The dollar posted its biggest weekly gain versus the euro in three years
as traders bet the Federal Reserve will increase borrowing costs this
year and Irish voters may have rejected a European Union treaty.
The
U.S. currency rose to a one-month high against the euro on bets Group
of Eight finance ministers meeting this weekend will signal they favor
a stronger dollar. The yen was poised for a fifth weekly drop against
the euro after the Bank of Japan left its target lending rate at 0.5
percent, the lowest among industrialized nations.
The U.S. currency climbed 2.7 percent this week against the euro, the
biggest increase since June 2005. The dollar rose 3.1 percent versus
the yen, the most since December 2004. The yen decreased 0.3 percent
versus the euro in its longest stretch of losses since October.
``People
will likely keep pricing in Fed rate hikes,'' said David Powell, a
currency strategist at Bank of America Corp. in New York. ``That will
help the dollar.''
Fed funds futures on the Chicago
Board of Trade show a 60 percent chance the central bank will increase
the 2 percent target lending rate by at least a quarter-percentage
point at its August meeting, compared with 9 percent odds a week ago.
The
15-nation euro weakened as Irish voters turned down the European Union
treaty, a setback for the bloc's plans to strengthen its global voice.
Results from yesterday's national ballot on the Lisbon Treaty show
opponents defeated supporters by 53.4 percent to 46.6 percent.
``The
rejection of the treaty undermines the EU's public legitimacy and may
influence public sentiment in countries contemplating joining the euro
zone,'' wrote Geoffrey Yu, a currency analyst at UBS AG, in a note to
clients today. ``This change may undermine the ECB's price stability
mandate in favor of a growth mandate.''
French Finance
Minister Christine Lagarde, before meeting with her G-8 counterparts
in Osaka, Japan, told reporters that the U.S. dollar's increase versus
the euro is ``very satisfying.'' The group comprises the U.S., Japan,
Germany, the U.K., France, Italy, Canada and Russia.
The
U.S. currency strengthened versus the euro on June 9 after U.S.
Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson said in an interview with CNBC that he
would ``never'' rule out intervention. Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke
said on June 3 that he's aware of the impact a falling currency can
have on price expectations.
``There's a serious intent in
defending the dollar,'' said Richard Franulovich, a senior currency
strategist at Westpac Banking Corp. in New York. ``It seems the days of
benign neglect are over.''
Consumer prices rose 0.6
percent in May after a 0.2 percent increase the prior month, the Labor
Department reported Friday in Washington. The median forecast of 84
economists was for a 0.5 percent advance.
Fed funds
futures on the Chicago Board of Trade show a 61 percent chance the
central bank will increase the 2 percent target lending rate by at
least a quarter-percentage point at its August meeting, compared with 9
percent odds a week ago. There's a 27 percent chance policy makers will
lift the rate to 3 percent by December.