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| 05.05 05:49 |
Forex: weekly review
The dollar rose the most against the
euro since March and reached a two-month high versus the yen as traders
bet the Federal Reserve will stop cutting interest rates and the U.S.
lost fewer jobs in April than economists forecast.
The
currency appreciated versus the Swiss franc, the Swedish krona and the
South Korean won this week after the Fed cut the target lending rate by
a quarter-percentage point on April 30 and said ``substantial'' easing
since September would help foster economic growth. The euro weakened as
confidence among European executives and consumers fell in April.
``The
tide is beginning to turn for the dollar on two fronts,'' said Jim
McCormick, head of global currency strategy at Lehman Brothers Holdings
Inc. in an interview on Bloomberg Radio. ``One is that the Fed is
becoming less dollar-unfriendly. The other is a clear signal that
economies outside the U.S. are starting to slow.''
The
dollar increased 1.3 percent to $1.5424 per euro this week, from
$1.5630 on April 25. It touched $1.5361 Friday, the highest level since
March 24. The dollar rose 0.9 percent to 105.40 yen, from 104.42 a week
earlier. It touched 105.70 yen, the strongest since Feb. 28. The euro
fell 0.5 percent this week to 162.53 yen, from 163.15. The dollar has
risen 3.6 percent from a record low of $1.6019 versus
the euro reached on April 22. This was the second consecutive week it
advanced versus the euro, the first time it posted back-to-back weekly
gains since December.

Futures traders are betting for
the first time since December 2005 that the dollar will gain against
the euro, figures from the Washington-based Commodity Futures Trading
Commission show.
The dollar gained 0.4 percent against the euro after the
Labor Department reported that U.S. payrolls shrank by 20,000 last
month following a revised decline of 81,000 in March. The median
forecast of 82 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News was for a drop of
75,000.
The
Fed cut the target rate for overnight lending between banks by a
quarter-percentage point to 2 percent this week, the seventh reduction
since September. Futures on the Chicago Board of Trade showed yesterday
an 86 percent chance policy makers will keep borrowing costs unchanged
when they next meet June 25, compared with 80 percent odds on May 1.
The balance of bets is for a decrease of a quarter-percentage point.
The
European Central Bank will hold its main refinancing rate at a six-year
high of 4 percent on May 8, all of the 53 economists surveyed. The Bank of England will keep its benchmark
interest rate at 5 percent the same day, according to the median
forecast of 61 economists in a separate survey.
An
index measuring sentiment among executives and consumers in the
countries that use the euro fell to 97.1 in April, from 99.6 in March,
the 11th consecutive drop, the European Commission said in Brussels on
April 30. A separate report showed consumer inflation slowed last month.
``We
got good U.S. news and bad European news,'' said Alan Ruskin, head of
international currency strategy in North America at RBS Greenwich
Capital Markets Inc. in Greenwich, Connecticut. ``We have two forces
moving hand in hand to help the dollar.''
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| 05.05 05:48 |
STOCKS: weekly review
U.S.
stock indexes closed third week higher after a better-than-forecast
jobs report and the $23 billion takeover of Wm. Wrigley Jr. Co. pushed
the market to its longest streak of gains in seven months.The S&P 500 rose 1.2%
this week. The measure has gained 6.1% in the past three weeks, paring
its 2008 decline to 3.7%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 1.3%.
Technology, consumer and
telephone stocks led the Standard & Poor's 500 Index to a
four-month high, while raw material and energy producers declined as
the dollar climbed. Wrigley had the steepest gain in more than two
decades after Mars Inc., with financing by billionaire Warren Buffett,
agreed to buy the world's biggest maker of chewing gum. Sure, there was the news Monday that Mars is going to buy Wrigley (WWY) for approximately $23 billion and the news Tuesday that Mastercard (MA) had a blowout quarterly earnings report, but that, and other items like the FDA shooting down a new cholesterol drug from Merck (MRK), led to a James Bond-like trade in that the indices were shaken, but not stirred.
The stirring action was reserved for the latter part of the week,
which brought the Q1 GDP report, the FOMC meeting and the April
employment data. In addition, it also brought some noteworthy movement
in the dollar and some volatile activity in the commodity arena.
The Fed appears to be feeling better about the economy's prospects,
too. After cutting the fed funds rate Wednesday another 25 basis
points to 2.00%, it issued a directive that was different in tone from
prior directives. In particular, the directive omitted a prior
reference to the idea that "downside risks to growth remain." Verizon Communications Inc.,
the second-largest U.S. phone company, said first-quarter profit jumped
9.8 percent as mobile- phone customers spent more on text messages and
wireless Internet browsing. Verizon shares rose 6.9 percent to $39.59
this week. Walt Disney Co., Cisco Systems Inc., Clear Channel
Communications Inc. and Sara Lee Corp. are among S&P 500
companies slated to report quarterly results next week.
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| 05.05 05:48 |
COMMODITIES: weekly review
Oil prices fell last week
as the dollar rose to a five-week high against the euro after the
smaller-than-expected job loss last month, which may indicate the labor
market is weathering the economic slowdown. When the dollar rises,
commodities often fall because they lose appeal as a hedge against
inflation. Oil touched a record $119.93 a barrel on April 28, as the
dollar dropped.
Crude oil rose more than
$3 a barrel Friday after a report showed that the U.S. lost fewer jobs
than forecast in April and as Turkey renewed its military offensive
against Kurdish rebels in Iraq. Iraq's northern region is controlled
by a semi-autonomous Kurdish administration. Kirkuk, at the center of
the region's biggest oil field, is about 100 miles (161 kilometers)
from the Turkish border.
The
Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries won't consider increasing
crude-oil production before it meets in September because the market is
well supplied, Qatari Oil Minister Abdullah al-Attiyah said Friday. The
13-member group is responsible for more than 40% of the world's oil
output.

Crude
oil for June delivery declined to $116.32 a barrel. Futures, which have
climbed 83% from a year ago, are down 1.9% last week. Brent crude oil
for June settlement weakened to $114.56 a barrel.
Precious metals retreated too with
gold closed the week 3.2% down at $858 an ounce. The metal fell the
third straight week. Gold hadn't fallen for three weeks in a row since
May 25, 2007. In another precious-metal market, silver futures
declined to $16.465 an ounce, 2.9% for the week, the second straight
weekly drop. Platinum slipped to $1,908.20 (-3% for the week).
In base metals, the copper conundrum continued,
with the red metal torn between weak Chinese buying interest because of
high prices and supply disruptions in Chile where strikes are affecting
Codelco, the world’s largest producer. Copper fell 1.8% to $8415 a
tonne last week. Codelco, the world’s largest producer, is reported to
have asked some US customers to consider delaying orders if strikes in
Chile continue.
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