and the merger
between Merrill Lynch (MER 20.38, +1.02) and Bank of America (BAC
28.70, +1.50).
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| 18.09 15:47 |
EUR/USD under pressure
Eases closer to $1.4400 and $1.4380 area drawing some attention.
Modest tech level said to hold bids ahead of stops. Techs suggest break
of $1.4420 to yield a move to $1.4360. Above $1.4525 to open
a retest on earlier highs at $1.4541, with offers noted between
$1.4540/50. Stronger interest then noted around $1.4575. One tech
trader has mentioned that rate has potential to trade up to the area
between $1.4670/1.4705.
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| 18.09 15:22 |
Dow +196.88 at 10806.54, Nasdaq +41.80 at 2140.65, S&P +26.17 at 1182.56 |
| 18.09 15:00 |
US: Aug leading indicators -0.5% after -0.7% in Jul and +0.1% in Jun |
| 18.09 15:00 |
US: Sept Philly Fed index +3.8 vs -12.7.
Sept Philly Fed data show prices paid 31.5 vs 57.5, new orders 5.6, employment -0.9, inventories -22.9, shipments +2.6.
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| 18.09 14:50 |
Dow +143.63 at 10753.29, Nasdaq +41.04 at 2139.89, S&P +21.09 at 1177.48
Stocks have opened the session with handsome gains. Their advance is
broadbased with all ten of the economic sectors moving higher.
Small-cap and mid-cap stocks are also attracting attention. The
Russell 2000 is up 2.5% fresh out of the gate, while teh S&P 400 is
up 1.4%.
The renewed interest in equities has pushed Treasuries out of favor.
The 10-year Note is off by 9 ticks in the early going, pushing its
yield up to 3.45%
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| 18.09 14:28 |
Before the bell: Futures higher after Fed and other central banks inject cash into markets roiled by financial crisis.[M]
Stock futures maintain their lead over fair value :S&P futures vs
fair value: +14.90. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +23.30. Crude has
made its way back above $100 per barrel.
Early Thursday, the Federal Reserve and other central banks around the
world announced that they would inject money into the markets in an
effort to calm them. Joining the Fed were the European Central Bank,
the Swiss National Bank, the Bank of England, the Bank of Canada and
the Bank of Japan.
As additional signs of market turmoil, oil prices and weekly jobless claims both increased.
So far this week, the Federal Reserve announced a takeover of the
troubled insurance American International Group in the form of an $85
billion loan, but didn't step in for Lehman Brothers, which filed for
bankruptcy. In addition, Bank of America agreed to acquire Merrill
Lynch for $50 billion.
Those actions have left other banks and investment houses quaking.
Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs fell sharply Wednesday, and there was
talk after the close of possible merger talks between Morgan Stanley
and Wachovia.
There was also talk that troubled savings and loan Washington Mutual has put itself up for sale.
Oil made a comeback, rising $3.86 a barrel to $101.02, as some investors eschewed stocks and dumped their money into commodit
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| 18.09 14:05 |
Lehman revised down September nonfarm payroll forecast
"On today's worse-than-expected report (on claims) we revised down our
forecast for September nonfarm payroll employment growth to -125,000
from -100,000."
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| 18.09 13:35 |
US: Jobless claims +10k to 455k |
| 18.09 13:21 |
: WTI Nymex crude oil extended rally to $102.20 before easing back to $101.10, up $3.94. |
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